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Session 2 Evolution And Outlook

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Page 1: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook
Page 2: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

• Some misconceptions• What will operators do with IMS (vendors

perspective)?• Revenue Expectations• How does IMS align with new initiatives?

– Web 2.0

• What are the opportunities for IMS?• What is the overall outlook?

Page 3: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Research

REF: AMF Ventures, http://www.slideshare.net/tonyfish/amf-ventures-survey-results

Page 4: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Research

REF: AMF Ventures, http://www.slideshare.net/tonyfish/amf-ventures-survey-results

Page 5: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Research

• What do those slides tell us?

Page 6: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Research

• Slide A:– Very important: 25%+– Important: 42%+– Moderately important: 20%

•  VI + I = 67%• VI + I + MI = 87% 

• Slide B:– VI: 13%– I: 39%– MI: 32% 

• VI + I = 52%• VI + I + MI = 84%

Page 7: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Research

• Results are actually strikingly similar• Tony Fish:

– “the differences were often quite subtle. It made it hard to pull out any real differences between each question”

– “You caught a slide where we got the phrasing backwards”

• IMS provides just the QoS framework demanded

Page 8: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Revenue Expectations

REF: Pyramid Research, IMS Market Opportunities, April 2008

Page 9: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: Quick Scan IMS Vendors, TNO Report November 2007

Page 10: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

• IMS and Web 2.0• Complementary, not competitive• IMS provides real time telco capabilities

– Convergence on network layer– Policy admission and control– Extensible framework for adding and abstracting

capabilities• Web 2.0 leverages capabilities from multiple

resources to create mash-ups and interactive services

• Examples

Page 11: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: Luis Galindo Sanchez, Telefonica, IMS World Forum 2008

Page 12: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: Luis Galindo Sanchez, Telefonica, IMS World Forum 2008

Page 13: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: Luis Galindo Sanchez, Telefonica, IMS World Forum 2008

See: http://open.movilforum.com/en/ for more details – 20+ mashups already

Page 14: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: Luis Galindo Sanchez, Telefonica, IMS World Forum 2008

Page 15: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: Luis Galindo Sanchez, Telefonica, IMS World Forum 2008

Page 16: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

• IMS and SOA– Service Orientated Architecture– Abstracts system functions into services– Integrates services into applications– Defines services as:

• Logical representation of a business function• Self contained• Possibly composed of other services• “Black box” to consumers of the service

IMS Evolution and Outlook

Page 17: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

REF: Nuno Silva, PT Inovacao, IMS World Forum, 2008

IMS Evolution and Outlook

Page 18: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

REF: Nuno Silva, PT Inovacao, IMS World Forum, 2008

IMS Evolution and Outlook

Page 19: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

REF: Nuno Silva, PT Inovacao, IMS World Forum, 2008

IMS Evolution and Outlook

Page 20: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

REF: Nuno Silva, PT Inovacao, IMS World Forum, 2008

IMS Evolution and Outlook

Page 21: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

REF: Nuno Silva, PT Inovacao, IMS World Forum, 2008

IMS Evolution and Outlook

Page 22: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

REF: Nuno Silva, PT Inovacao, IMS World Forum, 2008

IMS Evolution and Outlook

Page 23: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: IMS Workshop, Fokus, November 2007, Niklas Blum

Page 24: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: IMS Workshop, Fokus, November 2007, Niklas Blum

Page 25: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

• IMS services– “An IMS service is a service that makes

use of SIP and the IMS either centrally or marginally”

• Christophe Gourraud, IMS Lantern• http://theimslantern.blogspot.com/2008/01/what

-is-ims-service.html

– How many can we expect to see?

Page 26: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: Quick Scan IMS Vendors, TNO Report November 2007

Page 27: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

• When can we expect to see penetration of IMS services?– Not yet!

Page 28: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: Quick Scan IMS Vendors, TNO Report November 2007

Page 29: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

• When can we expect to see penetration of IMS handsets?– Not yet!

Page 30: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: Quick Scan IMS Vendors, TNO Report November 2007

Page 31: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

• Decomposed model has advantages– Scale– Vendor independence– Ease of upgrade and migration

• But challenges for interoperability– Protocols are great!

• Why?

Page 32: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: Quick Scan IMS Vendors, TNO Report November 2007

Multi Vendor Interoperability of IMS Functions

Page 33: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: Quick Scan IMS Vendors, TNO Report November 2007

Causes of Interoperability Issues

Page 34: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

• Considerable debate about role of IMS– Is it too bloated?– Can it deliver?– Can alternatives serve just as well?

• General consensus is that real time services need IMS and that it will happen– Despite problems and credible alternatives for

some operators– Evolution not revolution

Page 35: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

• . "In the wireline community, deployment on a massive scale is still likely to take place around the Tispan elaboration of IMS, as incumbents make the transition to VOIP and a suite of related communications-oriented services. Misgivings about IMS are greater on the wireless side, yet with few obvious alternatives today, wireless telcos are also likely to deploy IMS on a wide scale.“– Graham Finnie, Chief Analyst, Light Reading and

author of “IMS Deployment Update: Promise & Challenges”

Page 36: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

Page 37: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

• Near / medium term– IMS deployments proceed piecemeal, except in largest

telcos– Adopting NGN means facing up to IMS at some point

• Cbeyond may be right in their case, but they are an alt net with 33K subs (Q3 07)

– Not a tier 1 with multiple networks

– Solid business cases can be derived for certain services, targeted at certain segments

• Long term– IMS will proliferate– Long tail will be enabled and enriched by Web 2.0, via open

gardens and exposure of service enablers and capabilities

Page 38: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: Motoshi Tamura, NTT DoCoMo, IMS World Forum, 2008

Page 39: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: Motoshi Tamura, NTT DoCoMo, IMS World Forum, 2008

Page 40: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

• Multiple services create business case– >3

• Paradox of stovepipes– Deploy initial service to kick-start activity– Adding services gets cheaper and easier

• Little debate that IMS is a key enabler for SDPs– IMS World Forum

IMS Evolution and Outlook

Page 41: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: Motoshi Tamura, NTT DoCoMo, IMS World Forum, 2008

Page 42: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: Wooyong Choi, SK Telecom, IMS World Forum ,2008

Page 43: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

REF: http://theimslantern.blogspot.com/2007/06/ims-application-server-in-context.html

Page 44: Session 2   Evolution And Outlook

IMS Evolution and Outlook

• Finally….IMS Lantern:– IMS core is merely route to connectivity to enablers and user

access devices– Provides sophisticated SIP routing and security– Focus should be on applications and the ability to access

users and resources– Doesn’t undermine IMS, merely suggests focus and

emphasis away from complexity of core components– If IMS is the best way to provide this, it will create its own

business case and succeed• My view – nothing else provides the interoperability

and scale that may be required to achieve this consistently across all domains…yet


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