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XXXXX The implications of CCS economics for monitoring and modelling of CO 2 storage Prof. Dianne E. Wiley Minh Ho, Peter Neal CO2CRC Economics @ UNSW © CO2CRC All rights reserved Professor Dianne Wiley Head, School of Chemical and Biomolecular Engineering Combined Meeting of the IEAGHG Modelling and Monitoring Networks 6 th 8 th July 2016, Edinburgh, Scotland
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Page 1: The implications of CCS economics for monitoring and ...ieaghg.org/docs/General_Docs/2modmon_pres/4.2... · The implications of CCS economics for monitoring and modelling of CO 2

XXXXX

The implications of CCS economics for

monitoring and modelling of CO2 storage

Prof. Dianne E. Wiley

Minh Ho, Peter Neal

CO2CRC Economics @ UNSW © CO2CRC

All rights reserved

Professor Dianne WileyHead, School of Chemical and Biomolecular Engineering

Combined Meeting of the IEAGHG

Modelling and Monitoring Networks

6th – 8th July 2016, Edinburgh,

Scotland

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Introduction

• Commercial and R&D CCS projects are underway

– they could not happen without MMV

BUT …

• Costs of MMV technologies are rarely reported publicly

– it is difficult to compare conventional or prospective technologies

for different projects

Source: https://www.e-

education.psu.edu/drupal6/files/meteo469/lesson11/ccs

.jpg

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QUEST: Multiple domains for MMV

Source: www.slideshare.net/globalccs/shell-quest-canada

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QUEST: Multiple technologies for MMV

Source: www.slideshare.net/globalccs/shell-quest-canada

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Management cost at 15%

Post- Op enchancements

Closure - Seismic survey

Operational enhancements

Micro-seismicity

Wellhead atmospheric CO2concentrationInjection and productionratesWellhead pressure

Seismic survey

Pre-Op enhancements

Basline atmosphericmonitoringMicro seismic baseline

Pre-op Seismic survey

Injection and productionrate testingFormation pressure

Wellhead pressure

Well logs

Pre-operational MMV costs

Operational MMV costs

Post-operational MMV

General management

Breakdown of MMV costs (2004)

Saline reservoir

Adapted from: Benson et al (2004) Overview of Monitoring Requirements for Geological

Storage Projects. Report PH4-29. IEA GHG

Enhanced MMV technologies

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Previous findings on MMV costs (2004)

• Pre-operational costs

– dominated by seismic surveys

• Operational costs

– dominated (~70%) by seismic surveys and injection

monitoring

• Total project costs

– increased (~60%) by ‘enhanced’ MMV during

operation and closure periods

Adapted from: Benson et al (2004) Overview of Monitoring Requirements for Geological

Storage Projects. Report PH4-29. IEA GHG

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What do we know in

2016 about the

contribution of MMV

to CCS costs?

www.co2crc.com.au/wp-

content/uploads/2016/04/LCOE_R

eport_final_web.pdf

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What’s in the report?

• Costs of ‘building blocks’ for

CO2 transport and storage

– pipelines

– booster pumps

– wells

– platforms

– MMV

• Costs for specific Australian

case studies

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Assessing transport and storage options for

East Coast Australia

North

Queensland

South

Queensland

North NSW

South

NSW

Latrobe Valley

Surat

Galilee

Eromanga

Gippsland

Darling

Cooper

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Key points about methodology

• Total Plant Costs reported as $/CO2 injected (or transported)

– not total project costs (which include owner’s and risk adjusted

costs)

– not $/t CO2 avoided (which includes amount of CO2 generated

due to energy usage)

• Costs include

– capital costs

– operating costs (including energy for booster pumps)

– on-costs

• MMV costs cover

– 3D seismic surveys (at 5 year intervals)

– borehole seismic logging (complementary 5 year intervals)

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Cost of 3D seismic surveys

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

0 5,000 10,000

3D

seis

mic

su

rve

y c

ost

(A$ m

illio

n)

Areal extent (km2)

Onshore

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

0 5,000 10,000

3D

seis

mic

su

rve

y c

ost

(A$ m

illio

n)

Areal extent (km2)

Offshore

High cost

range

Low cost

range

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0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000Bo

reh

ole

seis

mic

co

st

(A$ m

illio

n p

er

log

)

Total vertical depth (m)

Cost of borehole seismic profiling

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0 20 40 60 80

Cost of T&S – selected case studies

Specific Cost of CO2 Injected (A$/t 2015)

MMV

Pipelines

Boosters

Wells

Facilities

On-costs

South Qld – Eromanga (onshore)

North Qld – Galilee (onshore)

Latrobe V. – Gippsland (offshore)

South Qld – Surat (onshore)

Short distanceHigh injectivity

Moderate distance

Hunter V. – Gippsland (offshore)

Energy cost

Long distance> 1,000 km

Adapted from: APGTAR (2015)

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Specific Cost of CO2 Injected (A$/t 2015)

Cost of storage

South Qld – Eromanga (onshore)

North Qld – Galilee (onshore)

Gippsland (offshore)

South Qld – Surat (onshore)

0 2 4 6 8

Wells

Facilities

Oncosts

MMV

Large areal extent (>30,000 km2)

Moderate areal extent (10,000 km2)

Small areal extent (2,000 km2)

Adapted from: APGTAR (2015)

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Effect of frequency and cost on MMV

Baseline

0

10

20

30

40

50

0 5 10 15

MM

V c

ost

$/y

r

Frequency of measurement (years)

Transport of CO2 from South Queensland to Surat Basin

Adapted from: APGTAR (2015)

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Cost breakdown for CCS

Transport2%

Storage~1%

Capture96%

MEA capture from USC black coal fired power plant in South Queensland with storage in Surat Basin

Adapted from: APGTAR (2015)

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Conclusions

• MMV (in $/t injected) accounts for:

– ~ 0.6% of a CCS project cost

– ~ 4% of transport & storage cost (0.1% to 20%)

– ~ 20% of storage cost (0.1% to 40%)

• MMV cost increases when

– areal extent of the reservoir increases

– a small amount of CO2 is injected over a large area

• Limited cost data for MMV technologies is available

• New MMV technologies need to be cheap, reliable

and easily deployed within regular project phases

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