Sierra Nevada Adaptive Management Program

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Sierra Nevada

Adaptive Management Program

snamp.cnr.berkeley.ed

First Quarterly 2007

SNAMP Public Update Meeting

Date: August 20, 2007Time: 1:00 pm -5:00 pmLocation: Recreation Pool Lodge, UC Davis

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Sierra Nevada

Adaptive Management Programsnamp.cnr.berkeley.edu

Outline

1. Review our guiding principles and key agreements 2. Project Timeline & Team Updates3. Triggers & Thresholds4. Project Logistics

Sierra Nevada


Review our Guiding

Principles

and Key Agreements

Ground RulesRoles and Relationships for this meeting:

Kim Rodrigues: FacilitatorPam Tise: Recorder

Roles and Relationships for the Project:John Battles: Lead PIDave Saah: Departing Project CoordinatorAnn Huber: New Project Coordinator

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AdaptiveManagement

USFS implementsSPLATs, NEPA

ROD Plan of work, define questions,& adjust research, define triggers and thresholds

Observe & measure, Monitor T&T

Analyze & model

Assimilate knowledge &modify goals

Adaptive Management

Framework

USFS

USFS/MOU

Sierra Nevada


SNAMP Timeline

2005

December 9, 2005First SNAMP Public Meeting

December 9, 2005First SNAMP Public Meeting

December 9, 2005Workplan Agreement with

USFS & UCCE

December 9, 2005Workplan Agreement with

USFS & UCCE

February 2005MOU with UC & USFS

February 2005MOU with UC & USFS

April 15, 2005UC SNAMP Proposal Completed

April 15, 2005UC SNAMP Proposal Completed

December 21, 2005SNAMP Key Agreements

December 21, 2005SNAMP Key Agreements

2006

November 11, 2006MOU + UCST

Meeting, Sacramento, CA

November 11, 2006MOU + UCST


January 13,2006 MOU

Partner’s Meeting

January 13,2006 MOU

Partner’s Meeting

January 20, 2006Public Comment

Website Accessible

January 20, 2006Public Comment

Website Accessible

October 2, 2006MOU + UCST + USFS

Staff Field Trip: American River

October 2, 2006MOU + UCST + USFS

Staff Field Trip: American River

September 7, 2006MOU + UCST + USFS

Staff Field Trip: Bass Lake

September 7, 2006MOU + UCST + USFS

Staff Field Trip: Bass Lake

June 2, 2006

SNAMP Public

Meeting

June 2, 2006

SNAMP Public

Meeting

July 21, 2006MOU + UCST


July 21, 2006MOU + UCST


May 15, 2006MOU Review &

UCST Response Posted

May 15, 2006MOU Review &

UCST Response Posted

May 8, 2006Workplan Peer Review Posted

May 8, 2006Workplan Peer Review Posted

April 28, 2006MOU + UCST

Meeting, Sacramento,

CA

April 28, 2006MOU + UCST

Meeting, Sacramento,

CA

February 28, 2006

Workplan Posted

February 28, 2006

Workplan Posted

February 10, 2006Draft

Workplan Posted

February 10, 2006Draft

Workplan Posted

2007

January 24, 2007SNAMP Public

Meeting

January 24, 2007SNAMP Public

Meeting

January 16, 2007Revised Workplan Posted

January 16, 2007Revised Workplan Posted

January 11, 2007MOU + UCST


January 11, 2007MOU + UCST


May 16, 2007Full UCST Meeting

August 20, 2007First QuarterlyReport, Davis

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Work Plan Updates

Project IntegrationJohn Battles, Lead PIDavid Saah, Academic CoordinatorAnn Huber, Academic Coordinator

FFEHScott Stephens, PIJohn Battles, PIBrandon Collins, Post-DocAdrian Das, Post-DocGary Roller, PM

FisherReg Barrett, PIRick Sweitzer, PM

OwlRocky Gutiérrez, PIDoug Tempel, PM

PPTLynn Huntsinger, PIKimberly Rodrigues, PIMaggi Kelly, PIAdriana Sulak, Post-Doc

SpatialMaggi Kelly, PIQinghua Guo, PIMarek Jakubowski, Ph.D. Student

WaterRoger Bales, PIMartha Conklin, PIQinghua Guo, PISarah Martin, Ph.D. Student

Sierra Nevada


Study Area Clarifications

(John)

Project Integration

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Sierra Nevada


Northern Site

American River RD – Tahoe National forest

Total Control: 5658 haTotal TMT: 4293 haTotal: 9951 ha

Project Integration

Sierra Nevada


Northern Site – FFEH PLOTS

American River RD – Tahoe National forest

Project Integration

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Sierra Nevada


Southern Site

Bass Lake RD – Sierra National forest

Total Control: 2040 haTotal TMT: 2304 haTotal: 4344 ha

Water Control: 187 haWater TMT: 259 haTotal: 446 ha

Project Integration

Sierra Nevada


Southern Site – PLANNED TMT


Sugar Pine: 2009

Cedar Valley: 2007

Project Integration

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Sierra Nevada


Southern Site – PLANNED TMT


Sugar Pine: 2009

Cedar Valley: 2007

Project Integration

Sierra Nevada


Southern Site – PLANNED SPLATS


Sugar Pine: 2009

Cedar Valley: 2007

Project Integration

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Sierra Nevada


Southern Site – FFEH PLOTS


Project Integration

Sierra Nevada


Southern Site – Fisher Study Area


Project Integration

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Sierra Nevada


Project Integration

Project Integration Group

(John)

Accomplishments and Notes Goal is to get SNAMP implemented ASAP

Completed Work Plan TasksSuccessfully launched most of SNAMP:

Indirect waiver agreement from UC and UMinnResolved contracts with PSW for Year 1Submitted Year 1/2 award from DFGSubmitted Year 1 awards from DWR

Specified study area boundaries with UCST and MOUPBuilding working relationships with USFS DistrictsGrants team – Signed letter of introduction with MOUP and UC leadershipEarned support from UCB-CNR Dean’s office

Sierra Nevada


Project Integration

Project Integration Group

(John)

Next StepsWork with DWR to resolve spatial budget timingWork with UMinn to speed funding processBuild internal UCST coordinationBuild shared research productsShare research products with USFS District

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AdaptiveManagement


ROD

Observe & measureMonitor T/T

Analyze & model


Fire and Forest Health &

Adaptive Management

USFS

Locate study sites that meet criteria, plan treatments

Develop monitoring protocol, establish plots, inventory forest

structure and fuels, fire history reconstruction

Monitoring of forest conditions and changes

Use fuel and silvicultural models

Report results

UC Science TeamUSFS/MOU

Plan of work, define questions,& adjust research, define triggers and thresholds

Sierra Nevada


Fire and Forest

Health

(Scott)

Accomplishments and Notes Initial manipulated fireshed in the south inventoried for fuels, forest structure, and forest insects with plots at 250m spacing

Inside the UCM watersheds placed a 250 gridCollecting fire scar samples for characterizing past fire regimes in southern siteSimilar work in northern site last 2 weeks

Next StepsInventory manipulated firesheds in the south and north Continue forest structure and fuels inventory in the control firesheds

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AdaptiveManagement


ROD


Analyze & model


Public Participation

& Adaptive

Management

USFS

Incorporate information & ideas from stakeholders into research plan, strategic facilitation

1. Effectiveness of web, community-based, & public meeting methods?2. How is information used by

scientists and USFS?3. Role of UC as third party?

Enable stakeholder participation inmonitoring and research;

Observe NEPA process of USFS; Initiate Triggers and Thresholds

Enable stakeholder and partner participation in interpretation

Track & report use of information and participation in

management and research;Work with USFS to incorporate

what is learned



Sierra Nevada


Public

Participation

(Lynn)

Accomplishments and NotesStrategic Facilitation (Kim):

Facilitation of public meetings, Triggers and Thresholds, coordination meetings with districts, development of neutrality statement, meeting evaluationsEstablish positions and hire UCCE positions (money mid-July)

Internet Discussion Board and WebGIS (Maggi):Website created and improvedComments coordinated and documents posted

Program Analysis (Lynn):Analytic frame for program analysis under developmentPost-doc hired and attending NEPA and SNAMP meetingsLocal histories, evaluation of participatory process: draft white papers, feedback to team and USFS

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Sierra Nevada


Next StepsStrategic facilitation (Kim)

Hire and train UCCE staffWorkshops, trainings for UCST, USFS, stakeholdersInvolve stakeholders in science

Internet Discussion Board and WebGIS (Maggi)Hire GSRCoordinate WebGIS with UCST and USFSIncrease user-friendliness and add WebGIS component

Program Analysis (Lynn)Further definition of participation objectivesStakeholder interviewsTransmit info about NEPA process to UCCEMonitor meetings and program

Public

Participation

(Lynn)

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Sierra Nevada


Sierran Timeline & Fire

Earliest known archaeological sites in Tahoe & Sierra National Forests

7,000-4,000 B.P. 1769

Spanish colonize California

18481850-52

First sawmills in Placer and Mariposa Co.

1869

Transcontinental RR completed

1863 1893 1899

Sierra N.F. established

1933 1945

Civilian Consv. Corp est.; helps with improvements and fire control on N.F. land

WWII ends, demand for recreation and timber on N.F.s increases

Tahoe N.F. established

Gold Rush begins

Drought; transhumance becomes common in Sierra

Sierra Nevada


Analytic Frame

Management

Monitoring

Public Interest

“Expert Management”

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Sierra Nevada


Analytic Frame

Management&

Monitoring

Public Interest

“Involving the Public”

Sierra Nevada


Analytic Frame

Monitoring Public Interest

Management

UC as “Third Party”

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AdaptiveManagement




Analyze & model


USFS


Report on species status, conditions, mortality or disappearance

Select species for study, develop research protocol,Inventory and mark animals

Monitor owl and fisher

Wildlife &

Adaptive

Management

Sierra Nevada


Wildlife: Fisher

(Reg)

Update on fisher study:Observation approach because SPLATS are smaller than fisher home ranges.

Monitor population dynamics of at least 20 fishers for seven years. Habitat characteristics for each fisher’s home range will be correlated with its vital rates to distinguish source versus sink habitat. Response to be reported in vital rates for any fisher in the Cedar Valley area as well as all other areas between the Merced and San Joaquin Rivers.

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Sierra Nevada


Accomplishments & NotesHired Dr. Rick Sweitzer as project leader August 8th.Completed a week’s tour of the study area. Equipment on order.

Next StepsBegin camera trapping, radio-collaring, and radio-tracking at least 20 fisher continuously for the next seven yearsNeed adequate, long-term housing including a field station office and residential buildings for six field staff. Difficult and expensive in this area.

Wildlife: Fisher

(Reg)

Sierra Nevada


Accomplishments & NotesSurveyed northern study area and 1.5 buffer zone for owls.

Attempted to determine reproductive statusAttempted to band all detected owls, Including young.

Field season ended August 14th, sampling objectives met.

Next StepsContinue next year’s owl survey, starting at optimal time. Funding delays made us late this year.

Wildlife: Owl

(Rocky)

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Sierra Nevada


Accomplishments & NotesSurveyed northern study area and 1.5 buffer zone for owls.

Attempted to determine reproductive statusAttempted to band all detected owls, Including young.

Field season ended August 14th, sampling objectives met.

Next StepsContinue next year’s owl survey, starting at optimal time. Funding delays made us late this year.

Wildlife: Owl

(Rocky)

Sierra Nevada


Summary of Owl Locations and

Social Status

215Buffer Zone

203Control

001Treatment

Breeding PairsSinglesPairsArea

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Sierra Nevada


Results

Large uncertainty about status or number of owls on areas

Sierra Nevada


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Sierra Nevada


Logistical Challenges

Funding constraintsStudy area location – high elevation has potential to limit early access due to snow coverRoad access – crews spent inordinate amount of time clearing debris and brush on access roadsCommunication issues

Funding availableInteraction about progress

Importance of project not clear to all segments of USFS personnelLearning curve hump

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Sierra Nevada


Future Opportunities

Expect earlier startLocate, band (if necessary), and assess reproduction for all birds encountered

Sierra Nevada


Key Questions: Public

Comments

Following public comment question is insightful and importantWhat will happen if there are not enough owls (fishers) to detect treatment effects and how will that affect either the SNAMP project in general or the wildlife component in particular?

Effect on project (personal opinion) – project is multifaceted and owls will not affect value of remaining componentsEffect on wildlife component (regarding northern site only)

Alternative owl approachesAlternative wildlife studies

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Sierra Nevada


Alternative Owl Approaches

Treatment/Control (current)Alternatives that take advantage of Eldorado Owl Study

Compare SNAMP treatment and control owl territories to Eldorado study area owl territoriesIncrease SNAMP sample size by classifying Eldorado owl territories as either treatment or control units

Sierra Nevada


AdaptiveManagement


ROD


Analyze & model


Water &

Adaptive

Management

USFS

Monitor changes in water quality & water budget in representative areas

Impact of forest treatments on water quality & budget, aquatic habitat &

aquatic biota at 3 levels: watershed, forest, bioregion

Based on impacts on streams, water cycle & forest health


Potential effects of treatments on watershed processes


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Sierra Nevada


Water

(Roger & Martha)

Accomplishments & NotesInstrument deployment delayed pending FY 08 state budgetSite selection for instruments completedPermitting for instruments completed2 of 4 meteorological stations completed

Next StepsSediment basin permitting & constructionProcure & install instrument clustersSet up modeling frameworkComplete 2 of 4 met stationsAwait funding & purchases from DWR

Sierra Nevada


AdaptiveManagement




Analyze & model


Spatial Team &

Adaptive

Management

USFS


Modeling

Mapping and data support

Data acquisition and analysis

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Sierra Nevada


Spatial Team

UCB and UCM (Maggi)

Accomplishments and NotesLidar acquisition contracting has begun on southern site;GIS layers for two study areas as well as the fisher study area are available at gis.ucmerced.edu;The UCM data sever for distributing the GIS layers has been setup;

Next StepsBegin processing of lidar, make field maps for all teams, develop mirrored spatial data storage and distribution sites for UCB and UCM;Work with other science teams to link the remote sensing derived products to their field measurements, and start upscalling process.UCM - Water; UCB - Wildlife and PPT, Both - Fire and Forest HealthGet state funding in place.

Sierra Nevada


AdaptiveManagement




Analyze & model


Wrap up: Adaptive

Management Framework

USFS

USFS/MOU

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Sierra Nevada


Adaptive Management

Framework

Formulate / Adjust vision and/or

objectives and/or need more

understanding

Stakeholder Input

Generate Understanding

Identify agents of change, then suitable

T/T, then develop monitoring program

Implement Monitoring Program

T/TActivated

Evaluate acceptability of predicted outcome of alternative interventions and then formulate strategy

Physical action on the ground

Does this meet the objectives and vision?

Overall effect of intervention evaluated

Unexpected

Events

Management

Research

Operational Fine

Tuning

Research, Management & Other

Stakeholders

Biggs & Rogers (20

YES No

Sierra Nevada


Post-TMT

Pre-TMT

Binary

TRIGGERS & THRESHOLDS

Event

Agent of Change

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Gradient


Time

Agent of Change

Scientific

Bob Scholes (200

Management

Sierra Nevada


Examples


Binary

Gradient

Proactive Reactive

CFA-Modeled CFA-Measured

Owl-OccupancySedimentation

Tree Mortality

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Bin

ary

Gra

dien

t

Proactive Reactive

X

MeasuredPost-TMT

MeasuredPre-TMT

Crown Fire Activity

Example: Binary TRIGGERS & THRESHOLDS

Event

Agent of Change

ModeledPost-TMT

X X

ModeledPost-TMT

Sierra Nevada


Time

Owl Occupancy

Bin

ary

Gra

dien

t

Proactive Reactive

XOwl Occupancy

Example: Gradient TRIGGERS & THRESHOLDS

No Management

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Sierra Nevada


Time

Sedimentation Rates

Bin

ary

Gra

dien

t

Proactive Reactive

XSedimentation Rates


TMT A

TMT B

TMT C

Sierra Nevada


Time

Mortality Rates

Bin

ary

Gra

dien

t

Proactive Reactive

XMortality Rates


Splat

Control

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Project Logistics

Project LogisticsStatus of 2008 Budget/FundsSeeking feedback throughout meeting and specifically designed segment at end to obtain public feedbackPrepare for next quarterly meetingIdentify specific communication gaps/needs between meetingsMeeting EvaluationPlan for a celebrationWrap up

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Sierra Nevada Adaptive Management Program

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