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Calling'undergraduates'and'graduate'students'interested'in'understanding'and'par/cipa/ng'in'the'process'of'taking'science'from'research'to'ac/onable'informa/on.''Learn'the'basics'of'Climate'Science'and'Policy'in'this'project=based'course'that'covers'theory'and'prac/cal'applica/ons.'
'ATM'493/693'Applied'Arc/c'Climate'Problems''Spring'2017'University'of'Alaska'Fairbanks'='Don’t'be'leO'out!''
Important'Informa/on'Prerequisites:'science'fundamentals'ATM'493/693'(3'credits)''CRN:36359'for'ATM493,'CRN:36360'for'ATM693''Tues=Thurs'2:00=3:30'PM'in'Room'Murie'105'University'of'Alaska'Fairbanks'Spring'2017'(Jan.=May.)''Instructors:!!Dr.$Uma$Bha*,!Atmospheric!Sciences,[email protected]!and!Dr.$Kaja$Brix,[email protected].!Details!on!web:!!h*p://www.gi.alaska.edu/~bha*/teaching
'Liz'Labunski''/''AP'
USDA
Project!1:!Marine!Mammals:!from!science!to!policy
Project!2:!Wildland!Fire:!from!science!to!
applicaHons
ClassOutline,Class#117January20171) Introandclasstopicmo1va1on2) Gooverclasssyllabus,schedule3)Discussproject4)Today’stopics-GeographyofArc1c/Alaska-Observa1ons&Data-Arc1cClimatetypes
Projectoutcomesexample1) ProblemStatement-Copingwithapar1cularlyseverewinterwithprolongedtemperaturebelow-30F2) Context-Thetemperatureisdroppingby2˚perhour.Wearegoinginadeepfreezebasedontheweatherforecastsforthenext2weeks.
3)Analysis-Howdoweprepareforthiscoldperiod?Howmuchfuel?Howmuchfood?Addi1onalClothing?
4)RecommendaCons-Ifthetemperatureremains<-30Fforthenext2weeks,thenthereisnotenoughfuelinFairbanks.Wehavetogetfuelcompaniestoincreasetheirstocks.-winterinventorysparsebecausebeingliquidated.Needstorestostockmore.
DoyouknowyourAlaskaGeography?
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DoyouknowyourAlaskaGeography?1. Island2. City3. Wild4. Island5. Island6. River7. Town8. Town9. Water10.Sea11.Sea12.Sea13.N.Prk14.Mtns15.Mtns16.Mtns17.N.Prk18.Town19.Town20.Town
DoyouknowyourArcCcGeography?1) Island: Franz Josef Land2) Island: New Siberian Islands3) Bay: Baffin Bay4) Island: Baffin Island5) Place: Alaska6) Sea: Laptev Sea7) Place: Taymyr Peninsula8) River: Pechora River9) River: Mackenzie River10) Island: Novaya Zemlya11) Island: Svalbard12) Place: Kola Peninsula13)Place: Chukotka14)Island: Ellesmere Island
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DoyouknowyourArcCcGeography?1) Island: Franz Josef Land2) Island: New Siberian Islands3) Bay: Baffin Bay4) Island: Baffin Island5) Place: Alaska6) Sea: Laptev Sea7) Place: Taymyr Peninsula8) River: Pechora River9) River: Mackenzie River10) Island: Novaya Zemlya11) Island: Svalbard12) Place: Kola Peninsula13)Place: Chukotka14)Island: Ellesmere Island
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Howis‘ArcCc’Defined?
•Mul1pleways,dependingonyourinterests•66.6N•treeline•July10Ccontour
•Whatcons1tutestheArc1cwillchangeasclimatechanges!
Arc1cMonitoringandAssessmentProgramme(AMAP),n.d.,h^p://www.amap.no/AboutAMAP/GeoCov.htm.
ObservaCons•EarlyObserva1ons•1882-83FirstInterna1onalPolarYear(IPY)•NorwegianexplorerFridtjofNansen’sshipFramdricedfrozeninice1893-1896
Framfrozeninicewithleadopening
F.Nansen
SovietObservaCons
•NorthPoleDricingSta1ons(1930s-1980s),detailedstoryat:h^p://www.whoi.edu/page.do?pid=66677
"NorthPole"sta1oninsummer1937.WHOIArc1cOceanexplora1onpage
InternationalArcticBuoyProgramme AModelforSustainingArcticObservingNetworks
ArcticObservingSummitMarch16,2016
IgnatiusRigorAndmanyothers.
InternaConalArcCcBuoyProgram
h^p://iabp.apl.washington.edu/overview_history.html
http://iabp.apl.washington.edu/IABP_SSMI_1979_2010.aviSea Ice buoy tracks
[ Source: Bart Verheggen Blog]
Yearlytemperaturesfor3Sourcesshowsimilarstory!
Anomaly Reference 1901-2000
AnnualZonalMeanAnomalies
EG39CH03-Bhatt ARI 7 October 2014 12:33
a Annual zonal mean anomalies versus 1951–1980
b
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1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
–3 –1.8 –1.2 –0.8 –0.4 –0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.8 3
2020
Trend = 1.36±0.71˚C/100 years
–2
–1
0
1
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Figure 2(a) Zonal average temperature anomalies from 1900 to 2012 are based on meteorological station data andNOAA sea-surface temperatures. The plot was generated from the NASA Goddard Institute for SpaceStudies (NASA GISS) website, http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp, and details of the data methods aredescribed in Reference 3. (b) Annual surface air temperature anomalies (◦C) poleward of 59◦N, where dottedlines show annual values and solid lines display a seven-year running mean from Bekryaev et al. (5).c⃝American Meteorological Society. Used with permission. Trend is for the period 1900–2008.
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NASAGISS
MulCdecadalVariabilityisLargeinArcCc
EG39CH03-Bhatt ARI 7 October 2014 12:33
a Annual zonal mean anomalies versus 1951–1980
b
90
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–60
–90
Latit
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l ano
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ies (
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Year
˚C
Year
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960
1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
–3 –1.8 –1.2 –0.8 –0.4 –0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.8 3
2020
Trend = 1.36±0.71˚C/100 years
–2
–1
0
1
2
Figure 2(a) Zonal average temperature anomalies from 1900 to 2012 are based on meteorological station data andNOAA sea-surface temperatures. The plot was generated from the NASA Goddard Institute for SpaceStudies (NASA GISS) website, http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp, and details of the data methods aredescribed in Reference 3. (b) Annual surface air temperature anomalies (◦C) poleward of 59◦N, where dottedlines show annual values and solid lines display a seven-year running mean from Bekryaev et al. (5).c⃝American Meteorological Society. Used with permission. Trend is for the period 1900–2008.
60 Bhatt et al.
Ann
u. R
ev. E
nviro
n. R
esou
rc. 2
014.
39:5
7-89
. Dow
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[Bekryaevetal.2010]STOP