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Source: Internal Industry estimates - ab-inbev.com · 2008 2012 2008 2012 2008 2012 +14%-8% +5% ABI...

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Page 1: Source: Internal Industry estimates - ab-inbev.com · 2008 2012 2008 2012 2008 2012 +14%-8% +5% ABI Volume ( MM HL ) +$600 MM Source: Internal Analysis Based on ABI Organic Shipments
Page 2: Source: Internal Industry estimates - ab-inbev.com · 2008 2012 2008 2012 2008 2012 +14%-8% +5% ABI Volume ( MM HL ) +$600 MM Source: Internal Analysis Based on ABI Organic Shipments

Source: Internal Industry estimates

175

185

195

205

215

225

235

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Industry Volume (mm hl)

Page 3: Source: Internal Industry estimates - ab-inbev.com · 2008 2012 2008 2012 2008 2012 +14%-8% +5% ABI Volume ( MM HL ) +$600 MM Source: Internal Analysis Based on ABI Organic Shipments

175

185

195

205

215

225

235

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Industry Volume (mm hl)

Source: Internal Industry estimates

Page 4: Source: Internal Industry estimates - ab-inbev.com · 2008 2012 2008 2012 2008 2012 +14%-8% +5% ABI Volume ( MM HL ) +$600 MM Source: Internal Analysis Based on ABI Organic Shipments

ABI Decentralized Pricing Strategy

Industry Historical Revenue Gap vs CPI

ABI Mix Was Shifting in a Less Profitable Way

~4% Gap

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

2005 2006 2007 2008 20092003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Source: ABI Sales to RetailerSource: Team Analysis

Prem / Prem+

High End / FMB

Value

Page 5: Source: Internal Industry estimates - ab-inbev.com · 2008 2012 2008 2012 2008 2012 +14%-8% +5% ABI Volume ( MM HL ) +$600 MM Source: Internal Analysis Based on ABI Organic Shipments

US Beer Industry Has Low Elasticity

Beer In the US Was Very Affordable

Cross Price Elasticity Is Very High

Source: Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, Comparative Price Levels, Team Analysis

Source: IRI Key Grocery Account 24pack 12oz Can Weekly YTD 9/29/13Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics; IRI; IMPACT Databank; Team analysis

1954 1964 1974 1984 1994 2004

$450

$400

$350

$300

$250

1.25

1.15

1.05

0.95

0.85

0.75

0.65

Price/Bbl Bbl/Capita

Cost of Beer(2009 $/bbl)

Barrels per Capita

Page 6: Source: Internal Industry estimates - ab-inbev.com · 2008 2012 2008 2012 2008 2012 +14%-8% +5% ABI Volume ( MM HL ) +$600 MM Source: Internal Analysis Based on ABI Organic Shipments

ABI Pricing StrategyCentralized

NR/hl grew above CPIABI PTC Increased Less Than

Net Revenue

Source: Internal company financials Source: NR/ HL Shipments; TT US IRI MULC ABSource: Team Analysis

2010 2011 2012

3.0 3.1

4.9

1.8

2.4

3.3

NR/HL % Chg PTC % Chg

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

2008 = 100

CPI

NR / hlRecommendationABI Competition

95

95

100

100

100

100

Beck's is brewed in the U.S. in accordance with the German reinheitsgebot brewing standard and competes against brands in the Import segment.

Page 7: Source: Internal Industry estimates - ab-inbev.com · 2008 2012 2008 2012 2008 2012 +14%-8% +5% ABI Volume ( MM HL ) +$600 MM Source: Internal Analysis Based on ABI Organic Shipments

ABI Mix Shifting in a Favorable Way

ABI Leading in Innovation for Above Premium

Source: IRI Mulc FY 12, Team AnalysisSource: ABI Sales to Retailer

2012 2013

ABI avg$/cs

Prem / Prem+

High End / FMB

Value

Page 8: Source: Internal Industry estimates - ab-inbev.com · 2008 2012 2008 2012 2008 2012 +14%-8% +5% ABI Volume ( MM HL ) +$600 MM Source: Internal Analysis Based on ABI Organic Shipments

Despite Volume Industry Pressure …

… ABI Net Revenue Dollars Increased …

… Due to Strong NR/HL Growth

2008 20122008 2012 2008 2012

+14%

-8%+5%

ABI Volume ( MM HL )

+$600 MM+$600 MM

Source: Internal Analysis Based on ABI Organic Shipments

ABI Net Revenue ( B$ ) ABI Net Revenue ( NR/HL )

Page 9: Source: Internal Industry estimates - ab-inbev.com · 2008 2012 2008 2012 2008 2012 +14%-8% +5% ABI Volume ( MM HL ) +$600 MM Source: Internal Analysis Based on ABI Organic Shipments

Source: IRI Food C-Store Crown+HUSA vs Beer Source: IRI Store Level Data Source: Feature Vision 3M ending in June/13 Source: : IRI Total US, Last 4 wk, ABI 24oz Share

Relative Price Compression to High End

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

160

156

150

147145

142 143140

138136 135

133

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Relative PTC -27pts in 5yr

PTC Index High End vs Total Beer

Lack of PTC Visibility and Local Recommendations

Sub-optimal Promotion Execution

Price Point Matters for Market Share

$1.99 Or Less More than $1.99

2.2

1.5

ABI BL 24oz Share vs. Price Point

Page 10: Source: Internal Industry estimates - ab-inbev.com · 2008 2012 2008 2012 2008 2012 +14%-8% +5% ABI Volume ( MM HL ) +$600 MM Source: Internal Analysis Based on ABI Organic Shipments
Page 11: Source: Internal Industry estimates - ab-inbev.com · 2008 2012 2008 2012 2008 2012 +14%-8% +5% ABI Volume ( MM HL ) +$600 MM Source: Internal Analysis Based on ABI Organic Shipments

Source: IRI FL Store Level – 12 WK Ending 8-04-13 vs YA Source: IRI US Store Level, 52 Wks Ending 10-06-13 vs YA Source: Team Analysis Source: : Team Analysis

Relative Price Compression Matters to ABI

Relative Price Compression Matters

to Retailers

Joint Business Plan will use IRI data for Chains Sell-in

RTP Turbo will use PTC Surveys for Independents

Sell-in

Ga p C lo s e1 0+ P t s M a in ta in Ga p O p en1 0+ P t s- 0. 8 - 0. 42 . 1

1 1 0- 1 2 0 1 2 0- 1 3 0 1 3 0+2 . 6 % 5 . 1 % 6 . 0 %ABI YOY Share Change by PTC

Index Prem to High EndRetailer YOY Dollar Growth by PTC

Index Prem to HE

Page 12: Source: Internal Industry estimates - ab-inbev.com · 2008 2012 2008 2012 2008 2012 +14%-8% +5% ABI Volume ( MM HL ) +$600 MM Source: Internal Analysis Based on ABI Organic Shipments

Source: Test vs Control Pilot in MO Local Chain Source: Team Analysis Source: : Team Analysis

Improve Promo Lift Through Better Communication

Real Test vs Control Proved Concept

Plan to accelerate Better Communication

Leveraging Partnership with Frito/Pepsi

Source: Team Analysis

Page 13: Source: Internal Industry estimates - ab-inbev.com · 2008 2012 2008 2012 2008 2012 +14%-8% +5% ABI Volume ( MM HL ) +$600 MM Source: Internal Analysis Based on ABI Organic Shipments

New RecloseableAluminum Bottle

Source: Team Analysis

Convert 24oz to theNew 25oz Can

Source: apt Test vs Control Analysis

Implement Big Bets through Strong Media

and Trade

Source: Team Analysis

Page 14: Source: Internal Industry estimates - ab-inbev.com · 2008 2012 2008 2012 2008 2012 +14%-8% +5% ABI Volume ( MM HL ) +$600 MM Source: Internal Analysis Based on ABI Organic Shipments

Key Accomplishments To Date


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