The Elderly Population in Maryland

The Elderly Population in Maryland

Data from the 2000 Census

and Projections

MACo Summer Conference, August 14th, 2003

Maryland Department of Planning

Elderly Population in Maryland

• Elderly Population Totals & Shares by County

• Socioeconomic Characteristics from the 2000 Census

• Projections

Percent of Population Ages 65+ in 2000

12.4%11.3%

0%

3%

6%

8%

11%

14%

U.S. Maryland(Ranked 41st)

Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data

12.9%

13.2%

13.5%

14.2%

14.2%

14.6%

14.9%

17.7%

17.9%

19.3%

20.1%

20.4%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Queen Anne's

Baltimore city

Caroline

Somerset

Washington

Baltimore Co

Garrett

Dorchester

Allegany

Kent

Worcester

Talbot

Percent Age 65+ by Jurisdiction – 2000

Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data

7.5%

7.7%

7.8%

8.9%

9.1%

9.6%

10.0%

10.1%

10.5%

10.8%

11.2%

12.8%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Howard

Prince George's

Charles

Calvert

St. Mary's

Frederick

Anne Arundel

Harford

Cecil

Carroll

Montgomery

Wicomico

Percent Age 65+ by Jurisdiction – 2000


continued

Percent Persons Over the Age of 65 For Maryland’s Jurisdictions - 2000

Garrett 14.9%

Allegany 17.9% Washington

14.2%

Frederick 9.6%

Carroll 10.8%

Baltimore 14.6%

Montgomery 11.2%

Harford 10.1%

Cecil 10.5%

Charles 7.8%

Prince George’s

7.7%

St. Mary’s 9.1%

Howard 7.5%

Anne Arundel 10.0%

Kent 19.3%

Balto. City 13.2%

Talbot 20.4%

Calvert 8.9%

Dorchester 17.7%

Caroline 13 5%

Queen Anne’s 12.9%

Wicomico 12.8%

Somerset 14.2%

Worcester 20.1%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SF1. Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services.

Percent Persons Over 65

7.5% - 10.4%

17.5% - 20.4%

10.5% - 13.4%

13.5% - 17.4%

10,823

13,429

16,267

18,468

18,690

18,836

22,160

48,820

61,951

85,921

98,157

110,335

0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000

Wicomico

Allegany

Carroll

Howard

Washington

Frederick

Harford

Anne Arundel

Prince George's

Baltimore City

Montgomery

Baltimore Co

Population, Ages 65+, by Jurisdiction – 2000


3,503

3,708

4,031

4,461

5,227

5,423

6,627

6,897

7,825

8,995

9,351

9,402

0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000

Somerset

Kent

Caroline

Garrett

Queen Anne's

Dorchester

Calvert

Talbot

St. Mary's

Cecil

Worcester

Charles

Population, Ages 65+, by Jurisdiction – 2000


continued

1,899

2,045

2,829

3,287

3,710

4,627

7,069

7,126

11,255

11,608

13,486

20,666

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000

Washington

Calvert

Charles

Worcester

Carroll

Frederick

Howard

Harford

Anne Arundel

Prince George's

Baltimore Co

Montgomery

Change in Population Ages 65+ by Jurisdiction – 1990 - 2000


-14,995

-451

-1

141

197

594

689

769

856

1,264

1,525

1,630

-20,000 -15,000 -10,000 -5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000

Baltimore City

Allegany

Somerset

Caroline

Dorchester

Garrett

Kent

Talbot

Queen Anne's

Wicomico

St. Mary's

Cecil

Change in Population Ages 65+ by Jurisdiction – 1990 - 2000


continued

17.8%

18.0%

18.0%

19.5%

21.7%

23.6%

28.5%

34.8%

45.0%

50.8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Montgomery

Anne Arundel

Washington

Harford

Baltimore Co

Talbot

Worcester

Garrett

Dorchester

Kent

Elderly Change as a Pct of Total Pop Change, 1990 - 2000


0.0%

5.2%

8.8%

10.3%

11.2%

11.7%

12.3%

13.0%

13.5%

14.6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Somerset

Caroline

Calvert

Frederick

Cecil

Howard

Wicomico

Queen Anne's

Carroll

Charles

Elderly Change as a Pct of Total Pop Change, 1990 - 2000


continued

Characteristics of the Elderly

• Median Household Income & Poverty

• Percent of Income Spent on Housing

• Vehicle Availability

• Ability to Speak English

• Disability Status

Median Household Income (1999)by Age of Household Head - Maryland

$27,015

$48,851

$61,027

$68,364

$60,585

$38,607

$27,246

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

< 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+


Poverty Rates in 1999 by Age Group in Maryland

8.5% 8.5%7.4%

10.0%

11.7%10.7%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

Total 65+ 65-74 75+ <5 < 18


7.9%

8.5%

8.6%

8.8%

8.9%

9.5%

9.5%

12.3%

13.9%

14.2%

18.0%

19.1%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Talbot

Kent

Charles

Wicomico

St. Mary's

Washington

Allegany

Caroline

Garrett

Dorchester

Baltimore city

Somerset

Percent Age 65+ in Poverty by Jurisdiction – 1999


4.9%

5.7%

5.8%

5.9%

6.0%

6.4%

6.5%

6.7%

6.9%

6.9%

7.3%

7.7%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Carroll

Calvert

Anne Arundel

Montgomery

Frederick

Worcester

Baltimore Co

Harford

Prince George's

Howard

Queen Anne's

Cecil

Percent Age 65+ in Poverty by Jurisdiction – 1999


continued

2.7%

3.1%

3.2%

3.2%

3.4%

4.9%

7.1%

8.5%

9.2%

9.6%

10.9%

13.1%

-4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%

Prince George's

Caroline

Talbot

Garrett

Washington

Dorchester

Wicomico

Allegany

Kent

Somerset

Worcester

Baltimore city

Pct Pt Diff Between Child Poverty & Elderly Poverty – 1999


Child poverty > elderly poverty

-2.8%

-1.6%

-0.8%

-0.6%

-0.5%

-0.3%

0.0%

0.3%

0.4%

0.9%

1.2%

1.8%

-4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%

Howard

Charles

Frederick

Carroll

Harford

Calvert

St. Mary's

Montgomery

Queen Anne's

Anne Arundel

Baltimore Co

Cecil

Pct Pt Diff Between Child Poverty & Elderly Poverty – 1999


Child poverty > elderly poverty

Elderly poverty > child poverty

continued







Pct of Homeowners in 2000, by age of Household Head, Who Pay More Than 30% of Income for

Housing in Maryland

40.9%

27.8%24.9%

20.7% 21.1% 21.4% 22.0%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

< 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+


Pct of Renters in 2000, by age of Household Head, Who Pay More Than 30% of Income for Housing

in Maryland

48.9%

31.6% 32.7% 31.8%

38.6%

48.5%

55.9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

< 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+








Pct of Households in 2000, by age of Household Head, with No Vehicle Available in Maryland

19.4%

9.7% 8.5% 7.6%9.0%

13.6%

27.5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

< 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+


14.1%

15.2%

15.8%

15.9%

16.2%

17.2%

17.5%

17.5%

18.1%

19.3%

19.6%

44.5%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Kent

Wicomico

Howard

Prince George's

Montgomery

Garrett

Baltimore

Dorchester

Washington

Somerset

Allegany

Baltimore City

Pct Age 65+ With No Vehicle Available by Jurisdiction – 2000


9.1%

9.6%

11.2%

11.7%

11.7%

11.7%

11.8%

12.2%

12.7%

13.0%

13.1%

14.1%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Queen Anne's

Calvert

Worcester

Talbot

Caroline

Carroll

St. Mary's

Anne Arundel

Charles

Harford

Frederick

Cecil

Pct Age 65+ With No Vehicle Available by Jurisdiction – 2000


continued







Persons Who Speak English “Not Well” or “Not at All” by Age Group

13,604

82,946

14,706

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

5-17 18-64 65+

(1.4%) (2.5%) (2.5%)


Persons Ages 65+ Who Speak English “Not Well or “Not at All”

1,334

668

1,597

1,942

2,244

6,921

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000

Remainder

Howard

Baltimore City

Prince George's

Baltimore

Montgomery








Percent of Population Ages 65+ With a Reported Disability - 2000

41.9%39.8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

U.S. Maryland(Ranked 34th)


Disability Rates by Age Group for Maryland in 2000

6.0%

13.3%17.2%

30.5%

51.3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

5 - 15 16 - 20 21 - 64 65-74 75+


Type of Disabilities Reported in Maryland for Population Ages 65+ in 2000

71,858

153,499

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

Sensory Physical


Disabilities Reported in Maryland by Activity Category in 2000 for Population Ages 65+

52,021

57,568

116,401

0 50,000 100,000 150,000

Self-care

Mental

Go-outside-home


4,093

5,370

6,089

6,521

6,531

7,562

8,544

17,914

23,846

30,541

40,666

42,156

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000

Wicomico

Allegany

Carroll

Howard

Frederick

Washington

Harford

Anne Arundel

Prince George's

Montgomery

Baltimore

Baltimore City

Population Age 65+ With Disabilities by Jurisdiction – 2000


1,316

1,562

1,644

1,679

1,836

2,158

2,281

2,358

2,716

3,306

3,373

3,833

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000

Kent

Somerset

Caroline

Queen Anne's

Garrett

Dorchester

Calvert

Talbot

St. Mary's

Cecil

Worcester

Charles

Population Age 65+ With Disabilities by Jurisdiction – 2000


continued

39.6%

39.7%

40.0%

40.5%

41.0%

42.5%

42.5%

43.1%

43.1%

44.5%

47.2%

51.2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Harford

Carroll

Prince George's

Wicomico

Dorchester

Allegany

Charles

Washington

Caroline

Garrett

Somerset

Baltimore City

Percent Age 65+ With Disabilities by Jurisdiction – 2000


32.7%

33.5%

35.7%

36.1%

37.1%

37.2%

37.3%

37.5%

38.0%

38.1%

38.2%

39.1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Montgomery

Queen Anne's

Talbot

Calvert

Frederick

Worcester

Howard

St. Mary's

Anne Arundel

Baltimore

Kent

Cecil

Percent Age 65+ With Disabilities by Jurisdiction – 2000


continued







Elderly Population Projections for Maryland

• Total Elderly Population

• Elderly Share of Total Population

• Implications - Disability

• Dependent Populations

Population, Ages 65 +, in Maryland,

Actual and Projected

599.3 649.3732.8

870.8

1,022.2

1,184.1

1,328.5

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Tho

usan

ds

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Source: The U.S. Census Bureau and the Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services

Change in Maryland Population,

Ages 65 +

84,963

133,544

289,285306,372

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

1990-2000 2000-2010 2010-2020 2020-2030

Source: The U.S. Census Bureau and the Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services

Projected Population Gain in Maryland, 2000–2030(Ages 0-64 and 65 +)

336.4

729.2

0

200

400

600

800

Th

ousa

nd

s

0 - 64 65+

Source: The Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services

Historical and Projected Population, Ages 65+ for Maryland

10.8% 11.3%12.8%

16.7%

20.9%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Source: The U.S. Census Bureau and the Maryland Department of Planning, October 2002

13.1%

14.1%

14.1%

14.4%

14.6%

14.8%

17.9%

18.0%

19.2%

21.2%

22.5%

23.6%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Carroll

Caroline

Somerset

Queen Anne's

Washington

Baltimore

Allegany

Garrett

Dorchester

Kent

Talbot

Worcester

Projected Percent Population Age 65+ by Jurisdiction – 2010

Source: Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services

9.9%

10.5%

10.8%

10.8%

11.2%

11.4%

11.6%

12.6%

12.8%

12.9%

13.0%

13.0%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Prince George's

Howard

Frederick

Charles

Calvert

Cecil

St. Mary's

Baltimore City

Wicomico

Anne Arundel

Harford

Montgomery



continued

17.4%

17.6%

17.8%

18.3%

18.5%

18.5%

20.1%

21.5%

22.5%

23.7%

26.0%

27.9%

28.1%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Washington

Carroll

Harford

Queen Anne's

Baltimore

Anne Arundel

Allegany

Allegany

Garrett

Dorchester

Kent

Talbot

Worcester



13.7%

14.4%

14.8%

14.9%

15.1%

15.3%

15.6%

15.7%

16.7%

17.2%

17.3%

17.4%

17.4%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Prince George's

Frederick

Charles

Baltimore City

Cecil

Howard

Wicomico

St. Mary's

Calvert

Somerset

Montgomery

Caroline

Washington



continued

22.3%

22.5%

22.6%

23.3%

23.3%

24.0%

24.0%

27.9%

29.5%

32.2%

32.8%

33.3%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Baltimore

Allegany

Carroll

Calvert

Harford

Queen Anne's

Anne Arundel

Garrett

Dorchester

Kent

Worcester

Talbot



17.5%

17.7%

18.2%

18.3%

19.0%

19.2%

20.2%

20.8%

21.2%

21.4%

21.6%

21.6%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Baltimore City

Prince George's

Wicomico

Frederick

Cecil

Charles

Howard

Somerset

Washington

St. Mary's

Montgomery

Caroline



continued

Actual and Projected Number of People Ages 65 + with Disabilities

227.9275.3

376.8

500.2

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Tho

usan

ds

2000 2010 2020 2030

Source: U.S. Census Bureau and the Maryland Department of Planning

Dependency Ratios for Maryland *

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Total Youth Elderly

•Pop < 16/pop16-64 x100 = youth dependency ratio

•Pop 65+/pop16-64x100 = elderly dependency ratioSource: Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services

Maryland State Data CenterMaryland State Data Center

Website:

www.mdp.state.md.us/msdc

Mark Goldstein

410-767-4454

[email protected]

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The Elderly Population in Maryland

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