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www.communityenergy.bc.ca Role of DE in Low Carbon Buildings of the future February 23 rd , 2017
www.communityenergy.bc.ca
Role of DE in Low Carbon Buildings of the future
February 23rd, 2017
www.communityenergy.bc.ca
Community Energy Association Purpose
• CEA is charitable non-profit society
• CEA is the trusted independent advisor to local governments
• We are helping local governments close the implementation gap
Accelerate Climate Action withPeople and Projects
Awareness & Recognition
• Workshops & Presentations
• Research & Publications
• Collaboration
• Climate & Energy Action Awards
Projects
• Planning
• Implementation
• Technology Acceleration
www.communityenergy.bc.ca
DE Community of Practise
• Demonstration Project
• Shared Experiences
Pathways for deep emissions reductions in buildingsContext for low-carbon district
energy systems
Tom-Pierre Frappé-Sénéclauze
@tompierrefs
CEA webinar, 23 February 2017
Leading Canada’s transition to a clean energy futureThe Pembina Institute advocates for strong, effective policies to
support Canada’s clean energy transition.
@tompierrefs
Context
Carbon reduction targets for building sector
The role of energy efficiency and fuel switching
Tensions between building code evolution and
district energy
B.C. Emissions
-33%BC 2020
target
-80%BC 2050
target0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
An
nu
al e
mis
sio
ns
in M
t C
O2
e
CIMS modeling by Navius
-33%BC 2020
target
-30% from 2005, based on federal
target
-80%BC 2050
target0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
An
nu
al e
mis
sio
ns
in M
t C
O2
e
CIMS modeling by Navius
B.C. Emissions
Reference case
-33%BC 2020
target
-30% from 2005, based on federal
target
-80%BC 2050
target0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
An
nu
al e
mis
sio
ns
in M
t C
O2
e
CIMS modeling by Navius
B.C. Emissions
Reference case
CLP + Fed. Carbon price
-33%BC 2020
target
-30% from 2005, based on federal
target
-80%BC 2050
target0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
An
nu
al e
mis
sio
ns
in M
t C
O2
e
CIMS modeling by Navius
(+ forestry credits)
B.C. Emissions
Reduction target for building sector?
Env. & Climate Change Canada overall: -80% (below 2005)
Stationary sources -87%
Trottier, current technology scenario overall: -65% (below 2015)
residential - 87%
commercial - 76%
Trottier, new technology scenario overall: -65% (below 2015)
residential -89%
commercial -88%
Deep decarbonization pathways overall: -89% (below 2015)
residential -99%
commercial -99%
Buildings:
-80% to 100%
By 2050 i.e. near total
decarbonization
Reduction target for building sector?
Proposed building sector targets
40-50% by 2030
80-100% by 2050
Net Zero Ready Commitments
Ontario
Code to require Net Zero Carbon
for small buildings by 2030
B.C.
Code to require Net Zero Energy
Ready by 2032
Feds
Net Zero Ready code released in
2020 for broad adoption by 2030
What about existing buildings?
Buildings emissions
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Bu
ildin
gs
emis
sio
ns
(Mt)
NZEr building code
Shallow retrofits
Low carbon pathway
Base case
Low carbon pathway
Efficiency Fuel switching
Deep retrofit of
3% of stock / yr
(60% reduction)
Fuel switching
2% of stock / yr
to low carbon
fuel
Hybrid
Moderate retrofit of 3% of stock / yr
(25% reduction)
+Fuel switch1 out of 2
Electrify!
Electrify!
Images: FVB Energy, SAB mag
Methane reactor, Fraser Richmond Soil and Fibre Biogas Plant, BC Photo: GICON
3% per year…
Homes MURBs ICI
Current stock 1 million25,000
(575,000 units)
60,000
(100 million m2)
3% 2,500 per month 800 per year
(17,000 units)
1,800 per year
(3 million m2)
Homes MURBs ICI
Current stock 1 million25,000
(575,000 units)
60,000
(100 million m2)
3% 2,500 per month 800 per year
(17,000 units)
1,800 per year
(3 million m2)
3% per year…
How does that compare?
Data: Gov. of B.C.
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
Po
st-
au
dits p
er
mo
nth
% o
f e
ligib
le s
tock r
etr
ofitte
d
ecoENERGY v.i
ecoENERGY v.i / LSBC
v.i
LSBC v.ii
LSBC v.iii
LSBC v.iii /
ecoENERGY v.ii
LSBC v.iv
HERO
Bonus
v.i &
ERS
Average energy
reduction: ~ 25%
Tensions between DE and efficiency
What is the future of district energy systems if net-
zero buildings become an increasing share of the
building stock?
Should developers be allowed to reduce efficiency
if the heat supply is from a low-carbon source?
Could DE business cases still work if only
delivering domestic hot water? Still worth pipes in
the ground?
Thanks!
Tom-Pierre Frappé-Sénéclauze
[email protected] tw: @tompierrefs
pembina.org
twitter.com/pembina facebook.com/pembina.institute
Environment and Energy Division
Environment and Energy Division
Toronto is Changing
RESILIENCEGROWTH CLIMATE CHANGE
CEA/NRCan Webinar: The Role of District Energy in Low Carbon Buildings of the Future – Feb 23, 2017
Fernando Carou, B.A.Sc., P.Eng.Lead, Community Energy Planning & Low-carbon District Energy Systems
Environment and Energy Division
Toronto is Changing
Toronto’s population is growing &
densifying at one of the fastest
rates in North America, placing
demands on services &
infrastructure, energy systems &
the environment.
About 60% of households now live
in multi-residential housing.
30
Environment and Energy Division 31
Toronto’s Growth: 2000 vs 2014 Skyline
Environment and Energy Division
Toronto’s Future Weather: Wetter, Warmer & Wilder.
Environment and Energy Division
Target 2012
Target 2020
Target 2050
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Ton
ne
s o
f G
HG
Year
33
Toronto is Reducing its Environmental Footprint, but..
5 Mt reduction- Coal Phase Out - Conservation- Methane - Land use
15 Mt reduction to go by 2050 10 Mt
Gap
Environment and Energy Division
Efficient Buildings & District Energy with local
renewable energy sources to reduce/displace natural gas.
Toronto’s GHG Emissions by Sector 2013 data
Electric High-order
Transit & EVs to
reduce/displacefossil fuels.
Environment and Energy Division
Existing& Current Projects
Developing Toronto’s Transit Network
Source: March 2016 Chief Planner’s report to City Council
Environment and Energy Division
6 to 15 years
Developing Toronto’s Transit Network
Source: March 2016 Chief Planner’s report to City Council
Environment and Energy Division
Developing Toronto’s Thermal NetworksDistrict Energy w/ Large Renewables
2015 UNEP Report
Opportunity for 30+ new District Energy systems in Toronto
Environment and Energy Division
Developing Toronto’s Low-Carbon Thermal NetworksOpportunities to co-locate energy and municipal infrastructure
Sewer heat recovery, Large geo-exchange fields with solar collectors
Heat recovery from electric transit combined heat & power
Toronto’s Deep Lake Water Cooling Enwave System
Environment and Energy Division
Developing Toronto’s Low-carbon Thermal Networks
THE NETWORK EFFECT
Environment and Energy Division
“For Cities to achieve a low-carbon futureDistrict Energy is to buildings, whatTransit is to transportation”
Modelling is showing that future Large Scale GHG emission reductions in Toronto may primarily come from two sets of strategies:
1. District Energy w/ Large Renewables + Efficient Buildings
2. Transit + EVs
Environment and Energy Division
ALIGNMENT: LOW CARBON FUTURE
Federal
Province
City
Environment and Energy Division 42
Climate change will be fought in
cities. Toronto is
ready to do its part, but
we can’t do it alone –
John Tory #ParisAgreement
#COP21
Environment and Energy Division
City of Toronto related INITIATIVES
Transform TO: renewed climate action for a healthy equitable,
prosperous Toronto.30% GHG reduction by 2020, 80% GHG reduction by 2050 vs 1990
TOcore: Planning the Downtown (soft & hard infrastructure)
- Energy strategy- Accelerated implementation of thermal networks w/ large renewables- Back-up power guidelines for Multi-residential buildings
Toronto Green development Standard – TGS V3 (2018 roll-out)
- Recognition of off-site low-carbon / renewable energy- Energy Requirements above latest provincial code (OBC 2017)
New Official Plan: energy strategy requirement for large developments (plan for Net Zero energy & emission). Includes Guidelines for Net-Zero Opportunities for Large Developments
Environment and Energy Division 44
How do we support integration and collaboration for
District Energy toward carbon neutrality, resilience,
and local economic benefit?
How do we maintain and build momentum?
How do we scale up our efforts?
Environment and Energy Division
Uncoordinated Action
Big Challenges
Environment and Energy Division
Coordinated Action
Big Challenges
www.communityenergy.bc.ca
Discussion
What is your local government looking at when in comes to reducing carbon in
buildings and what is the role of DE?
February 23rd, 2017
Proposal to Establish a Canadian District Energy Working Group
• The goal is to advance the next generation of district energy in Canada: positioning the DE industry for a changing energy system and low carbon economy
• A diverse set of organizations will be invited to form the DE working group, starting with interested IDEA Canadian Forum members and QUEST subscribers
• Objectives are to:1) Advocate for supportive policies and programs2) Enhance awareness and education Among policymakers at the federal, provincial and municipal levels and with building developers and operators
www.communityenergy.bc.ca
Thank You
Please complete the follow up survey.
David Dubois
Community Energy Association
604-628-7076
www.communityenergy.bc.ca
