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Sierra Nevada
Adaptive Management Program
snamp.cnr.berkeley.ed
First Quarterly 2007
SNAMP Public Update Meeting
Date: August 20, 2007Time: 1:00 pm -5:00 pmLocation: Recreation Pool Lodge, UC Davis
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Outline
1. Review our guiding principles and key agreements 2. Project Timeline & Team Updates3. Triggers & Thresholds4. Project Logistics
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Review our Guiding
Principles
and Key Agreements
Ground RulesRoles and Relationships for this meeting:
Kim Rodrigues: FacilitatorPam Tise: Recorder
Roles and Relationships for the Project:John Battles: Lead PIDave Saah: Departing Project CoordinatorAnn Huber: New Project Coordinator
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AdaptiveManagement
USFS implementsSPLATs, NEPA
ROD Plan of work, define questions,& adjust research, define triggers and thresholds
Observe & measure, Monitor T&T
Analyze & model
Assimilate knowledge &modify goals
Adaptive Management
Framework
USFS
USFS/MOU
Sierra Nevada
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SNAMP Timeline
2005
December 9, 2005First SNAMP Public Meeting
December 9, 2005First SNAMP Public Meeting
December 9, 2005Workplan Agreement with
USFS & UCCE
December 9, 2005Workplan Agreement with
USFS & UCCE
February 2005MOU with UC & USFS
February 2005MOU with UC & USFS
April 15, 2005UC SNAMP Proposal Completed
April 15, 2005UC SNAMP Proposal Completed
December 21, 2005SNAMP Key Agreements
December 21, 2005SNAMP Key Agreements
2006
November 11, 2006MOU + UCST
Meeting, Sacramento, CA
November 11, 2006MOU + UCST
Meeting, Sacramento, CA
January 13,2006 MOU
Partner’s Meeting
January 13,2006 MOU
Partner’s Meeting
January 20, 2006Public Comment
Website Accessible
January 20, 2006Public Comment
Website Accessible
October 2, 2006MOU + UCST + USFS
Staff Field Trip: American River
October 2, 2006MOU + UCST + USFS
Staff Field Trip: American River
September 7, 2006MOU + UCST + USFS
Staff Field Trip: Bass Lake
September 7, 2006MOU + UCST + USFS
Staff Field Trip: Bass Lake
June 2, 2006
SNAMP Public
Meeting
June 2, 2006
SNAMP Public
Meeting
July 21, 2006MOU + UCST
Meeting, Sacramento, CA
July 21, 2006MOU + UCST
Meeting, Sacramento, CA
May 15, 2006MOU Review &
UCST Response Posted
May 15, 2006MOU Review &
UCST Response Posted
May 8, 2006Workplan Peer Review Posted
May 8, 2006Workplan Peer Review Posted
April 28, 2006MOU + UCST
Meeting, Sacramento,
CA
April 28, 2006MOU + UCST
Meeting, Sacramento,
CA
February 28, 2006
Workplan Posted
February 28, 2006
Workplan Posted
February 10, 2006Draft
Workplan Posted
February 10, 2006Draft
Workplan Posted
2007
January 24, 2007SNAMP Public
Meeting
January 24, 2007SNAMP Public
Meeting
January 16, 2007Revised Workplan Posted
January 16, 2007Revised Workplan Posted
January 11, 2007MOU + UCST
Meeting, Sacramento, CA
January 11, 2007MOU + UCST
Meeting, Sacramento, CA
May 16, 2007Full UCST Meeting
August 20, 2007First QuarterlyReport, Davis
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Work Plan Updates
Project IntegrationJohn Battles, Lead PIDavid Saah, Academic CoordinatorAnn Huber, Academic Coordinator
FFEHScott Stephens, PIJohn Battles, PIBrandon Collins, Post-DocAdrian Das, Post-DocGary Roller, PM
FisherReg Barrett, PIRick Sweitzer, PM
OwlRocky Gutiérrez, PIDoug Tempel, PM
PPTLynn Huntsinger, PIKimberly Rodrigues, PIMaggi Kelly, PIAdriana Sulak, Post-Doc
SpatialMaggi Kelly, PIQinghua Guo, PIMarek Jakubowski, Ph.D. Student
WaterRoger Bales, PIMartha Conklin, PIQinghua Guo, PISarah Martin, Ph.D. Student
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Study Area Clarifications
(John)
Project Integration
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Northern Site
American River RD – Tahoe National forest
Total Control: 5658 haTotal TMT: 4293 haTotal: 9951 ha
Project Integration
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Northern Site – FFEH PLOTS
American River RD – Tahoe National forest
Project Integration
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Southern Site
Bass Lake RD – Sierra National forest
Total Control: 2040 haTotal TMT: 2304 haTotal: 4344 ha
Water Control: 187 haWater TMT: 259 haTotal: 446 ha
Project Integration
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Southern Site – PLANNED TMT
Bass Lake RD – Sierra National forest
Sugar Pine: 2009
Cedar Valley: 2007
Project Integration
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Southern Site – PLANNED TMT
Bass Lake RD – Sierra National forest
Sugar Pine: 2009
Cedar Valley: 2007
Project Integration
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Southern Site – PLANNED SPLATS
Bass Lake RD – Sierra National forest
Sugar Pine: 2009
Cedar Valley: 2007
Project Integration
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Southern Site – FFEH PLOTS
Bass Lake RD – Sierra National forest
Project Integration
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Southern Site – Fisher Study Area
Bass Lake RD – Sierra National forest
Project Integration
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Project Integration
Project Integration Group
(John)
Accomplishments and Notes Goal is to get SNAMP implemented ASAP
Completed Work Plan TasksSuccessfully launched most of SNAMP:
Indirect waiver agreement from UC and UMinnResolved contracts with PSW for Year 1Submitted Year 1/2 award from DFGSubmitted Year 1 awards from DWR
Specified study area boundaries with UCST and MOUPBuilding working relationships with USFS DistrictsGrants team – Signed letter of introduction with MOUP and UC leadershipEarned support from UCB-CNR Dean’s office
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Project Integration
Project Integration Group
(John)
Next StepsWork with DWR to resolve spatial budget timingWork with UMinn to speed funding processBuild internal UCST coordinationBuild shared research productsShare research products with USFS District
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AdaptiveManagement
USFS implementsSPLATs, NEPA
ROD
Observe & measureMonitor T/T
Analyze & model
Assimilate knowledge &modify goals
Fire and Forest Health &
Adaptive Management
USFS
Locate study sites that meet criteria, plan treatments
Develop monitoring protocol, establish plots, inventory forest
structure and fuels, fire history reconstruction
Monitoring of forest conditions and changes
Use fuel and silvicultural models
Report results
UC Science TeamUSFS/MOU
Plan of work, define questions,& adjust research, define triggers and thresholds
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Fire and Forest
Health
(Scott)
Accomplishments and Notes Initial manipulated fireshed in the south inventoried for fuels, forest structure, and forest insects with plots at 250m spacing
Inside the UCM watersheds placed a 250 gridCollecting fire scar samples for characterizing past fire regimes in southern siteSimilar work in northern site last 2 weeks
Next StepsInventory manipulated firesheds in the south and north Continue forest structure and fuels inventory in the control firesheds
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Sierra Nevada
Adaptive Management Programsnamp.cnr.berkeley.edu
AdaptiveManagement
USFS implementsSPLATs, NEPA
ROD
Observe & measureMonitor T/T
Analyze & model
Assimilate knowledge &modify goals
Public Participation
& Adaptive
Management
USFS
Incorporate information & ideas from stakeholders into research plan, strategic facilitation
1. Effectiveness of web, community-based, & public meeting methods?2. How is information used by
scientists and USFS?3. Role of UC as third party?
Enable stakeholder participation inmonitoring and research;
Observe NEPA process of USFS; Initiate Triggers and Thresholds
Enable stakeholder and partner participation in interpretation
Track & report use of information and participation in
management and research;Work with USFS to incorporate
what is learned
UC Science TeamUSFS/MOU
Plan of work, define questions,& adjust research, define triggers and thresholds
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Public
Participation
(Lynn)
Accomplishments and NotesStrategic Facilitation (Kim):
Facilitation of public meetings, Triggers and Thresholds, coordination meetings with districts, development of neutrality statement, meeting evaluationsEstablish positions and hire UCCE positions (money mid-July)
Internet Discussion Board and WebGIS (Maggi):Website created and improvedComments coordinated and documents posted
Program Analysis (Lynn):Analytic frame for program analysis under developmentPost-doc hired and attending NEPA and SNAMP meetingsLocal histories, evaluation of participatory process: draft white papers, feedback to team and USFS
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Next StepsStrategic facilitation (Kim)
Hire and train UCCE staffWorkshops, trainings for UCST, USFS, stakeholdersInvolve stakeholders in science
Internet Discussion Board and WebGIS (Maggi)Hire GSRCoordinate WebGIS with UCST and USFSIncrease user-friendliness and add WebGIS component
Program Analysis (Lynn)Further definition of participation objectivesStakeholder interviewsTransmit info about NEPA process to UCCEMonitor meetings and program
Public
Participation
(Lynn)
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Sierran Timeline & Fire
Earliest known archaeological sites in Tahoe & Sierra National Forests
7,000-4,000 B.P. 1769
Spanish colonize California
18481850-52
First sawmills in Placer and Mariposa Co.
1869
Transcontinental RR completed
1863 1893 1899
Sierra N.F. established
1933 1945
Civilian Consv. Corp est.; helps with improvements and fire control on N.F. land
WWII ends, demand for recreation and timber on N.F.s increases
Tahoe N.F. established
Gold Rush begins
Drought; transhumance becomes common in Sierra
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Analytic Frame
Management
Monitoring
Public Interest
“Expert Management”
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Analytic Frame
Management&
Monitoring
Public Interest
“Involving the Public”
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Analytic Frame
Monitoring Public Interest
Management
UC as “Third Party”
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Sierra Nevada
Adaptive Management Programsnamp.cnr.berkeley.edu
AdaptiveManagement
USFS implementsSPLATs, NEPA
ROD Plan of work, define questions,& adjust research, define triggers and thresholds
Observe & measure, Monitor T&T
Analyze & model
Assimilate knowledge &modify goals
USFS
UC Science TeamUSFS/MOU
Report on species status, conditions, mortality or disappearance
Select species for study, develop research protocol,Inventory and mark animals
Monitor owl and fisher
Wildlife &
Adaptive
Management
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Adaptive Management Programsnamp.cnr.berkeley.edu
Wildlife: Fisher
(Reg)
Update on fisher study:Observation approach because SPLATS are smaller than fisher home ranges.
Monitor population dynamics of at least 20 fishers for seven years. Habitat characteristics for each fisher’s home range will be correlated with its vital rates to distinguish source versus sink habitat. Response to be reported in vital rates for any fisher in the Cedar Valley area as well as all other areas between the Merced and San Joaquin Rivers.
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Accomplishments & NotesHired Dr. Rick Sweitzer as project leader August 8th.Completed a week’s tour of the study area. Equipment on order.
Next StepsBegin camera trapping, radio-collaring, and radio-tracking at least 20 fisher continuously for the next seven yearsNeed adequate, long-term housing including a field station office and residential buildings for six field staff. Difficult and expensive in this area.
Wildlife: Fisher
(Reg)
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Accomplishments & NotesSurveyed northern study area and 1.5 buffer zone for owls.
Attempted to determine reproductive statusAttempted to band all detected owls, Including young.
Field season ended August 14th, sampling objectives met.
Next StepsContinue next year’s owl survey, starting at optimal time. Funding delays made us late this year.
Wildlife: Owl
(Rocky)
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Accomplishments & NotesSurveyed northern study area and 1.5 buffer zone for owls.
Attempted to determine reproductive statusAttempted to band all detected owls, Including young.
Field season ended August 14th, sampling objectives met.
Next StepsContinue next year’s owl survey, starting at optimal time. Funding delays made us late this year.
Wildlife: Owl
(Rocky)
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Summary of Owl Locations and
Social Status
215Buffer Zone
203Control
001Treatment
Breeding PairsSinglesPairsArea
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Results
Large uncertainty about status or number of owls on areas
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Logistical Challenges
Funding constraintsStudy area location – high elevation has potential to limit early access due to snow coverRoad access – crews spent inordinate amount of time clearing debris and brush on access roadsCommunication issues
Funding availableInteraction about progress
Importance of project not clear to all segments of USFS personnelLearning curve hump
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Future Opportunities
Expect earlier startLocate, band (if necessary), and assess reproduction for all birds encountered
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Key Questions: Public
Comments
Following public comment question is insightful and importantWhat will happen if there are not enough owls (fishers) to detect treatment effects and how will that affect either the SNAMP project in general or the wildlife component in particular?
Effect on project (personal opinion) – project is multifaceted and owls will not affect value of remaining componentsEffect on wildlife component (regarding northern site only)
Alternative owl approachesAlternative wildlife studies
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Alternative Owl Approaches
Treatment/Control (current)Alternatives that take advantage of Eldorado Owl Study
Compare SNAMP treatment and control owl territories to Eldorado study area owl territoriesIncrease SNAMP sample size by classifying Eldorado owl territories as either treatment or control units
Sierra Nevada
Adaptive Management Programsnamp.cnr.berkeley.edu
AdaptiveManagement
USFS implementsSPLATs, NEPA
ROD
Observe & measureMonitor T/T
Analyze & model
Assimilate knowledge &modify goals
Water &
Adaptive
Management
USFS
Monitor changes in water quality & water budget in representative areas
Impact of forest treatments on water quality & budget, aquatic habitat &
aquatic biota at 3 levels: watershed, forest, bioregion
Based on impacts on streams, water cycle & forest health
UC Science TeamUSFS/MOU
Potential effects of treatments on watershed processes
Plan of work, define questions,& adjust research, define triggers and thresholds
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Water
(Roger & Martha)
Accomplishments & NotesInstrument deployment delayed pending FY 08 state budgetSite selection for instruments completedPermitting for instruments completed2 of 4 meteorological stations completed
Next StepsSediment basin permitting & constructionProcure & install instrument clustersSet up modeling frameworkComplete 2 of 4 met stationsAwait funding & purchases from DWR
Sierra Nevada
Adaptive Management Programsnamp.cnr.berkeley.edu
AdaptiveManagement
USFS implementsSPLATs, NEPA
ROD Plan of work, define questions,& adjust research, define triggers and thresholds
Observe & measure, Monitor T&T
Analyze & model
Assimilate knowledge &modify goals
Spatial Team &
Adaptive
Management
USFS
UC Science TeamUSFS/MOU
Modeling
Mapping and data support
Data acquisition and analysis
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Spatial Team
UCB and UCM (Maggi)
Accomplishments and NotesLidar acquisition contracting has begun on southern site;GIS layers for two study areas as well as the fisher study area are available at gis.ucmerced.edu;The UCM data sever for distributing the GIS layers has been setup;
Next StepsBegin processing of lidar, make field maps for all teams, develop mirrored spatial data storage and distribution sites for UCB and UCM;Work with other science teams to link the remote sensing derived products to their field measurements, and start upscalling process.UCM - Water; UCB - Wildlife and PPT, Both - Fire and Forest HealthGet state funding in place.
Sierra Nevada
Adaptive Management Programsnamp.cnr.berkeley.edu
AdaptiveManagement
USFS implementsSPLATs, NEPA
ROD Plan of work, define questions,& adjust research, define triggers and thresholds
Observe & measure, Monitor T&T
Analyze & model
Assimilate knowledge &modify goals
Wrap up: Adaptive
Management Framework
USFS
USFS/MOU
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Adaptive Management
Framework
Formulate / Adjust vision and/or
objectives and/or need more
understanding
Stakeholder Input
Generate Understanding
Identify agents of change, then suitable
T/T, then develop monitoring program
Implement Monitoring Program
T/TActivated
Evaluate acceptability of predicted outcome of alternative interventions and then formulate strategy
Physical action on the ground
Does this meet the objectives and vision?
Overall effect of intervention evaluated
Unexpected
Events
Management
Research
Operational Fine
Tuning
Research, Management & Other
Stakeholders
Biggs & Rogers (20
YES No
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Post-TMT
Pre-TMT
Binary
TRIGGERS & THRESHOLDS
Event
Agent of Change
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Gradient
TRIGGERS & THRESHOLDS
Time
Agent of Change
Scientific
Bob Scholes (200
Management
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Examples
TRIGGERS & THRESHOLDS
Binary
Gradient
Proactive Reactive
CFA-Modeled CFA-Measured
Owl-OccupancySedimentation
Tree Mortality
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Bin
ary
Gra
dien
t
Proactive Reactive
X
MeasuredPost-TMT
MeasuredPre-TMT
Crown Fire Activity
Example: Binary TRIGGERS & THRESHOLDS
Event
Agent of Change
ModeledPost-TMT
X X
ModeledPost-TMT
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Time
Owl Occupancy
Bin
ary
Gra
dien
t
Proactive Reactive
XOwl Occupancy
Example: Gradient TRIGGERS & THRESHOLDS
No Management
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Time
Sedimentation Rates
Bin
ary
Gra
dien
t
Proactive Reactive
XSedimentation Rates
Example: Gradient TRIGGERS & THRESHOLDS
TMT A
TMT B
TMT C
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Time
Mortality Rates
Bin
ary
Gra
dien
t
Proactive Reactive
XMortality Rates
Example: Gradient TRIGGERS & THRESHOLDS
Splat
Control
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Project Logistics
Project LogisticsStatus of 2008 Budget/FundsSeeking feedback throughout meeting and specifically designed segment at end to obtain public feedbackPrepare for next quarterly meetingIdentify specific communication gaps/needs between meetingsMeeting EvaluationPlan for a celebrationWrap up