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Singapore Property Weekly Issue 135

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  • 8/13/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 135

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    Issue 135Copyright 2011-2013 www.Propwise.sg. All Rights Reserved.

    http://www.propwise.sg/http://www.propwise.sg/
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    ContributeDo you have articles and insights and articles that youd like to share

    with thousands of readers interested in the Singapore property

    market? Send them to us at [email protected] , and if theyre good

    enough, well publish them here, on our blog and even on Yahoo!

    News.

    AdvertiseWant to get your brand, product, service or property listing out to

    thousands of Singapore property investors at a very reasonable

    cost? Head over to www.propwise.sg/advertise/ to find out more.

    CONTENTS

    p2 Are Overseas Properties with High Rental

    Yields a Good Deal?

    p7 Singapore Property News This Week

    p13 Resale Property Transactions

    (December 4 December 10)

    Welcome to the 135th edition of the

    Singapore Property Weekly.

    Hope you like it!

    Mr. Propwise

    FROM THE

    EDITOR

    mailto:[email protected]://www.propwise.sg/advertise/http://www.propwise.sg/advertise/mailto:[email protected]
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    ByPaul Ho(Guest contributor)

    With property cooling measures in Singapore,

    many property buyers are looking outside of

    Singapore. The popularity of overseas

    investment property fairs shows that

    Singaporeans and Singapore-based investors

    are buying into overseas property projects.

    Some of these property projects offer rentalguarantees whilst others are marketed as

    being easy to rent out with strong rental

    demand.

    Why are these properties attractive to

    Singapore based investors?

    Some of the reasons include:

    Lower price quantum

    Lower regulatory hurdles

    Higher yield

    Are Overseas Properties with High Rental Yields a Good Deal?

    http://www.icompareloan.com/resources/tag/paul-ho/http://www.icompareloan.com/resources/tag/paul-ho/http://www.icompareloan.com/resources/tag/paul-ho/http://www.icompareloan.com/resources/tag/paul-ho/
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    However, are these so called higher yields

    worth their weight in gold?

    Let us examine a market such as Thailand,

    where the typical rental yield is about 5% to

    6% yield. Many Singapore based investors

    are attracted by this higher yield compared to

    their home market. Now, based on this yield,

    should we all go invest in Thailand?

    As you prepare to buy your first overseas

    property and start to look at financing options,you come across the following:

    Full cash purchase

    Borrow in Singapore for the overseas

    property

    Borrow locally

    The first option of full cash purchase is of

    course the simplest, but requires investors

    with deep pockets. Borrowing in Singapore

    for overseas property would be possible, but

    the borrowed amount is usually in Singapore

    dollars. In other words, you owe the money in

    Singapore dollars and continue to repay the

    loan in Singapore dollars. At the same time,you will be subject to the Singapore

    borrowing regulatory regime and currency

    fluctuation risks.

    The last option is to borrow from local banks.

    This would then be subject to whether the

    local bank is able to recognize your foreign

    (Singapore) income as proof of your servicing

    ability, and how much loan to valuation they

    are able to loan to you (if they can lend to you

    at all).

    How do you know if these are goodinvestments or not?

    For investments, we need to compare apples-

    to-apples. So for instance if you are investing

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    in Thailand, then you need to consider the

    rental yield and the borrowing cost in

    Thailand as if you are based in Thailand.

    Hence, it is important to calculate your Return

    on Invested Capital as a metric to comparethe various investment markets.

    For the case of Thailand, the gross rental

    yield is 5.25% to 6.6% (Source:

    Globalpropertyguide, Dec 2013), but the

    borrowing cost is 6.51% for the 1st year and

    even higher on subsequent years (Source:Kasikornbank, Dec 2013).

    What does this mean?

    For simplicity, let's say the rental yield is 6%

    on average and the effective borrowing

    interest rate is 6.5%. This means that, hadyou borrowed in Thailand for this property, the

    rental is not even enough to service the

    interest cost component of your installment.

    Illustration of a property investment in

    Thailand:

    Property price equivalent to : S$500,000

    Assume 100% borrowing : S$500,000Interest rate : 6.5%

    Gross Rental Yield : 6%

    Figure 1: Amortization Table pkg1 = 6.5%,

    pkg2 = 7% (Source:

    www.iCompareLoan.com/consultant)

    http://www.icompareloan.com/consultanthttp://www.icompareloan.com/consultant
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    Based on a gross rental yield of 6% on

    $500,000, you would obtain $30,000 annual

    rental income or $2,500 a month. This gross

    rental income of $2,500 is not even sufficient

    to cover the interest cost component of the

    installment at $2,694.62, let alone covering

    the entire installment amount.

    In other words, your Return on invested

    Capital (based on 100% borrowing) would

    yield a negative return. However if you hadinvested 100% cash (zero borrowings), your

    return on invested capital would be 6%.

    What this means is, based on these average

    figures, many properties in Thailand has no

    investment appeal if you were to borrow in

    Thailand to invest in such properties for rentalyield.

    Is it good then to invest in Thailand

    properties?

    This does not mean that it's not good to

    invest in Thailand, as many people still do so

    for different reasons. However these property

    buyers do so using largely cash and some

    token borrowing.

    With bank deposit interest rates so low in

    Singapore, these investors are participating in

    exchanging Singapore currency to Thaicurrency and using this to purchase an asset

    that yields a Thai currency gross return on

    asset of 6% and a gross return of 6% (if they

    use 100% cash and zero financing) in Thai

    baht terms. As a reference, Thai deposit

    savings rates yields about 3.25% as at Dec2013.

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    For those with ample cash, this is a form of

    asset diversification.

    In Summary

    Hence, as an investor, it is important for you

    to assess the returns not only based on yield

    versus yield (across different countries) as

    they are different and have different local cost

    of funds. Perhaps you could also consider

    local borrowing costs. In this case, on the

    surface, Thailand properties may seem

    overpriced as there is inadequate rental

    income to cover even the interest costs of

    borrowing, or conversely, it could also be that

    rental rates are currently too low and is

    lagging the property prices.

    However, investing away from one's base

    country can also be a form of asset

    diversification.

    By Paul Ho, holder of an MBA from a

    reputable university and editor of

    www.iCompareLoan.com, Singapores first

    Cloud-based Home Loan reporting platform

    used by Property agents, financial advisors

    as well as Mortgage brokers.

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY I 135

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    Singapore Property This Week

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    Residential

    N o v e m b e r n e w h o m e s a l e s : b u y e r s m o r e

    s e l ec t i v e o n l o c a t i o n a n d p r i c i n g

    Novembers sales figures for new private

    homes show that buyers are now more

    selective on location and attractive pricing.According to data from the Urban

    Redevelopment Authority (URA), developers

    moved 1,228 units (excluding executive

    condominiums) in November, which is a 15

    percent increase from the figure of 1,070 in

    October. This translates to a take-up rate of95 percent for the 1,293 new private homes

    launched in November. Since the total debt

    service ratio (TDSR) framework was

    introduced in late June, developers sold just

    481 private homes in July, compared with1,806 units in June. But Novembers sold

    units prove that buyers are still having

    interest to attractively priced and well-located

    projects.

    (Source: Business Times)

    F i v e r e s i d e n t i a l s i t e s t o b e l a u n c h e d t h i s

    m o n t h

    Under the H2 2013 Government Land Sales

    Programme, five 99-year leasehold

    residential sites which are estimated to yield

    about 3,000 homes will be launched for sale

    this month. These sites are: two executive

    condominium (EC) sites at Choa Chu Kang

    Grove, a site at Yishun Ave 9,

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY I 135

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    a plot at Geylang East Ave 1, and a site at

    Sims Drive. The two EC sites at Choa Chu

    Kang are about 177,120 sq ft each, with

    maximum gross floor area (GFA) of about

    619,920 sq ft and would yield about 575 units

    each. These EC sites are the first to be

    launched after the latest measures including

    a cap on the mortgage servicing ratio at 30

    per cent of gross monthly income, and the

    introduction of a resale levy for second-timer

    applicants buying EC units directly from

    developers.

    (Source: Business Times)

    TD SR: t he game c hanger in 2013

    Introduced in late June by the MonetaryAuthority of Singapore (MAS), the total debt

    servicing ratio (TDSR) framework applied to

    all property loans granted by financial

    institutions to individuals, and was reported to

    be a game changer for the property market in

    2013. In July, just a month after the TDSR

    was introduced, private home sales declined

    from 1,806 units in June to only 481 in July,

    excluding executive condominiums (ECs).

    The number of homes launched also

    decreased to 557 in July from 1,768 units in

    June. Elaine Chow, head of research at

    Chesterton Singapore, said that compared

    with the series of cooling measures imposed

    previously, the TDSR single-handedly chilled

    the private residential market. Christine Li,

    head of research at OrangeTee, said that it

    was only after TDSR that developers started

    to reduce their selling prices.

    (Source: Business Times)

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 135

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    HDB s ur vey : r es id en ts s up po rt Ser s

    renew al p lan

    The latest survey by HDB shows that

    residents strongly support the Selective En

    bloc Redevelopment Scheme (Sers), which is

    part of the government's Estate Renewal

    Strategy for the older public housing estates.

    Sers allows residents to have an opportunity

    to move from their old flats to newer flats

    without having to move out of their familiar

    neighbourhood, which matches 99 percent of

    the surveyed households strong sense of

    belonging to their town/estate. The newer

    subsidised flats are equipped with modern

    facilities and fresh 99-year leases. Financial

    concessions are also given to residents toease cash flow and facilitate relocation.

    (Source: Business Times)

    G o v e r n m e n t c u t s d o w n o n l a n d s a l e s

    The Ministry of National Development (MND)

    is scaling back the Government Land Sales

    (GLS) Programme for private housing,

    commercial and hotel sites for the first half of

    2014 under weight of supply for a soft

    landing. The government will launch only

    4,630 private homes (including 2,165

    executive condominiums) from its confirmed

    list in H1 2014, which is 22.3 percent lower

    than that of the current H2 2013, and is also

    the lowest half-yearly quantum since H1 2010

    of 2,925 units. The confirmed list for H1 2014

    would add to the existing large pipeline

    supply of about 97,400 private housing units

    (including ECs). In addition, supply on thereserve list will decrease 15.1 percent to

    6,955 units (including 605 ECs) in H1 2014

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    from 8,195 units (inclusive of 535 ECs) as of

    now.

    (Source: Business Times)

    O ld e r s i t es t o s t ea l l i m e li g h t i n H 1 2 0 14 GL S

    Although Ministry of National Development

    (MND) introduced seven new sites on the

    confirmed and reserve lists for the H1 2014

    Government Land Sales (GLS) Programme,

    older sites of H2 2013 slate are reported to

    steal the limelight. These sites include the

    highly anticipated 2.5-hectare land parcel at

    Prince Charles Crescent (Parcel B) for private

    condo. The land parcel can generate about

    655 homes, and is next to Wing Tai's The

    Crest condo project. As for EC sites, the land

    parcel in Choa Chu Kang Drive is likely to

    attract a higher number of bids due to the

    demand from upgraders living in the Choa

    Chu Kang area.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Commercial

    Grade A C BD rent s t o r ise in 2014

    Although big office leasing deals this year are

    mostly in decentralised locations, activities in

    CBD area is set to rise due to very limited

    supply of future new projects outside the city

    next year. CBRE predicted that pre-leasingactivity would be concentrated in higher-

    quality buildings, and Grade A CBD rents will

    grow. Particularly, the average monthly rental

    value for Grade A (CBD Core) offices will

    increase about 8 percent next year, followed

    by stronger growth of 10-plus percent in2015, with limited new supply and a broad-

    based recovery in demand. On the other

    hand, this year is likely to end with a 2

    percent rent increase in the average monthly

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    rental value for Grade A (CBD Core) office

    space to $9.75 psf, following the value of only

    $9.55 psf in the first three quarters of 2013.

    CBRE's Grade A (CBD Core) basket covers

    the best-quality office buildings in RafflesPlace, Marina Bay and Marina Centre.

    (Source: Business Times)

    O ff ic e p ro jec t i n W oo d lan d s Reg io nal

    C ent re up f or t ender

    The first predominantly office project in the

    Woodlands Regional Centre has been

    launched by URA for tender. The winning bid

    for the project is widely predicted from only

    $500 psf ppr to $1,100 psf ppr. The project is

    on a 99-year leasehold site next to Causeway

    Point. It is reported that at least 90 percent or

    629,602 sq ft of the 699,557 sq ft maximum

    gross floor area (GFA) for the site must be for

    offices, and a further minimum 5,382 sq ft

    must be for childcare centre use. The rest of

    GFA can be used for additional office or retail,

    food and beverage and/or entertainment, but

    residential use is not allowed.

    (Source: Business Times)

    C h a n g i Airports Pr ojec t J ew el c o st s

    $1.47b

    Project Jewel, the mixed-use development

    aiming to boost Changis capacity and

    cement its position as a leading air hub, is

    reported to cost $1.47 billion including land

    costs and will be launched by end of 2018.

    The project is developed by Changi Airport

    Group (CAG) and CapitaMallsAsia (CMA). It

    will be constructed on the existing 3.5-hectare

    carpark site in front of Terminal 1 that has a

    lease term expiring in 2073. The multi-storey

    complex will span a total gross floor area of

    about 134,000 square metres,

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    of which 17,000 sq m is for airport operations,

    5,000 sq m for hotel space, 90,000 sq m for

    retail space and 22,000 sq m for attractions

    such as a large indoor garden and 40-metre

    waterfall. The net lettable area of the retailspace is 53,500 sq m. Project Jewel adds a

    passenger handling capacity of three million

    to Changi's current 66 million per year, and

    expands space in T1 for taxi bays and

    baggage claim.

    (Source: Business Times)

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 135

    http://propertymarketinsights.com/
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    Non-Landed Residential Resale Property Transactions for the Week of Dec 4 Dec 10

    NOTE: This data only covers non-landed residential resale propertytransactions with caveats lodged with the Singapore LandAuthority. Typically, caveats are lodged at least 2-3 weeks after apurchaser signs an OTP, hence the lagged nature of the data.

    Postal

    DistrictProject Name

    Area

    (sqft)

    Transacted

    Price ($)

    Price

    ($ psf)Tenure

    3 ASCENTIA SKY 1,023 1,660,000 1,623 99

    3 LANDMARK TOWERS 3,294 3,300,000 1,002 99

    4 THE COAST AT SENTOSA COVE 2,820 4,800,000 1,702 99

    5 MONTEREY PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,625 1,780,000 1,095 999

    8 CITYLIGHTS 678 1,100,000 1,622 99

    8 CITY SQUARE RESIDENCES 1,195 1,620,000 1,356 FH

    9 HILLTOPS 1,733 5,900,000 3,404 FH

    9 RESIDENCES AT EMERALD HILL 2,282 6 ,544,776 2,868 FH

    9 ONE DEVONSHIRE 1,216 2,827,200 2,324 FH

    10 THE MONTANA 592 1,145,790 1,935 FH

    10 THE MONTANA 775 1,458,530 1,882 FH

    10 ASTRID MEADOWS 2,745 4,728,000 1,723 FH

    10 ONE JERVOIS 1,496 2,400,000 1,604 FH

    10 MUTIARA VIEW 1,173 1,760,000 1,500 FH

    10 VALLEY PARK 1,216 1,800,000 1,480 999

    11 THE TREVOSE 1,012 1,400,000 1,384 99

    11 NOVENA COURT 861 1,130,000 1,312 FH

    12 TREVISTA 915 1,400,000 1,530 99

    12 TREVISTA 1,270 1,550,000 1,220 99

    12 ST FRANCIS COURT 1,270 1,060,000 835 99

    13 PLATINUM EDGE 829 1,220,000 1,472 FH

    14 ATRIUM RESIDENCES 969 938,000 968 FH

    15 AMBER RESIDENCES 2,217 3,500,000 1,578 FH

    15 PEBBLE BAY 2,626 4,050,000 1,542 99

    Postal

    DistrictProject Name

    Area

    (sqft)

    Transacted

    Price ($)

    Price

    ($ psf)Tenure

    15 THE MAKENA 1,636 2,285,000 1,397 FH

    15 CASA MEYFORT 1,765 2,420,000 1,371 FH

    15 WATER PLACE 1,216 1,580,000 1,299 99

    15 THE SUNNIFLORA 829 1,020,000 1,231 FH

    15 KING'S MANSION 1,604 1,950,000 1,216 FH

    15 STILL MANSIONS 1,141 1,180,000 1,034 FH

    15 COASTARINA 1,636 1,636,000 1,000 FH

    15 MANDARIN GARDEN CONDOMINIUM 2,024 1,965,000 971 99

    15 NEPTUNE COURT 1,270 1,040,000 819 99

    16 EASTWOOD REGENCY 495 715,000 1,444 FH

    16 COSTA DEL SOL 1,755 2,500,000 1,425 99

    18 OASIS @ ELIAS 980 925,000 944 99

    18 LIVIA 1,324 1,230,000 929 99

    18 TAMPINES COURT 1,711 1,060,000 619 101

    19 STADIA 969 1,060,000 1,094 FH

    19 KENSINGTON PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,668 1,700,000 1,019 999

    19 FORTUNE PARK 1,249 1,010,000 809 FH

    20 GRANDEUR 8 1,259 1,408,000 1,118 99

    20 BRADDELL VIEW 1,453 1,200,000 826 99

    21 THE RAINTREE 926 1,080,000 1,167 99

    23 MERAWOODS 1,345 1,390,000 1,033 999

    27 THE SENSORIA 1,259 1,138,000 904 FH


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