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Oklahoma Center for Rural Development Northeastern State University
124 W. Shawnee, Suite C Tahlequah, OK 74464
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Table of contents
Item Page
PopStats Demographic Data 3 1. Stigler Area Map Map 4
2. Stigler Primary Market Area
Demographics 5 Growth Summary 8 Education Attainment 10
3. Stigler Primary Market Area – Thematic Maps Population Distribution 11 Population Changes - Last 2 Years 12 Average Household Income 13 Income Greater Than $50,000 14 Income Greater Than $100,000 15 Age Distribution 18 – 44 Years 16 Workplace Employee Distribution 17
4. Stigler Traffic Flows 18 5. Stigler Aerial View
Area Aerial April 2008 19
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PopStats Demographic Data This PopStats demographic data utilized in this report is provided by Synergos Technologies. This data is updated quarterly to end users based on new ZIP+4 data (note that new data and statistics are delivered monthly, updated quarterly). This data is modeled where a growth factor is derived for every ZIP+4 in the country. This application occurs via a proprietary model that uses this information as well as other pertinent factors (see below) to generate a current estimate. The data sources for PopStats datasets come from:
� United States Postal Service (USPS) � United States Department of Defense (DMDC) � United States Census Bureau � National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) � Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council (FFIEC) � Internal Revenue Service (IRS) � Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) � Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) � Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO)
Most data vendors and therefore most data analysts are using information that is delivered once annually and is based upon trended census growth figures (i.e., 1990 to 2000). Census trended data misses any new growth that may occur, particularly isolated hot communities that tend to flare up in a few years and sometimes a few quarters.
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Stigler, Oklahoma
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Executive Summary Report with Charts Geography: Stigler Primary Market Area
Population Demographics
The number of households in the study area in 2000 was 3,245. The household count in Q4 2008 is estimated to be 3,524. For 2013, the High Range of the Five Year forecast was 4,150 and the Low Range was 3,173 with the actual household projection estimated at 3,759, a change of 6.65%. The population in the study area in 2000 it was 8,189. The population in Q4 2008 is estimated to be 8,825. For 2013, the High Range of the Five Year forecast was 10,340 and the Low Range was 7,946 with the actual household projection estimated at 9,397 representing a change of 6.49%.
Percent Change
2000
Census
Q4 2008 Estimate
2013
Projection
Q4 2008 to 2013
Total Population 8,189 8,825 9,397 6.49%
Total Households 3,245 3,524 3,759 6.65%
Population by Age
In 2000, the median age of the population was 38. The median age in Q4 2008 is estimated to be 37 and it is predicted to change in five years to 37 years. In Q4 2008, females represented 51.87% of the population with a median age of 39 and males represented 48.13% of the population with a median age of 35 years. In Q4 2008, the most prominent age group in this geography is 25 to 34 years. The age group least represented in this geography is 14 to 17 years. The table below sorts age groups by the Q4 2008 Estimate for the Age Groups.
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Population by Age
Percent Change
2000
Census
Q4 2008 Estimate
2013
Projection Q4 2008 to 2013
0 to 4 594 7.25% 570 6.46% 645 6.87% 13.21%
5 to 13 990 12.09% 1,085 12.29% 1,077 11.46% -0.75%
14 to 17 600 7.32% 514 5.82% 525 5.59% 2.13%
18 to 24 697 8.51% 892 10.11% 944 10.05% 5.85%
25 to 34 939 11.47% 1,131 12.82% 1,311 13.95% 15.86%
35 to 44 1,058 12.92% 1,016 11.51% 1,090 11.60% 7.25%
45 to 54 1,002 12.23% 1,078 12.22% 1,065 11.34% -1.18%
55 to 64 878 10.72% 1,004 11.37% 1,080 11.49% 7.62%
65 to 74 696 8.50% 811 9.19% 893 9.50% 10.04%
75 + 736 8.99% 723 8.20% 767 8.16% 6.04%
18 to 44 2,694 32.89% 3,040 34.44% 3,345 35.60% 28.96%
Population by Race/Ethnicity
In Q4 2008, the predominant race/ethnicity category in this study area is White. The race & ethnicity category least represented in this geography is Asian. Note that the following table is sorted by the predominant Race for Q4 2008.
Population by Race/Ethnicity
2000 Census Q4 2008 Estimate
White 6,215 75.89% 6,601 74.80%
Other Race 1,733 21.16% 1,947 22.06%
Hispanic Ethnicity 210 2.56% 228 2.58%
Black 21 0.26% 26 0.29%
Asian 10 0.12% 23 0.26%
Dominate Ancestry (Native American)
1,410 15.98%
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In Q4 2008 the predominant household income category in this study area is $20k to $50k, and the income group that is least represented in this geography is $150K +. The following table ranks income groups by the Q4 2008 Income Classes.
Households by Income
2000
Census
Q4 2008 Estimate
$0 - $19,999 1,463 45.09% 1,137 32.25%
$20,000 - $49,999 1,243 38.31% 1,364 38.71%
$50,000 - $74,999 359 11.06% 543 15.42%
$75,000 - $99,999 75 2.32% 264 7.48%
$100,000 - $149,999 49 1.52% 131 3.70%
$150,000 + 55 1.69% 53 1.50%
$50,000 + 539 16.60% 990 28.10%
Average Hhld Income $33,539.00 $46,897.00
Median Hhld Income $22,675.00 $31,585.00
Per Capita Income $13,289 $18,729
(C) 2008 Synergos All Rights Reserved, SRC, LLC. (C) 2009 Synergos All Rights Reserved, SRC, LLC.
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Growth Summary Report
Geography: Stigler Primary Market Area
In 2000, the population was 8,189. By Q4 2008, the population was estimated to be 8,825, representing a change of roughly 7.76% and an annualized change of approximately 2.07%.
Population Change
Population Change from Previous Quarter
Quarter Population Change % Change
Q1 2007 8,847 25 0.28%
Q2 2007 8,825 -22 -0.25%
Q3 2007 8,854 29 0.33%
Q4 2007 8,839 -15 -0.17%
Q1 2008 8,849 10 0.12%
Q2 2008 8,835 -14 -0.16%
Q3 2008 8,814 -21 -0.24%
Q4 2008 8,825 11 0.12%
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In 2000, there were 3,245 households. By Q4 2008, the household count was estimated to be 3,524, representing a change of roughly 8.61% and an annualized change of approximately 2.30%.
Household Change
Household Change from Previous Quarter
Quarter Households Change % Change
Q1 2007 3,533 10 0.29%
Q2 2007 3,523 -9 -0.27%
Q3 2007 3,535 12 0.33%
Q4 2007 3,530 -5 -0.14%
Q1 2008 3,535 5 0.15%
Q2 2008 3,529 -7 -0.19%
Q3 2008 3,520 -8 -0.23%
Q4 2008 3,524 4 0.11%
(C) 2008 Synergos All Rights Reserved, SRC, LLC. (C) 2009 Synergos All Rights Reserved, SRC, LLC.
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Educational Attainment Geography: Stigler Primary Market Area
Educational Attainment
College - Associate 349
College - Bachelors 397
College - Doctorate 4
College - Masters 100
College - Professional 60
Grade Less than 9 778
Grade 9 to 12 1,210
High School 1,826
Some college 1,040
Total Educated 5,764
Educational Attainment: By Percent (%) Chart
Educational Attainment: By Percent (%)
% College Associate 6.06%
% College Bachelors 6.88%
% College Doctorate 0.06%
% College Masters 1.74%
% College Professional 1.04%
% Grade 9 to 12 20.99%
% Grade Less than 9 13.50%
% High School 31.68%
% Some College 18.05%
(C) 2009 Synergos All Rights Reserved, SRC, LLC.
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Population Distribution
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2 Year Population Growth
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Average Household Income
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Household Income Greater Than $50,000
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Household Income Greater Than $100,000
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Age Distribution 18 – 44
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Workplace Employees
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Stigler Traffic Flows
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Stigler Aerial View - 04/16/2008