Date post: | 26-Mar-2015 |
Category: |
Documents |
Upload: | jackson-clay |
View: | 216 times |
Download: | 0 times |
Stora Enso’s Performance in Q2Esko Mäkeläinen, CFO22 August, 2003
22 August 20032
It should be noted that certain statements herein which are not historical facts, including, without limitation those regarding expectations for market growth and developments; expectations for growth and profitability; and statements preceded by “believes”, “expects”, “anticipates”, “foresees”, or similar expressions, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Since these statements are based on current plans, estimates and projections, they involve risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to materially differ from those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, but are not limited to:(1) operating factors such as continued success of manufacturing activities and the achievement of efficiencies therein, continued success of product development, acceptance of new products or services by the Group’s targeted customers, success of the existing and future collaboration arrangements, changes in business strategy or development plans or targets, changes in the degree of protection created by the Group’s patents and other intellectual property rights, the availability of capital on acceptable terms; (2) industry conditions, such as strength of product demand, intensity of competition, prevailing and future global market prices for the Group’s products and the pricing pressures thereto, price fluctuations in raw materials, financial condition of the customers and the competitors of the Group, the potential introduction of competing products and technologies by competitors; and (3) general economic conditions, such as rates of economic growth in the Group’s principal geographic markets or fluctuations in exchange and interest rates.
22 August 20033
Highlights
• Profits negatively impacted by:– Geopolitical factors and subdued economic activity across global
markets– Production losses and fixed cost increases related to Midsummer
holiday stoppages– Direct and indirect effects of declining US dollar
I/2003II/2003
Sales, EUR million 3 0993 057
Operating Profit, EUR million 211.1106.7
EPS, EUR 0.100.07
Cash EPS, EUR 0.430.41
Debt/Equity 0.460.47
There were no non-recurring items in the periods under review
22 August 20034
Main Events
• Veracel– Decision was taken by associated company Veracel to
construct a 900 000 tonnes p.a.pulp mill in Bahia, Brazil, based on own eucalyptus
– Stora Enso is entitled to 50 % of the output, to be used as ’captive’ pulp
– Production start up: mid 2005
• Langerbrugge– Successful start up of world’s largest newsprint machine of
400 000 tonnes – based entirely on recovered paper– Main measures in Newsprint asset restructuring have now
been taken
Financial figures
22 August 20036
EUR million 2002 II/02 H1/02 H1/03 I/03 II/03
Sales 12 783 3 233 6 462 6 156 3 099 3057EBITDA 1) 2 172 518 1 121 900 501 400Operating profit 1) 926 190 464 318 211 107Profit before tax -343 206 395 216 129 87Net profit -222 138 299 142 85 56EPS, EUR 1) 0.57 0.15 0.30 0.16 0.10 0.07EPS, basic, EUR -0.25 0.12 0.33 0.16 0.10 0.07CEPS, EUR 1) 1.97 0.48 1.03 0.84 0.43 0.41ROCE, % 1) 7.1 5.6 6.9 5.3 7.1 3.6Debt/Equity 0.37 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.46 0.47
Summary Financials
1) excluding non-recurring items
22 August 20037
Currency Hedging
• Operational cash flow hedges had a positiveimpact of EUR 34.8 million in Q2/2003
• Major net cash flows (2002):USD +800GBP +800(EUR million equivalent)
22 August 20038
Indirect Impact of Euro Strength
• Imports increasing somewhat to Europe
• Packaging Boards experiencing increased competition versus US dollar based suppliers in its overseas sales
• US dollar price increases in magazine grades are supported by stronger Euro, but mitigated by increased imports from Europe
22 August 20039
EUR million II/02 III/02 IV/02 I/03 II/03
Net interest -54.8 -53.0 -49.3 -34.6 -51.5Foreign exchange profit/loss 10.9 13.2 0.4 2.9 7.9Valuation of financial instruments (non cash) -16.1 -20.0 -11.0 -44.1 30.0Other financing items 16.0 3.6 -0.9 -5.5 2.3Total -44.0 -56.2 -60.8 -81.3 -11.3
Net Financial Items
22 August 200310
Change in EPS I/2003 vs II/2003
0,00
0,02
0,04
0,06
0,08
0,10
0,12
GROUP TOTALI/03
Sales prices Sales volumeand mix
Fixed Costs Financing cost Other GROUP TOTALII/03
EUR
0.10
0.01 -0.05
0.01 0.07
0.05
-0.05
22 August 200311
EPS by Quarter
0,00
0,05
0,10
0,15
0,20
0,25
II/01 III/01 IV/01 I/02 II/02 III/02 IV/02 I/03 II/03
EUR
excluding non-recurring items
22 August 200312
Change in EPS 1-6/2003 vs 1-6/2002
0,00
0,05
0,10
0,15
0,20
0,25
0,30
GROUP TOTAL1-6/02
Sales prices Sales volume Energy Fixed Costs Financing cost Other GROUP TOTAL1-6/03
EUR0.30
0.09 -0.01 0.04 0.16-0.01
-0.22
-0.03
excluding non-recurring items
22 August 200313
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 II/2003
ROCE
%
Target > 13% over the cycle excluding non-recurring items
WACC 9.5%before tax
ROCE target13%
22 August 200314
Debt/Equity
0,20
0,25
0,30
0,35
0,40
0,45
0,50
0,55
0,60
0,65
II/01 III/01 IV/01 I/02 II/02 III/02 IV/02 I/03 II/03
Target < 0.8
22 August 200315
Share Buy-Back Programme
Current programme approved by 2003 AGM to continue through 19 March 2004. Allows repurchase up to:A shares 9 100 000R shares 34 000 000
Status through 08 August 2003:
Number of Average % of Shares shares purchased: purchase price: authorisation
A shares 5 000 EUR 9.69 0.05R shares 17 004 400 EUR 9.27 50.0
2001 2002 31 March, 2003
Total shares in issue: 906 753 299 899 778 299 864 187 499
22 August 200316
Capital Expenditure and Depreciation
Capital expenditure
Capital expenditure as % of salesEUR million Depreciation
Goodwill amortisation
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 H1/20030 %
1 %
2 %
3 %
4 %
5 %
6 %
7 %
8 %
9 %
10 %
22 August 200317
Deliveries 2002 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Publication Papers 6 807 1 638 1 636 1 703 1 830 1 654 1 678 Fine Papers 3 432 874 866 859 833 885 895 Packaging Boards 2 909 711 749 734 715 756 781 Paper and Board Total 13 148 3 223 3 251 3 296 3 378 3 295 3 354 Timber 5 112 1 203 1 344 1 252 1 313 1 283 1 644
ProductionPublication Papers 6 796 1 686 1 651 1 745 1 714 1 739 1 663 Fine Papers 3 477 888 866 876 847 894 889 Packaging Boards 2 973 751 742 740 741 788 763 Paper and Board Total 13 246 3 325 3 259 3 361 3 302 3 421 3 315 Timber 5 157 1 235 1 288 1 277 1 357 1 406 1 648
Deliveries and Production
1 000 tonnes/m3
22 August 200318
Curtailments
1000 tonnes 2002 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Publication Papers 874 249 250 188 187 123 143 Fine Papers 274 49 58 73 94 64 32 Packaging Boards 109 37 18 10 44 15 25 Paper and Board Total 1 257 335 326 271 325 202 200
Europe 1 037 249 218 248 322 195 158 USA 220 86 108 23 3 7 42 Paper and Board Total 1 257 335 326 271 325 202 200
North America H1 2003
22 August 200320
USD million 2002 H1/02 H2/02 H1/03
Sales 1 871 884 987 933EBITDA 1) 153 50 103 39EBITA 1) -155 -105 -50 -98Cash flow after Capex 2) 138 25 113 -71Deliveries (1 000 tonnes) 2 655 1 229 1 426 1 345Market-related downtime (1 000 tonnes) 233 194 26 49
Financial Results in North America
1) excluding non-recurring items2) excluding forest asset sale
22 August 200321
North American Printing Paper Prices
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1000 Newsprint 30-lb East* SC-A 35-lb CWF No. 3 60-lb, rolls CMR No. 5 40-lbs
*Note: Newsprint prices in U.S. $ per metric tonne
USD per short ton
Monthly Average Transaction Prices
Source: RISI
950
750705
875
665695
625
440495
855
710690
22 August 200322
Profit Enhancement Programme in North America
• Profit Enhancement Programme is proceeding according to plan
– Kimberly Mill PM 96 and Biron Mill 26 rebuilds were successfully completed during Q2 2003
• Workforce reduced by 20 % since year 2000• Permanent closure of Wisconsin Rapids 12; Biron 24 to
close by the end of 2003• The programme will be completed in the mid 2005; from
then onwards the EPS effect will be + 0.05
22 August 200323
Further Cost Cutting Measures in North America
• Fixed costs in North America continue to betoo high
further cost-cutting steps will be taken• These measures will be announced before
the end of the third quarter 2003
Stora Enso Follows IAS Standards
22 August 200325
What is IAS?
• International Accounting Standards (IAS) were created in the 1960s by Anglo Saxon Auditors who, on a voluntary and informal basis, tried to improve comparability on financial information
• In the 1970s the International Accounting Standards Committee (IASC) was created
• In 1995 an agreement was reached between IASC and the International Organisation of the Securities Commission
22 August 200326
What is IAS?
• In 2001 the International Accounting Standards Board was formed and based its headquarters in London
– more resources to develop standards– IASC Foundation led by Mr Paul Volcker– IASB chaired by Sir David Tweedie
• IAS standards will be compulsory from 2005 for stock listed companies in the EU. This will affect over 7,000 companies in Europe
22 August 200327
How Stora Enso Adopted IAS Standards
• In 1998 Stora Kopparberg and Enso merged. Instead of conforming to Finnish Accounting Standards the company decided to adopt IAS
• In 2000 Stora Enso was listed on the NYSE. IAS remains the main standard in accounting but reconciliation is also made to US GAAP
22 August 200328
Objective of the IASB
• To develop a single set of understandable and enforceable global accounting standards that require high quality, transparent and comparable information in financial statements and other financial reporting to help participants in the various capital markets to make economic decisions.
22 August 200329
What were the main changes from FAS to IAS?
• Preparations took about 6 months because of the recalculations for previous years
• The main changes were in the booking of:– business combinations (mergers and acquisitions)– pensions (IAS 26)– provisions (IAS 37)– leases (IAS 17)– investments in associated companies (IAS 28)– Impairment of assets (IAS 36)
22 August 200330
Inventory movement effectsMeasurement principles (IAS 2)
• Inventories should be measured at the lower of cost and net realisable value
• Cost includes all costs to bring the inventories to their present condition and location
→ Finished goods and work in progress include costs incurred so far in the process and the cost of raw materials
→ Producing more than delivering increases inventory value thus increasing profit
→ Result emphasises production over deliveries
22 August 200331
Inventory movement effectsEffects on Stora Enso
• Fixed production costs (such as direct labour and depreciation) are calculated based on normal operating rate
• Stora Enso has larger scale production stand stills during Midsummer and Christmas
• Generally inventories decline during these periods (demand does not fluctuate as much as production)
• Second and fourth quarter results therefore include fixed cost from previous periods (released to the period when products from inventory are sold)
22 August 200332
Newly Adopted IAS Standards
• IAS 39 - Valuation of Financial Instruments– a derivative is a financial instrument– fair value is the amount for which an instrument could be
exchanged– hedging instruments and effectiveness
• IAS 41 - Accounting of Biological Assets– current value of the assets at the end of the period– “biological transformation comprises the processes of
growth”– “harvest is the detachment of produce from a biological
asset”
22 August 200333
Unrealised Financial InstrumentsIAS 39 entries
There are two different ways of entering the valuation ofunrealised financial instruments under IAS 39:
Only in balance sheet until they have been realised (hedging instruments);
Directly in profit and loss statement (non-hedging instruments)
22 August 200334
Unrealised Financial InstrumentsIAS 39 entries
The entries of the valuation of unrealised hedging instrument:
Valuation losses are entered debiting other comprehensive income (“OCI”) directly in equity and crediting short term liabilities.
Valuation gains are entered debiting short-term receivables and crediting OCI.
Realised gains and losses of hedging instruments are entered against the item they have hedged in profit and loss statement.
22 August 200335
Unrealised Financial InstrumentsIAS 39 entries
The entries of the valuation of unrealised non-hedginginstrument:
Valuation losses are entered debiting financial items in profit and loss statement and crediting short term liabilities.
Valuation gains are entered debiting short-term receivables and crediting financial items in profit and loss statement.
Outlook
22 August 200337
Outlook
• Global economic activity remains muted • In Europe advertising spending is still not increasing• North American advertising spending is beginning to
recover from the Iraq War-impacted levels• Increasing imports affecting the supply/demand balance in
the USA• Consumer confidence in Asia is recovering from the
temporary effects of SARS
22 August 200338
Outlook (cont.)
• Overcapacity in Europe continues to negatively impact pricing in coated printing papers
• Uncoated fine paper and recovered fibre-based board prices under pressure in Europe
• Additional cost cutting measures within the company will be effected
• The Group’s capital expenditure plans for 2003 and 2004 are being adjusted not to exceed the level of depreciation
22 August 200339
Near-term Market OutlookWestern Europe
Price Demand Comments
Magazine Paper
SC
CMR
Newsprint
Fine Papers
WFC
WFU
Packaging Boards
Timber
SC is expected to be stable
No strong sign of improvement in demand
Price pressure; producer stock remain high
Demand will seasonally be slow;order books good; imports affectingpricesStable order book. Market related downtime mainly in recovered-fibre-based gradesOversupply in whitewood; redwood normal
Demand slowly improving; D/S ratio imbalance puts pressure on prices
22 August 200340
Near-term Market OutlookNorth America
Price Demand Comments
Magazine Paper
SC
CMR
Newsprint
Fine Papers
WFC
Timber
A modest recovery forecasted;some further price increases expected in H2
Some signs of improvement in Demand; $50 price increase partially implemented; new price increases announced
Demand levelling off; high stock levels
A modest recovery forecasted; somefurther price increases expected in H2
Housing activity continues; prices slightly improved
22 August 200341
Summary
• The strongest balance sheet in the industry
• Disciplined and consistent financial targets
• Targeted capital expenditures to achieve high asset quality
• Debt-to-equity discipline
• Strong cash earnings per share
• Profitability at the bottom of the cycle
Visit www.storaenso.com for more information.