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Copyright © 2010 QuantumWave Capital Confidential 1
STRATEGIES FOR GROWTH: MOBILE INTERNET IN ASTRATEGIES FOR GROWTH: MOBILE INTERNET IN A
WORLD OF INNOVATION, INVESTMENT & RETURN
Speakers
Robert Marcus
Chairman & CEO QuantumWave CapitalChairman & CEO, QuantumWave Capital
Stephen Dunbar‐Johnson
Publisher International Herald TribunePublisher, International Herald Tribune
Jean Schmitt
Managing Partner Sofinnova PartnersManaging Partner, Sofinnova Partners
Rob Coneybeer
Managing Director Shasta Vent resManaging Director, Shasta Ventures
John Malloy (Panelist)
Partner Bl eR n Vent resPartner, BlueRun Ventures
Copyright © 2010 QuantumWave Capital Confidential 3
THE MOBILE INTERNET: CHASING ALPHA ONTHE MOBILE INTERNET: CHASING ALPHA ON
COMPUTING’S FIFTH WAVE
ROBERT MARCUS, CHAIRMAN & CEO, QUANTUMWAVE CAPITAL
The Space
Mobile internet cycle the 5th technology cycle in 50 years
Launching now, ramping faster than the desktop internet
Material wealth creation to surpass earlier TMT cycles
Cycle winners generate more market cap than preceding
Most internet connectivity over mobile within 5 years
MAINFRAME MINICOMPUTER PC DESKTOP INTERNET
•1960’s•1 MM unites
•1970s•10 MM units
•1980s•100 MM units
•1990s•1 Billion units
•2000…•10 Billion units
MOBILE INTERNET
Mobile Internet Disruption
Liberalisation of walled garden systemsg y
Acceleration of the technology adoption lifecycle
Disapplication of conventional business modelspp
Disapplication of conventional valuation models
Emergence of innovative monetization methodse ge ce o o at e o et at o et ods
Disruption of complex commercialization ecosystems
Specialization, complexity requires deep technical skillSpecialization, complexity requires deep technical skill
Correlation of value drives Absolute Return
The Numbers
6 billion mobile subscribers in 2011 Strategy Analytics (January 2011)Strategy Analytics (January 2011)
2 billion internet connected usersITU (January 2011)( y )
Global mobile revenues exceed $1 trillion in 2014Gartner (October 2010)
Annual global economic benefits of the commercial internet equal $1.5 trillion
Information Technology and Innovation Foundation (March 2010)
1 trillion connected devices by 2015IBM (February 2011)IBM (February 2011)
Decoding Mobile Internet Technology as an Asset Class
Highly accessible 6 billion subscriber global addressable market
Robust technology demand from internet, mobile, media and entertainment sectors
Large corporates cannot design, develop, and ship products fast enough to meet customer demand
IP demand outpaces local supply, moderating buy‐versus‐build debate, driving innovation outsourcing
S ll i d h l t d ti t it lSmall is good; much accelerated time‐to‐exit cycle
Decline in IPOs powers M&A TMT to 10‐year high
Ch i Al h i l h i l lChasing Alpha is extremely technical, complex
MEDIA, THE MOBILE INTERNET,MEDIA, THE MOBILE INTERNET, DISRUPTION AND OPPORTUNITY
STEPHEN DUNBAR‐JOHNSON, PUBLISHER, INTERNATIONAL HERALD TRIBUNE
Improvised Mobile Phone Charging StationTahrir Square, Cairoq
Opposition protestorTahrir Square, Cairoq
Young Egyptian Protestors Using Social Networking Tools, Tahrir Square, Cairog q
Technology is Critical to Media Companies Transformation
WESTERN EUROPE: HEARTLAND OF MOBILEWESTERN EUROPE: HEARTLAND OF MOBILE
INNOVATION
JEAN SCHMITT, MANAGING PARTNER, SOFINNOVA PARTNERS
Mobile Innovation in Western Europe
20 years ago : invention and deployment!GSM meant “Groupe Spécial Mobile”
10 years ago : leadership and complacency!European OEMs, NEPs, MNOs were leading
Today: institutionalized stagnation and denial!Today: institutionalized stagnation and denial!European NEPs / MNOs have weak balance sheets, OEMs lost vision
TomorrowTomorrow…Western Europe supplies tech superpowers with a torrent of R&D
Nowhere to Go…
Gradual Decline
Great VisionDecline Vision
Solid Regional Business
Weak Markets,
Few BusinessExits
Disruptors Take All
Western European Innovation
Just Do It…!
SILICON VALLEY: HEARTLAND OF INTERNETSILICON VALLEY: HEARTLAND OF INTERNETINNOVATION
ROB CONEYBEER, MANAGING DIRECTOR, SHASTA VENTURES
Europe Meets Silicon Valley
The “New Deal” from Apple
f fl t t f 30%for a flat tax of 30%...
Never talk to a carrierNever talk to a carrier
Standard contract & terms
Single OS: iPhone, iPad, & iPod Touch
Minimal code forking
Developer access to all sensors
Free developer supportFree developer support
Free promotional support
Credit card processing & settlement
Global distribution
Silicon Valley went Over The Top (OTT)
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Only 2 Mobile Platforms Matter
Mobile Apps Disrupt Every Industry
radio videoradio video
print media retail
group buying lodging
directories transportation
PANEL DISCUSSIONPANEL DISCUSSION
Copyright © 2010 QuantumWave Capital Confidential 27
M d t R b t M Ch i & CEO Q t W C it lModerator: Robert Marcus, Chairman & CEO, QuantumWave Capital
Stephen Dunbar‐Johnson, Publisher, International Herald Tribune
Jean Schmitt, Managing Partner, Sofinnova Partners
Rob Coneybeer, Managing Director, Shasta Ventures
John Malloy, Managing General Partner, BlueRun Venturesy, g g ,
Copyright © 2010 QuantumWave Capital Confidential 29