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Los Angeles New York Review of Private Equity Portfolio Rhode Island State Investment Commission Tom Lynch, Senior Managing Director, CFA October 5, 2016
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Los Angeles • New York

Review of Private Equity Portfolio

Rhode Island State Investment Commission

Tom Lynch, Senior Managing Director, CFA

October 5, 2016

Review of ERSRI Private Equity Portfolio

3

Private Equity Portfolio

Portfolio Summary Since Inception as of June 30, 2016• Inception Date: December 20, 1982• Total Commitments: $2.1 billion• Number of Partnerships

• Cash Flows (millions)

Committed 128 partnerships

Liquidated 46 partnerships

Active 82 partnerships

Commitments $2,117

Contributions $1,883

Distributions $2,260

Unfunded $293

Market Value $536

Since Inception Annualized IRR (net of fees)

13.4%

Total Value/InvestedCapital (net of fees)

1.48x

4

Status of Active Partnerships (June 2016)

66%

50%

33%

34%

50%

67%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Number of Partnerships Market Value Total Exposure

Fund Harvesting Funds Investing

Number ofPartnerships Market Value Uncalled Capital Total Exposure

Harvesting (Past Investment Period) 54 $268,996,465 $3,035,182 $272,031,647Investing (Still in Investment Period) 28 $266,939,261 $290,100,000 $557,039,261Total Active Funds 82 $535,935,726 $293,135,182 $829,070,908

5

Long Term Performance

Partnership Sector Vintage Year Commitment Amount Since Inception Annual IRR

Nautic Partners VII US Buyout 2014 $20.0 87.8%

CVC European Equity III European Buyout 2001 $20.0 41.1%

First Reserve X Energy 2004 $20.0 31.0%

Providence Equity Partners IV US Buyout 2001 $25.0 23.4%

Nordic Capital Fund V European Buyout 2003 $15.9 21.1%

Top Five Performing Active Partnerships based on Since Inception IRR through June 30, 2016

Notes: All returns are since inception annualized IRRs net of fees through June 2016.  For Vintage Year returns, no commitments were made in 2009‐10 and 2015‐16 returns are too early to be meaningful. 

Returns by Vintage Year Returns by Sector

4.37%

8.96%

10.38%

11.02%

20.37%

23.86%

0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00%

Venture

Direct Lending

Distressed Debt

US Buyouts

Intl Buyouts

Energy14.26%

11.19%

8.08%

5.36%

10.14%

6.77% 7.29%6.62%

8.08%

11.78%

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

14.00%

16.00%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2011 2012 2013 2014

6

Performance v. Public Equities and Vintage Years

VintageYear

ERSRI PE Portfolio

UniverseMedian Return

1998 10.86% 8.19%

1999 9.97% 0.21%

2000 14.74% 3.06%

2001 31.60% 9.27%

2002 17.78% 9.46%

2003 14.26% 9.87%

2004 11.19% 8.02%

2005 8.08% 7.30%

2006 5.36% 7.42%

2007 10.14% 9.59%

2008 6.77% 9.17%

2009 12.92%

2010 12.84%

2011 7.29% 11.14%

2012 6.62% 11.33%

2013 8.08% 7.30%

2014 11.78% 2.18%

SuperiorPerformance

Under Performance

Young investments

Performance versus Public Equities*Since inception annualized internal rate of returns net of fees

Performance versus Private Equity Universe**Since inception annualized returns net of fees

** Cambridge Global Private Equity/Venture Capital Universe as of March 2016

* Public index returns are calculated as private market equivalents where actual PE cash flows are applied to the index return.  Note that this a quarterly IRR calculation.  The IRR for the portfolio using a daily  calculation is 13.4%  Index IRRs assume reinvestment in respective index.  Data as of 6/30/16.

13.23%

7.69%

5.17%

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

14.00%

ERSRI PE Portfolio Russell 3000 MSCI ACWI

8.06% of annual outperformance 

No investments

7

Exposures by Sector and Vintage Year

Exposure by Fund Sector Strategy(exposure equals market value plus undrawn

capital)

Commitments by Vintage YearIn thousand of dollars

Portfolio is diversified by strategySome vintage year concentration with large exposure to 2006 and no exposure to 2009/10

Venture Capital 17%

Distressed 3%

Private Debt 14%

Other 1%

Large Buyout 10%

Mid Buyout 18%

Small Buyout 12%

Europe Buyout 14%

Asia Buyout 5%

Energy 5%

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$400,000

8

Exposures by Fund and Manager

Exposure by Fund(exposure equals market value plus undrawn capital)

Portfolio is diversified by fund with largest exposure less than 4% of total

Larger fund exposures are represented by newer commitments that have yet to reach distribution stage

Portfolio is diversified by manager with largest exposure at 6.2% of total

Larger manager exposures represent managers who have performed well and commitments have been made to multiple funds over time

Exposure by Manager(exposure equals market value plus undrawn capital)

Firm $ Exposure % ExposureNautic Partners 54,497,730 6.20%Centerbridge Capital Partners 53,692,372 6.11%Industry Ventures 52,051,001 5.93%Nordic Capital 46,540,785 5.30%Providence Equity Partners 43,257,611 4.92%

Fund $ Exposure % ExposureGarrison Opportunity Fund IV, LLC 30,583,016 3.48%CapitalSpring Investment Partners V, LP 30,000,000 3.42%Southvest Fund VII, L.P. 29,540,239 3.36%Sorenson Capital Partners III, L.P. 28,977,710 3.30%Paine & Partners Capital Fund IV 28,553,207 3.25%

9

Exposures by Industry and Company as of March 2016

Company Sector Partnership

Griffin Holdings Real EstateOaktree European Principal Fund III

Sleep Country Canada Consumer Birch Hill Equity Partners III

Lionsgate Comm/Media MHR Institutional Partners III

Veracode Information Technology Point 406 Ventures I

ConvaTec Group Health Care Nordic Capital Fund VII

Shred‐it International Business Services Birch Hill Equity Partners III

Tate’s Holding Consumer   Riverside Micro‐Cap Fund III

ConvaTec Group Health Care Nordic Capital Fund VII

Esperion Therapeutics Health Care Alta Partners VIII

CradlePoint Inc Information Technology Sorenson Capital III

Exposure by IndustryBased on market value

Examples of Largest Company Holdings

Portfolio is diversified by industry

Portfolio consists of over 950 companies with no company larger than 2% of total market value

Consumer 22%

Comm/Media 10%

Information Technology 12%

Industrial/Transport 9%

Energy 7%

Financial/Business Services 12%

Materials 1%

Health Care 16%

Real Estate 8%

Other 4%

Private Equity Market Outlook 3rd Quarter 2016

11

Private Equity Outlook

PrivateEquity Company pricing remains high across strategies and geographies. Neutral

U.S. LargeBuyout Investment pace remains slow. Distributions are expected to be muted for the next few years. Neutral

U.S. Mid/SmallBuyout Pricing remains lower than larger cap transactions. Positive

Distressed Rising issuance of lower rated credit in a low growth environment. Neutral

Private Debt Given a pullback in bank lending, direct lending funds have greater opportunity. Positive

Venture Venture investment activity has slowed in 2016 as valuations reset to lower levels. Neutral

Europe Currency volatility and uncertainty post‐Brexit raise the bar for new commitments to private asset funds. Negative

Asia Private equity investment in China continues to be robust despite weakening growth. Negative

Latin America Investors remain optimistic about the potential to acquire high‐quality assets at low valuations. Neutral

Energy New regulations on energy debt are creating substantial restructuring and investment opportunities. Positive

12

U.S. Buyout: Higher Prices Persist, Especially on the Larger End of the Market

11.4x

6.5x5.3x

0.0x

2.0x

4.0x

6.0x

8.0x

10.0x

12.0x

14.0x

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

U.S. Purchase Price Multiples

$250M+ (EV) $25M‐$250M (EV) Under $25M (EV)

Med

ian EV

/EBITD

Amultip

les

5.75.5

4.4

2.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.56.06.5

Deb

t/EB

ITDA

LBO Debt/EBITDA Multiples

Large Market (EBITDA >$50m) All LBOsMiddle Market (EBITDA <$50m)

Source: Pitchbook

13

Europe: Uncertainty Favors a Differentiated Approach  

European LBO Purchase Price & Debt Multiples As of March 31, 2016

8.8x

9.7x 9.7x8.9x 9.2x

8.8x9.3x

8.7x

9.7x9.2x

10.1x

4.9x

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1Q16

EV/EBITDA Debt/EBTDA

Europe Buyouts: Valuations More Stable but High

14

Asia: Pursuing a Barbell Approach in Maturing Market

Source(s): APER

Asia Private Equity Activity Year-Over-Year

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

US $ Billion

s

Funds Raised Invested

Comparison of 4Q 2015 vs. 1Q 2016

Asia: Private Equity Activity Remains Robust but China Growth Concerns Remain

15

Latin America: Volatility Presents Opportunities and Challenges

Source(s): LAVCA

Latin American Private Equity Activity

16

Venture Capital: Investing and Valuations Remain at High Levels

Source: Pitchbook

VC Investments by year as of June 30, 2016  ($ Billions)

Median Venture  Capital round size as of June 30, 2016 ($ Millions) 

$0.79$1.00

$5.00$5.50

$11.00$10.00

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*

Angel/Seed Early VC Later VC

$29

$36

$37

$26

$31

$44

$41

$44

$68

$79

$40

3235

42364658

4411

5377

6711

7967

9209

10425 10173

3967

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*

Deal value ($B)

# of deals closed

*1H 2016 *1H 2016

Venture Capital Undergoing a Market Correction

Valuations and investment levels declined in the first half of 2016 due to weak IPO market and struggles of the “Unicorns”

Technology and business formation remain attractive with positive trends in biotechnology, big data, and cybersecurity

17

Distressed and Private Debt: Market Volatility Creates Opportunities

Normalized European Equity Market Performance

As of July 8, 2016

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

May‐16 Jun‐16 Jul‐16

FTSE 100 FTSE 250

Brexit

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

20.0%

Source: Barclays

HY Opt

ion‐Adjus

tedSp

read

Average: 5.83%5.94%

U.S. High Yield Bonds Option Adjusted SpreadAs of June 30, 2016

Brexit may create distressed debt opportunities in domestic UK companies

US credit markets subject to more volatility due to less liquid markets

Continued opportunities to provide private debt where banks are no longer present

18

Cliffwater Disclosures Important Notice

This presentation has been provided to you for the purpose of discussing an investment advisory relationship. The material contained herein isconfidential and is intended for one-on-one or small group meetings with qualified, sophisticated, institutional investors. It may not be copied,transmitted, given, or disclosed to any person other than your authorized representatives. This presentation is not an advertisement and is notintended for public use for distribution. This material is not meant to be, nor shall it be construed as, an offer or solicitation of an offer for thepurchase or sale of any security.

This presentation was prepared exclusively for information and discussion purposes, and is not meant to be, nor shall it be construed as, anattempt to define all information that may be material to you. All information including opinions or facts expressed herein are current as of thedate appearing in this presentation and is subject to change without notice. All information has been obtained from sources believed to bereliable. No representation, warranty, or undertaking, express or implied, is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information oropinions contained in this presentation. The information and opinions in this presentation do not constitute investment advice. The list of clientsincluded in this presentation is a partial list selected to illustrate size and type and does not represent an endorsement or approval of Cliffwateror the advisory services provided.

This presentation may include sample or pro forma performance. Such information is presented for illustrative purposes only and is based onvarious assumptions, not all of which are described herein. Such assumptions, data, or projections may have a material impact on the returnsshown. Nothing contained in this presentation is, or shall be relied upon as, a representation as to past or future performance, and noassurance, promise, or representation can be made as to actual returns. Past performance does not guarantee future performance.

References to market or composite indices (such as the S&P 500), benchmarks or other measures of relative market performance over aspecified period of time (each, an “index”) are provided for information only. Reference to an index does not imply that a portfolio will achievereturns, volatility or other results similar to the index. The composition of an index may not reflect the manner in which a portfolio is constructedin relation to expected or achieved returns, portfolio guidelines, restrictions, sectors, correlations, concentrations, volatility or tracking errortargets, all of which are subject to change over time.

• Hedge Fund Research, Inc. (“HFR”) is the source and owner of the HFR data contained or reflected in this report and all trademarksrelated thereto.

• Frank Russell Company (“FRC”) is the source and owner of the Russell Index data contained or reflected in this material and alltrademarks and copyrights related thereto. The Russell Index data may contain confidential information and unauthorized use,disclosure, copying, dissemination or redistribution is strictly prohibited.

• Thomson Financial Inc. is the owner and/or licensor of the Cambridge Associates LLC data contained or reflected in this material.


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