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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited Table of Contents 1.0 History and Overview………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 3 1.1 Mission Statement................................................ 4 1.2 Core Values...................................................... 4 1.3 Products......................................................... 5 1.4 Major Customers.................................................. 5 1.4 Exports..........................................................6 1.5 Economic Performance.............................................6 2.1 Political........................................................ 7 2.2 Economic......................................................... 7 2.3 Social........................................................... 8 2.4 Technological.................................................... 8 2.5 Environmental.................................................... 8 3.1 Strengths........................................................ 9 3.2 Weaknesses....................................................... 9 3.3 Opportunities................................................... 10 3.4 Threats:........................................................ 10 5.1 SPACE MATRIX – Diagram.......................................... 14 5.2 ANALYSIS........................................................ 14 6.1 Financial Situation............................................. 15 6.2 Marketing....................................................... 17 6.2.1 Customer Focus...............................................17 6.2.2 Market Development...........................................18 6.2.3 Horizontal Expansion and Vertical Integration................18 6.2.4 Related Diversification......................................19 6.2.5 Corporate Social Responsibility..............................19
Transcript
Page 1: Strategic management report   engro polymer and chemicals limited

Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

Table of Contents

1.0 History and Overview…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………3

1.1 Mission Statement.................................................................................................................................4

1.2 Core Values............................................................................................................................................4

1.3 Products................................................................................................................................................5

1.4 Major Customers...................................................................................................................................5

1.4 Exports..................................................................................................................................................6

1.5 Economic Performance.........................................................................................................................6

2.1 Political..................................................................................................................................................7

2.2 Economic...............................................................................................................................................7

2.3 Social.....................................................................................................................................................8

2.4 Technological.........................................................................................................................................8

2.5 Environmental.......................................................................................................................................8

3.1 Strengths...............................................................................................................................................9

3.2 Weaknesses...........................................................................................................................................9

3.3 Opportunities......................................................................................................................................10

3.4 Threats:................................................................................................................................................10

5.1 SPACE MATRIX – Diagram....................................................................................................................14

5.2 ANALYSIS.............................................................................................................................................14

6.1 Financial Situation...............................................................................................................................15

6.2 Marketing............................................................................................................................................17

6.2.1 Customer Focus............................................................................................................................17

6.2.2 Market Development....................................................................................................................18

6.2.3 Horizontal Expansion and Vertical Integration.............................................................................18

6.2.4 Related Diversification..................................................................................................................19

6.2.5 Corporate Social Responsibility....................................................................................................19

6.2.6 Research and Development..........................................................................................................19

6.2.7 Competitive Advantage................................................................................................................20

6.3 Human Resource and Administration..................................................................................................20

7.1 Problems related to Forecasting and Inexperience.............................................................................21

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

7.2 Problems related to financial and debt management.........................................................................22

7.3 Management Issues.............................................................................................................................23

8.1 EDC-VCM Plant Action.........................................................................................................................24

8.2 Debt Management...............................................................................................................................25

8.3 Export Plan..........................................................................................................................................25

8.4 Back-up and Forecasting Plan..............................................................................................................25

8.5 Product and Market Development......................................................................................................26

9.0 Conclusion……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….27

9.1 Future Financial Outlook.....................................................................................................................27

Page 3: Strategic management report   engro polymer and chemicals limited

Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

1.0 History & OverviewEngro Polymer & Chemicals Limited previously Engro Asahi Polymer & Chemical Limited is one

of the subsidiaries of Engro Corporation, the leading Pakistani business conglomerates with

stakes in the fertilizer, food, petrochemicals, power generation, automation and terminal storage

industries. Engro Group consists of following subsidiaries:

Engro Asahi Polymer & Chemicals Limited was a joint venture between Engro Chemical

Pakistan Ltd. (ECPL), Asahi Glass Company and Mitsubishi Corporation (Japan), each with a

50%, 30% and 20% shareholding, respectively. Later, Asahi Glass Company decided to move

out of Poly Vinyl Chloride (PVC) and Vinyl Chloride Monomer (VCM) business worldwide and

offered to sell its holding. Engro Chemicals bought the entire shareholding of Asahi Glass

Company and increased its share to 80%.

In June 2008, EPCL went public by offering 50 million shares and received the amount of Rs.

2.8 billion against the offered amount of Rs. 900 million. After the initial public offer Engro’s

share in EPCL remained to 56%. Other shareholders included IFC (15%), Mitsubishi (11%),

Individuals (9%) and others (9%).

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

EPCL started as the only PVC manufacturer in Pakistan with a capacity of 100,000 tons per

annum and its operations are located at Port Qasim in Karachi. Its plant was commissioned in

November 14, 1999 and IFC assisted in the financing of this plant. In 2009, EPCL made

expansion in the plant horizontally and vertically by installing 50,000 tons more PVC resin

facility and a facility to manufacture Ethylene di Chloride (EDC) and Vinyl Chloride Monomer

(VCM), which are the basic raw material and PVC resin manufacturing. In order to diversify the

business and lessen its dependence on the PVC resin business, EPCL also installed Caustic Soda

plant with a capacity of 105,000 tons. Now EPCL has a capacity of producing 150,000 tons of

PVC, 240,000 tons of EDC, 216,000 tons of VCM and 105,000 tons of Caustic Soda, annually.

1.1 Mission Statement

Our mission is to achieve innovative growth which creates value for our stakeholders,

customers and employees.

Our commitment is to maintain higher standards of ethics, safety and environmental

responsibility

1.2 Core Values

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

1.3 Products

Being the sole manufacturer of PVC resin in the country, EPCL’s PVC resin sold under the

brand name of SABZ dominates the domestic market. SABZ is available in 5 variations

listed below,

SABZ PVC AU-58

SABZ PVC AU-60

SABZ PVC AU-67S

SABZ PVC AU-67R

SABX PVC AU-72

The above listed products differ in their molecular weight and are used according to application.

SABZ PVC AU-72 is a high molecular weight suspension resin, therefore, it is used as a raw

material in the production of electrically insulated PVC cables. Whereas, SABS AU-60 is a

medium-low molecular weight suspension resin and is used as raw material in the rigid PVC

application.

EPCL also started the production of Caustic Soda and sells it to textile mills, leather mills and

soaps and detergent manufacturers.

The Company is also expanding its warehousing network to ensure that PVC stock is

readily available in various key cities of the country. EPCL currently has six warehouses in

five cities namely, Karachi, Lahore, Multan, Faisalabad Islamabad and Quetta.

1.4 Major Customers

The customer base of the Company comprises of all categories of PVC application manufacturers.

The largest domestic consumer is the Pipe Sector. This sector is showing strong growth on a

consistent basis. This is because the PVC pipes are now increasingly used in housing and

construction, water supply and sewerage, telecommunications and agriculture. The Company’s

other customers include manufacturers of artificial leather, shoes, garden hoses, cable compounds,

films, rigid sheets, etc.

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

1.4 Exports

The Company has established itself as a regular supplier to several businesses in the region

thus establishing a strong customer base outside Pakistan. The international customer base is

located in Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, UAE, Bahrain, etc. High Product quality with its strategic

geographical location has given the company an advantage to successfully provide a level of

exports at a competitive price.

1.5 Economic Performance

EPCL has maintained a steady pace of business development through complete business reviews,

risk management, technical services, impact of back integration project, customer services,

sales/market share, financial risk management, financial review etc to estimate the company's

economic performance.

EPCL plays an important part in the development of national economy with a strong sense of

responsibility for their people by protecting and preserving their interests, hence growing profits.

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

2.0 PESTE ANALYSIS2.1 Political

Different rules and regulations do exist that companies dealing with chemicals have to follow.

There have been situations in the past, where EPCL and Government of Pakistan have some tax

issues to settle. Still, in 2010 there are pending tax rebates, for which EPCL had also filed

requests to the taxation department. Due to the lag in solving the issue by the income tax

department and excise duty department EPCL has also filed cases in Sindh High Court and even

Supreme Court. The payment of Rs. 84 million is still pending

The geo-political situation and frequent instances of unrest are also affecting the operations of

the company. This is in the form of delay in procurement of raw materials and distribution of

their products to the market. Therefore, in order to resolve the delayed procurements issues,

EPCL has installed tracking devices in all of its Caustic Soda transportation vehicles in order to

keep track of he product delivery process and to keep the customers updated with the product

delivery process.

Being a player in the chemical industry, EPCL could have aced opposition from the

environmental agencies, but EPCL is very transparent in environmental reporting as it is

following the maximum environment friendly standards in production. Last year, ACCA-WWF

an international environment agency awarded Pakistan Environmental Reporting Award

to EPCL for its transparent reporting and environment friendly standards.

2.2 Economic

The economic situation in the country also indirectly affects the business of EPCL. This is

because the demand of the major products of the company, like PVC, is majorly related to the

rise and fall of the construction industry. And, the amount of construction taking place depends

on the earning of the population, the economic situation of the government, investment and

developmental projects in the country. This is because the products that are made out of PVC are

mainly used by the construction industry, like pipes, door and window frames, etc. So, if there is

a lot of construction going on, demand for ECPL products will also be on a rise and vice versa.

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

The demand for PVC was expected to grow at the rate of 14% every year in domestic market due

to low per capita PVC consumption and increased infrastructure development. But, unfortunate

floods on 2010 had severely affected the demand for PVC in the domestic market. The PVC

demand in Pakistan is again expected to rise in 2H2011, due to full swing in flood relief

operations.

2.3 Social

The social factor affects EPCL in a way that the international economy has just shown some

signs of economic recovery, whereas, Pakistan is still passing through tough liquidity crunch and

financial crisis due to the recent floods. Therefore, the social behavior of the population of the

country has now strongly shifted from that of the spenders to the savers, which has also affected

the demand for PVC in the domestic market. Moreover, the current uncertainty and law order

situation in the country has also contributed in shifting the social behavior of the population from

active spenders to passive spenders.

2.4 Technological

Technology plays an important part in any industry. Every now and then, breakthroughs in the

world of technology are happening and constant evolution is taking place. Being a manufacturing

company EPCL works with different machines, equipments and even processes which are a part

of technology. EPCL will have to keep itself updated with the latest PVC manufacturing

technology to avoid any technology obsolescence risk. EPCL is producing PVC with the raw

material known as VCM which is the common international technology; the other traditional

method was the production of PVC resin through calcium carbide. EPCL has to keep keep track

of the PVC manufacturing technology to prevent itself from operating on less efficient

technologies.

2.5 Environmental

Almost all chemical manufacturing plants release different kinds of gases and produce solid and

hazardous waste, such as sanitary waste, that cause environmental pollution and even health

hazards. ECPL shows strong conviction in keeping itself environment friendly by adopting

various international standards and internally built Environment Management System – EMS.

The company is also ISO 14001:2004 certified and is being regularly audited for environmental

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

compliance. To make its expansion project extremely environment friendly, it envisages state of

the art environment initiatives like waste handling, liquid waste disposal, new waste water

treatment unit and on site Evaporation plant for treating waste.

3.0 SWOT3.1 Strengths

The parent brand name of Engro Group lends the market an financial strength to all its

subsidiaries including Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited.

EPCL is the sole producer and marketer of PVC (Poly Vinyl Chloride) resin in the

market, thus operating as a monopoly. It covers 70%-80% of the total market for PVC

resin.

Chlorine, Ethylene di Chloride and Vinyl Chloride Monomer manufacturing facilities

which are the basic raw material in the production of Poly Vinyl Chloride. These raw

material facilities are achieved through backward integration plan of EPCL.

Loyal customer base that has been established through years of strategic long term

relationship building..

High entry barriers in the PVC manufacturing market also serve as one of the major

strengths of EPCL. These high entry barriers have been achieved through continuous

investment in processes thus reducing the cost of producing PVC through backward

integration.

3.2 Weaknesses

EPCL has a weak management, proven by inefficient forecasting, inability to plan for

unforeseen incidents, delays in decisions etc.

EPCL has been facing operational constraints due to the maintenance needs of the used

VCM plant EPCL bought in 2008.

Weak interest coverage and quick ratio adds to liquidity crunch that EPCL is going

through, due to which it is breaching its debt obligations.

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

3.3 Opportunities

EPCL can further increase its production capacity of PVC from 150,000 tons as in

Pakistan the demand for PVC is going to increase in future due to extremely low per

capita PVC consumption as compared to the region. Pakistan has per capita PVC

consumption of 0.7 kg where as China, India and Thailand has per capita PVC

consumption of 7.5 kg, 1.2 kg and 8.5 kg respectively.

International demand for PVC is very high, so EPCL can expand its markets

internationally especially to India, China and Indonesia where are per capita PVC

consumption is expected to grow in near future due to the extent of infrastructure

development going in these countries.

Infrastructure development in the flood affected areas also serve as an opportunity for

EPCL as PVC pipes, windows, doors and other material will be required in huge

quantities.

Drip irrigation system is a huge opportunity for EPCL as smart use of water is being

promoted by Govt. of Pakistan and the awareness of technologically advance irrigation

system is increasing in domestic markets. This drip irrigation system includes PVC pipes

as a major part of the system thus directly increasing the demand for PVC pipes and

indirectly increasing the demand for PVC resin.

3.4 Threats:

Ethylene prices in the international market posses itself as major threat to EPCL. After

the installation of the production facility of EDC and VCM, ethylene remains as major

raw material that EPCL has to purchase in order to manufacture PVC. Thus, earning per

share is highly sensitive to the ethylene prices in the international market.

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

High depreciation and interest charges due to recent facility expansion also serve as a

major threat to EPCL. In case of any further breakdowns on the plant EPCL can have

irreversible damages to the balance sheet and income statement.

Due to the lack of experience of operating EDC and VCM plants, EPCL had a fire

incident in December 2009 which had a very negative impact on the already sensitive

current and interest coverage ratio and the bottom line. The in experience can further

hamper operations and maintainenece of EDC and VCM plants.

Geo-political situation in Pakistan serves as major threat to the timely distribution of the

raw material to EPCL and manufactured PVC resin to customers.

PVC manufacturing technology with EPCL can become obsolete in the near future.

4.0 TOWS Matrix

Page 12: Strategic management report   engro polymer and chemicals limited

Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

Strengths:

1. Strong branding of Engro Group2. Sole producer of PVC in Pakistan3. Backward integration for raw materials 4. Loyal customer base5. High entry barriers

Weaknesses:

1. Weak management2. Operational constraints due to maintenance needs 3. Weak interest coverage and quick ratio- debt obligations breached

Opportunities

1. Increase production capacity 2. Expand in international markets3. Infrastructure development in flood affected areas-rise in PVC demand4. Increased demand of advanced irrigation system-increase in PVC demand

SO Strategies

S2O3O4: If demand of PVC products increase in the market then this will be totally beneficial for ECPL as they are the sole PVC manufacturers in the marketS3O2: Other than internationally selling its main products like PVC, the raw materials being manufactured in-house can also be sold internationally

WO strategies

W2O1: If the company can overcome its current operational constraints , production capacity can be increased more effectively

Threats1. Ethylene(raw material) price increase2. Economic downturn decrease demand of PVC 3. Breakdowns and other incidents in the plant 4. In-experience in handling plants of VCM and EDC5. Geo-political situation hampering supply and distribution6. Technology used becoming obsolete

ST strategies

S3T1: Already being into backward integration, the company can also consider in-house production of Ethylene

S1T4: The strong brand name of Engro can help to attract managerial and technical talent from the market

WT strategies W1T2T3T4: By strengthening its management, EPCL can avoid some threats. They will be better able to forecast demand situations and thus make decisions about overcoming related problems. Similarly, having a better HR could have saved them form a number of operational problems caused by not having professionals or technical people right at the start.

5.0 Space Matrix

Page 13: Strategic management report   engro polymer and chemicals limited

Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

S.No: Particulars Ratings

Financial Strength (FS)

1. Profitability +3

2. Revenues +4

Sub Total +7

Industry Strength (IS)

1. Growth potential +4

2. Profit potential +4

3. Ease of entry into the market +2

4. Capacity utilization/productivity +3

Sub Total +13

Environmental Stability(ES)

1. Rate of inflation -4

2. Demand variability -4

3. Competitive pressures -2

4. Ease of exit from the market -5

Sub Total -15

Competitive Advantage

1. Market share -1

2. Product quality -2

3. Customer loyalty -3

4. Control over suppliers and distributors -4

Sub Total -10

Conclusion: ES Average is -15/4= -3.75, IS Average is +13/4= +3.25CA Average is -10/4= -2.5 , FS Average is +7/2= +3.5Directional Vector coordinates: x-axis: IS+CA= +3.25+ (-2.5)= +0.75 y-axis: FS+ES= +3.5 + (-3.75)= +0.25

Scale

-CA and ES values can range from -1 to -6 (-1 being best and -6 being worst)-IS and FS values can range from +1 to +6 (+1 being worst and +6 being best)

5.1 SPACE MATRIX – Diagram

Conservative AAggressive

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

(0.25, 0.75)

5.2 ANALYSIS

The space shows that ECPL has the internal strengths and competitive advantage to pursue

aggressive strategies. The company has a strong brand name and a monopolistic characteristic

because of which they can reap the benefits of opportunities available to them. They can go for

strategies such as expansion, market development and market penetration using their strengths

and competitive advantage.

6.0 Current SituationEngro Polymer and Chemical-EPCL limited being the sole manufacturer and producer of Poly-

Vinyl Chloride enjoys the monopoly in PVC market. EPCL is a subsidiary of Engro Corporation

Defensive Competitive

FS

ES

CA IS

Page 15: Strategic management report   engro polymer and chemicals limited

Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

which owns majority of the share in the organization. Engro Corporation is the second largest

producer of urea in Pakistan with other subsidiaries including Engro Foods Limited, Engro

Energy Limited, Engro Avanceon, Engro Vopak Terminal Limited.

EPCL’s current situation in this case study has been reported with respect to the four key areas of

the organization which include Finance, Marketing, Administration and Human Resource.

6.1 Financial Situation

On the financial front, EPCL is in red since 2009 and has reported a heavy loss of Rs. 790mn in

3Q2010 with a projected loss of around Rs. 926mn for the year 2010 against Rs. 232mn loss in

year 2009 and handsome Rs. 353mn after tax profit in 2008. These heavy losses in 2009 and

2010 are mainly attributed to the backward integration and horizontal expansion of the facility at

Port Qasim during 2009, where Engro invested $250mn a 236% non-current asset growth over

2008 and 393% non-current liabilities growth over 2008. In-addition the financing costs,

operating costs and rise in fuel prices also contributed to the losses reported in 2009 and 2010.

The company after expanding the plant has a capacity of producing 150,000 metric tons of PVC

as compared to 100,000 metric tons previously, reporting an increase of 50% to capture the

projected growth in the PVC market. In addition to this horizontal expansion, EPCL also

integrated backwardly to produce the basic raw materials for PVC that were Vinyl Chloride

Monomer-VCM (capacity of 204,000 tons), Ethylene Di Chloride-EDC (capacity of 230,000

tons) and Chlorine (capacity of 94,200 tons) to lower the cost of raw material and improve the

profitability. A plant to produce Caustic Soda (capacity of 105,000 tons) was also installed to

improve the product offering of EPCL.

These expansions also brought some difficult times for EPCL when a fire incident was reported

in December 2009 where all the plants had to be shutdown. Plants PVC, EDC and Caustic Soda

were re-opened later in the same month with minor maintainenece but VCM plant remained un-

operational till April of 2010 due to which the plant could not commercial operational status till

the September of 2010. This incident also contributed to the heavy losses in 2010 as the plant

remained un-operational but the depreciation costs, financing costs and operational cash charges

were levied in the balance sheets and income statements plus the high cost of importing VCM

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

was being incurred by EPCL despite of having the facility. VCM prices rose from USD 880 to

USD 985 in just the 3rd quarter of 2010.

EPCL has net revenue of around Rs. 10.5bn in first 9 months of 2010 with a growth of 28% if we

compare it to the same 9 months period of 2009. EPCL had recorded net revenue of Rs. 11bn in

2009 which was the highest since its inception and EPCL is expected to cross that mark this year

with just Rs. 0.5bn away in just first 9 months of 2010. Unfortunately, these high revenues are

not affecting the bottom line of the company as COGS also increased 34% in 9M2010

particularly because of the non-availability of the in-house VCM plus high fuel, operations and

financing cost which grew by shocking 197% in 9M2010 over the period of 9M2009.

EPCL’s gross margin has been decreasing ever since 2006 and is down to the level of 6.05% in

9M2010 from the highest in the company history, 19.40% in 2006. Which means that the

company’s COGS has been increasing since 2006 and EPCL is unable to control it despite its

effort to produce VCM in-house. The gross margin is expected to rise once the VCM plant is

100% operational and produces enough VCM to satisfy the demand of EPCL’s PVC plant. But

Ethylene and fuel price increases in the international market remains a concern for EPCL.

The net profit margin of EPCL is also showing alarming result for EPCL as in 9M2010 the net

profit margin has shown a negative growth of 7.52% as compared to 0.26% negative growth in

9M2009. This negative growth is attributed to the above mentioned COGS, operating and

financing costs. The outlook for the 4Q2010 also looks grim and EPCL is expected to file a loss

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

Rs. 926mn which is further expected to show a negative growth due to low demand of PVC in

domestic market.

The current and quick ratios of EPCL are also decreasing ever since the expansion. Current and

quick ratios currently are at the level of 0.66 and 0.32 in 9M2010 dropped down from the level

of 3.62 and 2.84 in 2007. This shows an alarming situation for the EPCL and it is facing

challenges in honoring the short-term and long term debts to the extent that, it remains in breach

of the loan payment agreement.

Another alarming sign for EPCL is the Interest coverage ratio which has decreased to the extent

that it is in negative, -0.23 in 9M2010. The interest coverage was at the level of 25.32 in 2008

which has been drastically decreased due to heavy expansion financing.

The return on stakeholder’s equity is also on a strong negative trend with return falling from

positive 18.63% in 2006, negative 3.65% in year 2009 to negative 11.49% in 9M2010. In

addition EPCL also announced Rs. 1.28 loss per share in 9M2010 as compared to Rs. 0.04 loss

per share in 9M2009 and Rs. 0.45 loss per share in 2009. It is projected that the EPCL’s loss per

share for 2010 will be Rs. 1.46.

6.2 Marketing

Engro Polymer and Chemical Limited being the only supplier of PVC in Pakistan enjoys the

complete market share of PVC but unlike other monopolistic organizations and businesses in

different industries values its customers a lot. In fact, the core values pyramid of Engro Polymer

describes “Customer Focus” as one of the core value of EPCL, which states that, customer needs

are their primary focus as they define the reason of EPCL’s existence.

6.2.1 Customer Focus

EPCL is the organization of its words; it has actually worked mutually with its clients to help

them grow their business. Help is in terms of both managerial and technical support. EPCL has

more than 400 small and big customers and according to CEO, Mr. Qadir, there is not a singe

customer out of these 400 customers that has not been visited by the professionals of Engro

Polymer.

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

Engro Polymer has directly helped PVC pipe industries in growing their businesses and in result

their capacity has doubled over the period of five years. In addition, 10 years ago, the industry

could only manufacture PVC pipes with only 4 inches diameter but now, they can manufacture

PVC pipes with 20 inches in diameter with additional uses. Moreover, EPCL also technically

supported dying cable compounding industry in a way that previously the industry used to import

10,000 tons of cable compound but now it is manufacturing 8,000 tons of it.

EPCL specializes in customer focus to the extent that they also work to help customers of

customers. Drip Irrigation System is that sophisticated technology that helps farmers in

preserving water while increasing their agricultural output. This technology promotes the use of

PVC pipes which ultimately helps PVC pipe manufacturers and their consumers in conserving

water.

EPCL, in addition to the above taken steps also helps in developing the customer human resource

through proper trainings and guidance. With this 16 Customer Technical Audits were also

conducted in order to help improve its customers production processes, recipes, quality of the

product and output of the factory. EPCL has also equipped all of its vehicles of Caustic Soda unit

with trackers to ensure timely delivery of the raw material to the customer.

6.2.2 Market Development

In order to target handsome growth rate in revenues and profitabity and to lower its dependence

on domestic market Engro is also exporting excess of PVC to international customers in Sri

Lanka, Bangladesh, UAE and Bahrain. However the exports are limited due to the huge demand

of PVC in domestic market.

6.2.3 Horizontal Expansion and Vertical Integration

EPCL in order to meet the growing demand of PVC in the Domestic and International Market

grew horizontally with an addition of 50,000 KTons PVC manufacturing capacity. This addition

has increased PVC production EPCL by 50% to 150,000 KTons. Plus it also integrated itself in

backward direction with the installation of the raw basic raw materials manufacturing capacities.

The new plants enable EPCL to manufacture Chlorine, Ethylene di-chloride - EDC and Vinyl

Chloride Monomer – VCM, which are the basic raw material in PVC production. This backward

integration helped EPCL in lowering its dependence on imported VCM which incurred higher

cost and risks due to international market and exchange rates

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

However, this expansion and integration could not help EPCL in 2010, as due to unfortunate fire

incidence at the factory in December 2009, VCM plant suffered damages and could not be put on

commercial production status until September, 2010. Delay in the VCM plant start-up caused in-

house VCM shortages which also effected the PVC production as VCM was also short in

international. This long delay also contributed primarily in filling huge losses in the income

statements of EPCL in first three quarters of 2010 with total expected loss of Rs. 1014 million in

2010.

6.2.4 Related Diversification

EPCL has also diversified in a related business with the production of Caustic Soda. The demand

of Caustic Soda is around 230,000 tons in domestic market and EPCL with its caustic soda plant

has a capacity to manufacture 105,000 tons with major customer being textile industries and

soaps and detergents factories. The Caustic Soda market is growing in Pakistan and EPCL in

order to not to solely base its revenue chain on PVC has expanded into Caustic Soda market.

6.2.5 Corporate Social Responsibility

Corporate Social Responsibility is also one of the key concern areas for Engro Polymer as it

invests huge amount in building a safer, healthier and a prosperous community. EPCL spent Rs.

8.4 million in 2009 in different projects. Projects include, 100 hectares of plantation projects to

contribute towards greener Pakistan, clear drinking water project was installed by EPCL in

Razzakabad and Ghangar Phatak, Earth day celebration with the local community and various

Education projects including, Support Community Schools, EPCL Scholarship Programs,

Taleemi Mela Sponserships and Donations.

6.2.6 Research and Development

EPCL also ensures that it conducts proper research and development in order to continuously

improve its products, facilities and processes. In an effort to modernize its products, EPCL local

researchers developed lead free pipes for use in portable water systems, food grade geo

membrane for lining water reservoirs, medical compounds or I.V sets and syringe gaskets.

Furthermore, EPCL is also studying the methods to utilize the Hydrogen which is available at

site and ways to grow PVC and Caustic Soda capacity.

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

6.2.7 Competitive Advantage

Competitive advantage to Engro Polymer is its position as a sole manufacturer of PVC in the

Pakistani market. Engro Polymer enjoys the complete market share of Pakistan’s PVC market

with less than 5,000 tons of PVC resin imports by small traders. EPCL has a very strong

advantage over traders who incur high duties, freight charges, financing costs and warehousing

charges while importing PVC resin.

This cost advantage will sustained by Engro Polymer in long term in way that it has now

installed EDC and VCM plant which are the basic raw materials of PVC, thus reducing costs,

increasing entry barriers and weakening importers further.

In addition, the long-term customer relationship management of EPCL has also developed as one

its key strengths in the market. The infrastructure and value addition facilities that EPCL has are

very difficult to imitate, thus making sure that the competitive advantage is for long-term and

sustainable.

6.3 Human Resource and Administration

Engro Polymer believes that the success of the organization is highly dependent on the skills of

its workforce. EPCL specially focuses on the development of the employee so that he/she can

better handle professional challenges. According to the figures of 2009, EPCL has 350

employees, which has doubled from 2007 due to expansion/integration plan. At Engro Polymer

the rights of the employees are respected and the organization promotes freedom of opinion,

expression and open dialogue policy.

EPCL offers market competitive compensations and awards incentives on the employee’s level

of performance which automatically triggers an enthusiasm to excel. Incentive like Employ

Share Scheme has also been introduced at Engro to reward employees and to build a sense of

ownership in them. This policy of EPCL makes sure that the employees grow as the organization

grows. EPCL also puts especial emphasis on the regular training and skill development of its

employees. For this, various training on different subjects like management, plant operations and

maintainenece, IT, marketing and finance are conducted. In 2009, EPCL invested around Rs. 54

million on trainings and travelling.

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

Despite the above measures, technical human resource planning has served as a major flaw for

the organization. After the expansion and integration, EPCL faced lack of VCM plant operations

maintainenece specialties in its existing human resource. Due to the lack of operations and

maintenance skills, EPCL incurred huge losses in terms of VCM plant catching fire and delayed

re-startup of the plant. EPCL after facing the losses has hired international expertise in operating

and maintaining the VCM plant. Had it been done before, EPCL might not have faced the fire

incident and ultimately huge losses and delayed re-start-ups.

Plus, covering more of the administrative side of the Engro Polymer, there still are many gaps in

the productions processes. VCM plant re-start-up was unnecessarily delayed due to lack of

planning of maintenance schedules, moreover, when there was a shortage of in-house VCM in

last half of 2009 and first half of 2010, there was no future risk, back-up and alternate supplier

planning due to which EPCL had to limit PVC to plant to the capacity of 116,000 tons with

maximum capacity of 150,000 tons.

7.0 Problems AnalysesEngro Polymer, being in losses for a couple of years, has problems mostly related to

inexperience in managing backward integration, forecasting, financial management and some of

management issues. The losses are the result of some inappropriate and late decision making by

the organization. We will discuss each of problems under each category.

7.1 Problems related to Forecasting and Inexperience

Engro Polymer is the largest and the only PVC producer in Pakistan. From 2008 however, some

of the major changes in the production occurred. Company’s PVC production was decreased due

to shortage of the imported raw material that is VCM. The company did anticipate the shortage

earlier as well and decided to set up another VCM production plant in the country. This new

plant was needed to manage the shortfall and the plant was expected to operate by 2009. This

was good backward integration decision as it would have drastically reduced the raw material

import cost of EPCL due to in-house VCM and EDC manufacturing facilities. But due to

inefficient prediction and forecasting of shortfall, the shortage started to occur before the plant’s

operations could begin. The company then decided to purchase VCM from international market

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

on spot basis. The raw material in international market was on peak prices and therefore it added

to the costs of Engro Polymer. In addition, the forecasting of future demand in 2008 and 2009 for

2010 and onwards was unrealistic considering the financial crisis had just started at that time.

EPCL should have taken a more realistic path towards forecasting future demand of PVC.

Moreover, after the inauguration of the VCM plant, it caught fire in December of 2009 due to

lack of expertise in managing the new VCM and EDC plants. If EPCL would have hired

experienced professionals to manage new VCM and EDC plants, it would have been facing

much lesser extent of financial problem than it is facing now.

After the fire incident at VCM plant, EPCL suffered form extremely low level of in-house VCM

production till September of 2010, which again forced them to import VCM from the

international market on higher prices while incurring depreciation and interest charges on the

newly imported plant. VCM in the international market fell short in 2010 due to which the PVC

plant operated on 71% efficiency in first 9 months of 2010. This phenomenon had a double

negative impact on the income statement of EPCL while reporting a loss of Rs. 790 million in

9M2010.

7.2 Problems related to financial and debt management

Apart from the above mentioned problem, another problem in Engro Polymer was seen as related

to financial and debt management. Engro Polymer has been breaching few of loan agreements

and form past one year; the raw material costs have been drastically increased and the in-house

raw material production is on extremely low levels. Moreover, the investment for new VCM

plant have also added to the debts. Engro’s long term debt to equity ratio has increased by 67%

from 0.21 in 2007 to 0.64 in 2009 and the interest coverage ratio has decreased by 94.3% from

25.32 in 2008 to 1.44 in 2009, thereby adding to the poor financing and payback policies.

Other reasons adding to the costs include incremental costs due to depreciation of assets,

financial credit term agreements and increasing fixed costs due to expansion and backward

integration.

Analyzing the problem strategically, the financial analyses of the organization have not been

calculated properly, the company is relying on too much of debts from banking and other

entities. Common stocks have also been issued to the general public, to whom; Engro has failed

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

to give dividends for past couple of years. The debt ratio of the company is greater than the

industry average and the company is expected to be in loss at least till the end of year 2011 or

1H2012.

7.3 Management Issues

Engro Polymer is a result of acquisition of Esso (later renamed as Exxon) in 1991 and it is now

part of Engro Group which has a diversified range of products from Fertilizers to foods. It is

important to understand that the management of Exxon was taken over by the management of

Engro and therefore there was a shift in management style. The company’s profitability

condition was very positive and the future was optimistic as well. However, Engro group

gradually started diversifying into other categories, especially Engro foods after which the

expansion was rapid, the financials were needed and company started relying too much on debt

financing. In spite of the fact that Engro Polymer is a separated entity and operates irrespective

of what the other entities in Engro group are up to, the link between the companies under the

name of ‘Engro’ cannot be broken. Therefore, when the fertilizer business, which is the cash

cow, was doing excellent in the market, polymer business still had to rely on debt financing from

external sources, whereas the same cash could have been provided by fertilizers as credit on

lower rates. Therefore the lack of coordination within the business under Engro Group is

minimal.

The management in Engro Polymer business has not been proactive enough to assess the market

situation, the availability of VCM in local and international markets. The prediction was late and

therefore as a result, the new plant was not ready to operate while the local unavailability of

sufficient VCM was prevalent. This further resulted in reliance on external finances in order to

meet the demands, as a result, the cost of raw material increased and profits decreased to extent

of transferring into losses. The company also breached some of the contracts and is expected to

default on few other payments by the end of the year due to late-commercialization of the VCM

plant.

The overall management decision regarding the most important factors like production facility

expansion, financial and debt management pose a great threat to the organization in future. Engro

Polymer has been on reactive approach rather than proactive one as the company was not able to

anticipate the future problems and kept relying too much on debt. This may also be due to the

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

lack of competition, because of which the management has been complacent in taking such

decisions. The overall growth of Engro Group has neglected some of the core businesses like

Engro polymer and therefore resulted in consistent losses.

8.0 Future Proposed StrategyAfter the detailed and thorough analysis of Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited, we have

prepared a strategy that will enable EPCL to come out of these difficult times successfully. The

strategy is named as “The New-Fangled Approach”, which encompasses,

EDC-VCM Plant Action

Debt Management

Export Plan

Back-up and Forecasting Plan

Product and Market Development

8.1 EDC-VCM Plant Action

EPCL’s VCM plant caught fire in December of 2009 due to lack of expertise and experience of

EPCL in managing the new facility. After the fire, VCM plant remained un-operational since

April 2010 and could not achieve the Commercial Operations status since September 2010 due to

which EPCL reported huge losses.

This lack of expertise and experience in operating VCM plant was due to non-hiring of experts

for the job. EPCL now should hire international experts for the job, so that future such incidents

can be minimized. EPCL with its international expertise should focus on the efficiency of the

VCM plant as it affects the capacity of the PVC plant as well.

Operating VCM plant at 100% efficiency would (1) reduce the raw material cost, (2) improve the

efficiency of the PVC and (3) most importantly will play a major role in bringing EPCL out of

losses.

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

8.2 Debt Management

There is a need to take EPCL out of losses through proper debt management. The debt on EPCL

is accruing huge interest charges due to which EPCL is breaching many of its loan agreements.

Debt refinancing is an attractive option for EPCL, where the debt refinancing should not be done

through financing institutions but through Engro Corp. itself. Engro Corp. being the major

shareholder in EPCL should refinance it debt on lower interest rates with deferred payments.

Term finance certificates like Engro Rupiah or sucking cash out of its cash cow like Engro

Fertilizer can provide the amount needed to refinance the debt on lower interest rates.

This debt refinancing would immensely reduce the interest rate pressure on EPCL and would

also provide EPCL with cash to inline its operations once again.

8.3 Export Plan

After the recent economical situation and floods in Pakistan, the demand for PVC is not expected

to remain upbeat for the 4sth quarter and 1H2011. Therefore, EPCL can have excess of PVC in

2011 which can be exported to earn more revenue. The more profitable export arenas for EPCL

can be China and India as their per capita PVC consumption is on low levels as compared to

Korea per capita PVC consumption of around 20kg.

Furthermore, as Caustic Soda demand in domestic

market is 230-240k tons, EPCL’s caustic soda

production will produce excess in the market and

prices locally will fall further. Therefore, instead of

completely focusing on domestic market with caustic

soda production, EPCL should equally focus on

exporting caustic soda to India and China.

8.4 Back-up and Forecasting Plan

After the unfortunate fire incident at VCM plant and delay in commercial operations, EPCL

faced massive shortages of in-house VCM. This shortage forced EPCL to again start importing

VCM until its plant gets operational. EPCL, then started importing VCM on higher prices due to

international supply shortages and then had to stop PVC plant, courtesy further shortages in

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

international market. Due to this VCM supply and demand situation in international market,

EPCL suffered with high cost of goods sold which increased by 55% from 2008 to 2009,

whereas, gross profit only increased by 2% during the same period.

EPCL, in order to prevent itself from such situations in the future should keep its VCM plant

functional at100 efficiency, through proper maintenance, operations and management skills and

expertise, as it is a basic raw material in PVC production. Moreover, if the VCM plant still goes

offline as a result any unfortunate incident, EPCL should have a fixed back-up VCM supplier

with whom EPCL is the primary customer to be served.

In addition, realistic future domestic PVC demand, revenue and net income forecast could have

lessen the loss that EPCL is expected to report in 2010. According to EPCL in 2009, the

domestic PVC demand was expected to grow at 10%-14% growth for next 3-4 years instead of

the fact that financial and political crisis had just begun at that time. Now in 2010, EPCL is

facing low demand due to almost no infrastructure development projects in Pakistan and passive

behavior of the market towards construction of homes, which is not only reducing the revenues

but also increasing losses by charging the same fixed cost and interest charges over the new

imported machinery.

In order to prevent this in future, EPCL should conduct proper and more importantly realistic

forecasting in terms of future demand patterns and revenues. This would not only help EPCL in

reducing the risk of low efficiencies but also EPCL would be able to plan future expansions and

growth plans more productively.

8.5 Product and Market Development

Whenever the organization is going through the low demand phase of its products, product and

market development serves as a savior in such situations. EPCL can increase the uses of PVC by

proper research and development.

Drip irrigation system is an excellent initiative by EPCL as it not only increases the agricultural

productivity but also indirectly increases the demand of PVC resin. EPCL should aggressively

pursue the introduction of Drip Irrigation System in Pakistan as it holds huge potential. Further

more adding to the uses of PVC, unplasticized polyvinyl chloride sheets are commonly used in

US, UK and Australia in construction of homes as it is low maintainenece material. This use can

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

also be promoted in flood affected areas where there is urgent need of home building with

finished building material.

In addition, market development of PVC resin and Caustic Soda in China and India would help

EPCL cover future low demand of its products in domestic market by selling them in

international market.

9.0 ConclusionEngro Polymer and Chemical Limited holds huge prospects in Pakistani market due to its status

as only PVC resin manufacturer and major Caustic Soda manufacturer in the country. Moreover,

the backward integration in the PVC plant strengthened its operations as fully operational VCM

plant would not only drastically reduce the raw material cost due to in-house production but

would also increase the entry barriers in the industry because of EPCL’s cost advantage.

EPCL is expected to further grow and turn itself in to profits in coming 3-4 years once again

provided it follows the above proposed strategies and the natural environment remains constant.

9.1 Future Financial Outlook

According to the management of EPCL, the product demand is projected to go down further

domestically due to liquidity crunch. The situation is expected to exist till the 1H2011 and then

in 2H2011 the demand is again expected to show some positive signs as the flood relief schemes

come in full swing. EPCL is going to focus on export of PVC to China, India and Middle East in

2011 to balance the demand and production. The company is also expecting heavy decline in raw

material prices as VCM plant will again begin its operation on 100% efficiency from 4Q2010.

Plus the prices of PVC and Caustic Soda have risen in the international markets and are expected

to remain at the same level which will further strengthen the top-line of the company.

International Chlor Vinyl margins are also increasing in the international market which will

further lessen the COGS burden on EPCL.

Based on these sector and market assumption and provided the internal and external

environmental factors remains constant, 4Q2010, Year 2011 and 2012 can be projected as,

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Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

Heads 4Q2010E Consolidated 2010E

Net Sales 3885770 14396500

COGS 3657984 13532710

Gross Profit 227786 863790

Operating Expenses 374247 1247109

Operating Income -146461 -383319

Financing Charges 377042 1394061

Earning Before Tax -523503 -1777380

Tax 209401 672727

Earning After Tax -314102 -1104653

Earning/Loss per share -0.47 -1.77

Rs. In ‘000’, except ‘Earning/Loss per share

Heads 2010E 2011F 2012F

Net Sales 14396500

COGS 13532710

Gross Profit 863790

Operating Expenses 1247109

Operating Income -383319

Financing Charges 1394061

Earning Before Tax -1777380

Tax 672727

Earning After Tax -1104653

Earning/Loss per share -1.77

Rs. In ‘000’, except ‘Earning/Loss per share


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