+ All Categories
Home > Documents > Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that...

Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that...

Date post: 25-Jul-2019
Category:
Upload: doandieu
View: 217 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
43
Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation Student: Dragana Subotic Supervisors: Prof.dr. Alexey A. Voinov Dr. Nicolas Prechtel 25.09.2017, Enschede
Transcript
Page 1: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation

Student: Dragana Subotic

Supervisors: Prof.dr. Alexey A. VoinovDr. Nicolas Prechtel

25.09.2017, Enschede

Page 2: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Presentation outline

1. Introduction

2. Research problem

3. Research goal

4. Methodology

5. Analysis and results

6. Discussion

7. Conclusion and outlook

Page 3: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Introduction

Importance of renewable energy

EU strategy for sustainable future

Wind energy as a serious competitor

11% of EU energy demand

€43bn investment in 2016 http://www.cityenergy.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/renewable-energy.jpg

Page 4: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Introduction

Choosing suitable locations for wind farms is a complex and time-consuming process influenced by a number of factors:

Wind energy potential

Distance from roads

Distance from electricity grid

Distance from urban areas

Distance to natural reserves

Land use and land cover

Slope of terrain

Wind Farm Development

Social acceptance

(NIMBY syndrome, visual intrusion, noise annoyance, shadow flickering effect, negative effects on birds and bats)

Page 5: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

- Available land estimation

- Suitability analysis

- Wind Farm Layout Optimization (WFLO)

- Exploitation of more land requires advances in the current

assessment techniques

Research problem

GIS-MCDA

Sunak et al.,(2015) ‘A GIS-based Decision Support System for the Optimal Siting of Wind Farm Projects’

Page 6: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Research goal

1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development

2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization methods and their main aspects

3. Define the mathematical problem of placing wind turbines in a region of interest

4. Create a model that will determine the maximum energy production of an area depending on the size and number of the wind turbines

Develop an optimization method to facilitate the search for optimal allocation scheme for wind farms

Page 7: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Research goal

1. How to formulate an objective function in order to maximize the AEP (Annual Energy Production)?

2. Which multi-objective optimization techniques are best for a wind farm layout scenario?

3. Should this model account for turbine wakes, and how can this effect be incorporated into the model?

4. Which optimization algorithm will provide the best trade-off between accuracy of the output result and computing effort?

5. How to assess the quality of the model?

Research questions

Page 8: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Methodology

Preparation

Literature

review

Overview of

modelling

approaches

Data

Wind data

Wind turbine

specifications

Overview of wind farm development stages and crteria

Location data

Preprocessing

Land

suitability

analysis

Restricted

areas and

buffer zones

Rasterization

Input parameters

Optimization algorithm

Optimization

model

Page 9: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Methodology

1. Data Preparation

I. Turbine specifications

D(Rotor

diameter)

H(Hub

height)

Vi(Cut-in

speed)

Vo(Cut-out

speed)

Vr(Rated

speed)

Pwr(Rated

power)

53 m 60 m 4 m/s 22.50 m/s 12 m/s 800 kW

90 m 95 m 4 m/s 25.00 m/s 12 m/s 2000 kW

142 m 129 m 4 m/s 25.00 m/s 11 m/s 3150 kW

Page 10: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Methodology

1. Data Preparation

II. Wind data

Measuring

Station No

Measuring

Station

Name

LON (east) LAT

(north)

ALT (m)

290 TWENTHE 6.891 52.274 34.80

Page 11: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Methodology

1. Data Preparation

II. Wind dataII. Wind data

Hourly wind speed at station height: Hourly wind speed at turbine height:

Wind shear exponent for

built up area with mixed

land use:

α = 0.3

Page 12: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Methodology

1. Data Preparation

III. Location data

Page 13: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Methodology

Dmin

- Plant location problem- Maximal covering location problem- Undesirable facility location- 2D packing problems

- X, Y coordinates- Number of facilities- Distance standard- Minimizing cost

2. Problem definition

Page 14: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Cost of Energy (cost per kWh of energy produced):

Methodology

3. Model definition

AEP

CostCoE

Page 15: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Methodology

3. Model definition

AEP

CostCoE

𝑇 𝑡1 𝑉𝑖, 𝑉𝑟, 𝑉𝑜, 𝑃𝑟, 𝐷, 𝐻 , 𝑡2 𝑉𝑖, 𝑉𝑟, 𝑉𝑜, 𝑃𝑟, 𝐷, 𝐻 , 𝑡3 (𝑉𝑖, 𝑉𝑟, 𝑉𝑜, 𝑃𝑟, 𝐷, 𝐻)

𝐴 𝑖, 𝑗 ,𝑤ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒 𝑖 = 1,2, …𝑚, 𝑗 = 1,2, …𝑛 𝑠𝑒𝑡 𝑜𝑓 𝑋, 𝑌 𝑐𝑜𝑜𝑟𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑠 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑠𝑡𝑢𝑑𝑦 𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑎

𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡 (𝑁, 𝑃𝑟) 𝐴𝐸𝑃 𝑁, 𝑇, 𝜈

𝑁(𝐴)

Page 16: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Methodology

Model parameters:

1. Turbine type and number

2. Turbine interdistance and location

3. Wind speed

4. Shape and size of the available land

3. Model definition

Page 17: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Methodology

- Each grid cell is a potential location for turbine placement

4. Grid representation

Page 18: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Methodology

5. Algorithm Framework

Import

• Wind data

• Turbine data

• Location data raster

Data preprocessing

• Function curves

• Initial parameter values

Generate

• Candidate turbine locations

• Constraint matrix

• Vector of coefficients

LP optimization

Iterative placing of turbines of different types

Convert

• Solution to cell numbers

• Cell numbers to coordinates

Output

• AEP

• Cost

• CoE

• Turbine coordinates

Page 19: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

• Wind data

• Turbine data

• Location data raster

Import

Available cells

Page 20: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

• Function curved

• Initial parameter values

Data preproces

sing

N = 1 Enercon Vestas Siemens

Cost (€) 800 000 2 000 000 3 150 000

AEP (kW) 2 477 536 7 531 257 14 363 679

Page 21: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

•Candidate turbine locations

•Constraint matrix

•Vector of coefficients

Generate

Page 22: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

•Candidate turbine locations

•Constraint matrix

•Vector of coefficients

Generate

Page 23: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

• Iterative placing of turbines of different types

LP optimizat

ion

Page 24: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

• Iterative placing of turbines of different types

LP optimizat

ion

Page 25: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

• Iterative placing of turbines of different types

LP optimizat

ion

Page 26: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

• Iterative placing of turbines of different types

LP optimizat

ion

Page 27: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

• Iterative placing of turbines of different types

LP optimizat

ion

Page 28: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

• Iterative placing of turbines of different types

LP optimizat

ion

Page 29: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

• Iterative placing of turbines of different types

LP optimizat

ion

Page 30: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

• AEP

• Cost

• CoE

• Turbine coordinates

Output

N (E) 19

N (V) 5

N (S) 4

Ntot 28

Cost (€) 34 944 538

AEP (kW) 142 346 303

CoE (€/kW) 0.247422

Page 31: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

1. Algorithm validation – One turbine type

Page 32: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

1. Algorithm validation – One turbine type

Page 33: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

1. Algorithm validation – One turbine type

Page 34: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

2. Algorithm validation – Three turbine types

Page 35: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

2. Algorithm validation – Three turbine types

Page 36: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

3. Algorithm validation – Three turbine types and area with forbidden zones

Page 37: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

4. Application to study area

Page 38: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

4. Application to study area

Page 39: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Implementation and results

4. Application to study area

N (E) 445

N (V) 33

N (S) 9

Ntot 487

Cost (€) 311 748 515

AEP (kW) 1 480 308 280

CoE (€/kW) 0.210597

Page 40: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Discussion

Solution time

Accuracy of parameter calculation

Turbine performance results (using one or three turbine types)

Algorithm search

Rasterization process and scale issue

Page 41: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Conclusion and outlook

1. How to formulate an objective function in order to maximize the AEP (Annual Energy Production)?

2. Which multi-objective optimization techniques are best for a wind farm layout scenario?

3. Should this model account for turbine wakes, and how can this effect be incorporated into the model?

4. Which optimization algorithm will provide the best trade-off between accuracy of the output result and computing effort?

5. How to assess the quality of the model?

To what extent are the research question answered?

Page 42: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

Conclusion and outlook

The implemented approach showed its applicability for the given optimization problem

Binary integer linear programming and the use of GIS posses a great potential to aid in the process of

development of wind farm projects

Tool for preliminary screening in wind farm siting at a large scale

Improvements of the developed procedure are possible, in terms of parameter setting used, the

complexity of the objective function and the optimization method applied

Algorithm developed here could be incorporated into the already existing Desktop-based or Web-

based applications

Page 43: Spatial Optimization for Wind Farm Allocation · Research goal 1. Identify the main factors that influence wind farm development 2. Develop an understanding of the spatial optimization

THANK YOU FOR YOUR

ATTENTION!

Dragana Subotic, MSc. Cartography

[email protected]


Recommended