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The Transformation of Retail in Quebec

Date post: 29-Jun-2015
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Christian Bourque Executive Vice-President and Senior Partner Leger Jacques Nantel, Ph.D Professor, HEC Montreal Academic Associate & Executive Vice-President Leger
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Le e-québécois The transformation of retail in Quebec
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Page 1: The Transformation of Retail in Quebec

Le e-québécois The transformation of retail in Quebec

Page 2: The Transformation of Retail in Quebec

Always “a little bit”

behind…

Page 3: The Transformation of Retail in Quebec

3

The “lag” in Quebec

Source: BBM Analytics, RTS Study, July 11, 2014

15.7

18 17.9 19.7

12.6 14 14.5

16.1

2010 2011 2012 2013

Total Francophones

Average hours

per week online

in Quebec

18% less among

Francophones

Page 4: The Transformation of Retail in Quebec

4

SOURCES: Nielsen, “Ecommerce: Evolution or Revolution in the Fast-Moving Consumer Goods World” (September 2014)

eMarketer, April 2014

Where Quebec lags behind

34% 43% 56%

47% 47% 47%

60% 51% 45%

65% 50% 41%

42% 34% 34%

22% 17% 14%

12% 8% 5%

8% 4% 4%

32% 25% N.D.

24% 17% N.D.

Percentage of internet

users who made

purchases online

(last 12 months)

Page 5: The Transformation of Retail in Quebec

Online sales that hurt

traditional retail

Page 6: The Transformation of Retail in Quebec

6

Whatever the source…the conclusion is the same

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Sources

Euromonitor, July 2013

6.5%

J.P. Morgan, January 2014 (1)

9.4% 10.6% 11.8% 12.9%

RBC, February 2014 (2)

6.% 7.% 7.% 8.% 9.%

Jefferies, November 2013 (3)

5.2% 5.8% 6.3%

Centre for Retail Research, March 2014 (4)

9.7% 10.6% 11.6%

Forrester Research, May 2014 (5)

8.% 9.% 11.%

Javelin Strategy & Research, May 2014

7.4% 8.% 8.5% 9.% 9.5% 9.9%

eMarketer, September 2014 (6)

5.2% 5.8% 6.5% 7.1% 7.7% 8.3% 8.9%

Page 7: The Transformation of Retail in Quebec

7

Given that sales associated with cars and

food count for 50% of household spending,

online sales for other products amount to

roughly 20% of total sales.

But…

Page 8: The Transformation of Retail in Quebec

8

Percentage of sales online

48%

44%

34%

30%

23%

17%

16%

14%

11%

11%

20%

0 10 20 30 40 50 60Source: Comscore March 2014

Food and beauty products

Toys

Clothing

Televisions

Shoes

Fashion accessories

Books

Cameras and photo devices

Printers and accessories

Computers

Music

Page 9: The Transformation of Retail in Quebec

9

Stores in Quebec pay a double penalty

Sales lost by local retailers

But also sales that are exported

Page 10: The Transformation of Retail in Quebec

10

Percentage of

Canadian

purchases online,

by retailer location

Lost business: sales online

8% 3%

33%

55%

ASIA EUROPE USA CANADA

Page 11: The Transformation of Retail in Quebec

11

Source: CEFRIO, 2013

Countries where Quebecers buy online

66% 6% 16% 12%

39% 11% 40% 10%

34% 12% 36% 18%

23% 6% 53% 18%

8% 6% 70% 17%

2% 29% 57% 12%

Autres

Buying practices

depend on the

category

Page 12: The Transformation of Retail in Quebec

A definite impact on

commercial infrastructure

Page 13: The Transformation of Retail in Quebec

13

A slow and steady tsunami downward

2008 2013 Variance

Sales in stores $443 billion $475 billion + 7%

Number of stores 203,000 195,000 -3.5%

Total surface 1.3 billion sq. ft. 1.07 billion sq. ft. -3%

Population 33,049,761 34,940,975 +6%

Average sales per person $13,412 $13,594 1%

Number of square feet per consumer 34. 2 sq. ft. 31.4 sq. ft. -8%

Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 080-0023. Annual retail store survey, financial estimates by North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)

and store type, annual

Page 14: The Transformation of Retail in Quebec

www.leger360.com 1st

2014 Customer Experience Index

The next bigchallenge: integrate in-store, online and total customer satisfaction…the omni-channel

Page 15: The Transformation of Retail in Quebec

Le e-québécois The transformation of retail in Quebec


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