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The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne...

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The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation
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Page 1: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

The State of Venture

Capital

March 2, 2002

John GabbertSr. Director, Worldwide Research

VentureOne Corporation

Page 2: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Three Key Elements for

a Robust Venture

Industry Fundraising

Investment

Liquidity

Page 3: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Fundraising

Page 4: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

$48.2

$90.1

$50.5

$29.8

$17.0$12.2

$7.6$6.8$6.2$2.9

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Venture Capital Fundraising Healthy in 2001

Commitments to Venture Capital Funds

Fu

nd

s R

ais

ed

($

B)

Source: VentureOne

Page 5: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

$9.0$9.5

$11.7

$17.9

$25.6

$22.7

$25.2

$16.5

$22.7

$11.5

$8.7$7.6

$6.8

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

4Q98 1Q99 2Q99 3Q99 4Q99 1Q00 2Q00 3Q00 4Q00 1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01

But Momentum is SlowingCommitments to Venture Capital Funds

Fu

nd

s R

ais

ed

($

B)

Source: VentureOne

Page 6: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

$7.6 $12.2$17.0

$29.8

$50.5

$90.1

$48.2

$6.8 $9.8 $12.8$17.6

$47.2

$91.6

$32.1

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

Investment Fundraising

Fundraising Far Outpaces Investment in 2001

Fundraising vs. Amount Invested

Am

ou

nt

Investe

d

($B

)

Source: VentureOne

Page 7: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Fundraising Summary

Commitments to venture capital were flat in 4Q01; however,

2001 fundraising was still well above the norm.

Fundraising is becoming more difficult, especially for

newer or unproven funds.

Over half of VC dollars are now in funds greater than $500 M.

Greatest amount of VC money in history available to invest in

entrepreneurship.

Page 8: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Investment: Overall

Page 9: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

$6.8 $9.8 $12.8 $17.6

$47.2

$91.6

$32.1

2780

5779

4400

245921491888

1313

$0

$25

$50

$75

$100

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Amount Invested ($B) Number of Deals

2001: A Sharp Contrast to 2000’s Boom

Equity into Venture-Backed Companies

Am

ou

nt

Investe

d

($B

)N

um

ber o

f Deals

Source: VentureOne

Page 10: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

$4.8$6.0

$10.3$11.4

$19.5

$27.0$24.2

$6.3$6.6

$22.3

$18.0

$10.6$8.6

610629736805

1155

1322

15911711

1451

11241070

755665

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

4Q98 1Q99 2Q99 3Q99 4Q99 1Q00 2Q00 3Q00 4Q00 1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01

0

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

1,800

Amount Invested ($B) Number of Deals

Investment Levels Off at Year’s End Equity into Venture-Backed Companies

Am

ou

nt

Investe

d

($B

)

Nu

mb

er o

f Deals

Source: VentureOne

Page 11: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

$4.6$5.0

$5.5 $5.8

$7.5

$10.0

$9.0

$10.0 $10.0

$8.0 $8.0

$6.5$7.0

$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

$10

4Q98 1Q99 2Q99 3Q99 4Q99 1Q00 2Q00 3Q00 4Q00 1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01

Median Round Size Gets a Boost in 4Q’01

Median Amount Invested Per Round

Med

ian

Am

ou

nt

Investe

d

($M

)

Source: VentureOne

Page 12: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Positively Affecting Later-Stage Rounds

Median Amount Invested by Round Class

$22

$11

$6$6

$15

$7$8

$4$5

$1.6$1 $0.5

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

4Q98 2Q99 4Q99 2Q00 4Q00 2Q01 4Q01

Later Round

Second Round

First Round

Seed Round

Med

ian

Am

ou

nt

Investe

d

($M

)

Source: VentureOne

Page 13: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Investment Shifts to Second & Later Rounds

Deal Flow by Round Class

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Later Round

Second Round

First Round

Seed Round

% o

f D

eals

Source: VentureOne

Page 14: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

IT Dominates, Healthcare Recaptures

Investor InterestEquity Investment by Industry Sector

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

4Q98 1Q99 2Q99 3Q99 4Q99 1Q00 2Q00 3Q00 4Q00 1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01

Healthcare

Products &Services

InformationTechnology

% o

f In

vestm

en

t

Source: VentureOne

Page 15: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

$11.9

$13.9

$15.0$15.0

$11.0

$6.0$6.0

$3.6$2.9

$7.2$5.6

$4.4 $3.9

584

767

578

903

757

883

421370

663

480404 383

352

$0

$4

$8

$12

$16

$20

4Q98 1Q99 2Q99 3Q99 4Q99 1Q00 2Q00 3Q00 4Q00 1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

Total Invested ($B) Total # of Deals

IT Investment Still Falling Equity Investment in Information Technology Companies

Am

ou

nt

Investe

d

($B

)N

um

ber o

f Deals

Source: VentureOne

Page 16: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Communications, Software Are Cornerstones of IT

IT Investment by Sector

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Software

Semiconductors

Information Services

Electronics

Communications% o

f In

tern

et

Investm

en

t

Source: VentureOne

Page 17: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Investment: Valuations

Page 18: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

$11.1$9.5

$10.7$8.5$8.1

$13.0

$15.6

$21.0

$25.0

$16.7

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

2001 Valuations Fall Below 1999 Levels

Median Premoney Valuation by Year

Med

ian

Pre

mon

ey V

alu

ati

on

($

M)

Source: VentureOne

Page 19: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

$17 $18

$22 $22 $22

$27

$24

$27

$22

$18 $18

$14$17

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

4Q98 1Q99 2Q99 3Q99 4Q99 1Q00 2Q00 3Q00 4Q00 1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01

Valuations Recover Somewhat in 4Q’01

Median Premoney Valuation

Med

ian

Pre

mon

ey V

alu

ati

on

($

M)

Source: VentureOne

Page 20: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Later-Round Valuations Boost Overall Numbers

Median Premoney Valuations by Round Class

$101

$43

$35$45

$16$18

$6$7

$14

$6$3 $3$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

4Q98 1Q99 2Q99 3Q99 4Q99 1Q00 2Q00 3Q00 4Q00 1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01

Later Rounds

Second Round

First Round

Seed

Med

ian

Pre

mon

ey V

alu

ati

on

($

M)

Source: VentureOne

Page 21: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Healthcare Valuations Up Significantly

Median Premoney Valuations by Industry

$30

$23

$15

$23

$13

$31

$16$14

$27

$0

$10

$20

$30

4Q98 2Q99 4Q99 2Q00 4Q00 2Q01 4Q01

InformationTechnology

Healthcare

Products &Services

Med

ian

Pre

mon

ey V

alu

ati

on

($

M)

Source: VentureOne

Page 22: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Investment: Regions

Page 23: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Texas Edges Out Boston for #3 Spot2001 Regional Investment in the US

Bay Area 32%

All Other US27%

Southern California8%

Texas8%Boston

7%

Potomac5%

New York City4%

Midwest5%

Research Triangle1%

Washington State3%

Source: VentureOne

Page 24: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Bay Area Investment StabilizesInvestment in Bay Area Venture-Backed Companies

$4.4

$7.6

$9.2

$8.1$8.5

$6.3

$3.3$2.8

$2.1 $2.2$2.3

$3.7

$1.5

$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

$10

4Q98 1Q99 2Q99 3Q99 4Q99 1Q00 2Q00 3Q00 4Q00 1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01

Am

ou

nt

Investe

d

($B

)

Source: VentureOne

Page 25: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Equity Financing Summary

Equity financing into venture-backed companies leveled off in 4Q’01.

Overall equity investment in 2001 was still the third highest amount on record.

Valuations and median round sizes recovered slightly at year’s end.

Early-stage venture financing has fallen more rapidly than later-stage.

The time between financing rounds is expanding.

Page 26: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Liquidity

Page 27: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

$2.7$4.5$5.3$7.2$11.6

$20.3$23.7

$45.5

$15.7

$8.7$13.2

$5.4$4.2

69

81

939898

115108

122

8479

86

53

70

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

4Q98 1Q99 2Q99 3Q99 4Q99 1Q00 2Q00 3Q00 4Q00 1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01

0

25

50

75

100

Amount Paid ($B) Number of Transactions

M&As Continue to SlipTransactions and Amount Paid in M&As

Am

ou

nt

Paid

($

B)

Source: VentureOne

Nu

mb

er o

f Tra

nsactio

ns

Page 28: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

$0.8$0.2$0.3$0.5

$1.5

$6.7

$3.5

$7.4$7.4$5.3$5.3

$1.5$0.4

58

44

18

71

42

69

777575

21

7

$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

4Q98 1Q99 2Q99 3Q99 4Q99 1Q00 2Q00 3Q00 4Q00 1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01

0

20

40

60

Amount Raised ($B) Venture-Backed IPOs

IPO Liquidity Up Marginally in 4Q01 … Deals and Amount Raised Through IPOs

Am

ou

nt

Rais

ed

($

B)V

en

ture

-Backed

IP

Os

Source: VentureOne

Page 29: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Liquidity Summary

The IPO and M&A markets for venture-backed companies continued their dramatic declines from the record levels of 1999 and early 2000.

IPO volume in 2001 was at its lowest in years.

The amount paid in M&A transactions declined throughout 2001, falling to the lowest level since 1995.

IPO companies in 2001 were more mature, but the time from initial funding to M&A is still falling.

Page 30: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

Conclusions & Implications The bad news:

- Liquidity is extremely difficult- VCs are investing much more slowly and cautiously- Valuations are down across the board- Many VC-funded companies will fail to raise more $

The good news:- Liquidity windows open and close- VCs do have money to invest- Expectations are much more realistic- Those companies that succeed in raising $ will have more

board involvement, better resources, lower costs and less competition

- Truly great companies will emerge from this period

Page 31: The State of Venture Capital March 2, 2002 John Gabbert Sr. Director, Worldwide Research VentureOne Corporation.

More Information

For a copy of this presentation, contact [email protected] or call +1 (415) 538-2658.

Email [email protected] for: VentureSource: Instant access to venture capital

intelligence VentureOne Publications: VentureSource News

(daily) and the Venture Capital Industry Report (annual).

Custom Report Services: Comparable Valuation Reports and specialized queries


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