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8/13/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 135
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Issue 135Copyright 2011-2013 www.Propwise.sg. All Rights Reserved.
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CONTENTS
p2 Are Overseas Properties with High Rental
Yields a Good Deal?
p7 Singapore Property News This Week
p13 Resale Property Transactions
(December 4 December 10)
Welcome to the 135th edition of the
Singapore Property Weekly.
Hope you like it!
Mr. Propwise
FROM THE
EDITOR
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ByPaul Ho(Guest contributor)
With property cooling measures in Singapore,
many property buyers are looking outside of
Singapore. The popularity of overseas
investment property fairs shows that
Singaporeans and Singapore-based investors
are buying into overseas property projects.
Some of these property projects offer rentalguarantees whilst others are marketed as
being easy to rent out with strong rental
demand.
Why are these properties attractive to
Singapore based investors?
Some of the reasons include:
Lower price quantum
Lower regulatory hurdles
Higher yield
Are Overseas Properties with High Rental Yields a Good Deal?
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However, are these so called higher yields
worth their weight in gold?
Let us examine a market such as Thailand,
where the typical rental yield is about 5% to
6% yield. Many Singapore based investors
are attracted by this higher yield compared to
their home market. Now, based on this yield,
should we all go invest in Thailand?
As you prepare to buy your first overseas
property and start to look at financing options,you come across the following:
Full cash purchase
Borrow in Singapore for the overseas
property
Borrow locally
The first option of full cash purchase is of
course the simplest, but requires investors
with deep pockets. Borrowing in Singapore
for overseas property would be possible, but
the borrowed amount is usually in Singapore
dollars. In other words, you owe the money in
Singapore dollars and continue to repay the
loan in Singapore dollars. At the same time,you will be subject to the Singapore
borrowing regulatory regime and currency
fluctuation risks.
The last option is to borrow from local banks.
This would then be subject to whether the
local bank is able to recognize your foreign
(Singapore) income as proof of your servicing
ability, and how much loan to valuation they
are able to loan to you (if they can lend to you
at all).
How do you know if these are goodinvestments or not?
For investments, we need to compare apples-
to-apples. So for instance if you are investing
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in Thailand, then you need to consider the
rental yield and the borrowing cost in
Thailand as if you are based in Thailand.
Hence, it is important to calculate your Return
on Invested Capital as a metric to comparethe various investment markets.
For the case of Thailand, the gross rental
yield is 5.25% to 6.6% (Source:
Globalpropertyguide, Dec 2013), but the
borrowing cost is 6.51% for the 1st year and
even higher on subsequent years (Source:Kasikornbank, Dec 2013).
What does this mean?
For simplicity, let's say the rental yield is 6%
on average and the effective borrowing
interest rate is 6.5%. This means that, hadyou borrowed in Thailand for this property, the
rental is not even enough to service the
interest cost component of your installment.
Illustration of a property investment in
Thailand:
Property price equivalent to : S$500,000
Assume 100% borrowing : S$500,000Interest rate : 6.5%
Gross Rental Yield : 6%
Figure 1: Amortization Table pkg1 = 6.5%,
pkg2 = 7% (Source:
www.iCompareLoan.com/consultant)
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Based on a gross rental yield of 6% on
$500,000, you would obtain $30,000 annual
rental income or $2,500 a month. This gross
rental income of $2,500 is not even sufficient
to cover the interest cost component of the
installment at $2,694.62, let alone covering
the entire installment amount.
In other words, your Return on invested
Capital (based on 100% borrowing) would
yield a negative return. However if you hadinvested 100% cash (zero borrowings), your
return on invested capital would be 6%.
What this means is, based on these average
figures, many properties in Thailand has no
investment appeal if you were to borrow in
Thailand to invest in such properties for rentalyield.
Is it good then to invest in Thailand
properties?
This does not mean that it's not good to
invest in Thailand, as many people still do so
for different reasons. However these property
buyers do so using largely cash and some
token borrowing.
With bank deposit interest rates so low in
Singapore, these investors are participating in
exchanging Singapore currency to Thaicurrency and using this to purchase an asset
that yields a Thai currency gross return on
asset of 6% and a gross return of 6% (if they
use 100% cash and zero financing) in Thai
baht terms. As a reference, Thai deposit
savings rates yields about 3.25% as at Dec2013.
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For those with ample cash, this is a form of
asset diversification.
In Summary
Hence, as an investor, it is important for you
to assess the returns not only based on yield
versus yield (across different countries) as
they are different and have different local cost
of funds. Perhaps you could also consider
local borrowing costs. In this case, on the
surface, Thailand properties may seem
overpriced as there is inadequate rental
income to cover even the interest costs of
borrowing, or conversely, it could also be that
rental rates are currently too low and is
lagging the property prices.
However, investing away from one's base
country can also be a form of asset
diversification.
By Paul Ho, holder of an MBA from a
reputable university and editor of
www.iCompareLoan.com, Singapores first
Cloud-based Home Loan reporting platform
used by Property agents, financial advisors
as well as Mortgage brokers.
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Singapore Property This Week
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Residential
N o v e m b e r n e w h o m e s a l e s : b u y e r s m o r e
s e l ec t i v e o n l o c a t i o n a n d p r i c i n g
Novembers sales figures for new private
homes show that buyers are now more
selective on location and attractive pricing.According to data from the Urban
Redevelopment Authority (URA), developers
moved 1,228 units (excluding executive
condominiums) in November, which is a 15
percent increase from the figure of 1,070 in
October. This translates to a take-up rate of95 percent for the 1,293 new private homes
launched in November. Since the total debt
service ratio (TDSR) framework was
introduced in late June, developers sold just
481 private homes in July, compared with1,806 units in June. But Novembers sold
units prove that buyers are still having
interest to attractively priced and well-located
projects.
(Source: Business Times)
F i v e r e s i d e n t i a l s i t e s t o b e l a u n c h e d t h i s
m o n t h
Under the H2 2013 Government Land Sales
Programme, five 99-year leasehold
residential sites which are estimated to yield
about 3,000 homes will be launched for sale
this month. These sites are: two executive
condominium (EC) sites at Choa Chu Kang
Grove, a site at Yishun Ave 9,
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a plot at Geylang East Ave 1, and a site at
Sims Drive. The two EC sites at Choa Chu
Kang are about 177,120 sq ft each, with
maximum gross floor area (GFA) of about
619,920 sq ft and would yield about 575 units
each. These EC sites are the first to be
launched after the latest measures including
a cap on the mortgage servicing ratio at 30
per cent of gross monthly income, and the
introduction of a resale levy for second-timer
applicants buying EC units directly from
developers.
(Source: Business Times)
TD SR: t he game c hanger in 2013
Introduced in late June by the MonetaryAuthority of Singapore (MAS), the total debt
servicing ratio (TDSR) framework applied to
all property loans granted by financial
institutions to individuals, and was reported to
be a game changer for the property market in
2013. In July, just a month after the TDSR
was introduced, private home sales declined
from 1,806 units in June to only 481 in July,
excluding executive condominiums (ECs).
The number of homes launched also
decreased to 557 in July from 1,768 units in
June. Elaine Chow, head of research at
Chesterton Singapore, said that compared
with the series of cooling measures imposed
previously, the TDSR single-handedly chilled
the private residential market. Christine Li,
head of research at OrangeTee, said that it
was only after TDSR that developers started
to reduce their selling prices.
(Source: Business Times)
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HDB s ur vey : r es id en ts s up po rt Ser s
renew al p lan
The latest survey by HDB shows that
residents strongly support the Selective En
bloc Redevelopment Scheme (Sers), which is
part of the government's Estate Renewal
Strategy for the older public housing estates.
Sers allows residents to have an opportunity
to move from their old flats to newer flats
without having to move out of their familiar
neighbourhood, which matches 99 percent of
the surveyed households strong sense of
belonging to their town/estate. The newer
subsidised flats are equipped with modern
facilities and fresh 99-year leases. Financial
concessions are also given to residents toease cash flow and facilitate relocation.
(Source: Business Times)
G o v e r n m e n t c u t s d o w n o n l a n d s a l e s
The Ministry of National Development (MND)
is scaling back the Government Land Sales
(GLS) Programme for private housing,
commercial and hotel sites for the first half of
2014 under weight of supply for a soft
landing. The government will launch only
4,630 private homes (including 2,165
executive condominiums) from its confirmed
list in H1 2014, which is 22.3 percent lower
than that of the current H2 2013, and is also
the lowest half-yearly quantum since H1 2010
of 2,925 units. The confirmed list for H1 2014
would add to the existing large pipeline
supply of about 97,400 private housing units
(including ECs). In addition, supply on thereserve list will decrease 15.1 percent to
6,955 units (including 605 ECs) in H1 2014
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from 8,195 units (inclusive of 535 ECs) as of
now.
(Source: Business Times)
O ld e r s i t es t o s t ea l l i m e li g h t i n H 1 2 0 14 GL S
Although Ministry of National Development
(MND) introduced seven new sites on the
confirmed and reserve lists for the H1 2014
Government Land Sales (GLS) Programme,
older sites of H2 2013 slate are reported to
steal the limelight. These sites include the
highly anticipated 2.5-hectare land parcel at
Prince Charles Crescent (Parcel B) for private
condo. The land parcel can generate about
655 homes, and is next to Wing Tai's The
Crest condo project. As for EC sites, the land
parcel in Choa Chu Kang Drive is likely to
attract a higher number of bids due to the
demand from upgraders living in the Choa
Chu Kang area.
(Source: Business Times)
Commercial
Grade A C BD rent s t o r ise in 2014
Although big office leasing deals this year are
mostly in decentralised locations, activities in
CBD area is set to rise due to very limited
supply of future new projects outside the city
next year. CBRE predicted that pre-leasingactivity would be concentrated in higher-
quality buildings, and Grade A CBD rents will
grow. Particularly, the average monthly rental
value for Grade A (CBD Core) offices will
increase about 8 percent next year, followed
by stronger growth of 10-plus percent in2015, with limited new supply and a broad-
based recovery in demand. On the other
hand, this year is likely to end with a 2
percent rent increase in the average monthly
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rental value for Grade A (CBD Core) office
space to $9.75 psf, following the value of only
$9.55 psf in the first three quarters of 2013.
CBRE's Grade A (CBD Core) basket covers
the best-quality office buildings in RafflesPlace, Marina Bay and Marina Centre.
(Source: Business Times)
O ff ic e p ro jec t i n W oo d lan d s Reg io nal
C ent re up f or t ender
The first predominantly office project in the
Woodlands Regional Centre has been
launched by URA for tender. The winning bid
for the project is widely predicted from only
$500 psf ppr to $1,100 psf ppr. The project is
on a 99-year leasehold site next to Causeway
Point. It is reported that at least 90 percent or
629,602 sq ft of the 699,557 sq ft maximum
gross floor area (GFA) for the site must be for
offices, and a further minimum 5,382 sq ft
must be for childcare centre use. The rest of
GFA can be used for additional office or retail,
food and beverage and/or entertainment, but
residential use is not allowed.
(Source: Business Times)
C h a n g i Airports Pr ojec t J ew el c o st s
$1.47b
Project Jewel, the mixed-use development
aiming to boost Changis capacity and
cement its position as a leading air hub, is
reported to cost $1.47 billion including land
costs and will be launched by end of 2018.
The project is developed by Changi Airport
Group (CAG) and CapitaMallsAsia (CMA). It
will be constructed on the existing 3.5-hectare
carpark site in front of Terminal 1 that has a
lease term expiring in 2073. The multi-storey
complex will span a total gross floor area of
about 134,000 square metres,
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of which 17,000 sq m is for airport operations,
5,000 sq m for hotel space, 90,000 sq m for
retail space and 22,000 sq m for attractions
such as a large indoor garden and 40-metre
waterfall. The net lettable area of the retailspace is 53,500 sq m. Project Jewel adds a
passenger handling capacity of three million
to Changi's current 66 million per year, and
expands space in T1 for taxi bays and
baggage claim.
(Source: Business Times)
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Non-Landed Residential Resale Property Transactions for the Week of Dec 4 Dec 10
NOTE: This data only covers non-landed residential resale propertytransactions with caveats lodged with the Singapore LandAuthority. Typically, caveats are lodged at least 2-3 weeks after apurchaser signs an OTP, hence the lagged nature of the data.
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
3 ASCENTIA SKY 1,023 1,660,000 1,623 99
3 LANDMARK TOWERS 3,294 3,300,000 1,002 99
4 THE COAST AT SENTOSA COVE 2,820 4,800,000 1,702 99
5 MONTEREY PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,625 1,780,000 1,095 999
8 CITYLIGHTS 678 1,100,000 1,622 99
8 CITY SQUARE RESIDENCES 1,195 1,620,000 1,356 FH
9 HILLTOPS 1,733 5,900,000 3,404 FH
9 RESIDENCES AT EMERALD HILL 2,282 6 ,544,776 2,868 FH
9 ONE DEVONSHIRE 1,216 2,827,200 2,324 FH
10 THE MONTANA 592 1,145,790 1,935 FH
10 THE MONTANA 775 1,458,530 1,882 FH
10 ASTRID MEADOWS 2,745 4,728,000 1,723 FH
10 ONE JERVOIS 1,496 2,400,000 1,604 FH
10 MUTIARA VIEW 1,173 1,760,000 1,500 FH
10 VALLEY PARK 1,216 1,800,000 1,480 999
11 THE TREVOSE 1,012 1,400,000 1,384 99
11 NOVENA COURT 861 1,130,000 1,312 FH
12 TREVISTA 915 1,400,000 1,530 99
12 TREVISTA 1,270 1,550,000 1,220 99
12 ST FRANCIS COURT 1,270 1,060,000 835 99
13 PLATINUM EDGE 829 1,220,000 1,472 FH
14 ATRIUM RESIDENCES 969 938,000 968 FH
15 AMBER RESIDENCES 2,217 3,500,000 1,578 FH
15 PEBBLE BAY 2,626 4,050,000 1,542 99
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
15 THE MAKENA 1,636 2,285,000 1,397 FH
15 CASA MEYFORT 1,765 2,420,000 1,371 FH
15 WATER PLACE 1,216 1,580,000 1,299 99
15 THE SUNNIFLORA 829 1,020,000 1,231 FH
15 KING'S MANSION 1,604 1,950,000 1,216 FH
15 STILL MANSIONS 1,141 1,180,000 1,034 FH
15 COASTARINA 1,636 1,636,000 1,000 FH
15 MANDARIN GARDEN CONDOMINIUM 2,024 1,965,000 971 99
15 NEPTUNE COURT 1,270 1,040,000 819 99
16 EASTWOOD REGENCY 495 715,000 1,444 FH
16 COSTA DEL SOL 1,755 2,500,000 1,425 99
18 OASIS @ ELIAS 980 925,000 944 99
18 LIVIA 1,324 1,230,000 929 99
18 TAMPINES COURT 1,711 1,060,000 619 101
19 STADIA 969 1,060,000 1,094 FH
19 KENSINGTON PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,668 1,700,000 1,019 999
19 FORTUNE PARK 1,249 1,010,000 809 FH
20 GRANDEUR 8 1,259 1,408,000 1,118 99
20 BRADDELL VIEW 1,453 1,200,000 826 99
21 THE RAINTREE 926 1,080,000 1,167 99
23 MERAWOODS 1,345 1,390,000 1,033 999
27 THE SENSORIA 1,259 1,138,000 904 FH