Status of Regional Haze Plans
WRAP Board MeetingSalt Lake City, UTFebruary 19, 2008
• Status Report:– Summary of emissions and visibility trends– Program implementation to date– Status of BART Determinations– Progress and schedule for submitting
Regional Haze plans• Roundtable discussion to follow
Emissions Sources and Regions + Visibility Trends
• Emissions comparison by regions
• Trends at 4 sites
Western State Power Plant Emissions (1995-2006)
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
550,000
600,000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
SO2 (tpy)
NOx (tpy)
CO2/1000 (tpy)
SO2 emissions used in WRAP regional haze analysis
NOx emissions before BART used in WRAP regional haze analysis
Carbon PM emissions used in WRAP regional haze analysis
Dust PM emissions used in WRAP regional haze analysis
Visibility trends 1995 to 2004Three Sisters Wilderness, OR
Visibility trends 1997 to 2004Yellowstone NP, WY/ID/MT
Visibility trends 1995 to 2004Rocky Mountain NP, CO
Visibility trends 1995 to 2004Petrified Forest NP, AZ
Additional reductions expected from major point sources
• All BART sources in WRAP region will be controlled• BART• §309 SO2 Milestone Program
• BART is a complicated and time-consuming process
• In the West…• No federal rule (i.e., CAIR)• Limited contribution to nonattainment areas
NAAQS Nonattainment & CAIR region Maps
http://www.epa.gov/CAIR/index.htmlhttp://www.epa.gov/air/ozonepollution/pdfs/20070621_maps.pdf
http://www.epa.gov/air/particlepollution/pdfs/20061025_graphsmaps.pdf
SO2 Milestone Program status• Annex prepared 2000, EPA adopted, ‘04 court
decision nullified
• AZ, NM, OR, UT, and WY completed §309 plans with declining regional emissions milestones in 2003
• Annual milestone tracking reports since 2003
• In 2008, 4 states (OR to use §308) are resubmitting §309 plans with with updated milestones based on:– Improved emissions projections for all sources in program– Maintaining tribal set-aside– Input from stakeholders
WRAP Region BART SourcesState # EGU Plants # EGU Units # Non-EGU Plants
AK 2 4 3
AZ 4 12 5
CA 0 0 20
CO 8 14 1
HI 6 6 2
ID 0 0 1
MT (by EPA R8) 2 3 3
NV 4 10 1
NM 1 4 0
ND 4 7 0
OR 2 7 3
SD 1 1 0
UT 2 4 0
WA 1 2 7
WY 5 13 3
Tribal (by EPA R9) 2 8 0
Totals 44 95 49
Probable BART Completion MatrixBART Completion Date
State Mid to late 2008 Other
Alaska X
Arizona X
California Later ?
Colorado X
Hawaii Later ?
Idaho X
Montana X
Nevada X
New Mexico X
North Dakota X
Oregon X
South Dakota X
Utah X
Washington X
Wyoming X
Tribal X
• Implementation Work Group Co-Chairs– Tina Anderson, Wyoming DEQ– Mike Edwards, Idaho DEQ
• IWG is regional haze planners from each state + tribal, FLM, and EPA regional office reps+ WRAP staff support
2018 “Reasonable Progress Goals” in Regional Haze Plans
• Reasonable Progress for 2018 is based on:– BART, SO2 Milestone Program, and other stationary source reductions– Mobile reductions from federal rules, exceeds GCVTC recommendations– Smoke Management Programs – referenced in SIPs– Implementation of other state air quality programs
• Long-term strategy includes:– Evaluating opportunity for additional point and area source controls
• O&G in particular
and
– Other sources• Uncertain emissions• Controllable vs. Uncontrollable Sources
• Addressing fire tracking with Fire Emissions Tracking System• Dust• International transport
Section 308 Haze Planning - Estimated Dates of Completionhttp://www.wrapair.org/308/index.html
State BART Rulemaking SIP Hearing SIP Adoption Comments
AK Jan 2008 – Determs. March 2009
June 2009 Late 2009 Estimates are worst-case dependent on sources’ responses to analyses
AZ 1st Quarter 2008 August 2008 August 2008
CA Early 2008 July 24-25, 2008 August or September, 2008
BART sources regulated by local districts
CO Complete and submitted
RPG SIP Undetermined –Late 2008
RPG SIP Undetermined – Late 2008
Outstanding BART issues
HI Unknown Unknown Unknown
ID Rule complete. Determs. In process
July/August 2008 September/October 2008
MT(EPA)
Analyses Nov 2007 Comments Pending
Undetermined Undetermined SIP and BART on same schedule
ND Done! BART in May, RPG SIP October 2008
BART June/July, RPG SIP November 2008
BART authorization rule complete. BART and SIP separate schedules
NM Determs. February 2008
July 2008 July 2008 BART Authorization in effect
NV 1st Quarter 2008 Undetermined Undetermined SIP Schedule determined soon after BART
OR Late 2008 Summer 2008 Late 2008
SD 1st half 2008 2nd half 2008 2nd half 2008
WA Rule in place. Determs. July 2008
Late Winter 2008 or 2009
Late Winter 2008 or 2009
WY DONE! Mid 2008 Mid to late 2008
Tribal Sources (EPA –Navajo, Four Corners)
Mid - 2009 ProposalMid-2008
Last updated on: 2/16/2008
Section 309 Haze Planning - Estimated Dates of Completionhttp://wrapair.org/309/index.html
State SO2 Trading Rule Revisions SIP Hearing SIP Adoption Comments
AZ 1st Quarter 2008 June 2008 June 2008
NM July 2008 July 2008 July/August 2008
Alb/BC,NM Rule completed in 2003. Pending further notice
Pending further notice
UT Done! April 2007 June/July 2008
WY Hearing – Feb 2008, Final Rules –April 2008
March, April 2008 Mid–2008
Last updated on: 2/16/2008
What is left to do?4 hurdles
Individual states are processing BART applications and determining emissions limits for permits – complicated
States completing reasonable progress analyses, WRAP staff helping
SIPs require administrative rulemaking and public hearing processes
States must consult with FLMs
Thanks!
Questions and Roundtable Discussion
BART Eligible Power PlantsAK Anchorage ML&P, GVEA Healy
AZ APS West Phoenix & Cholla, AEPCO Apache & SRP Coronado
COColorado Springs Drake, PSC Valmont, Cherokee, Comanche, Hayden & Pawnee, Tri-State Craig & Trigen Golden
HI HECO Kahe & Waiau, HELCO Kanoelehua, Hilo Coast, KIUC Port Allen & MECO Kahului
MT PP&L Colstrip & Corette
NV Sierra Pacific Tracy & Ft. Churchill, Nevada Power Reid Gardner & SoCal Edison Mohave
NM PNM San Juan
ND Basin Leland Olds, Great River Coal Creek & Stanton & Minnkota Milton Young
OR PGE Beaver & Boardman
SD Otter Tail Big Stone
UT Pacificorp Hunter & Huntington
WA Trans Alta Centralia
WY Pacificorp Dave Johnston, Jim Bridger, Naughton & Wyodak & Basin Laramie River
Tribal SRP Navajo & APS Four Corners
BART Eligible Non-EGU SourcesAK Agrium Urea, Conoco-Phillips LNG & Tesoro Refining
AZ Abitibi Pulp, Arizona Cement, CLC Nelson Lime, Asarco Hayden & PD Miami Copper
CA Too Numerous to List
CO Cemex Lyons Cement
HI Hawaiian Sugar & Tesoro Refining
ID TASCO Sugar, Monsanto/P4
MT Columbia Falls Aluminum, Ashgrove & Holcim Cement
NV Nevada Cement
OR Ft. James Wauna & Weyerhaeuser Springfield Pulp, Amalgamated Sugar Nyssa
WABP Cherry Point & Tesoro Refining, Alcoa Ferndale & Wenatchee, Port Townsend & Weyerhaeuser Longview Pulp & Lafarge Cement
WY FMC Granger & Green River, General Chemical Soda Ash Plants