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REPORT THE UNINSURED A PRIMER Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Health Reform October 2013 October 2013
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REPORT

THE UNINSUREDA PRIMERKey Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Health Reform

October 2013October 2013

The Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured provides information and analysis

on health care coverage and access for the low-income population, with a special focus on

Medicaid’s role and coverage of the uninsured. Begun in 1991 and based in the Kaiser Family

Foundation’s Washington, DC office, the Commission is the largest operating program of the

Foundation. The Commission’s work is conducted by Foundation staff under the guidance of

a bi-partisan group of national leaders and experts in health care and public policy.

James R. Tallon Chairman

Diane Rowland, Sc.D. Executive Director

Barbara Lyons, Ph.D. Director

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Contents Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................. 1

How Did Most Americans Obtain Health Insurance in 2012? ............................................................................... 2

Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance Coverage .............................................................................................. 2

Non-Group Health Insurance Coverage ............................................................................................................. 3

Public Health Insurance Coverage ...................................................................................................................... 4

Who are the Uninsured? ......................................................................................................................................... 6

How and Why Has the Number of Uninsured People Changed? ........................................................................... 9

How Does Lack of Insurance Affect Access to Health Care? ................................................................................. 12

What Are the Financial Implications of Lack of Coverage? .................................................................................. 15

How Will the Affordable Care Act Affect the Uninsured Population? .................................................................. 17

Medicaid Expansion ........................................................................................................................................... 17

Health Insurance Marketplaces and Premium Tax Credits ............................................................................... 18

Requirements and Incentives for Coverage ....................................................................................................... 19

Impact of the Law on the Uninsured Population .............................................................................................. 20

Conclusion ............................................................................................................................................................. 21

Tables .................................................................................................................................................................... 22

Data Notes............................................................................................................................................................. 29

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 1

INTRODUCTION

In 2012, over 47 million nonelderly Americans

were uninsured. Nearly all of the elderly are

insured by Medicare, yet nearly 640,000 of the

elderly were uninsured in 2012. A majority of the

nonelderly receive their health insurance as a job

benefit, but not everyone has access to or can

afford this type of coverage. Few people can

afford to purchase coverage on their own through

the non-group market. Medicaid and the

Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) fill

in gaps in the availability of coverage for millions

of people, in particular, children. More than one

in six (18%) of the nonelderly was uninsured in

2012 (Figure 1).

The gaps in our health insurance system affect people of all ages, races and ethnicities, and income levels;

however, those with the lowest income face the greatest risk of being uninsured. The uninsured population has

strong ties to the workforce—more than three-quarters live in working families—and almost four out of ten are

poor (incomes less than the federal poverty level of $22,350 for a family of four in 2012).

Being uninsured affects people’s access to needed medical care and their financial security. The access barriers

facing uninsured people mean they are less likely to receive preventive care, are more likely to be hospitalized

for conditions that could have been prevented, and are more likely to die in the hospital than those with

insurance. The financial impact can also be severe. Uninsured families struggle financially to meet basic needs

and medical bills can quickly lead to medical debt.

With major coverage expansions taking place in January 2014, the Affordable Care Act (ACA) is anticipated to

reduce the uninsured rate substantially.1 The ACA will fill existing gaps in coverage by providing for an

expansion of Medicaid for adults with incomes at or below 138% of poverty in states that choose to expand,

building on employer-based coverage, and providing premium tax credits to make private insurance more

affordable for many with incomes between 100-400% of poverty.2

This primer presents basic information about the uninsured population—who they are and why they do not

have health coverage—and provides an understanding of the difference health insurance makes in people’s

lives. The Uninsured: A Primer also discusses how and why the number of uninsured people has changed and

how the ACA will impact those without health coverage.

Figure 1

The Uninsured Population—As a Share of the Nonelderly Population and by Poverty Levels, 2012

Employer-Sponsored,

55.7%

Medicaid/ Other Public,20.8%

Uninsured,17.7%

Private Non-Group,

5.8%

38%

37%

14%

10%

251-400% FPL

>400% FPL

100-250% FPL

<100% FPL

Medicaid and other public coverage includes: CHIP, other state programs, Medicare and military related coverage. The federal poverty level for a family of four in 2012 was $23,050.

SOURCE: KCMU/Urban Institute analysis of the 2013 ASEC supplement to the CPS.

266.9 M Nonelderly 47.3 M Uninsured

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 2

HOW DID MOST AMERICANS OBTAIN HEALTH INSURANCE IN 2012?

More than half (56%) of people in the United

States under age 65 receive health insurance

coverage as an employer benefit. While Medicare

covers virtually all those who are 65 years or

older, the nonelderly who do not have access to

or cannot afford private insurance now go

without health coverage unless they qualify for

insurance through the Medicaid program,

Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP), or

a state-subsidized program. The gaps in our

private and public health insurance systems leave

over 47 million nonelderly people in the

country—18% of those under age 65—without

health coverage. The risk of being uninsured is

greatest for those with the lowest incomes (Figure 2). Health reform targets this population through federal

subsidies to help purchase private insurance coverage and expanded eligibility for Medicaid.

EMPLOYER-SPONSORED HEALTH INSURANCE COVERAGE

The majority of employers offer group health insurance policies to their employees and to their

employees’ families. In 2013, 57% of firms offer coverage to their employees.3 Among individuals with

employer-sponsored coverage, half are covered by their own employer and half are covered as an employee’s

dependent.4 Health insurance offer rates vary among businesses, with large firms and those with more high-

wage workers being more likely to offer coverage.

However, many workers do not have access to employer-sponsored insurance. Currently,

businesses are not legally required to offer a health benefit. The majority of uninsured workers are not offered

health insurance by their employer.5 Some people work in firms that cover some employees but are not

themselves eligible for coverage, often because they have not worked for their employer for a sufficient amount

of time or because they do not work enough hours. Among firms that offer health benefits in 2013, an average

of 77% of their workers are eligible for coverage.6

The cost of employer-sponsored coverage is the most common reason employers cite for not

offering health coverage.7 In 2013, annual employer-sponsored premiums averaged $5,884 for individual

coverage and $16,351 for family coverage. Total family premiums, as well as the employee’s share of those

premiums, have risen by over 70% in the last ten years.

Firms with many low-wage workers are less likely to offer coverage than firms with fewer low-

wage workers. In 2013, only 23% of firms that had a high proportion (>35%) of low-wage employees offered

health insurance.8 By comparison, 60% of firms with a low proportion of low-wage employees offered health

insurance. However, when offered coverage, the majority of all employees choose to enroll.

Figure 2

Health Insurance Coverage of the Nonelderly by Poverty Level, 2012

20%

40%

73%90%48%

32%

12%

4%

32% 28%15%

6%

<100% FPL 100-199% FPL 200-400% FPL > 400% FPL

Employer/Other Private Medicaid/Other Public Uninsured

FPL -- The federal poverty level was $23,050 for a family of four in 2012. Data may not total 100% due to rounding. SOURCE: KCMU/Urban Institute analysis of 2013 ASEC Supplement to the CPS.

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 3

Small firms are less likely to offer coverage than large firms. Nearly all businesses (99%) with at

least 200 workers offer health benefits to their workers in 2013, but only 57% of firms with less than 200

workers offer these benefits.9 On average, small firms ask employees to contribute a lower amount annually

towards their own health benefits compared to large firms ($862 vs. $1,065 per year). However, small firms

ask for larger annual contributions for family coverage ($5,284 vs. $4,226).

The majority of employees participate in their employer's health plan when they are offered

coverage. Even when businesses offer health benefits, some employees do not sign up because of difficulty

affording the required employee share of the premium. Approximately three-quarters of employees eligible for

employer-sponsored insurance enrolled in 2008 and 2009, though the take-up rate of employer-sponsored

coverage decreased slightly over the last ten years.10

Employer-sponsored coverage is unaffordable for many families. Even when workers can afford

coverage for themselves, the cost of health insurance for their families is often prohibitive. Employees in firms

with many low-wage workers are typically asked to contribute a larger share of the insurance premium for

family coverage than employees of firms with fewer low-wage workers (39% vs. 29% of the premium costs for

family coverage).11 Dependents account for about half of enrollees in employer-sponsored coverage, and the

number of people with dependent coverage has declined over time with the decline in employer-sponsored

coverage.12

Health coverage varies both by industry

and by type of occupation. Across

industries, uninsured rates for workers range

from 39% in agriculture to just 7% in public

administration.13 But even in industries where

uninsured rates are lower, the gap in health

coverage between blue and white-collar workers

is often two-fold or greater (Figure 3). More than

80% of uninsured workers are in blue-collar jobs.

NON-GROUP HEALTH INSURANCE

COVERAGE

Private policies directly purchased in the non-

group or individual market (i.e., outside of employer-sponsored benefits) cover only 5.8% of people under age

65. The share of the nonelderly population with private non-group insurance has changed very little over time.

However, after 2014, state based Marketplaces and premium tax credits will increase access to non-group

coverage for many uninsured individuals and families.

Non-group insurance premiums can be more expensive for the enrollee than group plans

purchased by employers. Though, on average, non-group insurance premiums are lower than those for

employer-sponsored coverage, enrollees pay 100% of the cost because they cannot share that premium expense

with an employer. Nationwide, the average monthly premium per person in the non-group market in 2010 was

$215, with substantial variation by state.14 Vermont and Massachusetts both had average per member per

month premiums over $400, compared to less than $160 in Alabama and California. In addition, deductibles

Figure 3

Uninsured Rates Among Selected Industry Groups, White vs. Blue Collar Jobs, 2012

14%

22%

7%

8%

7%

26%

18%

20%

13%

Wholesale/ Retail (14%)

Services/ Arts Entertainment (15%)

Mining/ Manufacturing (11%)

Health/ Social Services (14%)

Information/ Education/Communication (12% of jobs)

Blue Collar

White Collar

Analysis of workers age 18-64. White collar workers include all professionals and managers; all other workers classified as blue collar.SOURCE: KCMU/Urban Institute analysis of 2013 ASEC Supplement to the CPS.

36%

Uninsured rate for all workers = 19.6%

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 4

and other cost sharing in non-group plans are often higher than in employer-sponsored coverage. Beginning in

2014, most people with incomes from above 138% to 400% of the federal poverty level who cannot access

affordable employer-sponsored insurance will receive financial assistance to purchase coverage through Health

Insurance Marketplaces.

Obtaining coverage in the individual market can be difficult, particularly for those who are

older or have had health problems. Historically, premiums in the non-group market could vary by age or

health status, and people with health problems or at risk for health problems could be charged high rates,

offered only limited coverage, or denied coverage altogether. In 2008, 29% of individuals age 60 to 64 who

applied for non-group insurance were denied coverage based on their health status.15 Starting in 2014, insurers

will be barred from taking pre-existing conditions into account when issuing policies for adults. Beginning in

September 2010, the ACA prohibited individual and group health plans from denying children coverage based

on pre-existing medical conditions and from containing pre-existing condition benefit exclusions for children.

PUBLIC HEALTH INSURANCE COVERAGE

Medicaid and CHIP currently provide coverage to some, but not all, low-income individuals and

people with disabilities. Medicaid and CHIP cover 17.9% of the nonelderly population by primarily

covering four main categories of low-income individuals: children, their parents, pregnant women, and

individuals with disabilities. Individuals who do not fall into one of the categorical groups—most notably adults

without dependent children—have generally been ineligible for public coverage regardless of their income.

Medicaid and CHIP are particularly

important sources of coverage for

children. Currently, federal law requires state

Medicaid programs to cover school age children

up to 100% of the poverty level (133% for

preschool children), and states have expanded

coverage for children in families with slightly

higher incomes through the Children’s Health

Insurance Program (CHIP). Medicaid and CHIP

are the largest source of health insurance for

children in the U.S., covering 71% of poor

children and almost half (49%) of near-poor

children (Figure 4). Still, as of 2011, over half

(53%) of uninsured children were eligible for

Medicaid or CHIP but not enrolled.16 There are multiple possible reasons for children who are eligible but are

not enrolled. Some families are not aware of the availability of the programs or their eligibility. For others,

burdensome enrollment and renewal requirements pose major obstacles to participation, despite major

improvements made over the past decade.

Medicaid finances health and long-term care coverage for 9.7 million nonelderly people with

disabilities (2010 estimates).17 Its role is especially important for people with certain conditions, such as

HIV/AIDS. However, Medicaid eligibility for people with disabilities is limited to those with very low incomes

Figure 4

Health Insurance Coverage of Low-Income Adults and Children, 2012

Data may not total 100% due to rounding .SOURCE: KCMU/Urban Institute analysis of 2013 ASEC supplement to the CPS.

13%

36%

73%

51%

14%

13%

Employer/Other Private Medicaid/Other Public Uninsured

Poor(<100% of Poverty)

Near-Poor(100%-199% of Poverty)

46%

16%

19%

43%

35%

41%

Near-Poor

Poor

40%

27%

24%

30%

36%

43%

Near-Poor

Poor

Children

Parents

Adults without Children

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 5

and few assets. Medicaid coverage is particularly crucial to this population because it provides more

comprehensive coverage than most private insurers. For example, Medicaid commonly pays for medical

equipment as well as rehabilitation, speech therapy, and other services that people with disabilities may need.

In contrast to coverage for children, the role of Medicaid for nonelderly adults is more limited.

State Medicaid programs are only required to cover parents below states’ 1996 welfare eligibility levels (often

below 50% of the federal poverty level). Most states have much lower income eligibility for parents than for

children. In addition, although Medicaid covers some parents and low-income individuals with disabilities,

most adults without dependent children—regardless of how poor—are ineligible for Medicaid. As a result, four

out of ten (41%) of poor parents and 43% of adults without children are uninsured. The Medicaid expansion in

the ACA provides a new coverage pathway for millions of currently uninsured adults.

Some states have expanded Medicaid eligibility to cover more poor and near-poor parents.

About one-third of states currently use the flexibility available to them under federal law to extend Medicaid

eligibility for parents to 100% of the poverty level or higher. However, in the remaining states, parents still

must have income below the poverty level in order to qualify for Medicaid. As of January 2013, a total of 33

states limit parent eligibility for Medicaid to less than the federal poverty level, including 16 states that limit

eligibility to parents earning less than 50 percent of the federal poverty level.18 As a result, millions of poor

parents are ineligible for Medicaid.

The ACA will extend Medicaid to many individuals at or below 138% of poverty starting in

2014.19 The ACA will expand Medicaid to adults without dependent children as well as parents who were

previously ineligible because of low eligibility thresholds for parents. The June 2012 Supreme Court decision

effectively made the Medicaid expansion optional for states, and as of September 30, 2013, 24 states and the

District of Columbia have indicated they are moving forward with the expansion.20 Undocumented immigrants

and lawfully present immigrants who have been in the U.S. for less than five years will continue to be ineligible

for Medicaid.21

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 6

WHO ARE THE UNINSURED?

In 2012, 47.3 million people in the U.S. under age 65 lacked health insurance. Most of these individuals are in

working families but do not have access to or cannot afford employer-sponsored coverage. The majority of the

uninsured are low income, making it difficult for them to afford coverage on their own. The main reason that

people give for being uninsured is that they cannot afford coverage.22 Adults make up a disproportionate share

of the uninsured population because they are less likely than children to be eligible for Medicaid.

More than three-quarters of the uninsured population are in working families: 63% are in

families with one or more full-time workers and 16% are in families with part-time workers

(Figure 5). Many uninsured workers are not offered coverage by their employers. Workers that are offered

coverage will usually enroll in employer-sponsored health insurance; however, many low and moderate income

workers may find their share of the cost for coverage unaffordable, especially for non-working dependents.23 In

2013, worker contributions for employer-sponsored coverage averaged $380 per month for family coverage

and $83 for individual coverage.24

The vast majority of uninsured people are in low- or moderate-income families (Figure 5).

Individuals below poverty are at the highest risk of being uninsured, and this group comprises 38% of the

uninsured population (the poverty level for a family of four was $23,050 in 2012). In total, nine out of ten

uninsured people are in low- or moderate-income families, meaning they are below 400% of poverty. The ACA

targets these individuals through broader Medicaid eligibility and premium subsidies to purchase private

coverage.

Adults are more likely to be uninsured

than children. Adults make up 71% of the

nonelderly population but 85% of people without

health coverage (Figure 5). Most low-income

children qualify for Medicaid or CHIP, but low-

income adults under age 65 typically qualify for

Medicaid only if they are disabled, pregnant, or

have dependent children. Income eligibility

levels are generally much lower for parents than

for children, and adults without children are

generally ineligible.

Figure 5

Family Income

100-250% FPL, 37%

<100% FPL, 38%

>400% FPL, 10%

Characteristics of the Nonelderly Uninsured Population , 2012

The federal poverty level was $23,050 for a family of four in 2012. Data may not total 100% due to rounding. SOURCE: KCMU/Urban Institute analysis of 2013 ASEC Supplement to the CPS.

Citizen,81%

55-64, 11%

35-54, 35%

26-34, 22%

19-25, 17%

0-18, 15%

Age

Total = 47.3 Million Uninsured

Family Work Status

1 or More Full-Time Workers,

63%

No Workers,

21%

Part-Time Workers,

16%

251-400% FPL, 14%

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 7

Young adults, ages 19 to 25, have historically been at particularly high risk of being uninsured,

largely due to their low incomes. More than half of uninsured young adults are from families with at least

one full-time worker, but their low incomes (on average, $13,000 a year) make affording coverage difficult.

Beginning September 2010, the ACA allowed young adults to remain as dependents under their parents’

private health insurance plans until age 26, and the number of uninsured people ages 19 to 25 has declined by

approximately 3 million under this provision.25 Still, young adults account for a disproportionately large share

of the uninsured.

Minorities are much more likely to be

uninsured than whites. About one-third of

Hispanics and over one-fifth of black Americans

are uninsured, compared to 13% of non-Hispanic

whites (Figure 6). Medicaid and CHIP are

important sources of coverage for racial and

ethnic minorities, covering over one-quarter of

Hispanic and black Americans. However, gaps in

eligibility for Medicaid leave large numbers of

minorities uninsured.

The majority of uninsured people (80%)

are native or naturalized U.S. citizens.

Although non-citizens (legal and undocumented)

are about three times more likely to be uninsured than citizens, they account for less than 20% of the

uninsured population.26 Non-citizens have poor access to employer coverage because they are

disproportionately likely to have low wage jobs or work in industries that are less likely to offer insurance.27,28

Further, in most cases, lawfully present immigrants who have been in the U.S. less than five years are ineligible

for Medicaid or CHIP. States have the option of extending Medicaid or CHIP coverage to some immigrants

subject to the five-year ban, and about half of states cover lawfully-residing immigrant children (25 states) or

pregnant women (20 states) who have been in the United States for less than five years.29 Undocumented

immigrants will remain ineligible for federally funded health coverage under the ACA.

The uninsured population is in worse health than the privately insured population. Uninsured

adults are almost twice as likely to report being in fair or poor health as those with private insurance.30 Almost

a third of all uninsured nonelderly adults have a chronic condition.31 People who have chronic conditions or

poor health and who do not have access to employer-sponsored coverage may find non-group coverage to be

unavailable or unaffordable. The ACA addresses this issue by imposing new regulations that will prevent health

insurers from denying coverage to people for any reason, including health status, and from charging higher

premiums based on health status or gender.32

Figure 6

Insurance Coverage of Nonelderly by Race/Ethnicity, 2012

14%

26%

16%*

31%*

21%*

13%

31%*

35%*

15%

30%*

34%*

16%

56%*

40%*

69%

40%*

47%*

71%

Multiracial

American Indian

Asian

Hispanic

Black, non-Hispanic

White, non-Hispanic

Uninsured Medicaid /Other Public Employer/Other Private

Asian group includes Pacific Islanders. American Indian group includes Aleutian Eskimos. Data may not total 100% due to rounding.*-category for the given race/ethnicity is statistically different from White non-HispanicsSOURCE: KCMU/ Urban Institute analysis of 2013 ASEC Supplement to the CPS.

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 8

More than three-quarters of uninsured

people have gone without health coverage

for more than a year (Figure 7). Most

uninsured adults believe they need health

insurance but do not have coverage because of

the cost, rather than a lack of desire to have

coverage.33 Also, because health insurance is

primarily obtained as an employment benefit,

health coverage is disrupted when people change

or lose their jobs. When people are unable to

obtain employer-sponsored coverage and are

ineligible for Medicaid, they may be left

uninsured for long periods of time if individual

coverage is either unaffordable or unavailable

due to their health status or if they work in an industry that has low offer rates.

Insurance coverage varies by state

depending on the income distribution in

the state, the nature of employment in the

state, and the reach of state Medicaid

programs. Insurance market regulations and

the availability of jobs with employer-sponsored

coverage also influence the insurance rate in

each state.34 Massachusetts has near universal

coverage, with an uninsured rate of 4% due to

health reform legislation enacted in 2006.

Seventeen states have uninsured rates over 18

percent (Figure 8). Among these are states such

as Nevada, Florida, New Mexico, and Texas with

uninsured rates that are 24% or higher.

Figure 7

Duration of Time Without Insurance Coverage Among the Uninsured Population , 2011

More than three years includes those who said the never had health insurance. Percentages are age adjusted.

SOURCE: Summary Health Statistics for the U.S. Population: National Health Interview Survey, 2011. December, 2012.

More than 3 years, 56%

Less than 6 months,

13%

7-12 months,9%

1-3 years,21%

Figure 8

DE

WY

WI

WV

WA

VA

VT

UT

TX

TN

SD

SC

RI

PA

OR

OK

OH

ND

NC

NY

NM

NJ

NH

NVNE

MT

MO

MS

MN

MI

MA

MD

ME

LA

KYKS

IA

INIL

ID

HI

GA

FL

DC

CT

COCA

ARAZ

AK

AL

>18% percent (17 states)

14-18% Uninsured (20 states)

<14% Uninsured (13 states and DC)

Uninsured Rates Among the Nonelderly by State, 2011-2012

SOURCE: KCMU/Urban Institute analysis of 2013 ASEC Supplement to the CPS.

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 9

HOW AND WHY HAS THE NUMBER OF UNINSURED PEOPLE CHANGED?

The recent recession and ongoing weak job

market led to a steep rise in the number of

uninsured people between 2007 and 2010

(Figure 9). This trend was driven by a decline in

employer-sponsored coverage that resulted from

the high jobless rate. This trend was reversed in

2011 and continued into 2012 as the employment

rate increased and employer-sponsored

insurance rates continued to stabilize. Further,

Medicaid and CHIP coverage—which provide a

safety net to many low-income people who lose

coverage during economic downturns—grew each

year between 2007 and 2011 and continued into

2012. Public coverage helped prevent the number

of uninsured from being even higher during the recession and contributed to gains in coverage in recent years.

In the years preceding the 2007 recession, the uninsured rate for adults rose due to a decrease

in employer-sponsored coverage. The share of the nonelderly population with employer-sponsored

coverage declined steadily beginning in 2000, even during years when the economy was stronger and growth in

health insurance premiums was slowing. The share of adults on Medicaid remained relatively steady and did

not compensate for the drop in employer-sponsored coverage.

Recent trends in coverage are closely linked to trends in unemployment. When people lose their

jobs, they frequently lose health coverage. Two-thirds of uninsured adults that lost employer-sponsored

coverage in the previous year stated that this was because they or their spouse had lost or changed jobs or

started working part-time.35 Some of the newly unemployed have the option to switch to a spouse’s employer-

sponsored insurance. Others may qualify for public coverage, but many do not meet current eligibility

requirements. Unemployed individuals who had employer-based insurance while employed may be able to

continue this coverage under the Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1985 (COBRA), though

premium requirements for this coverage is often high. Purchasing coverage in the non-group market is

another option, but high premiums make this option unattainable for those who also struggling with reduced

income.

As unemployment spiked in the recent recession (2007-2010), the uninsured rate for adults

increased, resulting in 5.8 million more nonelderly adults without coverage (Figure 9). This

increase in uninsured adults was largely driven by a decrease in the share of adults with employer-sponsored

coverage and an increase in the number of people living in poverty.36 Over this period, the unemployment rate

nearly doubled from 5.0% in December 2007, when the recession began, to 9.4% in December 2010.37 While a

partial federal subsidy for individuals maintaining their previous employer-sponsored coverage was in place for

those laid-off between September 2008 and May 2010, uptake of the subsidy was lower than predicted.38

Figure 9

8.6 7.8 8.1 7.9 7.6 7.2

34.9 36.440.3 41.2 40.3 40.1

43.4 44.248.3 49.2 47.9 47.3

2007 2008 2009 2010* 2011* 2012*

Children (0-18) Nonelderly Adults (19-64)

NOTE: May not sum to totals due to rounding. * Applied Census 2010-based population controls. SOURCE: KCMU/Urban Institute analysis of 2009 through 2013 ASEC Supplement to the CPS. Holahan J and Chen V. “Changes in Health Insurance Coverage in the Great Recession, 2007-2010.” Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. December 2011.

Number of Nonelderly Uninsured Individuals, 2007-2012

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 10

In 2011, the uninsured rate for the nonelderly decreased for the first time since the start of the

recession in 2007. From 2010 to 2011, the uninsured rate decreased from 18.5 percent to 18.0 percent, a

decrease of 1.2 million people. The reversal of the trend in rising uninsured rates was surprising due to the

continued high levels of unemployment and the lingering effects of the recession. The rate of employer-

sponsored insurance (ESI) in 2011 remained unchanged from 2010. The decrease in the uninsured rate was

driven primarily by increases in Medicaid and CHIP among adults, while coverage for children remained

unchanged.39

In 2012, over 47 million nonelderly Americans were uninsured, a decrease of 0.6 million people

from the previous year. The change in the number of uninsured people represents the second decrease

since 2007, before the recession began. However, this change does not represent a statistically significant

decrease in either the share or number of uninsured from 2011 to 2012.

Recent increases in Medicaid and CHIP

enrollment helped to offset declines in

private coverage during the economic

downturn and slow recovery, particularly

for children. During the recent economic

recession and slow recovery, the share of

children who were uninsured actually declined

slightly as more children gained coverage

through Medicaid or CHIP. Medicaid and CHIP

coverage among children increased significantly

from 34.9% in 2011 to 35.5% in 2012. Between

2007 and 2012, the uninsured rate for children

dropped from 10.9% to 9.2% (Figure 10). This

decline occurred despite a decrease in the share

of children with employer-sponsored coverage. As the weakening economy caused more children to lose the

coverage they had through a parent’s employer and incomes dropped, many became eligible for public

insurance. In comparison, because Medicaid eligibility for adults is more limited than for children, public

coverage did not offset the decline in employer-sponsored coverage for adults.

In recent years, many states have used their Medicaid and CHIP programs as a foundation for

broader health care coverage expansions. States have built on these public programs to leverage

existing delivery and administrative systems. Between Fiscal Years (FY) 2009 and 2011, funding from ARRA

through the enhanced Federal Matching Assistance Percentage (FMAP) helped states to maintain their

Medicaid programs. In addition, some states have taken advantage of the option to use federal matching funds

to expand Medicaid to childless adults before the broad ACA Medicaid expansion to individuals with income up

to 138% of poverty goes into effect in 2014. As of January 2013, nine states (including the District of Columbia)

provided Medicaid or Medicaid-comparable coverage to non-disabled adults. An additional 16 states provide

more limited coverage to childless adults, although enrollment is closed in many of these programs.40

Figure 10

Uninsured Rate for Nonelderly Adults and Children, 2007 and 2012

19.1%

10.9%

21.3%

9.2%

Nonelderly Adults Children

2007

2012

SOURCE: KCMU/Urban Institute analysis of the 2013 ASEC supplement to the CPS. Holahan J and Chen V. “Changes in Health Insurance Coverage in the Great Recession, 2007-2010.” Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. December 2011.

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 11

The uninsured rate among young adults, ages 19 to 25, improved from 2010 to 2011 but

remained steady in 2012. The share of young adults that were uninsured decreased from 30.0% in 2010 to

27.9% in 2011, due in part to the ACA provision allowing them to remain on a parent’s private health plan until

age 26.41 However, the share of uninsured was not statistically different in 2012 (27.4%), a share equal to that

of adults between the ages of 26 and 34. Both of these groups continue to have the highest uninsured rate

among adults. Young adults still have a high share of risk factors for being uninsured. Over one-third (37%) of

all young adults are under poverty, and while most young adults are students and may have insurance options

available through colleges and universities, 41% are non-students.42 Those without access to insurance from

parents or from a university may face greater difficulty than other adults in finding affordable health insurance

coverage.

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 12

HOW DOES LACK OF INSURANCE AFFECT ACCESS TO HEALTH CARE?

Health insurance makes a difference in whether and when people get necessary medical care, where they get

their care, and ultimately, how healthy people are. Uninsured adults are far more likely than those with

insurance to postpone or forgo health care altogether. The consequences can be severe, particularly when

preventable conditions go undetected.

Uninsured people are far more likely than

those with insurance to report problems

getting needed medical care. One-quarter of

adults without coverage (25%) say that they went

without care in the past year because of its cost

compared to 4% of adults with private coverage.

Part of the reason for poor access among the

uninsured is that more than half of uninsured

adults (55%) do not have a regular place to go

when they are sick or need medical advice

(Figure 11).

Access to health care has eroded over time

for many. Rising health care costs have made

health care less affordable over time, particularly for uninsured people. Between 2000 and 2010, the

differences in access to care between those with and without coverage widened.43

Uninsured people are less likely than those with coverage to receive timely preventive care.

Silent health problems, such as hypertension and diabetes, often go undetected without routine check-ups.

Uninsured nonelderly adults, compared to those with coverage, are far less likely to have had regular

preventive care, including blood pressure, cholesterol checks, and cancer screenings.44,45 Uninsured patients

are also less likely to receive necessary follow-up screenings after abnormal cancer tests.46 Consequently,

uninsured patients have increased risk being diagnosed in later stages of diseases, including cancer, and have

higher mortality rates than those with insurance.47,48,49

Anticipating high medical bills, many uninsured people are not able to follow recommended

treatments. Nearly a quarter of uninsured adults say they did not take a prescribed drug in the past year

because they could not afford it.50 Regardless of a person’s insurance coverage, those injured or newly

diagnosed with a chronic condition receive similar follow-up care plans; however, people without health

coverage are less likely than those with coverage to actually obtain all the services that are recommended.51

Because people without health coverage are less likely than those with insurance to have

regular outpatient care, they are more likely to be hospitalized for avoidable health problems

and experience declines in their overall health. When they are hospitalized, uninsured people receive

fewer diagnostic and therapeutic services and also have higher mortality rates than those with

insurance.52,53,54,55

Figure 11

Barriers to Health Care Among Nonelderly Adults by Insurance Status, 2012

4%

4%

6%

11%

14%

9%

11%

12%

22%

25%

29%

55%

Could Not Afford PrescriptionDrug

Went Without Needed CareDue to Cost

Postponed Seeking Care Due toCost

No Usual Source of Care

Uninsured

Medicaid /Other Public

Employer/Other Private

In past 12 months. Respondents who said usual source of care was the emergency room were included among those not having a usual source of care.All differences between uninsured and insurance groups are statistically significant (p<0.05).SOURCE: KCMU analysis of 2013 NHIS data.

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 13

Problems getting needed care also exist

among uninsured children. Uninsured

children are significantly more likely to lack a

usual source of care, to delay care, or to have

unmet medical needs than children with

insurance (Figure 12). Uninsured children with

common childhood illnesses and injuries do not

receive the same level of care as others. As a

result, they are at higher risk for preventable

hospitalizations and for missed diagnoses of

serious health conditions.56 Disparities exist

even among children with special needs,

including access to specialists.57

Lack of health coverage, even for short periods of time, results in decreased access to care.

Adults with gaps in their health insurance coverage in the previous year were less likely to have a regular source

of care or to be up to date with blood pressure or cholesterol checks than those with continuous coverage.58

Children who are uninsured for part of the year have more access problems than those with full-year public or

private coverage.59

Research demonstrates that gaining health insurance restores access to health care

considerably and diminishes the adverse effects of having been uninsured. A seminal study of

health insurance in Oregon found that newly insured Medicaid enrollees were more likely to receive care from

a hospital or doctor than uninsured people.60 Gaining Medicaid coverage was associated with approximately

35% increased likelihood of having an outpatient visit and a 15% increased likelihood of taking a prescription.

Two years after the study was completed, new findings show significant improvements in access, utilization,

and self-reported health, as well as the reduction in catastrophic out-of-pocket medical spending among adults

who gained coverage.61 A separate study of three other states (New York, Maine, and Arizona) found that

expansions in Medicaid eligibility for adults were associated with reduced mortality, as well as improvements

in access to care and self-reported health status.62

The safety net of public hospitals, community clinics, and local service providers that provides

health services to vulnerable populations is crucial in caring for the uninsured population;

however, such services are unable to fully substitute for the access to care that insurance

provides. Safety net providers, such as public hospitals, community health centers, rural health centers, and

local health departments, provide care to people without health coverage. In addition, private, office-based

physicians provide some charity care, as do nearly all hospitals. However, the safety net is not comprehensive,

and not all uninsured people have access to these providers.63

Increased demand and limited capacity means safety net providers are unable to meet all of the

health needs of the uninsured population. The ability of safety net providers to serve uninsured people

has been threatened in recent years due to increased demand and eroding financing.64 Both health centers and

public hospitals report an increase in demand in recent years, and many clinics report that they are at full

Figure 12

Children’s Access to Care by Health Insurance Status, 2012

29%

18%

11% 11%

22%

27%

3% 2% 1%2%

5%

12%

2% 2% 1% 2%4%

9%

No Usual Sourceof Care*

PostponedSeeking CareDue to Cost*

Went WithoutNeeded CareDue to Cost*

Last MDContact >2Years Ago

Unmet DentalNeed Due to

Cost*

Last Dental Visit>2 Years Ago

Uninsured Medicaid/ Other Public Employer/ Other Private

* In past 12 monthsQuestions about dental care were analyzed for children age 2-17. All other questions were analyzed for all children under age 18. MD contact includes other health professionals. Respondents who said usual source of care was the emergency room were included among those not having a usual source of care. All differences between the uninsured and the two insurance groups are statistically significant (p<0.05).SOURCE: KCMU analysis of 2013 NHIS data.

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 14

capacity and cannot accept new patients.65 Further, increasing financial pressures and changing physician

practice patterns have contributed to a decline in charity care provided by physicians.66

In recognition of the growing need for

services, federal funding for clinics has

increased in recent years but still falls

below need. Community health centers (CHCs)

play an important role in caring for individuals

without health coverage.67 The ACA allocated $11

billion over five years for broad health center

expansion, though legislation in April 2011

reduced the first year of new ACA investment by

$600 million. The additional funding in the ACA

is estimated to expand CHC service capacity to

reach up to 44 million patients by 2015 and up to

50 million patients in 2019 (Figure 13). ACA also

provides new funds for nurse-managed health

centers and school-based clinics. While the number of uninsured patients is projected to drop significantly

nationwide as a result of health reform, the share of uninsured patients cared for by CHCs is expected to

remain relatively high compared to other primary health care providers.68

Figure 13

Projected Number of Patients Served by Community Health Centers

18.8

44.1

50.0

2009 2015 2019

Number of Patients in Millions

Source: Estimates of patients served under funding levels authorized by the ACA from Ku, L., Richard, P., Dor, A., Tan, E., Shin, P. and S. Rosenbaum. June 30, 2010. “Strengthening Primary Care to Bend the Cost Curve: The Expansion of Community Health Centers Through Health Reform.” Geiger Gibson/ RHCN Community Health Foundation Research Collaborative Policy Research Brief No. 19.

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 15

WHAT ARE THE FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS OF LACK OF COVERAGE?

For many uninsured people, the costs of health insurance and medical care are weighed against equally

essential needs. When people without health coverage do receive health care, they may be charged for the full

cost of that care, which can strain family finances and lead to medical debt. Uninsured people are more likely

to report problems with high medical bills than those with insurance. Low-income individuals, who comprise a

large share of the uninsured population, were three times as likely as those with higher incomes to report

having difficulty paying basic monthly expenses such as rent, food, and utilities.69

Most uninsured people do not receive health services for free or at reduced charge. Hospitals

frequently charge uninsured patients two to four times what health insurers and public programs actually pay

for hospital services.70 More than half of uninsured adults paid full price for their usual source of care, with

82% of uninsured adults who used any medical services in the previous year paying some amount out-of-

pocket for health care.71

Uninsured people often must pay "up front" before services will be rendered. When people

without health coverage are unable to pay the full medical bill in cash at the time of service, they can sometimes

negotiate a payment schedule with a provider, pay with credit cards (typically with high interest rates), or can

be turned away.72

People without health coverage spend less than half of what those with coverage spend on

health care, but they pay for a much larger portion of their care out-of-pocket. In 2008, the

average person who was uninsured for a full-year incurred $1,686 in total health care costs compared to $4,463

for the nonelderly with coverage.73 However, these averages are affected by the high number of uninsured

individuals that do not seek health care at all.74 The uninsured pay for about a third of this care out-of-pocket,

totaling $30 billion in 2008. This total included the health care costs for those uninsured all year and the costs

incurred during the months the part-year uninsured have no health coverage.

The remaining costs of their care, the uncompensated costs for the uninsured, amounted to

about $57 billion in 2008. About 75% of this total ($42.9 billion) was paid by federal, state, and local funds

appropriated for care of the uninsured population.75 Nearly half of all funds for uncompensated care come

from the federal government, with the majority of federal dollars flowing through Medicare and Medicaid.

While substantial, these government dollars amount to a small slice (2%) of total health care spending in the

U.S.

The burden of uncompensated care varies across providers. Hospitals incur 60% of the cost of

uncompensated care because of the high cost of medical needs requiring hospitalization, despite the fact that

physicians and community clinics see more uninsured patients.76 Most government funding of uncompensated

care is paid to hospitals based indirectly on the share of uncompensated care they provide. The cost of

uncompensated care provided by physicians is not directly or indirectly reimbursed by public dollars.

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 16

Safety net hospitals that serve a large number of uninsured individuals will receive a reduction

in federal disproportionate share (DSH) payments beginning in 2014. DSH payments are federal

Medicaid payments intended to cover the extra cost experienced by hospitals serving a large number of low-

income and uninsured patients. Unlike other Medicaid payments, federal DSH funds are capped at a state’s

annual allotted amount, determined by statutory formula, and states have two years to claim their allotments.

DSH allotments currently vary considerably across states and total about $11 billion a year.77 In 2014, when

many states will expand Medicaid eligibility to 138% of poverty, the ACA will begin reducing DSH payments,

with total reductions by 2022 estimated to be more than $22 billion.78 However, some states may elect not to

expand Medicaid eligibility, which would leave uninsured residents with few low-cost coverage options and the

hospitals that serve these individuals with less federal DSH funding.

Being uninsured leaves individuals at an increased risk of amassing unaffordable medical bills.

Uninsured people are almost twice as likely (47% versus 23%) as those with health insurance coverage to report

having trouble paying medical bills (Figure 14). Medical bills may also force uninsured adults to exhaust their

savings. In 2010, 27% of uninsured adults used up all or most of their savings paying medical bills, as

compared with 7% of those with coverage.79

Most of uninsured people have few, if any,

savings and assets they can easily use to

pay health care costs. Half of uninsured

families living below 200% of poverty have no

savings at all,80 and the average uninsured

household has no net assets.81 Uninsured people

also have far fewer financial assets than those

with insurance coverage. A recent survey found

that almost half (46%) of uninsured people are

not confident that they can pay for the health

care services they think they need, compared to

21% of people with insurance (Figure 14).

Unprotected from medical costs and with

few assets, uninsured people are at risk of being unable to pay off medical debt. Like any bill,

when medical bills are not paid or paid off too slowly, they are turned over to a collection agency, and a

person's ability to get further credit is significantly limited. Almost one-quarter (23%) of uninsured nonelderly

individuals have medical bills that they are unable to pay at all, compared to 6% of those with private

insurance.82 Medical debts contribute to almost half of the bankruptcies in the United States, and uninsured

people are more at risk of falling into medical bankruptcy than people with insurance.83

Figure 14

Financial Consequences of Medical Bills by Insurance Status, 2012

47% 49%46%

23%27%

21%

Had Problems Paying MedicalBills in Past 12 Months

Put off or Postponed GettingNeeded Health Care

Very Worried About Not BeingAble to Afford Health Care

Services

Uninsured Insured

All differences between insured and insurance groups are statistically significant (p<0.05).

SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation’s Health Tracking Poll: June 2012

Percent of adults responding (age 18-64) reporting in the past 12 months:

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 17

HOW WILL THE AFFORDABLE CARE ACT AFFECT THE UNINSURED

POPULATION?

A primary goal of the Affordable Care Act of

2010 (ACA) is reducing the number of

uninsured people and increasing the

affordability and availability of health insurance

coverage. The ACA fills in existing gaps in

coverage by expanding the Medicaid program,

building on employer-based coverage, and

providing premium subsidies to make private

insurance more affordable (Figure 15). Some of

the ACA provisions went into effect earlier, but

the major coverage expansions go into effect

January 1, 2014.

The coverage provisions in the ACA

target the uninsured population by

income. Among the 47.3 million nonelderly

uninsured people in 2012, over half (24 million)

have incomes at or below 138% FPL. This group

will be affected by the Medicaid expansion in

2014 in states that chose to implement the

expansion (Figure 16). Four in ten of the

nonelderly uninsured population have incomes

between 139% - 400% FPL, the income level

targeted by subsidies for coverage purchased

through the newly created Health Insurance

Marketplaces. Coverage for all uninsured

individuals will be impacted by new rules and

requirements.

MEDICAID EXPANSION

Beginning in 2014, the ACA provides for the expansion of Medicaid to eligible adults with

incomes at or under 138% FPL. The Medicaid expansion eliminates the historical exclusion of adults

outside of traditional eligibility groups, such as those without dependent children. Undocumented immigrants

remain ineligible for Medicaid, and lawfully present non-citizens are subject to a five-year waiting period for

Medicaid coverage. To ensure that people do not lose Medicaid coverage before key ACA provisions take effect,

all states are required to maintain current Medicaid eligibility levels for adults until 2014 and eligibility levels

for children in Medicaid and CHIP until 2019.

The ACA also includes several provisions to streamline Medicaid enrollment. The ACA requires

states to implement new streamlined Medicaid application and enrollment processes by 2014 that will allow

Figure 15

Key Elements of Health Reform

Medicaid Coveragefor Low Income

Individuals

Employer-Sponsored Coverage

Marketplace Subsidiesfor Moderate-Income

Individuals

IndividualMandate

Health Insurance Market Reforms

Universal Coverage

Figure 16

51%

39%

10%

47.3 M Uninsured

17.7%

20.8%

5.8%

55.7%

Income of the Nonelderly Uninsured Population, 2012

* Medicaid also includes other public programs: CHIP, other state programs, Medicare and military-related coverage. In 2012, 100% of the federal poverty level (FPL) is $11,170 for an individual and $23,050 for a family of four and 400% FPL is $44,680 for an individual and $92,220 for a family of four SOURCE: KCMU/Urban Institute analysis of 2013 ASEC Supplement to the CPS.

≤138% (Medicaid)

Federal Poverty Level

139-400% (Subsidies)

>400%

Private Non-Group

Medicaid*

Employer-Sponsored Insurance

Uninsured

266.9 M Nonelderly

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 18

individuals to apply online, by phone, by mail, or in-person, use new simplified income standards, and rely on

electronic data matches to the greatest extent possible to verify eligibility criteria. To implement these

processes, states are building new eligibility and enrollment systems and replacing or making major upgrades

to their Medicaid systems, with the federal government providing significant funding for these efforts.84 Even

with these new streamlined enrollment processes in place, effective outreach and enrollment efforts will be

fundamentally important for translating the new coverage opportunities into increased coverage.

The impact of the Medicaid expansion on the uninsured will depend on state decisions about

whether to expand their programs. The June 2012 Supreme Court decision limited the government’s

authority to require states to implement the expansion, essentially making the expansion optional for states. As

of the end of September 2013, 26 states were not planning to implement the expansion and 54% of the

currently uninsured population at or below 138% of poverty live in these states.85 Even in states that do not

expand Medicaid, existing coverage for groups already guaranteed coverage by Medicaid, such as children in

poverty, will remain.

In states that expand Medicaid, many low-income parents and other adults will become newly

eligible for coverage. Overall, the median eligibility limit for parents in the 25 states (including DC) moving

forward with the Medicaid expansion will rise from 106% FPL to 138% FPL for parents and from 0% to 138%

FPL for childless adults from January 2013 to January 2014. Overall, eligibility levels will increase for parents

in 18 states and for childless adults in 23 states.86

In states that do not expand Medicaid, millions will fall into a “coverage gap” of earning too

much to qualify for traditional Medicaid coverage but not enough to qualify for other ACA

coverage provisions. The median Medicaid eligibility levels for parents in states not implementing the ACA

Medicaid expansion is just 47% of poverty, or about $9,400 a year for a family of three, and only one of those

states (Wisconsin) covers adults without dependent children. State decisions not to expand their programs will

leave over five million people without an affordable coverage option.87

HEALTH INSURANCE MARKETPLACES AND PREMIUM TAX CREDITS

The ACA establishes Health Insurance Marketplaces, also known as exchanges, where

individuals and small employers can purchase insurance starting January 1, 2014. These new

marketplaces are designed to ensure a more level competitive environment for insurers and to provide

consumers with information on cost and quality to enable them to choose among plans. Open enrollment for

plans in the Marketplaces began October 1, 2013.

Health Insurance Marketplaces will be established in each state, but only some states will run

their own Marketplace. Sixteen states and DC have received approval to run their own health insurance

Marketplaces and 27 states have opted to have their Marketplace run by the federal government. The

remaining 7 states are planning for a hybrid approach and will partner with the federal government to run

certain aspects of their Marketplace.88

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 19

Premium tax credits will help reduce the cost of non-group coverage premiums purchased in

the Marketplace. To help ensure that coverage purchased in these new Marketplaces is affordable, the

federal government will provide tax credits for individuals and families with incomes between 100% ($11,490

for an individual or $19,530 for a family of three in 2013) of the federal poverty level (FPL) and 400% FPL

($45,960 for an individual or $58,590 for a family of three in 2013). These tax credits will limit the cost of the

premium to a share of income and will be offered on a sliding scale basis. In addition to the premium tax

credits, the federal government will also make available cost-sharing subsidies to reduce what people with

incomes between 100% and 250% of poverty will have to pay out-of-pocket to access health services. The cost-

sharing subsidies will also be available on a sliding scale based on income.

Changes to insurance regulations will improve access to coverage for those who may have been

previously denied access. The law will improve the availability of health insurance by adopting new rules

for insurers beginning in 2014 that will prevent them from denying coverage to people for any reason,

including their health status, and from charging more to people who are sick. However, the law will continue to

allow insurers to charge older people and tobacco users more for coverage, though how much they can charge

will be limited.

Marketplaces will provide insurance options to millions of uninsured individuals. Almost 13

million uninsured individuals are estimated to be eligible for tax credits through the Marketplace. 89 Around 4

million additional individuals already enrolled in nongroup coverage are estimated to be eligible for tax credits

through the Marketplace.90

REQUIREMENTS AND INCENTIVES FOR COVERAGE

Under the ACA, almost all people are required to have health insurance coverage. This

requirement, beginning in 2014, will only apply to those with access to affordable coverage, defined as costing

no more than 8% of an individual’s or family’s income (certain other exemptions to the mandate will also be

granted). Greater access to Medicaid and the availability of new premium subsidies will increase the availability

of affordable coverage options enabling more people to gain coverage. Still, those who choose not to have

coverage and who are not exempt from the requirement will be required to pay a yearly financial penalty

through their taxes.

Large employers will face penalties for not providing affordable coverage to full-time

employees. Beginning in 2015, employers with more than 50 employees will be assessed a fee up to $2,000

per full-time employee (in excess of 30 employees) if they do not offer affordable coverage or if they have at

least one employee who receives a premium tax credit through a Marketplace. This requirement does not apply

to small employers. While the employer requirements may help many uninsured individuals with a worker in

their family, a majority of uninsured workers work in small firms that are not required to provide insurance

coverage.

Tax credits are available to small businesses to help subsidize the cost of providing coverage to

employees. Recognizing the challenges that small employers, especially those with low-wage workers, face in

providing coverage to their employees, the law provides tax credits to the smallest employers (those with fewer

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 20

than 25 workers and average annual wages of less than $50,000) to offset the cost of that coverage. These tax

credits were available beginning in 2010.

IMPACT OF THE LAW ON THE UNINSURED POPULATION

With full implementation of the ACA, the

number of people without insurance

could decrease by half. At full

implementation of the ACA (and all states

expanding), the uninsured rate would fall by

almost 50%, reducing the number of uninsured

by over 23 million people.91 The potential

impact of the ACA on the uninsured varies by

state and, within state, local area, reflecting

current coverage patterns and eligibility for new

coverage options (Figure 17).

The impact of the ACA on the uninsured

will depend on the number of states

expanding Medicaid and the outreach and enrollment efforts in the Marketplaces. If only the 25

states (including DC) planning to implement the Medicaid expansion as of September 2013 do so, the impact

on the uninsured would be reduced substantially.92 Further, the initial roll out of open enrollment for

Marketplace coverage had several technical problems that, if unresolved, may hamper people’s ability to enroll

in coverage. Careful attention to who is left out of coverage as the ACA unfolds is essential to health reform’s

success.

Despite increases in coverage options, millions will remain uninsured after the ACA is

implemented. While the ACA will make important strides in reducing the number of uninsured people, an

estimated 26 million people will remain uninsured with full implementation.93 These individuals are likely to

include: immigrants who are not legal residents and therefore not eligible for Medicaid coverage or for federal

premium subsidies; people who are exempt from the mandate, in most cases because they do not have access to

affordable coverage; and people who are subject to the mandate but choose to pay the penalty rather than

purchase health insurance. The residual uninsured population will be concentrated in states that do not

implement the Medicaid expansion. Many uninsured people live in health professional shortage areas and may

continue to do so even if they gain insurance under the ACA, underscoring the need to continue to develop and

support safety-net providers and community health clinics.94

Figure 17

SOURCE: Kenney G et al., “State and Local Coverage Changes under Full Implementation of the Affordable Care Act,” Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured, July 2013.

Projected Decrease in the Uninsured under the ACA with all States Expanding Medicaid

WY

WI

WV

WA

VA

VT

UT

TX

TN

SD

SC

RI

PA

OR

OK

OH

ND

NC

NY

NM

NJ

NH

NVNE

MT

MO

MS

MN

MI

MA

MD

ME

LA

KYKS

IA

INIL

ID

HI

GA

FL

DC

DE

CT

COCA

ARAZ

AK

AL

40-50% Projected decrease (18 states and DC)

>50% Projected decrease (27 states)

<40% Projected decrease (5 states)

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 21

CONCLUSION

On the eve of the ACA’s major coverage expansions, the nation’s system of health insurance has many gaps that

currently leave millions of people without coverage. Many workers, particularly low-wage workers, do not have

access to coverage or cannot afford their share of premiums. The recent economic recession has also led to the

loss of jobs and employer-sponsored insurance. Historically, the options for the uninsured population were

often limited to the individual market, which is often expensive and under which many are denied coverage.

Medicaid and CHIP have provided coverage to many families, but pre-ACA eligibility levels are low for parents

and few states provide coverage to adults without dependent children. The ACA fills in many of these gaps by

expanding Medicaid to low-income adults and providing subsidized coverage to people with incomes below

400% of poverty in the state-based Marketplaces. However, many poor uninsured adults may be left without

options in states that do not expand Medicaid. Even so, the ACA has the potential to provide coverage to those

who need it, ensuring that fewer individuals and families will face the health and financial consequences of not

having health insurance.

This Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured report was co-authored by Vann Newkirk, Rachel

Licata, and Rachel Garfield of the Kaiser Family Foundation and Emily Lawton and Megan McGrath of the

Urban Institute.

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 22

TABLES

Table 1: Characteristics of the Nonelderly Uninsured Population, 2012

Table 2: Characteristics of Uninsured Children, 2012

Table 3: Health Insurance Coverage of the Nonelderly, 2012

Table 4: Health Insurance Coverage of Children, 2012

Table 5: Health Insurance Coverage of the Nonelderly by State, 2011-2012

Table 6: Health Insurance Coverage of Children by State, 2011-2012

The online version of this Primer with additional detailed national and state tables and slides for downloading

is available online at: http://kff.org/other/report/the-uninsured-a-primer-key-facts-about-health-insurance-

on-the-eve-of-coverage-expansions

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 23

TABLE 1: CHARACTERISTICS OF THE NONELDERLY UNINSURED

POPULATION, 2012

Nonelderly Percent of Uninsured Percent of Uninsured(millions) Nonelderly (millions) Uninsured Rate

Total - Nonelderlya 266.9 100.0% 47.3 100.0% 17.7%

Age

Children - Total 78.2 29.3% 7.2 15.2% 9.2%

Adults - Total 188.7 70.7% 40.1 84.8% 21.3%Adults 19-25 30.0 11.2% 8.2 17.3% 27.4%Adults 26-34 37.3 14.0% 10.2 21.6% 27.4%Adults 35-44 39.6 14.8% 8.4 17.8% 21.3%Adults 45-54 43.4 16.2% 7.9 16.7% 18.2%Adults 55-64 38.5 14.4% 5.4 11.4% 14.0%

Annual Family Income

<$20,000 66.3 24.9% 21.9 46.4% 33.1%$20,000 - $39,999 51.4 19.2% 13.4 28.3% 26.0%

$40,000 + 149.2 55.9% 12.0 25.4% 8.0%

Family Poverty Levelc

≤138% 76.7 28.7% 24.0 50.7% 31.2%...<100% 56.9 21.3% 18.1 38.3% 31.8%

...100-138% 19.8 7.4% 5.8 12.3% 29.6%139-400% 99.9 37.4% 18.4 38.9% 18.4%

...139-250% 48.6 18.2% 11.7 24.7% 24.0%…251-400% 51.3 19.2% 6.7 14.2% 13.1%

>400% 90.3 33.8% 4.9 10.4% 5.5%

Household Type

Single Adults Living Alone 20.8 7.8% 4.3 9.1% 20.8%Single Adults Living Together 35.3 13.2% 11.8 25.0% 33.4%

Married Adults 56.2 21.0% 8.7 18.3% 15.4%

1 Parent with childrend 35.3 13.2% 6.3 13.4% 18.0%

2 Parents with childrend 105.0 39.3% 12.7 26.8% 12.1%

Multigenerational/Other with childrene 14.4 5.4% 3.5 7.4% 24.4%

Family Work Status

2 Full-time 66.0 24.7% 5.2 10.9% 7.8%1 Full-time 137.9 51.7% 24.8 52.4% 18.0%

Only Part-timef 24.5 9.2% 7.3 15.5% 30.0%Non-Workers 38.5 14.4% 10.0 21.2% 26.1%

Race/Ethnicity

White only (non-Hispanic) 160.5 60.2% 21.3 45.0% 13.3%Black only (non-Hispanic) 33.7 12.6% 6.9 14.7% 20.6%

Hispanic 49.9 18.7% 15.3 32.4% 30.7%Asian/S. Pacific Islander only 15.1 5.7% 2.5 5.2% 16.3%

Am. Indian/Alaska Native 2.0 0.8% 0.5 1.1% 25.6%

Two or More Racesg 5.5 2.1% 0.8 1.6% 13.6%

Citizenship

U.S. citizen - native 232.0 86.9% 34.8 73.5% 15.0%U.S. citizen - naturalized 14.3 5.4% 3.2 6.8% 22.6%

Non-U.S. citizen, resident for < 5 years 4.6 1.7% 1.7 3.6% 37.8%Non-U.S. citizen, resident for 5+ years 16.0 6.0% 7.6 16.0% 47.4%

Health Status

Excellent/Very Good 183.1 68.6% 28.1 59.4% 15.4%Good 60.2 22.5% 14.2 29.9% 23.5%

Fair/Poor 23.7 8.9% 5.1 10.7% 21.3%

( ) = Estimate has a large 95% confidence interval of +/- 5.0 - 7.9 percentage points. Estimates with larger margins of error or with standard errors greater than 30% are not provided.

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 24

TABLE 2: CHARACTERISTICS OF UNINSURED CHILDREN, 2012

Children Percent of Uninsured Percent of Uninsured(millions) Children (millions) Uninsured Rate

Total - Childrenh 78.2 100.0% 7.2 100.0% 9.2%

Age

<1 3.9 5.0% 0.5 6.3% 11.7%1-5 20.2 25.8% 1.6 21.8% 7.8%

6-18 54.1 69.2% 5.2 71.9% 9.6%

Family Income

<$20,000 19.2 24.6% 2.7 37.9% 14.2%$20,000 - $39,999 14.2 18.2% 1.9 26.2% 13.3%

$40,000 + 44.7 57.2% 2.6 35.9% 5.8%

Family Poverty Levelc

≤138% 27.9 35.7% 3.9 54.1% 14.0%...<100% 21.1 27.0% 3.0 41.6% 14.2%

...100-138% 6.8 8.6% 0.9 12.5% 13.3%139-400% 29.8 38.1% 2.7 37.3% 9.0%

...139-250% 15.3 19.5% 1.8 24.5% 11.6%…251-400% 14.5 18.6% 0.9 12.8% 6.3%

>400% 20.5 26.2% 0.6 8.5% 3.0%

Household Typei

1 Parentd 21.2 27.1% 2.2 30.1% 10.2%

2 Parentsd 50.2 64.2% 3.9 53.9% 7.7%

Multigenerational/Othere 6.2 7.9% 1.0 14.2% 16.5%

Family Work Status

2 Full-time 20.4 26.1% 1.1 15.7% 5.5%1 Full-time 40.7 52.1% 3.7 51.8% 9.1%

Only Part-timef 6.4 8.2% 0.8 10.6% 11.9%Non-Workers 10.7 13.6% 1.6 21.9% 14.8%

Race/Ethnicity

White only (non-Hispanic) 41.2 52.7% 2.8 38.8% 6.8%Black only (non-Hispanic) 10.8 13.8% 1.0 14.2% 9.5%

Hispanic 18.7 23.9% 2.7 38.2% 14.7%Asian/S. Pacific Islander only 3.9 5.0% 0.3 4.5% 8.4%

Am. Indian/Alaska Native 0.7 0.9% 0.1 1.5% 15.5%

Two or More Racesg 3.0 3.8% 0.2 2.8% 6.7%

Citizenship

U.S. Citizen 76.1 97.4% 6.6 91.7% 8.7%Non-U.S. citizen, resident for < 5 years 0.9 1.1% 0.2 3.1% (25.4%)Non-U.S. citizen, resident for 5+ years 1.2 1.5% 0.4 5.2% 32.2%

Health Status

Excellent/Very Good 64.2 82.1% 5.6 78.5% 8.8%Good 12.4 15.8% 1.4 19.6% 11.4%

Fair/Poor 1.6 2.1% 0.1 2.0% 8.7%

Table 2Characteristics of Uninsured Children, 2012

( ) = Estimate has a large 95% confidence interval of +/- 5.0 - 7.9 percentage points. Estimates with larger margins of error or with standard errors greater than 30% are not provided.

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 25

TABLE 3: HEALTH INSURANCE COVERAGE OF THE NONELDERLY,

2012

Nonelderly

(millions) Employer Individual Medicaid Otherb

Total - Nonelderlya 266.9 55.7% 5.8% 17.9% 2.9% 17.7%

Age

Children - Total 78.2 49.7% 4.0% 35.5% 1.6% 9.2%

Adults - Total 188.7 58.1% 6.6% 10.6% 3.5% 21.3%Adults 19-25 30.0 42.8% 13.7% 14.2% 1.9% 27.4%Adults 26-34 37.3 55.1% 4.7% 11.0% 1.7% 27.4%Adults 35-44 39.6 62.8% 4.2% 9.7% 2.1% 21.3%Adults 45-54 43.4 63.7% 5.3% 9.2% 3.5% 18.2%Adults 55-64 38.5 61.9% 6.7% 9.7% 7.8% 14.0%

Annual Family Income

<$20,000 66.3 16.6% 6.8% 39.2% 4.4% 33.1%$20,000 - $39,999 51.4 40.4% 6.4% 23.5% 3.7% 26.0%

$40,000 + 149.2 78.3% 5.2% 6.5% 2.0% 8.0%

Family Poverty Levelc

≤138% 76.7 16.9% 5.9% 42.3% 3.7% 31.2%...<100% 56.9 14.1% 5.8% 45.0% 3.3% 31.8%

...100-138% 19.8 25.1% 6.1% 34.4% 4.8% 29.6%139-400% 99.9 59.1% 6.5% 12.6% 3.4% 18.4%

...139-250% 48.6 46.3% 6.8% 18.5% 4.3% 24.0%…251-400% 51.3 71.1% 6.2% 6.9% 2.6% 13.1%

>400% 90.3 84.8% 5.0% 3.0% 1.8% 5.5%

Household Type

Single Adults Living Alone 20.8 51.7% 9.1% 12.6% 5.8% 20.8%Single Adults Living Together 35.3 40.8% 10.2% 12.0% 3.5% 33.4%

Married Adults 56.2 67.3% 6.1% 6.6% 4.7% 15.4%

1 Parent with childrend 35.3 32.0% 4.8% 43.6% 1.6% 18.0%

2 Parents with childrend 105.0 66.0% 4.2% 16.0% 1.7% 12.1%

Multigenerational/Other with childrene 14.4 34.9% 3.2% 34.7% 2.9% 24.4%

Family Work Status

2 Full-time 66.0 81.7% 3.6% 5.8% 1.1% 7.8%1 Full-time 137.9 59.8% 5.8% 14.5% 1.9% 18.0%

Only Part-timef 24.5 26.3% 11.1% 29.5% 3.2% 30.0%Non-Workers 38.5 15.0% 6.4% 43.0% 9.5% 26.1%

Race/Ethnicity

White only (non-Hispanic) 160.5 64.2% 7.0% 12.4% 3.2% 13.3%Black only (non-Hispanic) 33.7 43.3% 3.5% 28.9% 3.8% 20.6%

Hispanic 49.9 36.3% 3.3% 27.9% 1.8% 30.7%Asian/S. Pacific Islander only 15.1 61.5% 7.3% 13.1% 1.8% 16.3%

Am. Indian/Alaska Native 2.0 (35.5%) 4.2% (31.4%) 3.4% 25.6%

Two or More Racesg 5.5 50.4% 5.2% 26.9% 3.9% 13.6%

Citizenship

U.S. citizen - native 232.0 57.4% 5.9% 18.5% 3.1% 15.0%U.S. citizen - naturalized 14.3 56.4% 6.2% 12.3% 2.4% 22.6%

Non-U.S. citizen, resident for < 5 years 4.6 39.3% 6.8% 15.2% 1.0% 37.8%Non-U.S. citizen, resident for 5+ years 16.0 34.1% 3.5% 13.9% 1.1% 47.4%

Health Status

Excellent/Very Good 183.1 61.0% 6.5% 15.5% 1.7% 15.4%Good 60.2 49.0% 4.8% 19.6% 3.1% 23.5%

Fair/Poor 23.7 31.2% 3.4% 31.9% 12.1% 21.3%

( ) = Estimate has a large 95% confidence interval of +/- 5.0 - 7.9 percentage points. Estimates with larger margins of error or with standard errors greater than 30% are not provided.

Table 3Health Insurance Coverage of the Nonelderly, 2012

Percent Distribution by Coverage Type

Private Public Uninsured

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 26

TABLE 4: HEALTH INSURANCE COVERAGE OF CHILDREN, 2012

Children

(millions) Employer Individual Medicaid Otherb

Total - Childrenh 78.2 49.7% 4.0% 35.5% 1.6% 9.2%

Age

<1 3.9 43.4% 2.1% 40.9% 1.9% 11.7%1-5 20.2 46.7% 2.6% 41.2% 1.8% 7.8%

6-18 54.1 51.3% 4.6% 33.0% 1.6% 9.6%

Annual Family Income

<$20,000 19.2 10.7% 2.6% 71.0% 1.5% 14.2%$20,000 - $39,999 14.2 26.5% 3.5% 55.0% 1.8% 13.3%

$40,000 + 44.7 73.9% 4.7% 14.1% 1.6% 5.8%

Family Poverty Levelc

≤138% 27.9 13.4% 2.5% 68.6% 1.5% 14.0%...<100% 21.1 10.5% 2.5% 71.2% 1.6% 14.2%

...100-138% 6.8 22.5% 2.7% 60.3% 1.1% 13.3%139-400% 29.8 59.5% 4.8% 24.7% 2.0% 9.0%

...139-250% 15.3 46.7% 4.4% 35.2% 2.1% 11.6%…251-400% 14.5 73.0% 5.1% 13.6% 1.9% 6.3%

>400% 20.5 84.9% 4.7% 6.2% 1.2% 3.0%

Household Typei

1 Parent with childrend 21.2 28.5% 4.0% 56.2% 1.1% 10.2%

2 Parents with childrend 50.2 62.2% 3.9% 24.4% 1.8% 7.7%

Multigenerational/Other with childrene 6.2 24.4% 2.8% 54.8% 1.5% 16.5%

Family Work Status

2 Full-time 20.4 76.7% 3.1% 13.6% 1.0% 5.5%1 Full-time 40.7 51.4% 4.4% 33.2% 1.8% 9.1%

Only Part-timef 6.4 16.9% 5.4% 64.2% 1.5% 11.9%Non-Workers 10.7 11.2% 2.8% 69.1% 2.1% 14.8%

Race/Ethnicity

White only (non-Hispanic) 41.2 61.9% 5.1% 24.6% 1.6% 6.8%Black only (non-Hispanic) 10.8 34.0% 2.1% 52.7% 1.7% 9.5%

Hispanic 18.7 30.8% 2.4% 50.6% 1.5% 14.7%Asian/S. Pacific Islander only 3.9 61.1% 5.3% 24.4% 0.9% 8.4%

Am. Indian/Alaska Native 0.7 -- 2.1% -- 0.8% 15.5%

Two or More Racesg 3.0 48.1% 3.0% 38.8% 3.3% 6.7%

Citizenship

U.S. citizen 76.1 50.2% 3.9% 35.6% 1.6% 8.7%Non-U.S. citizen, resident for < 5 years 0.9 (37.8%) 6.0% (29.3%) 1.4% (25.4%)Non-U.S. citizen, resident for 5+ years 1.2 27.6% 4.0% 35.3% 0.9% 32.2%

Health Status

Excellent/Very Good 64.2 53.3% 4.2% 32.0% 1.7% 8.8%Good 12.4 34.4% 2.8% 50.0% 1.4% 11.4%

Fair/Poor 1.6 23.8% 2.9% 63.2% 1.3% 8.7%

( ) = Estimate has a large 95% confidence interval of +/- 5.0 - 7.9 percentage points. Estimates with larger margins of error or with standard errors greater than 30% are not provided.

Table 4Health Insurance Coverage of Children, 2012

Percent Distribution by Coverage Type

Private Public Uninsured

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 27

TABLE 5: HEALTH INSURANCE COVERAGE OF THE NONELDERLY

BY STATE, 2011-2012

Nonelderly

(thousands)a Employer Individual Medicaid Otherb

United States 266,647 55.7% 5.7% 17.7% 2.9% 17.9%

Alabama 4,136 54.9% 5.7% 18.1% 5.3% 16.0%Alaska 632 54.3% 3.7% 15.2% 6.4% 20.5%Arizona 5,665 52.2% 4.9% 20.1% 2.8% 20.1%Arkansas 2,446 47.6% 4.8% 21.5% 5.2% 20.9%California 33,302 50.3% 6.7% 20.0% 2.0% 21.0%Colorado 4,456 58.8% 8.3% 13.9% 2.5% 16.5%Connecticut 3,007 67.0% 5.7% 15.9% 1.8% 9.5%Delaware 758 60.3% 4.1% 20.4% 3.0% 12.2%District of Columbia 548 55.1% 7.7% 26.8% 1.3% 9.1%Florida 15,635 49.3% 6.4% 15.1% 4.4% 24.7%Georgia 8,541 52.8% 5.3% 15.5% 4.7% 21.7%Hawaii 1,122 62.3% 4.3% 20.0% 4.2% 9.1%Idaho 1,349 55.1% 8.4% 14.9% 2.4% 19.1%Illinois 10,965 57.7% 5.5% 18.5% 2.2% 16.2%Indiana 5,417 60.3% 3.6% 18.6% 2.6% 14.8%Iowa 2,604 61.0% 8.4% 17.3% 1.7% 11.6%Kansas 2,382 58.3% 7.3% 15.0% 3.9% 15.5%Kentucky 3,740 54.9% 4.8% 18.8% 4.1% 17.3%Louisiana 3,866 50.2% 3.8% 21.0% 2.6% 22.4%Maine 1,121 56.1% 4.7% 24.3% 3.4% 11.5%Maryland 5,071 64.8% 5.1% 13.1% 2.1% 14.9%Massachusetts 5,578 66.0% 5.1% 23.6% 1.0% 4.4%Michigan 8,251 59.5% 5.8% 19.2% 2.1% 13.5%Minnesota 4,591 65.9% 6.8% 15.3% 2.0% 10.1%Mississippi 2,504 51.6% 5.0% 21.6% 3.7% 18.1%Missouri 5,057 58.5% 7.0% 14.8% 3.2% 16.5%Montana 814 49.8% 9.0% 14.3% 5.0% 22.0%Nebraska 1,586 60.8% 9.5% 11.6% 3.4% 14.7%Nevada 2,341 54.2% 5.2% 10.9% 3.1% 26.5%New Hampshire 1,119 68.5% 5.6% 9.1% 2.7% 14.2%New Jersey 7,433 63.3% 4.6% 13.4% 1.8% 16.8%New Mexico 1,736 44.1% 5.4% 22.8% 3.5% 24.3%New York 16,582 55.7% 5.0% 24.1% 1.8% 13.4%North Carolina 8,114 53.7% 5.7% 17.6% 3.4% 19.6%North Dakota 593 65.1% 10.6% 10.0% 2.5% 11.8%Ohio 9,619 58.1% 5.8% 18.1% 2.8% 15.2%Oklahoma 3,203 51.6% 5.4% 19.2% 4.1% 19.8%Oregon 3,308 53.9% 8.0% 18.4% 2.8% 16.9%Pennsylvania 10,753 61.7% 6.5% 16.7% 1.9% 13.3%Rhode Island 872 59.1% 5.4% 18.6% 2.6% 14.3%South Carolina 3,975 54.0% 5.4% 17.7% 3.6% 19.3%South Dakota 701 55.7% 10.2% 15.5% 2.8% 15.9%Tennessee 5,412 53.1% 5.9% 19.9% 5.4% 15.7%Texas 23,012 50.4% 4.2% 15.8% 2.8% 26.8%Utah 2,549 63.8% 7.1% 11.1% 2.1% 16.0%Vermont 515 55.6% 5.9% 27.1% 2.1% 9.3%Virginia 6,843 62.8% 6.0% 10.9% 5.4% 14.9%Washington 5,921 56.8% 5.3% 17.2% 4.8% 16.0%West Virginia 1,538 56.2% 2.7% 19.0% 4.8% 17.3%Wisconsin 4,867 60.9% 6.6% 19.3% 1.7% 11.6%Wyoming 496 58.6% 7.2% 12.5% 2.8% 18.9%

( ) = Estimate has a large 95% confidence interval of +/- 5.0 - 7.9 percentage points. Estimates with larger margins of error or with standard errors greater than 30% are not provided.

Percent Distribution by Coverage Type

Private Public Uninsured

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 28

TABLE 6: HEALTH INSURANCE COVERAGE OF CHILDREN BY

STATE, 2011-2012

Children

(thousands)a Employer Individual Medicaid Otherb

United States 78,275 49.8% 4.0% 35.2% 1.5% 9.5%

Alabama 1,208 (46.4%) -- (39.7%) -- 8.0%Alaska 202 (46.5%) -- (30.3%) 6.5% 14.0%Arizona 1,714 (48.4%) -- 34.3% -- 13.8%Arkansas 733 (36.6%) -- (50.7%) -- 8.5%California 9,847 45.7% 4.4% 38.1% 1.1% 10.7%Colorado 1,329 57.8% 5.7% 26.2% 1.8% 8.5%Connecticut 868 64.6% 3.9% 26.4% -- 4.9%Delaware 221 52.9% -- 35.2% -- 8.4%District of Columbia 116 41.5% -- 50.0% -- --Florida 4,231 43.9% 4.8% 35.4% 2.2% 13.7%Georgia 2,650 45.6% 3.4% 35.3% 3.6% 12.1%Hawaii 328 (52.0%) -- (38.4%) 3.7% 4.0%Idaho 455 (49.6%) 7.4% (31.1%) -- 11.0%Illinois 3,249 50.7% 3.6% 38.5% -- 6.6%Indiana 1,699 53.0% 3.0% 35.9% -- 7.6%Iowa 772 54.3% 6.4% 32.4% -- 5.6%Kansas 751 51.1% 5.4% 32.8% -- 8.0%Kentucky 1,067 48.2% 2.9% 39.6% -- 7.6%Louisiana 1,182 (41.4%) -- 45.4% -- 10.0%Maine 285 52.0% -- 39.4% -- 5.1%Maryland 1,429 59.0% 3.6% 26.8% -- 9.0%Massachusetts 1,521 59.9% 3.1% 33.5% -- 3.2%Michigan 2,416 55.1% 3.9% 35.5% -- 4.8%Minnesota 1,360 62.1% 5.1% 25.4% -- 6.8%Mississippi 809 (43.4%) -- (42.1%) -- 9.3%Missouri 1,490 (54.8%) 4.7% (28.9%) -- (10.9%)Montana 232 (45.9%) 5.1% (34.8%) -- 11.5%Nebraska 481 55.2% 6.2% 25.3% 4.1% 9.2%Nevada 699 51.0% 3.9% 23.5% -- 19.9%New Hampshire 295 63.8% 5.1% 23.5% -- 6.7%New Jersey 2,162 60.7% 4.2% 25.5% -- 7.9%New Mexico 538 (35.1%) -- (46.9%) -- 13.2%New York 4,508 50.0% 2.7% 40.6% -- 6.2%North Carolina 2,449 47.6% 3.9% (37.3%) 2.4% 8.9%North Dakota 163 61.7% 7.6% (24.6%) -- 5.1%Ohio 2,816 51.3% 3.6% 35.7% -- 8.2%Oklahoma 981 41.5% 4.8% 43.7% -- 8.4%Oregon 914 (48.3%) 5.4% (38.6%) -- 6.8%Pennsylvania 2,871 54.8% 3.7% 33.3% -- 7.8%Rhode Island 237 55.3% 2.8% 33.9% -- 6.5%South Carolina 1,139 47.6% 4.9% 34.6% -- 11.8%South Dakota 213 (49.8%) 6.2% 34.5% -- 7.8%Tennessee 1,563 45.4% 4.3% (39.6%) (4.1%) 6.7%Texas 7,333 42.6% 3.3% 36.4% 1.4% 16.3%Utah 939 64.3% 5.8% 18.8% -- 9.7%Vermont 131 48.4% 3.6% 42.5% -- 4.6%Virginia 1,992 59.9% 5.3% 23.4% 5.4% 6.1%Washington 1,723 49.8% 3.9% 36.3% 3.2% 6.9%West Virginia 408 (49.6%) -- (37.3%) -- 9.1%Wisconsin 1,414 55.3% 3.8% 34.6% -- 5.6%Wyoming 145 57.2% 5.1% 25.1% -- 10.4%

( ) = Estimate has a large 95% confidence interval of +/- 5.0 - 7.9 percentage points. Estimates with larger margins of error or with standard errors greater than 30% are not provided.

Table 6Health Insurance Coverage of Children

by State, 2011-2012

Percent Distribution by Coverage Type

Private Public Uninsured

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 29

DATA NOTES

The data in the tables is based on analysis of the Census Bureau’s March Supplement to the Current Population

Survey (the CPS Annual Social and Economic Supplement or ASEC) by the Kaiser Commission on Medicaid

and the Uninsured and the Urban Institute. The CPS supplement is the primary source of annual health

insurance coverage information in the United States.

With the release of 2012 data, the Census Bureau implemented population controls based on the 2010 Census

and applied them to data collected between 2010 - 2012. While the impact of this change on most estimates

was minimal, data in this report may not be directly comparable to that in reports from earlier years.

The ASEC asks respondents about their health insurance coverage throughout the previous calendar year.

Respondents may report having more than one type of coverage. In this analysis, individuals are sorted into

only one category of insurance coverage using the following hierarchy:

Medicaid: Includes those covered by Medicaid, the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP), and those

who have both Medicaid and another type of coverage, such as dually-eligible individuals who are also

covered by Medicare.

Employer: Includes those covered by employer-sponsored coverage either through their own job or as a

dependent.

Other Public: Includes those covered under the military or Veterans Administration as well as nonelderly

Medicare enrollees.

Individual: Includes those covered by private insurance other than employer-sponsored coverage.

Uninsured: Includes those without health insurance and those who have coverage under the Indian Health

Service only.

For example, a person having Medicaid coverage in the first half of the year but employer-based coverage in the

last months of the year would be categorized as having Medicaid coverage in this analysis.

In this analysis, income (mostly categorized as a percent of the federal poverty level) is aggregated by “health

insurance units.” This unit includes members of the nuclear family who can be covered under one insurance

policy: the policy holder, spouse, children under age 19 and full-time students under age 23. Other family

members (e.g., grandparents) who may be living in the same household are not included; therefore, their

incomes are not part of the income used to calculate poverty levels in this analysis. The health insurance unit

more accurately reflects the income actually available to people to buy health insurance, as well as the income

that would be counted if they were to apply for a public insurance program.

The term “nonelderly” refers to all individuals under 65. In this analysis, “children” refers to all individuals

under 19.

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 30

ENDNOTES

1 G. Kenney, et al. 2013 “State and Local Coverage Changes under Full Implementation of the Affordable Care Act.” Kaiser Family Foundation and The Urban Institute. Available at: http://www.kff.org/report-section/state-and-local-coverage-changes-under-full-implementation-of-the-affordable-care-act-report/

2 The ACA expands Medicaid eligibility, beginning in 2014, to people under age 65 who have incomes at or below 138% of the federal poverty level. The Supreme Court ruling on the ACA maintains the Medicaid expansion but limits the Secretary’s authority to enforce it. If a state does not implement the expansion, the Secretary cannot withhold existing federal program funds. For more information: Musumeci M. 2012. “Implementing the ACA’s Medicaid-Related Health Reform Provisions After the Supreme Court’s Decision.” Kaiser Family Foundation Available at: http://www.kff.org/health-reform/issue-brief/implementing-the-acas-medicaid-related-health-reform/

3 Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research & Educational Trust. 2013. 2013 Kaiser/HRET Employer Health Benefits Survey. Available at: http://www.kff.org/private-insurance/report/2013-employer-health-benefits/

4 KCMU/Urban Institute analysis of 2013 ASEC Supplement to the CPS.

5 Kaiser Family Foundation Analysis of April – July 2010, SIPP 2008 Panel Data.

6 Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research and Educational Trust, 2013.

7 Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research and Educational Trust, 2013.

8 Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research and Educational Trust, 2013.

9 Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research and Educational Trust, 2013.

10 State Health Access Data Assistance Center (SHADAC). 2011. State Level Trends in Employer Sponsored Health Insurance: A State-by-State Analysis. Available at: http://www.shadac.org/files/shadac/publications/ESI_Trends_Jun2011.pdf

11 Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research and Educational Trust, 2013.

12 State Health Access Data Assistance Center. 2013. “State-Level Trends in Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance: A State-by-State Analysis.” Available at: http://www.shadac.org/files/shadac/publications/ESI_Report_2013.pdf

13 KCMU/Urban Institute analysis of 2013 ASEC Supplement to the CPS.

14 Cox C, Levitt L, Damico A, and Claxton G. 2011. “Mapping Premium Variation in the Individual Market.” Kaiser Family Foundation. Available at: http://www.kff.org/health-reform/issue-brief/mapping-premium-variation-in-the-individual-market/

15 America’s Health Insurance Plans. 2009 “Individual Health Insurance 2009: A Comprehensive Survey of Premiums, Availability and Benefits.”

16 Kenney G, et al. 2013. Medicaid/CHIP Participation Rates among Children: an Update, Available at: http://www.urban.org/uploadedpdf/412901-%20Medicaid-CHIP-Participation-Rates-Among-Children-An-Update.pdf

17 Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured and Urban Institute estimates based on data from FY 2010 MSIS. 2009 MSIS data was used for Colorado, Idaho, Missouri, and West Virginia, because 2010 data was unavailable

18 Heberlein M, et al. 2013.

19 The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act extends Medicaid eligibility to 133% of poverty, but a special income deduction equal to five percentage points of the poverty level effectively raises the eligibility level to 138% of poverty.

20 “Status of State Action on the Medicaid Expansion Decision, as of September 30, 2013,” Kaiser Family Foundation. Retrieved October 17, 2013 from http://www.kff.org/medicaid/state-indicator/state-activity-around-expanding-medicaid-under-the-affordable-care-act/

21 States have the option to provide Medicaid coverage to immigrant children and pregnant women who have legally been in the United States for less than five years.

22 KCMU analysis of 2013 National Health Interview Survey data.

23 Levitt L, Claxton G and Damico A. 2011. “Measuring the Affordability of Employer Health Coverage.” Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. Available at: http://www.kff.org/health-costs/perspective/measuring-the-affordability-of-employer-health-coverage/

24 Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research and Educational Trust, 2013.

25 KCMU analysis of 2013 National Health Interview Survey data.

26 KCMU/Urban Institute analysis of 2013 ASEC Supplement to the CPS.

27 Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research and Educational Trust, 2013.

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 31

28 Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. 2013. “Key Facts on Health Coverage for Low-Income Immigrants Today and Under the Affordable Care Act.” Available at: http://www.kff.org/disparities-policy/fact-sheet/key-facts-on-health-coverage-for-low/

29 Heberlein M, et al. 2013. “Getting into Gear for 2014: Findings from a 50-State Survey of Eligibility, Enrollment, Renewal, and Cost-Sharing Policies in Medicaid and CHIP, 2012-2013.” Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. Available at: http://www.kff.org/medicaid/report/getting-into-gear-for-2014-findings-from-a-50-state-survey-of-eligibility-enrollment-renewal-and-cost-sharing-policies-in-medicaid-and-chip-2012-2013/

30 KCMU/Urban Institute analysis of 2013 ASEC Supplement to the CPS.

31 Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. 2012. “The Role of Medicaid for Adults with Chronic Illnesses.” Available at: http://www.kff.org/health-reform/fact-sheet/the-role-of-medicaid-for-adults-with/

32 Kaiser Family Foundation. 2012 “Summary of Coverage Provisions in the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act.” Available at: http://www.kff.org/health-costs/issue-brief/summary-of-coverage-provisions-in-the-patient/

33 Carrier E, Yee T, and Garfield R. 2011. “The Uninsured and Their Health Care Needs: How Have They Changed Since the Recession.” Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. Available at: http://www.kff.org/uninsured/issue-brief/the-uninsured-and-their-health-care-needs-how-have-they-changed-since-the-recession/

34 Marks C, Schwartz T, and Donaldson L, 2009. “State Variation and Health Reform: A Chartbook”. Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. Available at: http://www.kff.org/health-reform/report/state-variation-and-health-reform-a-chartbook/

35 Collins S, et al. 2012.

36 Holahan J and Chen V, 2011. “Changes in Health Insurance Coverage in the Great Recession, 2007-2010.” Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. Available at: http://www.kff.org/medicaid/issue-brief/changes-in-health-insurance-coverage-in-the/

37 Bureau of Labor Statistics. (Accessed August 6, 2012) Available at: http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000

38 Schwartz K and Streeter S, 2011. “Health Coverage for the Unemployed.” Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. Available at: http://www.kff.org/health-costs/issue-brief/health-coverage-for-the-unemployed/

39 Holahan et al., 2013. “Reversing the Trend? Understanding the Recent Increase in Health Insurance Coverage among the Nonelderly Population.” Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. Available at: http://www.kff.org/uninsured/issue-brief/reversing-the-trend-understanding-the-recent-increase-in-health-insurance-coverage-among-the-nonelderly-population/

40 Heberlein M, et al. 2013.

41 KCMU analysis of 2013 National Health Interview Survey data.

42 KCMU/Urban Institute analysis of 2013 ASEC Supplement to the CPS.

43 Kenney GM, McMorrow S, Zuckerman S, Goin DE. 2012. “A Decade of Health Care Access Declines for Adults Holds Implications for Changes in The Affordable Care Act.” Health Affairs 31(5): 899-908.

44 Collins et al. 2011. “Help on the Horizon: How the Recession Has Left Millions of Workers Without Health Insurance, and How Health Reform Will Bring Relief.” The Commonwealth Fund. Available at: http://www.commonwealthfund.org/Surveys/2011/Mar/2010-Biennial-Health-Insurance-Survey.aspx

45 Rhodes S et al. 2012. “Cancer Screening—United States, 2010.” Centers for Disease Control. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/pdf/wk/mm6103.pdf

46 Tejada S et al., 2013. “Patient Barriers to Follow-Up Care for Breast and Cervical Cancer Abnormalities.” Journal of Women's Health 22(6):507-517.

47 Wilper et al., 2009, “Health Insurance and Mortality in US Adults.” American Journal of Public Health, 99(12) 2289-2295.

48 Simard EP, et al. 2012. “Widening Socioeconomic Disparities in Cervical Cancer Mortality Among Women in 26 States, 1993-2007.” Cancer.

49 Institute of Medicine. 2009. “America’s Uninsured Crisis: Consequences for Health and Health Care.” Washington, DC: National Academies Press. p. 60-63.

50 Cohen R, et al. 2013. “Strategies Used by Adults to Reduce their Prescription Drug Costs.” National Center for Health Statistics. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db119.pdf

51 Hadley J, 2007. “Insurance Coverage, Medical Care Use, and Short-term Health Changes Following an Unintentional Injury or the Onset of a Chronic Condition.” JAMA 297(10):1073-84.

52 Abdullah F, et al. 2010. “Analysis of 23 Million US Hospitalizations: Uninsured Children Have Higher All-Cause In-Hospital Mortality.” Journal of Public Health. 32(2):236-44.

53 Wilper, et al., 2009, “Health Insurance and Mortality in US Adults.” American Journal of Public Health, 99(12) 2289-2295.

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 32

54 Greene WR, et al. 2010. “Insurance Status is a Potential Predictor of Outcomes in Both Blunt and Penetrating Trauma.” American Journal of Surgery. 199(4):554-7.

55 Lyon SM. 2011. “The Effect of Insurance Status on Mortality and Procedural Use in Critically Ill Patients.” American Journal of Critical Care Medicine. 184(7): 809-15.

56 Collins S, et al. 2011.

57 Institute of Medicine, 2009.

58 Collins S, et al. 2012. “Gaps in Health Insurance: Why So Many Americans Experience Breaks in Coverage and How the Affordable Care Act Will Help.” The Commonwealth Fund. Available at: http://www.commonwealthfund.org/~/media/Files/Publications/Issue%20Brief/2012/Apr/1594_collins_gaps_in_hlt_ins_tracking_brief_v2.pdf

59 Cassedy A, Fairbrother G, and Newacheck PW. 2008. “The Impact of Insurance Instability on Children’s Access, Utilization, and Satisfaction with Health Care. Ambulatory Pediatrics. 8(5):321-8.

60 Finkelstein A, et al. 2011, “The Oregon Health Insurance Experiment: Evidence From the First Year”, National Bureau of Economic

Research. Available at http://www.nber.org/papers/w17190.

61 Baicker K, et al. 2013. “The Oregon Experiment — Effects of Medicaid on Clinical Outcomes.” N Engl J Med. 368:1713-1722. Available at: http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMsa1212321

62 Sommers BD, Baicker K, and Epstein AM. 2012. “Mortality and Access to Care Among Adults After State Medicaid Expansions.” N Engl J Med. 367:1025-1034.

63 Hall M. 2011. “Rethinking Safety-Net Access for the Uninsured.” N Engl J Med. 364:7-9.

64 Shin P, Rosenbaum S, and Paradise J. 2012. “Community Health Centers: The Challenge of Growing to Meet the Needs for Primary Care in Medically Underserved Communities.” Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. (#8098-02; March).

65 Summer L. 2011. “The Impact of the Affordable Care Act on the Safety Net.” AcademyHealth. Available at: http://www.academyhealth.org/files/FileDownloads/AHPolicybrief_Safetynet.pdf

66 Cunningham P and Hadley J. 2008. “Effects of Changes in Incomes and Practice Circumstances on Physicians’ Decisions to Treat Charity and Medicaid Patients.” The Milbank Quarterly 86(1): 91-123.

67 Shin P et al. March 2013. Community Health Centers in an Era of Health Reform: An Overview and Key Challenges to Health Center Growth . Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. Available at: http://www.kff.org/health-reform/issue-brief/community-health-centers-in-an-era-of-health-reform-overview/

68 Shin P et al. March 2013.

69 Collins et al. 2011

70 Anderson G. 2007. “From ‘Soak The Rich’ To ‘Soak The Poor’: Recent Trends In Hospital Pricing.” Health Affairs 26(4): 780-789.

71 Carrier E, Yee T, and Garfield R. 2011.

72 Asplin B, et al. 2005. “Insurance Status and Access to Urgent Ambulatory Care Follow-up Appointments.” JAMA 294(10):1248-54.

73 Hadley J, Holahan J, Coughlin T, and Miller D. 2008. “Covering the Uninsured in 2008: Current Costs, Sources of Payment, and Incremental Costs.” Health Affairs 27(5):w399-415.

74 Caswell K, O’Hara B. 2010. “Medical Out-of-Pocket Expenses, Poverty, and the Uninsured.” U.S. Census Bureau. Available at: http://www.census.gov/hhes/povmeas/methodology/supplemental/research/Caswell-OHara-SGE2011.pdf

75 Hadley J, et al. 2008.

76 Hadley J, et al. 2008.

77 “Federal Medicaid Disproportionate Share Hospital (DSH) Allotments,” Kaiser Family Foundation. http://www.kff.org/medicaid/state-indicator/federal-dsh-allotments/

78 Congressional Budget Office. July 2012. “Estimates for Insurance Coverage Provisions of the Affordable Care Act Updated for the Recent Supreme Court Decisions.” Available at:

http://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/cbofiles/attachments/43472-07-24-2012-CoverageEstimates.pdf

79 Kaiser Family Foundation’s Health Tracking Poll: June 2010. Available at: http://www.kff.org/kaiserpolls/8082.cfm

80 Glied S and Kronick R, 2011. “The Value of Health Insurance: Few of the Uninsured Have Adequate Resources to Pay Potential Hospital Bills.” Office of Assistance Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Available at: http://aspe.hhs.gov/health/reports/2011/ValueofInsurance/rb.pdf

The Uninsured: A Primer – Key Facts about Health Insurance on the Eve of Coverage Expansions 33

81 Jacobs P and Claxton G. 2008. "Comparing the Assets of Uninsured Households to Cost Sharing Under High Deductible Health Plans," Health Affairs 27(3):w214

82 Cohen RA, et al. 2012. “Financial Burden of Medical Care: Early Release of Estimates from the National Health Interview Survey, January-June 2011.” Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nhis/earlyrelease/financial_burden_of_medical_care_032012.pdf

83 Himmelstein D, et al. 2009. “Medical bankruptcy in the United States, 2007: results of a national study.” Am J Med. 122(8): 741-6. Available at: http://www.pnhp.org/new_bankruptcy_study/Bankruptcy-2009.pdf

84 Smith V, et al. 2013. “Medicaid in a Historic Time of Transformation: Results from a 50-State Medicaid Budget Survey for State Fiscal Years 2013 and 2014.” Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. Available at: http://www.kff.org/medicaid/report/medicaid-in-a-historic-time-of-transformation-results-from-a-50-state-medicaid-budget-survey-for-state-fiscal-years-2013-and-2014/

85 “Status of State Action on the Medicaid Expansion Decision, as of September 30, 2013,” Kaiser Family Foundation. Available at: http://www.kff.org/medicaid/state-indicator/state-activity-around-expanding-medicaid-under-the-affordable-care-act/

86 “Medicaid Eligibility for Adults as of January 1, 2014.” 2013. Kaiser Family Foundation. Available at: http://www.kff.org/medicaid/fact-sheet/medicaid-eligibility-for-adults-as-of-january-1-2014/

87 “The Coverage Gap: Uninsured Poor Adults in States that Do Not Expand Medicaid.” 2013. Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. Available at: http://www.kff.org/health-reform/issue-brief/the-coverage-gap-uninsured-poor-adults-in-states-that-do-not-expand-medicaid/

88 “State Decisions For Creating Health Insurance Exchanges, as of May 28, 2013,” Kaiser Family Foundation. Available at http://www.kff.org/health-reform/state-indicator/health-insurance-exchanges/

89 Kaiser Family Foundation Analysis based on 2014 Medicaid eligibility levels.

90 “State-by-State Estimates of the Number of People Eligible for Premium Tax Credits Under the Affordable Care Act.” 2013. Kaiser Family Foundation. Available at: http://kff.org/report-section/state-by-state-estimates-of-the-number-of-people-eligible-for-premium-tax-credits-under-the-affordable-care-act-methods/

91 Kenney G et al., 2013.

92 Holahan, et al., “The Cost of Not Expanding Medicaid,” Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured, July 2013. Available at: http://www.kff.org/medicaid/report/the-cost-of-not-expanding-medicaid/

93 Congressional Budget Office. July 2012.

94 Hoffman C, Damico A, and Garfield R. 2011. “Research Brief: Insurance Coverage and Access to Care in Primary Shortage Areas.” Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured, February 2011.

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