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ANALYSIS OF THE SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE CAMINO DE SANTIAGO PRELIMINARY RESULTS
ANALYSIS OF THE SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE CAMINO DE SANTIAGO
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
Camino de
Santiago
Camino de
Santiago
AGGREGATED ECONOMIC IMPACT
(SMALL IN QUANTITATIVE TERMS BUT VERY RELEVANT
QUALITATIVELY SPEAKING)
AGGREGATED ECONOMIC IMPACT
(SMALL IN QUANTITATIVE TERMS BUT VERY RELEVANT
QUALITATIVELY SPEAKING)
MAJOR IMPACT AT THE LOCAL LEVEL (EMPLOYMENT,
SOCIAL, CULTURAL AND
DEMOGRAPHIC)
MAJOR IMPACT AT THE LOCAL LEVEL (EMPLOYMENT,
SOCIAL, CULTURAL AND
DEMOGRAPHIC)
VERY HIGH SATISFACTION OF RESIDENTS: THE
CAMINO AS A SOLUTION
VERY HIGH SATISFACTION OF RESIDENTS: THE
CAMINO AS A SOLUTION
EXAMPLE OF SOCIAL AND
ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
EXAMPLE OF SOCIAL AND
ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
RESULTS PREVIEW
Total impact on production (incl. induced
effect) per each euro
Total impact on production (incl. induced
effect) per each euro
2,722,72
2,442,442,602,60
Total impact on
employment (per million
euros)
Total impact on
employment (per million
euros)
21,9521,95
18,5818,5818,8418,84
Non-resident Non-residentResident Resident
Pilgrim Pilgrim
Each euro spent by a pilgrim generates up to 11% of additional output
Each euro spent by a pilgrim generates up to 18% of additional employment
¡EXTERNALITIES!
80% will come back as tourists
Multiplier: coefficient which measures the quantity of
output/income/employment derived directly and indirectly from each unit
of tourist expenditure.
Pilgrims represent 2.3% of the total tourist expenditure in Galicia, but each pilgrim bears the
same economic impact as 2.3 domestic visitors (differences in the average stay, average expenditure
and in the multiplier)
Aggregated impact
Very high heterogeneity
SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT AT THE LOCAL LEVEL
Melide and Pedrafita do
Cebreiro
Melide and Pedrafita do
Cebreiro
Youngest and oldest municipalities in the
French way
Youngest and oldest municipalities in the
French way
Most and least densely populated
Most and least densely populated
Very positive overall assessment, with a better
evaluation for the population as a whole
than for each individual
WHAT IS THE OPINION OF THE RESIDENTS?
Positive economic impact: mainly, the residents in both municipalities see the positive economic impacts of the Camino (in terms of income, local business, employment and tourism), but they are not aware of any
negative economic impacts (The Camino does not harm other activities and its benefits go to the residents of the municipality)
PERCEIVED ECONOMIC IMPACT
In Pedrafita, the widespread opinion is that The Camino represents the main economic activity of the municipality, but that activity benefits only a few residents.
The residents of Melide do not think that The Camino is the main economic activity of the municipality, nor that the benefits from that activity go to a small number of residents.
OTHER PERCEIVED ECONOMIC EFFECTS
From the estimation of the number of NIGHTS that pilgrims spent in Galicia, in each of the
municipalities concerned.
156.720
1.220.313
675.066
388.527
HotelsPublic hostels
Private hostels
0,00%
5,00%
10,00%
15,00%
20,00%
25,00%
30,00%
Estimates of the distribution of the nights spent by the pilgrims in each municipality
At the local level, most of the indirect and the induced
impacts are generated outside the municipality
Focus on the Direct Impact
IMPACT AT THE LOCAL SCALE
0,00% 5,00% 10,00% 15,00% 20,00% 25,00% 30,00%
MONTERROSO
PARADELA
MELIDE
SAMOS
SARRIA
ARZUA
PALAS DE REI
O PINO
PEDRAFITA
PORTOMARIN
TRIACASTELA
EQUIVALENT ASSOCIATED POPULATION
0,00% 5,00% 10,00% 15,00% 20,00% 25,00%
MONTERROSO
PARADELA
SAMOS
SARRIA
ARZUA
PALAS DE REI
MELIDE
O PINO
PORTOMARIN
PEDRAFITA
TRIACASTELA
RATIO BETWEEN THE DIRECT EXPENDITURE OF THE PILGRIMS AND THE GDP OF THE
MUNICIPALITY IN 2014
Assuming a daily EXPENDITURE of 50 EUROS (61,015,633 euros in total)
One pilgrim that spends one night in the municipality is equivalent to 1/365 of a permanent resident
SOME RESULTS…
-33,0%
-17,0%
-8,1% -6,8%-2,2% -1,5%
2,2% 2,8% 3,3%7,6%
17,8% 18,8%22,0%
63,9%
-0,40
-0,20
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
EMPLOYMENT IMPACTDATA ON AFFILIATION TO THE SOCIAL SECURITY. RELATIVE CHANGE
2017/2003
AFFILIATION AT THE LAST DAY OF THE MONTH BY MUNICIPALITIES
(ANNUAL DATA)
THE AFFILIATION PER 1,000 INHABITANTS GREW IN ALL THE
MUNICIPALITIES, EXCEPT IN MONTERROSO
The closer to Santiago, the higher the impact
The oficial data confirms the importance of the economic activity generated in the municipalities along the French way.
EMPLOYMENT IMPACT
Detail of Portomarín,
town centre
Detail of Portomarín, where the supply of accommodation is
concentrated in the town centre
Heatmap of the supply of accommodation services
along the French way
In 2009 the French way accounted for 4.26% of the total hotel beds in Galicia, in 2017 was the 8.71%. Among the 5,036 new hotel beds created in Galicia between 2009 and 2017, 30% were established along the
French way.The population of the municipalities in the French way represents 1.68% of the total population in Galicia.
Contribution of the Hospitality sector in terms of employees
2008 2010 2016 Share %
ARZUA 7 5 3 11,1%
MELIDE 5 4 2 20,1%
O PINO 4 2 1 17,8%
MONTERROSO 6 5 5 7,7%
PALAS 6 5 1 16,4%
PARADELA 7 4 2 16,9%
PEDRAFITA 3 3 2 30,5%
PORTOMARIN 3 1 1 31,6%
SAMOS 4 3 3 14,5%
SARRIA 7 6 5 10,5%
TRIACASTELA 5 3 1 33,0%
GALICIA 8 7 6 6,8%
Source: Instituto Galego das Cualificacións
SOME FIGURES…
Social impact: neutral, without negative impacts
Cultural impact: positive, especially regarding the preservation and restoration of the cultural heritage, perceiving the Camino de Santiago as an oportunity to meet new cultures
SOCIOCULTURAL AND DEMOGRAPHIC IMPACT
-40% -35% -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5%
SAMOS
PEDRAFITA DO CEBREIRO
PARADELA
TRIACASTELA
PORTOMARIN
PALAS DE REI
MONTERROSO
MELIDE
ARZUA
PINO (O)
GALICIA
SARRIA
RELATIVE CHANGE OF THE POPULATION BETWEEN 2001-2016 (MUNICIPAL REGISTER)
The general perception is positive
Data from the oficial statistics shows a
very clear regresive dynamic
SOCIOCULTURAL AND DEMOGRAPHIC IMPACT
An alternative analysis: estimation of the population of the municipalities along the French way using the information of the municipalities that belong to the inner part of Galicia not affected by the
Camino de Santiago as a benchmark.
SAMOS
MONTERROSO
TRIACASTELA
MELIDE
PARADELA
PORTOMARIN
ARZUA
PALAS DE REI
O PINO
SARRIA
PEDRAFITA DO CEBREIRO
-20 -10 0 10 20 30 40
CHANGE WITH RESPECT TO THE MOST OPTIMISTIC FORECASTThe closest neighbouring municipalities are the ones that
show a greater similarity with respect to the reference municipality during the period 1991-2001.
Moreover, despite the fact that the population in the administrative register is decreasing, the associated population and the estimations of the equivalent population,
which includes the pilgrims weight, (one pilgrim is equivalent to 1/365 of an annual resident in the municipality) show a positive trend for most of the municipalities
Therefore, the demographic impact is also very relevant
SOCIOCULTURAL AND DEMOGRAPHIC IMPACT
The main problems observed by the residents are related to the demography and the economy of the municipality.
The Camino de Santiago and the flow of pilgrims is not considered as a problem at all. In fact, taking a look to the results, the Camino de Santiago is perceived as part of the solution, especially in the Pedrafita case.
SUSTAINABILITY
Main problems in the Municipality
Positive environmental impact in both municipalities: in general, residents do not see any negative effects, but they observe positive impacts, especially in the case of the landscape care and, to a lesser
extent, of the town centre care.
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT
Coordinated by: Melchor Fernández and Dolores RiveiroGrupo de Análise e Modelización Económica (GAME)
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