The Perfect Storm— People without Jobs, Jobs without People
Agenda
Why are there people without jobs and jobs without people?
The growing challenge for teens and their parents
Solution initiatives
Whole Community Approach
Key Messages
• The importance of looking ahead
– Matching personal strengths with opportunities
• The value of personal development
– Knowledge
– Skills
– Character
• Need for whole community involvement
– Career Coaching role of parents
Tonight: Focus on “What are my opportunities”?
• Context: Jobs without people, people without jobs
• What’s going on?
The Storm
Great Recession
Aging Population
Unprepared Workforce
Upskilling of Jobs
1
2
3
4
Credit for the Perfect Storm Info
• The information in the following slides has been researched and shared by
• Phil Jarvis – Director of Global Partnerships
– Career Cruising (The Real Game)
• Research by Rick Miner: “People without Jobs, Jobs without People” (2010); “Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities” (2012)
1 | The Great Recession
Global economy in throes of worst economic storm in the century
Jobs in jeopardy
Slow, faltering recovery
Governments in record debt
The Gallup World Poll was started in
2005, covers virtually every demographic
and socioeconomic group in every
country in the world, and will go on for
100 years.
Biggest discovery so far:
More than anything else,
the whole world wants
a good job!
The countries with enough cities that pull together to ensure their
citizens have good jobs and their employers have engaged employees
will be the winners in The Coming Jobs War.
2 | Aging Population
Declining birth rate since 1967
Later marriage & fewer children
Boomers retiring (1947-65 in 2012)
Growing concerns: dependency ratio
Immigration cannot offset natural decline
Percent of Canadians Aged 15-64
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
1950 1975 2000 2020 2045
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CEN
TAG
E
YEAR Source: Russell Barnett, Bank of Canada Review, Summer 2007, p.7
Dependency Ratio
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Canada NFLD PEI NS NB QC ON MN SK AB BC
PER
CEN
TAG
E
2010
2036
Rick Miner, PhD, 2012, Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities
3 | Upskilling of Jobs
Rick Miner, 2012, Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities
• Vast majority of 2031 work force has been born • Immigration – 280,000 • Under-represented - poor, aboriginals, women, disabled
3 | Upskilling of Jobs
Skills Shortages Agriculture: 90,000 additional workers required by 2013 Construction: 219,000 retiring workers 2012 – 2020 ECO Canada: 100,483 environmental workers in the next 10 years to replace
retiring workers Electricity: 45,000 new skilled workers required by 2016 (almost half of the
existing workforce) Food Processing: 13% (32,500) of workers in this industry will be retiring by 2115.
At least 21,500 needed in the period Information & Communications Technology: 106,000 in the next 5 years Mining: About 81,000 needed in the next decade Petroleum: At least 15,000 new workers over the next four years (2012 - 2015) Printing: 41% of the industry’s labour force is nearing, or has passed, the age of
early retirement Supply Chain: 27,000 current vacancies , with an additional need for
60,000employees annually Tourism: 114,000 unfilled jobs in 2020 and by 2030, 10.7% of labour demand
(228,000 jobs) could go unfilled Trucking: 2012-2017; projected workforce growth will be 199,800
TASC - The Alliance for Sector Councils, November 2012
4 | Unprepared Workforce
Talent Pipeline
PATHWAYS
Pipeline Issues
National HS graduation rate 79%
47% register immediately for post-secondary programs
25% of post-secondary students dropout by the end of the first year. A similar percent change programs or majors
50% of students with a bachelor’s degree owe over $20,000.
Youth Employment: 80% find employment (14%+ unemployed)
50% “mal-employed” (under-employed, poor fit, hate work,…)
Transition from high school to full-time work now takes 8 years on average
(King, 2009, Who Doesn’t Go To Post-Secondary Education?)
(Miner, 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People)
(Education Indicators 2011, Statistics Canada & Council of Ministers of Education Canada)
Mismatch of Knowledge and Skills
• Need for post-secondary education and training
– On the job, apprentice, certificate, diploma, degree, etc.
• STEM increases employability
– Science, technology, engineering and mathematics
• Ontario Skills Passport, 21st Century Skills, Employability Skills
“But what if Canadian universities were the root cause of the skills gap,
rather than the solution? There’s considerable evidence to support this
conclusion.”
21 Century Skills
• Creativity, Innovation and Entrepreneurship
• Critical Thinking
• Collaboration
• Communication
• Character
• Culture and Ethical Citizenship
• Computer and Digital Technologies – From C21 Canadians for 21st Century Learning & Innovation
• Plus: Life and Career Skills
SOLUTION
To avoid being victims of the perfect storm,
communities must equip citizens with the knowledge,
skills, attitudes, and tools to prosper in 21st century
careers.
A “whole-community” commitment to
career navigation and workforce
development is required.
Solution
Implement in all education and training sites the best available:
1. experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students
Solution
Implement in all education and training sites the best available:
1. experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students
2. career exploration and planning system
Solution
Implement in all education and training sites the best available:
1. experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students
2. career exploration and planning system 3. electronic portfolio system (all levels plus adults)
Solution
Implement in all education and training sites the best available:
1. experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students
2. career exploration and planning system 3. electronic portfolio system (all levels plus adults) 4. course planning system (for every student)
Solution
Implement in all education and training sites the best available:
1. experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students
2. career exploration and planning system 3. electronic portfolio system (all levels plus adults) 4. course planning system (for every student) 5. online networking system to connect students with
informed dreams to employers seeking talent
Solution
Implement in all education and training sites the best available:
1. experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students
2. career exploration and planning system 3. electronic portfolio system (all levels plus adults) 4. course planning system (for every student) 5. online networking system to connect students with
informed dreams to employers seeking talent
Then mobilize the entire community to optimize utilization of all of the above.
Healthy Community
Community Organizations
Students
Employers
Parents
Educators/Trainers
Administrators
Resources: Specialist High Skills Majors
• Connect students with the workplace and employers
• Address the need for experiential learning
• Employ 21st Century Skills (found in each industry)
• Transform student attitudes from “getting the paper” to actively engaging and pursuing goals
Resources: Career Cruising--ccEngage
ccSpringboard
Engaging and Inspiring
Foundation for achievement
World renowned assessments
Multi-media career profiles
Industry’s best post-secondary
database
Communication tools
Living portfolio
GETTING STARTED
VISIT: WWW.MYBLUEPRINT.CA
ENTER ACTIVATION KEY 2
1
INDIVIDUAL PATHWAYS PLAN (IPP)
www.careercruising.com |
Students—Individual Pathway Plan (IPP)
Grade
7 Who am I?
Complete the Learning Styles Inventory
Create a My Journal entry reflecting on the results of the Learning
Styles Inventory
What are my Opportunities?
Search for careers related to favourite school subjects
Save a minimum of 1 career to My IPP
Who do I want to become?
Create a My Journal entry reflecting on why the career(s) saved in
My IPP are a good fit
What is My Plan?
Add 1 short and 1 long-term career goal to My IPP
ILP Completion | Kentucky
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Career Cruising Introduced
Real-life Action Planning
GOAL
1 2
3 4
FINAL
GOAL?
many twists &
turns on the
uncertain path
of life
crossroads
others on
the path
Resources: ACE-Association of Career Educators
• Presentations and workshops
• Workshop themes
– Identifying strengths (skills, knowledge, passion) and goals (meaning, purpose, contribution, dreams, values/desires)
– Exploring and experiencing the “right fit” in work and life (Loving what you do and doing what you love)
– Current and future trends: where the jobs are and where they might be; personal development to match opportunities; setting personal goals