Salford Strategic Partnership Board23rd October 2009

Salford Recession Task GroupIndicator Dashboard

September 2009

Salford Recession Task Group

• Formed to combat & mitigate the impact of the Recession on people, businesses and visitors to Salford.

• Chaired by the Leader of the Council and attended by key partners.

• Meets monthly.• Recession Indicator Dashboard – Resident, Business,

Place.• Recession Partners Priorities Plan

Recession Indicator Dashboard

Resident monitor

September 2009

0.0%1.0%2.0%3.0%4.0%5.0%6.0%7.0%8.0%9.0%

10.0%

Lang

wor

thy

Bro

ught

on

Ord

sall

Wal

kden

Nor

th

Littl

e H

ulto

n

Bla

ckfr

iars

Bar

ton

Pen

dlet

on

Win

ton

Wea

ste

&

Sw

into

n N

orth

Ecc

les

Pen

dleb

ury

Cad

ishe

ad

Wal

kden

Sou

th

Irla

m

Sw

into

n S

outh

Ker

sal

Cla

rem

ont

Wor

sley

&B

'tow

n

Source: DWP Claimant Count

% o

f wor

king

age

pop

ulat

ion

in r

ecei

pt o

f JS

A

Aged under 18 Aged 18-24 Aged 25-49 Aged 50+

Salford JSA claimant rates: Aug 2009

SalfordGMNWUK

Salford JSA: Flows In and Flows Off

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Dec

200

4

Apr

200

5

Aug

200

5

Dec

200

5

Apr

200

6

Aug

200

6

Dec

200

6

Apr

200

7

Aug

200

7

Dec

200

7

Apr

200

8

Aug

200

8

Dec

200

8

Apr

200

9

Aug

200

9

Source: Claimant Count, DWP 2004-2009

Num

ber

of p

eopl

e

In-Flow Off-Flow

Notified Redundancies Aug 2009: 280

Notified Redundancies Q1 2009: 489

23

26

231

Manufacturing

Transport and storage

Real Estate

Citizens’ Advice Bureau cases in Salford

Issue By Category2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

Unsecured Debt (credit/store/charge cards plus unsecured loans

244 473 552 907 933 1012

Unsecured Debt (Hire Purchase arrears plus catalogue and mail order debts)

42 128 113 135 175174

Redundancy 29 52 85 140 123 98

Job Seekers Allowance 80 105 162 187 218 196

Mortgage & secured loan arrears

48 89 127 112 129138

Bankruptcy 20 42 45 43 58 36

Selected total 463 889 1084 1524 1636 1654

Homeless Presentations / Acceptances

Year Presentations Acceptances Acceptance Rate

Per ‘000 households

2006/07 1410 1057 75% 9.9

2007/08 968 587 61% 5.5

2008/09 825 461 56% 4.3

2009/10(Q1 01.04.09 –

31.08.09)

210 116 55% N/A

Recession Impact Monitoring to 31.08.0931.07.09 Monitoring

Homelessness presentations

210 Of which, for mortgage arrears

1 0.47%

Homelessness acceptances

116 Of which, for mortgage arrears

1 0.86%

Housing Advice presentations

873 Of which, for mortgage arrears

6 0.69%

Total Number on Waiting List 19, 692

households

Arrears and Repossessions – Spatial Mapping

Arrears and Repossessions – Spatial Mapping

Recession Indicator Dashboard

Business monitor

September 2009

Trading Conditions

• 37% of Salford firms are above average risk whilst GM has 33% and NW has 28% (BLNW 10.09.09)

• Commercial property deals took an average of 211 days in quarter 1, compared to 242 in previous quarter

• Gap between asking and achieved price was 11% in quarter 1 compared to 4% in previous quarter

• Main business support enquiries concern access to finance and training

• Still difficult to raise finance through the banks – cash flow is still a major issue

Demand for business support services

Service

2008/09 2009/10

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 To date

Number of business enquiries to Economic Development

218 200 234 357 223 370

Number of business starts via intensive assistance

50 50 26 39 49 50 (est)

Attendance at business events

N/A 55 90 10595 120

Commercial Delphi Risk Score Number of employees

Recession Indicator Dashboard

Place monitor

September 2009

Serious acquisitive crime Aug 08 – Aug 09

  Aug-08Sep-08

Oct-08

Nov-08

Dec-08

Jan-09

Feb-09

Mar-09

Apr-09

May-09

Jun-09

Jul-09

Aug-09

Total

Serious Acquisitive Crime (All) 557 663 748 699 668 634 535 616 569 646 505

571 494

7905

Burglary Dwelling 188 182 190 183 212 210 158 167 188 194 131141 141

2285

Theft from Motor Vehicle 254 351 434 401 313 264 250 324 254 313 275

301 235

3969

Theft of Motor Vehicle 83 90 85 65 70 86 76 74 81 87 62 83 711013

Robbery - Business 11 10 6 14 20 22 10 6 5 9 10 16 16 155

Robbery - Personal 21 30 33 36 53 52 41 45 41 43 27 30 31 483

Serious Acq. Crime Aug 08 - Aug 09

0

200

400

600

800

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Serious Acquisitve Crime (All)

Burglary Dw elling

Theft from Motor Vehicle

Theft of Motor Vehicle

Robbery - Business

Robbery - Personal

Average house sales prices

£-

£20,000

£40,000

£60,000

£80,000

£100,000

£120,000

£140,000

£160,000

£180,000

£200,000

2002 Q1 2003 Q1 2004 Q1 2005 Q1 2006 Q1 2007 Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Q1

Ave

rage

House

Sale

s P

rice

(£)

Manchester Salford Manchester Salford Pathfinder

Start of credit crunch

Total number of house sales

100

500

900

1300

1700

2100

2500

2900

3300

3700

2003 Q1 2004 Q1 2005 Q1 2006 Q1 2007 Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Q1

Num

ber

of s

ale

s

Manchester Salford Manchester Salford Pathfinder

Start of credit crunch

Residential void rates

0%

5%

10%

15%

% o

f To

tal P

rop

ert

ies

Pathfinder Manchester Salford

Start of credit crunch

And so…our response has developed…• Cabinet

• Credit Salford

• Salford Strategic Partnership

• Recession Task Group

• Audit Commission

• Crime & Disorder Reduction Partnership

Frequency Governing Body Attendees

Monthly Greater Manchester Political Leaders Executive Monthly Association of Chief Greater Manchester Executives Chief Executives

Monthly Team Manchester Economic Lead ED Development Leads Officers - GM Districts/ Commission Monthly TMEDL Task and Finish Group GM Partners /ED Leads

Bi-Monthly Salford Local Strategic Partnership Main LSP Board Board

Monthly Salford Recession Task Group Partnership

Board Monthly Credit Salford Officer Executive

Response – Partners Priorities Plan

• Developed by the Salford Recession Task Group.• Range of actions designed to mitigate the impact of the

Recession.• Monitored monthly via the Recession Task Group• Includes newly developed Recession web pages:

www.salford.gov.uk/living/advice/recession

Supporting new and existing businesses

Knowing where to turn – publicity about resources of help

Getting and keeping a job

Making the most of public resources

Maintaining income and managing debt

Deliver prompt payment to suppliersDeliver business start up supportDeliver support for existing businessesEncourage local economic benefitPromote Salford’s commercial premisesTackle businesses dealing in counterfeit productsDevelop tourism in Salford to support local businessesSupport businesses by tackling crimes that impact on them

Launch tackling recession website and helplinePromote sources of recession helpTarget financial support/ adviceEnhance access to benefits advice and income maximisationEnhance access to debt advice

Deliver local support to reduce impact of economic downturnDevelop and deliver working neighbourhood teamsIntegrate worklessness/ 14-19 agendasReduce re-offending and assist the rehabilitation of offendersImprove job opportunities for care leaversMaximise the take-up of educational maintenance allowanceExpand pathways to employment programme to support worklessness

Deliver the Council as an exemplar employerDevelop the local employment benefit of Mediacity:UKIntegrate community safety with other activity in areas that recession has hit hardestPromote take-up of free school mealsDevelop the horticultural academy

Deliver fast-track benefit claims serviceDesign flexible debt recovery proceduresPromote affordable credit and combat illegal money lendingDevelop the financial inclusion agendaPromote affordable warmthDevelop and implement child poverty strategyDeliver quality income/ debt advice to employees

Getting and keeping a home

Deliver Salford Housing Options Point – SHOPTackle increasing homelessnessDeliver effective housing applications processDevelop plans for delivery of a Council managed mortgage schemeProtect people’s homesDisrupt and prevent acquisitive crime that affects people’s homes.Address the increased risk of domestic abuse, associated homelessness and economic impact on families

So that we…

‘…‘…do create a robust, growing and dynamic City do create a robust, growing and dynamic City economy that plays a leading role at the heart of economy that plays a leading role at the heart of Greater Manchester and meets the needs and Greater Manchester and meets the needs and aspirations of Salford people’aspirations of Salford people’

Salford Economic Development Plan

So that we…

‘…‘…do create a robust, growing and dynamic City do create a robust, growing and dynamic City economy that plays a leading role at the heart of economy that plays a leading role at the heart of Greater Manchester and meets the needs and Greater Manchester and meets the needs and aspirations of Salford people’aspirations of Salford people’

Salford Economic Development Plan

So…the Council and its Partners are doing a lot…

• What does the Recession feel like for you in Salford?• Are we taking the right approach?• What more can we do?• What could you bring to the table?