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Strategic Analysis for a Custom Bike Manufacturer

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Prepared by Ryan Ziemba & team for Columbia Business School
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Ryan Ziemba | Work Sample | Sept. 19, 2013 Ryan Ziemba Columbia Business School Prepared Nov. 28, 2012 This work sample contains excerpts from a comprehensive analysis I prepared along with my team of student colleagues at Columbia Business School. The full analysis was used by the investors and management team of a custom bicycle design and manufacturing startup. While this was in part a business school assignment, it was also a valuable consulting-style deliverable with real business implications for the recipients. In the interest of anonymity, I have replaced the name of the firm with “Bike Startup X.”
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Page 1: Strategic Analysis for a Custom Bike Manufacturer

Ryan Ziemba | Work Sample | Sept. 19, 2013

Ryan ZiembaColumbia Business SchoolPrepared Nov. 28, 2012

This work sample contains excerpts from a comprehensive analysis I prepared along with my team of student colleagues at Columbia Business School. The full analysis was used by the investors and management team of a custom bicycle design and manufacturing startup.

While this was in part a business school assignment, it was also a valuable consulting-style deliverable with real business implications for the recipients.

In the interest of anonymity, I have replaced the name of the firm with “Bike Startup X.”

Page 2: Strategic Analysis for a Custom Bike Manufacturer

2Source: National Bicycle Dealers Association, Industry Overview 2011, online.

Units sold between 2000 and 2008 averaged 18.7 million per year

Sales have been volatile since 2009, when they dropped to 14.9 million, rising to 19.8 million in 2010, and dropping again to 15.7 million last year

On average, kids’ bikes have accounted for 30% of the total units sold per year for the past 10 years

U.S. bicycle sale revenues have had an 1.5% average growth over the past 8 years

Sales topped $6 billion in 2011, incl. retail sales, parts & accessories through all distribution channels.

The Market: Overview

 1992  1993  1994  1995  1996  1997  1998  1999  2000  2001 2002   2003  2004  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  2010  20110.0

3.0

6.0

9.0

12.0

15.0

18.0

21.0U.S. Bike Sales (in millions)

20" and above

 All wheel sizes

Page 3: Strategic Analysis for a Custom Bike Manufacturer

3Source: National Bicycle Dealers Association, Industry Overview 2011, online.

The Market: Sales Distribution Channels

Specialty retailers Mass merchants

Outdoor specialty stores Full-line sporting goods stores Online and other retailers

Mass MerchantsSpecialty Retailers

Sporting Goods ChainsOutdoor Specialty Retailers

Online and other

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70% 70%

18%

7%

2%3%

27%

55%

8%

5%5%

Market Share

Share of Total Dollars Spent

There is opportunity to capture market share and customer dollars

Page 4: Strategic Analysis for a Custom Bike Manufacturer

4

Specialty retailers are of particular interest.

Source: National Bicycle Dealers Association, Industry Overview 2011, online.

Only distribution channel that maintained or increased average retail bike selling price in recent years;

Overall share and average selling price of new bike sales were up in 2011 compared to 2010;

New bicycle sales represent ≈ 41% of revenue – the rest is parts, accessories, service/repair, rentals and fitness equipment sales;

Approx. 4,100 retailers nationwide, but numbers are declining due to consolidation;

Core business strategy is differentiation: quality merchandise, added value services (e.g. bike fitting, assembly, repair, and community involvement)

The Market: Specialty Retailers

Page 5: Strategic Analysis for a Custom Bike Manufacturer

5

Group bike programs on the rise (e.g. bike share, corporate fleets, hotel amenities), as more metro areas become more bike friendly *

Well-known bike share programs in place in:

Some large corporations such as Google, Apple, Facebook, Genentech, and Williams-Sonoma have implemented corporate fleet programs

* 19 of the 51 largest U.S. cities and 26 states have adopted policies requiring streets be built to accommodate bikes

The Market: Relevant Bike Use Trends

There is room for growth in the corporate sales space

Page 6: Strategic Analysis for a Custom Bike Manufacturer

6

Corporate Sales Strategy: Segmentation & Analysis

Market segmentation is the cornerstone of an effective and efficient sales strategy

Consider barriers to entry Understand potential barriers to entry for each potential market to determine if successfully targeting a

given segment is feasible and economically advantageous in both the short and long run.

Understand customer behavior & preferences It is also crucial to investigate customer needs, buying processes and behaviors, value perceptions, and

channel preferences for each segment.

Find where, when and how do prospective targets make related purchases.

Determine how individual target clients operate internally Identify who influences buying decisions, who actually makes them, and who places the orders.

Analyze distribution channels Evaluate each step in the the distribution channel pipeline.

Stay on top of market developments Monitor the key trends in your market, such as market changes and the activities of competitors.

Page 7: Strategic Analysis for a Custom Bike Manufacturer

7

Corporate Sales Strategy: Potential Leads

“In the HR world—outside of the industry—bikes are fast becoming the “cool” recruitment tool. High-tech firms in the Bay Area, including such behemoths as Apple, Google and Facebook, have invested in bikes for workers to get to various campuses, and it’s a trend that Kurt Wallace Martin says is on the rise nationwide as employers in dense urban cities feel the squeeze of congestion and limited parking.”

Page 8: Strategic Analysis for a Custom Bike Manufacturer

8

Competitive Analysis: Summary

CompetitorRetail Program

Corporate Branding

Employee Program

Hotel Fleet

University Campus

Bike ShareCity Bike

Share

√ √ √ √

√ √ √

√ √ √ √

Page 9: Strategic Analysis for a Custom Bike Manufacturer

Digital Analysis: Competitive Demographic Profiles

BikeStartupX.com

RepublicBikes.com

PublicBikes.com

TrekBikes.com

Page 10: Strategic Analysis for a Custom Bike Manufacturer

Digital Analysis: Competitive Search Volume

Search volume for “Bike Startup X” was quite strong during 3 distinct time periods

100 represents peak search volume

What happened at these spikes and can it be repeated?

BikeStartupX

BikeStartupXBikeStartupX

Page 11: Strategic Analysis for a Custom Bike Manufacturer

Digital Analysis: Competitive Traffic & Unique Visitor Ranking

Villy Republic Public Workman Trek0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

117,32090,006

107,500

380,435

17,366

268,984

163,626

63,094

631,880

12,912

Unique Visitor Rank (U.S.)

Visitors Rank (U.S.)

BikeStartupX.com

BikeStartupX.com’s traffic trails most competitors although SEO recommendations should boost rankings.


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