+ All Categories
Home > Documents > THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in...

THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in...

Date post: 07-Jul-2020
Category:
Upload: others
View: 0 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
44
THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT [email protected] (emails welcome)
Transcript
Page 1: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

THE IPBES GLOBAL

ASSESSMENT

[email protected] (emails welcome)

Page 2: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

The Author Team

145 experts

from 51 countries

(3 co-chairs

24 coordinating lead

authors

87 lead authors

15 review editors

16 fellows)

& 310 contributing

authors

Supported by:

The Global TSU &

other TSUs &

Management

Committee

58%

Natural

Scientists

9%

interdisciplinary

Scientists

33% Social

Scientists

37.2% Women

62.8% Men

~156,000 Hours of Voluntary Work =

~17 years

Page 3: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Hien Ngo (TSU) Max Gueze (TSU)

Eduardo Brondízio (co-chair)

Josef Settele (co-chair)

Sandra Díaz (co-chair)

Page 4: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

A co-produced Summary for Policymakers

Contributing Authors

Chapter scientists

Authors + Fellows

Strategic partners

IPBES

MC

MEP and Bureau

Review

Editors

IPBES Secretariat

incl. TSUs

Government reviewers +

government input

UN partner

agencies

Conventions/MEAs

Resource people

Regional and LDR

assessment experts and

“ambassadors”

Stakeholders

IIFBES & civil society

NFP Consultation

(June 2018, Bonn,

Germany)

Reviewers

Page 5: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Nature underpins and sustains

human quality of life

Page 6: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Nature and its vital

contributions to people are

deteriorating worldwide

Page 7: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

More food, energy and materials than ever

before are now being supplied to people

across distant regions

Page 8: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Global trends in nature’s contributions to people since 1970

Page 9: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

The fabric of life on Earth is deteriorating

fast worldwide

Page 10: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

The fabric of life is not only getting smaller,

it is also getting increasingly thinner,

simpler and more frayed:

Virtually all indicators of the global state of

nature are decreasing

Page 11: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

The biosphere and atmosphere, upon

which humanity as a whole depends, have

been deeply reconfigured by people.

75% of the land area is very significantly altered; 66% of the ocean area is experiencing increasing

cumulative impacts; >85% of wetland area has been lost.

Page 12: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

More species of plants and animals are threatened

with extinction now than at any other time in

human history.

Page 13: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Global extinction rate is at least tens to

hundreds of times higher than it has been

on average over the last 10 million years.

EXTINCTION RATE

Page 14: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

The number of local varieties and breeds of domesticated plants and animals has decreased sharply

Imag

e: h

ttp

s://

ww

w.q

uo

ra.c

om

/Wh

at-i

s-th

e-b

reed

-nam

e-o

f-th

e-In

dia

n-D

esi-

cow

AT RISK

EXTINCT

NOT AT RISK

UNKNOWN RISK

Proportion of the world’s mammal and bird breeds by risk status category

Number of seed varieties on sale in 1983 (light green) as percentage of those on sale in 1903 (100%)

Ph

oto

cred

it D

anie

l M. C

ácer

es

Page 15: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Drivers of change have accelerated during the past 50

years to levels unprecedented in human history

DIRECT DRIVERS

Terrestrial

Freshwater

Marine

Page 16: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

DIRECT DRIVERS

Terrestrial

Freshwater

Marine

Underpinning the proximate causes of deterioration in

nature are the root causes, or indirect drivers of change.

S

O

C

I

A

L

V

A

L

U

E

S

Page 17: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Global trends and regional asymmetries in

development, production and consumption

• c. 4-fold increase in

the global economy

• c. 10-fold increase in

global trade

• Increasing spatial

segregation of

production and

consumption

Page 18: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Contributions of Indigenous Peoples and Local Communities: knowledge, innovations, practices, and institutions

Page 19: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Contributions of Indigenous Peoples and Local Communities: knowledge, innovations, practices, and institutions

Page 20: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Contributions of Indigenous Peoples and Local Communities: knowledge, innovations, practices, and institutions

Page 21: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

[SIMPLIFIED AICHI TABLE]

Progress towards the Aichi Biodiversity Targets

(each symbol represents an element of the targets)

Page 22: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Progress towards the UN Sustainable Development

Goals (each symbol represents a target with close relation to Nature)

Page 23: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Plausible futures - Scenarios

Economic optimism - rapid economic growth - low regulation

Regional competition - strong trade and other barriers - growing gap between rich and poor

Global sustainability - Proactive environmental policy - Sustainable production and consumption

Page 24: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Projected changes in biodiversity and nature’s material and

regulating benefits, due to climate & land use change by 2050

Page 25: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Plausible scenarios, which include transformative

change, are compatible with the 2030 sustainability

objectives and the 2050 Vision for Biodiversity.

Changes in production and consumption of energy and

food

Low to moderate population growth

Nature-friendly and socially fair climate adaptation and

mitigation

Photocredit Daniel M. Cáceres

Page 26: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

We have dramatically

reconfigured the

fabric of life of the

planet.

The world is

becoming much more

interconnected, yet

increasingly unequal.

Page 27: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Options for the futures we want

Page 28: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Options for the futures we want

Page 29: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Confronting the challenge of meeting international societal and environmental goals for the next

decades

Key components for transformation

Page 30: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Challenges related to climate change,

nature deterioration and achieving a

good quality of life for all are

interconnected.

Therefore they need to be addressed

synergistically, from local to global

levels.

.

Page 31: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Need for rapid implementation of

existing instruments and bold

decisions for transformative

change.

Knowledge and tools available,

they simply need better

deployment and implementation.

Page 32: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Meeting global societal goals through

urgent and concerted efforts addressing

the direct drivers and especially the root

causes (indirect drivers) of nature

deterioration:

• Governance

• Economic systems

• Equity

• Cross-sectorial planning

• Incentives

• Social narrative and values

Page 33: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Cross-Sectoral, Integrated Management

at Multiple Levels

Food production and conservation goals:

complementary and interdependent.

Sustainable fisheries: integrated management

on land, in freshwater and oceans.

Land-based climate change mitigation:

attention to trade-offs.

Nature-based solutions in cities: crucial for

global sustainability.

Page 34: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Recognizing the knowledge, innovations

and practices, institutions and values of

indigenous peoples and local

communities and their inclusion and

participation in environmental

governance.

Enhances their quality of life, as well as

nature conservation and sustainable use,

relevant to broader society.

Page 35: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

A key constituent of sustainable

pathways is the evolution of global

financial and economic systems to

build a global sustainable economy.

One that steers away from the

current limited paradigm of

economic growth.

Page 36: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Many societal responses and

successful examples, rapid

transformative change is already

happening in many sectors, just not

at the scale needed to match that of

the crisis.

Bold actions and commitment from

local to global levels urgently needed.

Page 37: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Options for the futures we want

Page 38: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Possible actions and pathways to achieve transformative change

Building sustainable cities that address critical needs while conserving nature, restoring biodiversity, maintaining and

enhancing ecosystem services

Page 39: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Sustainable cities

• Engaging sustainable urban planning (e.g. G, CG, IPLC, NGO, P) {6.3.5.1} (D9)

• • Encouraging densification for compact communities, including brownfield development and other strategies {6.3.5.3}

• Including biodiversity protection, biodiversity offsetting, river basin protection, and ecological restoration in regional planning {6.3.5.1}

• Safeguarding urban key biodiversity areas and ensuring that they do not become isolated through incompatible uses of surrounding land {6.3.5.2; SM 6.4.2}

Page 40: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Sustainable cities

• Promoting biodiversity mainstreaming through stakeholder engagement and integrative planning (e.g. G, NGO, CG, IPLC) {6.3.5.3}, thus encouraging alternative business models and incentives for urban conservation {6.3.2.1}

• Promoting sustainable production and consumption {6.3.6.4}

• Promoting nature-based solutions (e.g. G, NGO, SO, P) {6.3.5.2} (D8, D9)

Page 41: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Sustainable cities

• Promoting, developing, safeguarding or retrofitting green and blue infrastructure (for water management) while improving grey (hard) infrastructure to address biodiversity outcomes {6.3.5.2}

• Promoting ecosystem-based adaptation within communities {3.7; 5.4.2.2}

• Maintaining and designing for ecological connectivity within urban spaces, particularly with native species {6.3.5.2; 6.4.1}

• Increasing urban green spaces and improving access to them{6.3.2}

Page 42: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Building sustainable cities (in a subjective nutshell)

• Limit urban sprawl

• Promote low impact public transportation,

nature sensitive road networks

• Expand vegetation cover, promote urban

gardens

• Manage for ecological connectivity

• Promote sustainable water and solid waste

management

Page 43: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

• Most comprehensive global picture of the

links between nature and people in recent

times ever produced.

• Trends worrying and clearly unsustainable

• A call for action: • Prompt action (go further and faster)

• Tackling the roots causes of nature’s deterioration

• Coordinated and integrated across sectors and

scales

In a nutshell

Page 44: THE IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT - Resilient Cities 2019 · Global trends and regional asymmetries in development, production and consumption • c. 4-fold increase in the global economy

Recommended