DOI: 10.2501/JAR-53-1-043-060 March 2013 JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH 43
INTRODuCTIONIn the fields of social psychology and consumer
behavior, marketing researchers have produced
a considerable amount of theoretical work on the
effect of interpersonal communication. Such inter-
personal communication has become known as a
process of word of mouth (WOM) communication,
which now is regarded as one of the most impor-
tant and effective communications channels (Kel-
ler, 2007). Firms such as Nestlé, Procter & Gamble,
L’Oréal, Bosch, Microsoft, GlaxoSmithKline, and
Johnson & Johnson, to name just a few, increas-
ingly recognize that WOM is an extremely credible,
persuasive, and highly effective tool of informal
means of creating consumer engagement (Nielsen,
2009). Another example of the popularity of WOM
is the appearance of consultancies specializing
in this area (e.g., gaspedal.com and trnd [http://
company.trnd.com/en]). Such companies build
WOM campaigns as part of integrated marketing
communication. Likewise, the official trade asso-
ciation for the WOM marketing industry (Word
of Mouth Marketing Association, or WOMMA),
founded in 2005, promotes and advances WOM by
offering educational programs, ethical guidelines,
a standardized language, as well as pursuing a
research agenda and developing WOM metrics.
During the past decade, advances in electronic
communications technology have led to considera-
ble expansion in the number and types of informal
communications channels. Electronic newsgroups,
blogs, virtual communities, instant messaging, cell
phones, and Personal Digital Assistants (PDAs),
among other options, offer consumers instantane-
ous interactions with advertisers, fellow consum-
ers, and other market players (Allsop, Bassett, and
Hoskins, 2007; Hung and Li, 2007; Smith, Coyle,
Lightfoot, and Scott, 2007).
This uptick in activity has helped make WOM
a powerful communications channel that has an
important influence in the formation of consumer
opinions and in their purchase decisions. More-
over, this type of communication among con-
sumers is particularly interesting for advertising
practitioners, for two reasons:
• Research suggests that WOM can complement
and extend the effects of advertising (Bayus,
1985; Hogan, Lemon, and Libal, 2004), and
• Research shows that companies can stimulate
WOM through advertising (Graham and Hav-
lena, 2007).
Although previously many advertisers tradition-
ally have considered WOM as an alternative to
The Word of Mouth Dynamic: How Positive (and
Negative) WOM Drives Purchase ProbabilityAn Analysis of Interpersonal and
Non-Interpersonal Factors
RODOLFO VáZquEZ-CASIELLESUniversity of Oviedo, [email protected]
LETICIA SuáREZ-áLVAREZUniversity of Oviedo, [email protected]
ANA-BELéN DEL RíO-LANZAUniversity of Oviedo, [email protected]
This study has two main objectives: (a) to examine the relative impacts of positive and
negative word of mouth (PWOM and nWOM) on the shift in the receiver’s brand purchase
probability; and (b) to analyze the effect, direct or indirect, of a number of interpersonal
and non-interpersonal factors on the relation between PWOM or nWOM and the shift
in the receiver’s purchase probability. The data were collected from a sample of 1,035
consumers in four product/service categories. The results suggest that firms should
develop a proactive management of WOM communications that takes into account
aspects of both the sender and receiver.
44 JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH March 2013
THE WORD OF MOUTH DYnAMIC
advertising, WOM and advertising now
are regarded as two important communi-
cations channels that interrelate and com-
plement each other.
The main objective of the current arti-
cle is to analyze how WOM communica-
tion increases (or decreases) the receiver’s
brand-purchase probability.
WOM communication can be said to
have two dimensions (Harrison-Walker,
2001):
• “WOM activity” includes such aspects
as
– how often WOM takes place,
– the number of people with whom the
WOM sender communicates, and
– the quantity of information provided.
• “WOM valence” can be positive, nega-
tive, or neutral.
Although the content and strength of both
dimensions of the WOM condition affect
the probability of a consumer’s choosing
a particular brand, few studies have ana-
lyzed the impact of both dimensions.
The majority of studies in the WOM lit-
erature have focused on the WOM activ-
ity dimension. And, in fact, there is little
empirical evidence that helps explain how
positive and negative WOM contributes to
the shift in the probability of choosing a
brand (Assael, 2004; East, Hammond, and
Lomax, 2008).
Moreover, these studies primarily have
focused on positive WOM and its influ-
ence on which product is purchased. It also
is necessary to examine negative WOM,
which discourages purchase (Bruyn and
Lilien, 2008). To that end, this research
analyzes the WOM valence dimension
and the impact of positive and negative
WOM on the shift in the receiver’s pur-
chase probability.
Finally, this study also examines the
variables that explain—directly or indi-
rectly—the shift in the WOM receivers’
purchase probability. For this purpose, the
authors have grouped the variables into
• interpersonal factors (how actively
WOM is sought, strength of tie between
sender and receiver, and sender’s expe-
rience and strength of expression),
and
• non-interpersonal factors (receiver’s
loyalty, experience, and perceived risk).
In the current study, the authors’ research
has
• embraced the perspective of the WOM
receiver,
• compared the impacts of positive and
negative WOM, and
• determined the direct and indirect
effects of the different interpersonal and
non-interpersonal factors on the shift in
the purchase probability of the receiver
of positive (or negative) WOM.
The balance of this research
• presents the authors’ conceptual defin-
ition of WOM and the lines of research
examining how WOM works,
• describes a conceptual model, and
• presents the authors’ proposed
hypotheses.
Explanations of research design, meth-
odology, and results follow. The work
concludes with a discussion of the main
findings of the analysis and then offers
managerial implications.
LITERATuRE REVIEWThe literature defines WOM as “all infor-
mal communications directed at other
consumers about the ownership, usage,
or characteristics of particular goods and
services or their sellers” (Westbrook, 1987,
p. 261). Additionally, WOM can be any oral
and personal communication, positive or
negative, about a brand, product, service,
or organization, in which the receiver
of the message perceives the sender to
have a non-commercial intention (Arndt,
1967).
These definitions are consistent with
other WOM studies (Gruen, Osmonbekov,
Czaple, 2006; Harrison-Walker, 2001; Wan-
genheim, 2005; Wangenheim and Bayon,
2007), and share two characteristics:
• The receiver of the message must per-
ceive the sender to be unconnected with
any commercial organization. In other
words, for it to be credible, a WOM
recommendation must spring from a
natural dialogue between the two peo-
ple, and it should be the product of the
sender’s knowledge and the receiver’s
need to know.
• WOM can be either positive or negative.
Positive WOM encourages purchase,
whereas negative WOM discourages
purchase.
The WOM literature has three lines of
research.
• The first focuses on the perspective
of the WOM sender and analyzes the
reasons why people make positive (or
negative) recommendations on the basis
of their experiences with a product.
These studies conclude that a number
of forces (non-interpersonal factors)
exist and give rise to recommendations.
These forces include
– satisfaction or dissatisfaction (Ander-
son, 1998; Bowman and Narayandas,
2001; Brown, Barry, Dacin, and Gunst,
2005; Heitmann, Lehmann, and
Hermann, 2007; Maxham and Nete-
meyer, 2002), loyalty (Gounaris and
Stathakopoulus, 2004);
– commitment to the firm (Brown
et al., 2005; Dick and Basu, 1994;
Henning-Thurau, Gwinter, Walsh,
March 2013 JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH 45
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and Gremler, 2002; Lacey, Suh, and
Morgan, 2007);
– trust (Ranaweera and Prabhu, 2003;
Sichtmann, 2007);
– service quality (Harrison-Walker, 2001);
– length of relationship with the firm
(Wangenheim and Bayon, 2004a
2004b); and
– perceived value (Matos and Vargas,
2008).
• The second line of research aims to
understand WOM receivers’ informa-
tion search behaviors or, more spe-
cifically, under what circumstances
(non-interpersonal factors) consumers
resort to WOM rather than other infor-
mation sources before making their pur-
chase decisions.
Researchers have found that con-
sumers are more likely to seek other
people’s opinions before purchasing
when they have less experience and a
stronger involvement in the purchase
of the product category (Gilly, Graham,
Wolfinbarger, and Yale, 1998) or when
they perceive greater risk in the decision
making (Bansal and Voyer, 2000).
• The third line of research also adopts
the perspective of the WOM receiver
and examines why some personal
information sources (positive and nega-
tive WOM) exert a stronger influence.
Researchers have identified forces
(interpersonal factors) that influence the
receiver’s behavior, such as
– the WOM sender’s experience and
strength of expression (Bansal and
Voyer, 2000; Gilly et al., 1998);
– the strength of the personal tie
between WOM sender and receiver
(Frenzen and Nakamoto, 1993);
– the demographic similarity (Brown
and Reingen, 1987); and
– the perceptual affinity (Gilly et al.,
1998).
CONCEPTuAL MODEL AND HYPOTHESESIn line with the aforementioned literature
on WOM, the authors have developed a
conceptual framework (See Figure 1) that
• adopts the perspective of the WOM
receiver;
• describes the relations between the type
of WOM (positive or negative) and the
shift in the brand-purchase probability;
• analyzes which type of WOM has the
most impact on the shift in the brand-
purchase probability; and
• investigates the effect—direct or indi-
rect—on the shift in the WOM receiver’s
brand-purchase probability of different
interpersonal (how actively WOM is
sought, strength of tie between sender
and receiver, and sender’s experience
and strength of expression) and non-
interpersonal factors (receiver’s loyalty,
experience and perceived risk).1
IMPACT OF POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE WOM ON SHIFT IN RECEIVER’S PuRCHASE PROBABILITYIn general, positive (or negative) WOM
is assumed to make the receiver more
1 The model hypothesised in this study is based on the theory of planned behaviour (Ajzen, 1991). In line with this theory, the authors postulate three conceptually independent deter-minants of behavioral intention (shift in the WOM receiv-er’s brand-purchase probability). The first is the attitude toward WOM. Attitude toward WOM is measured here by estimating the impact of positive and negative WOM on the shift in the receiver’s purchase probability. The second predictor is the subjective norm, which is concerned with judgments of the effects—direct or indirect—on the shift in the WOM receiver’s brand-purchase probability of different social influences (how actively WOM is sought, strength of tie between sender and receiver, and sender’s experience and strength of expression). The third antecedent is the degree of perceived behavioral control, which is concerned with perceptions of the effects, on the shift in the WOM receiver’s brand-purchase probability, of people’s confidence in their ability to deal with purchase situations (receiver’s experi-ence and perceived risk). The authors argue, however, that these three variables from the theory of planned behavior are insufficient to permit prediction of the shift in the WOM receiver’s brand-purchase probability. Anther variable—past behavior (receiver’s loyalty)—could further enhance the shift in the WOM receiver’s brand-purchase probability.
positive (or negative) about the object of
advice (East et al., 2008).
Some studies, however, have observed
the opposite response among receivers
(Fitzsimons and Lehmann, 2004): people
sometimes react against negative com-
ments and became even more committed
to the brand. Such contrary responses can
occur when
• people are directed to do things that
they do not want to do,
• the WOM receiver disagrees with the
values of the advisor, or
• when prior commitment to a brand may
prevent consumers from fully accepting
useful negative information about that
brand.
Assuming that contrary responses are not
common, then conceivably positive WOM
has a positive impact—and negative
WOM a negative impact—on the brand’s
purchase.
The authors thus offer their first
hypothesis:
H1: Positive (negative) WOM has a
positive (negative) impact on the
shift in the receiver’s purchase
probability.
It is also interesting to analyze which
type of WOM (positive or negative) has
the most impact. The literature offers little
evidence on this question.
Some studies have found that nega-
tive WOM has more impact than positive
WOM. For example, one field study found
that negative WOM has twice as much
impact on judgment or attitudes as posi-
tive WOM (Arndt, 1967). The author of
that report studied only one brand, how-
ever, and systematic research should be
based on all the brands in a category and
should include a range of categories. This
author also used a new brand about which
46 JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH March 2013
THE WORD OF MOUTH DYnAMIC
there could be few established beliefs.
Nevertheless, a later study confirmed the
previous results and observes that nega-
tive WOM is more influential than positive
WOM (Assael, 2004).
There is some theoretical justification for
the idea that negative information usually
has more impact on judgment than posi-
tive information. Indeed, one study found
that negative information usually was
rarer than positive information because
the latter can often be presumed (Fiske,
1980). In such instances, the relative rar-
ity of negative information surprises con-
sumers and, consequently, they pay more
attention to it.
This is the so-called negativity effect,
which has been observed in other studies
(Chevalier and Mayzilin, 2006) and can be
expressed in terms of the gap between the
position implied by the WOM message
and the receiver’s position.
This gap has diagnostic value: informa-
tion that restates what the receiver believes
may increase certainty but is unlikely to
change other aspects of a receiver’s judg-
ment (e.g., purchase probability). In many
markets, the greater amount of positive
information about the different brands
ensures that the position of most WOM
receivers is positive, so negative informa-
tion will have more impact.
In any case, the impact of positive (or
negative) WOM may differ when the
brands are familiar. For example, one
study analyzed the response of consum-
ers receiving positive and negative infor-
mation about brands and compared the
results when the consumers are familiar
or unfamiliar with the brand (Ahluwalia,
2002). According to this research, when the
brand is unfamiliar, the negative informa-
tion is perceived to have more diagnos-
ticity, but when the brand is familiar, no
significant differences exist in the impacts
of positive (or negative) information.
That study argued that brand familiarity
attenuates the perception of the greater
diagnostic value of negative information
and suggested that, under these circum-
stances, positive information may be per-
ceived to be more diagnostic than negative
information.
Such studies as those referenced here
typically measure how advice changes
judgment and/or attitude. In research on
the purchase of brands, it is more relevant
to measure the change in the purchase
probability brought about by WOM type.
From this perspective, using both role-play
experiments and surveys further meas-
ured WOM’s impact on choice as a shift
in the stated purchase probability, from
pre-WOM purchase probability to post-
WOM purchase probability (East et al.,
2008). These authors contended that, if
the pre-WOM purchase probability is
below 0.5, there is more room for change
in response to positive WOM than in
response to negative WOM.
For example, if the pre-WOM pur-
chase probability is 0.3, positive WOM
can have a maximum effect of 0.7 (up to
unity), whereas negative WOM can have
a maximum effect of only 0.3 (down to 0).
That study also sought to obtain a mean
pre-WOM purchase probability of 0.4, so
the authors argued that positive WOM
usually had more effect than negative
WOM.
In short, room for change in the brand-
purchase probability is limited by the pre-
WOM purchase probability, which could
favor the impact of either positive (or
negative) WOM, depending on the mean
pre-WOM purchase probability.
Thus, conceivably:
WOM COMMUNICATIONBETWEEN SENDER
AND RECEIVER
Positive WOMNegative WOM
SHIFT IN RECEIVER’S PURCHASE PROBABILITY
How actively WOM is sought
Tie strength
Sender’s experience
Sender’s strength ofexpression
Receiver’sexperience
Receiver’s loyalty
Receiver’sperceived risk
INTERPERSONALFACTORS
NON-INTERPERSONALFACTORS
How actively WOM is sought
Figure 1 Factors Associated with Impact of Positive and negative WOM on Shift in Receiver’s Purchase Probability
March 2013 JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH 47
THE WORD OF MOUTH DYnAMIC
H2: Positive WOM has more impact
than negative WOM on the shift
in the receiver’s brand-purchase
probability when the pre-WOM
purchase probability is low.
INTERPERSONAL FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH IMPACT OF POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE WOM ON SHIFT IN RECEIVER’S PuRCHASE PROBABILITYFigure 2 summarizes the characteristics
of the interpersonal factors (how actively
WOM is sought; strength of tie between
sender and receiver; sender’s experience
and strength of expression), the relation
between them, and their impact on the
shift in the receiver’s purchase probability.
HOW MARKETERS ACTIVELY SEEK WOMThe active search for information through
WOM is defined as “the process of seek-
ing and paying attention to personal
communications.”
Associated with the process of active
search for information through WOM is
the selective exposure to the messages
deriving from WOM communication,
which, in turn, implies that the consumer
has a greater predisposition toward the
WOM message (Arndt, 1967).
Thus, a message that is sought actively
will have a greater impact on the shift in
the WOM receiver’s purchase probability
than one that is received passively and is
moreover unsought and unrequested.
The authors’ third hypothesis follows:
H3: The more intense the WOM
(positive or negative) receiver’s
active search for information,
the greater the shift in the receiv-
er’s purchase probability.
TIE STRENGTHSources of WOM recommendation can
be classified according to the similarity of
the parties and the proximity or closeness
of the relationship between the WOM
receiver who must make the decision and
the WOM sender (Duhan, Johnson, Wilcox,
and Harell, 1997): in other words, in func-
tion of their tie strength. The tie strength
of a relationship is considered to be high
when the sender knows the receiver per-
sonally. Moreover, the tie strength contains
the following interpersonal dimensions
(Frenzen and Davis, 1990):
• closeness,
• intimacy,
• support, and
• association.
Tie strength, therefore, reflects the relation
and the type of tie existing between two
people.
A later work suggested that a high tie
strength will have a stronger influence
on the receiver’s behavior than a weak tie
strength (Frenzen and Nakamoto, 1993).
When the tie is strong, the WOM sender
and receiver will be more familiar with
each other, and the receiver will attribute
greater credibility to the sender. Moreover,
the receiver will be more likely to initiate
an active search for information.
In light of the preceding, the fourth
hypothesis is as follows:
H4: The stronger the tie between
the sender and the receiver, the
more actively the receiver will
seek information through the
two types of WOM (positive or
negative).
SENDER’S EXPERIENCE AND STRENGTH OF EXPRESSIONThe WOM sender’s experience conceiv-
ably will affect the way the WOM is
perceived.
Specifically, the receiver will seek infor-
mation more actively from a sender seen as
expert: in other words, someone who has
a high level of knowledge, competence,
Positive WOM
Negative WOM
WOM TYPE
H3 (+)
H4 (+)H5 (+)
H6 (+)
Tie strengthCloseness, Intimacy,Support, Association
Sender’s experienceKnowledge, Competence,
Education, Experiencein the product category
Sender’s strength of expressionConvincing arguments
How actively WOM is soughtSelective exposure to WOMPredisposition towards WOM
SHIFT IN RECEIVER’S PURCHASE PROBABILITY
Figure 2 Interpersonal Factors: Impact on Shift in Receiver’s Purchase Probability
48 JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH March 2013
THE WORD OF MOUTH DYnAMIC
education, and experience in the product
category (Netemeyer and Bearden, 1992).
By contrast, if the receiver perceives the
sender’s knowledge, competence, educa-
tion, and experience in the product cat-
egory is low, the receiver is likely to be less
predisposed to seek or request informa-
tion from the sender to form an intention
or make a purchase decision.
The fifth hypothesis of the current study
is as follows:
H5: The greater the receiver’s per-
ception of the sender’s expe-
rience, the more actively the
receiver will seek information
through the two types of WOM
(positive or negative).
Conversely, the WOM sender’s strength
of expression can be defined as the WOM
receiver’s perception of the extent to which
the sender uses convincing arguments in
their positive (or negative) WOM.
Conceivably, the WOM sender’s
strength of expression will directly affect
the impacts of the positive and negative
WOM communication on the shift in the
receiver’s future purchase probability
(East et al., 2008).
This leads to the following hypothesis:
H6: The greater the WOM send-
er’s strength of expression, the
greater the shift in the purchase
probability of the consumer who
has received positive (or nega-
tive) WOM.
NON-INTERPERSONAL FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH IMPACT OF POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE WOM ON SHIFT IN RECEIVER’S PuRCHASE PROBABILITYFigure 3 summarizes the characteristics of
the non-interpersonal factors (receiver’s
loyalty, experience, and perceived risk),
the relation between them, their relation
with an interpersonal factor (how actively
WOM is sought), and their impact on the
shift in the receiver’s purchase probability.
Receiver’s LoyaltyThe loyalty of the receiver of the positive
(or negative) WOM communication about
a brand can conceivably help explain the
shift in their future purchase probability.
Loyal receivers have a stronger moti-
vation for processing new positive infor-
mation (positive WOM) about the brand
they purchase habitually to reduce their
cognitive dissonance (Wangenheim,
2005) and reinforce their future purchase
behavior.
Furthermore, loyal receivers will have
a strong resistance to being persuaded
by negative information (negative WOM)
about the brand they purchase habitu-
ally and will try to convince themselves
that their previous decisions were right
and that the negative recommendation is
the result of the WOM senders’ one-off
market experience (Matos and Vargas,
2008; Sweeney, Soutar, and Mazzarol, 2008).
Thus, the conceptual framework
proposes
H7: The greater the WOM receiver’s
prior brand loyalty, the weaker
the impact of positive and nega-
tive WOM about the brand on
the shift in the receiver’s pur-
chase probability.
Receiver’s ExperienceVarious studies have suggested that a
negative relation exists between the con-
sumer’s experience and the active search
for external information before making
a purchase decision (Bansal and Voyer,
2000; Mishra, Umesh, and Stern, 1993).
This is because the expert receiver already
possesses sufficient knowledge about the
product category and has no need to con-
sult with other people before making a
decision.
Positive WOM
Negative WOM
WOM TYPEH3 (+) H7 (–)
H8 (–)
H9 (–)
H10 (+)
SHIFT IN RECEIVER’S PURCHASE PROBABILITY
How actively WOM is soughtSelective exposure to WOMPredisposition towards WOM
Receiver’s loyaltyMotivation for processing positive WOM
Resistance to being persuaded by negative WOM
Receiver’s perceived riskSubjective expectation of losses
Individual characteristic
Receiver’s experienceConfidence about ability to
make an appropriate decision
Figure 3 non-Interpersonal Factors: Impact on Shift in Receiver’s Purchase Probability
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By contrast, WOM receivers with little
experience or knowledge about the prod-
uct category are likely to lack confidence
about their ability to make an appropriate,
satisfying decision. Thus, they will feel the
need to consult with other consumers.
Hypothesis 8 of this work follows:
H8: The greater the WOM receiver’s
experience, the less actively they
will seek information through
the two types of WOM (positive
or negative).
Receiver’s Perceived RiskA perceived risk is defined as a “subjec-
tive expectation of losses” (Dholakia, 1997,
p. 161). The perceived risk variable is tied
to each product category, so the purchase
of different product categories is associ-
ated with different levels of perceived risk.
Perceived risk also is an individual char-
acteristic, as different people can perceive
different levels of risk when purchasing
the same product.
A relation conceivably exists between
WOM receivers’ experience in the prod-
uct category and their perceived risk in
its purchase. Consumers who are less
experienced in a particular product cat-
egory probably will perceive more risk
in that purchase and, from the informa-
tion economics perspective, they will
gain more from the information that the
WOM sender provides (Gilly et al., 1998).
The penultimate hypothesis of this work
follows:
H9: The more experienced the
receiver of the two types of
WOM (positive or negative), the
lower the perceived risk associ-
ated with the purchase of the
product/service.
In an effort to reduce the risk associated
with a purchase decision, consumers seek
information about the product. WOM is
one of the most effective sources of infor-
mation for reducing the risk associated
with the purchase of a particular product
(Guo, 2001).
People who perceive more risk in a pur-
chase situation tend to seek information
through WOM more actively than those
who perceive a lower risk (Arndt, 1967).
WOM, in fact, may be the most import-
ant information source for reducing risk
(Bansal and Voyer, 2000). It also has the
strongest impact on the receiver of the
communication, mainly because it permits
clarification of any doubts and offers the
chance of leaving feedback (Murray and
Schlacter, 1990).
The final hypothesis of the current
study:
H10: The greater the receiver’s per-
ceived risk in relation to the pur-
chase of the product, the more
actively they will seek informa-
tion through the two types of
WOM (positive or negative).
METHODOLOGYSample and Data CollectionTo test the 10 hypotheses, the authors
chose two consumer durables product
markets: mobile phones and laptop com-
puters; and two services: mobile-phone
companies and travel agencies.
These products and services were cho-
sen because
• consumers need to make evaluations
and comparisons when purchasing
them (high involvement),
• their use and consumption is very wide-
spread, and
• consumers are likely to perceive risk in
the purchase decision.
The nature of the choices helped ensure
that the authors could gather a sample
of subjects that had received positive (or
negative) WOM communications from
people unconnected to the different mar-
ket players.
The study participants were recruited
randomly in various shopping centers in
northern Spain. To ensure familiarity, the
consumers interviewed had to own and
use a mobile telephone or laptop com-
puter or use the services of a mobile-phone
company or travel agency. They also had
to have received, in the past 3 months,
positive (or negative) WOM for different
brands of the aforementioned products or
services.
After this random sampling system, the
authors obtained information from a sam-
ple of 1,100 individuals. They excluded
65 questionnaires due to incomplete data,
which resulted in a net sample size of
1,035.
Each subject was asked about only one
product or service. The sample, therefore,
consisted of 1,035 different individuals.
Furthermore, the sample consisted of
actual consumers of the products or ser-
vices analyzed, not of students.
The distribution of the subjects by prod-
ucts/services was as follows (Table 1):
• 258 subjects owned and used a mobile
phone,
• 253 owned and used a laptop,
A relation conceivably exists between WOM
receivers’ experience in the product category
and their perceived risk in its purchase.
50 JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH March 2013
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• 268 used the services of a mobile-phone
company, and
• 256 used a travel agency.
The distribution by gender was 47.7 per-
cent male and 52.3 percent female. A total
of 45.4 percent of the respondents were
between ages 18 and 34 years, 40.5 percent
between 35 and 54 years, and 14.1 percent
older than 54 years. Finally, 52.6 percent
of the respondents had received positive
WOM, whereas 47.4 percent had received
negative WOM.
The authors collected the information
they required using structured question-
naires presented in the course of personal
interviews. The first part of the ques-
tionnaire asked the respondents (WOM
receivers) about their experience with the
category, their current brand, their ten-
dency to ask for advice before making the
purchase, and their perception of the risk
in the purchase.
The second part of the questionnaire
focused on the WOM received by the
individuals. The interviewees were asked
whether they had received many or only
a few positive (or negative) WOM com-
munications about a particular product or
service in recent months.
If they had received a number of
WOM communications, they were asked
to consider the single communication
they felt had had the most impact on their
decision.
The questionnaire then asked survey
participants about the following:
• the brand that was the subject of the
positive (or negative) recommendation;
• a number of points relating to the WOM
sender:
– strength of relationship with them,
– experience in the product/service cat-
egory, and
– credibility of arguments used; and
• the probability of choosing the brand
before and after the positive (or nega-
tive) recommendation.
The questionnaire concluded with ques-
tions about the age and gender of the
respondents.
Variable MeasuresUsing construct definitions and pre-
existing measures available from the liter-
ature, the authors generated a set of items
for each construct. They also consulted
five practitioners and academic experts.
Any problematic items were either deleted
or appropriately modified.
The authors presented the resulting
items to 20 consumers of the products
and services analyzed in this research in
face-to-face meetings to ensure that the
questions were worded with appropri-
ate consistency. They then revised several
items on the basis of the feedback. Finally,
to measure each of the constructs of inter-
est, they adopted single-item and multi-
item scales (Appendix).
The authors used three single-item
measures to capture information about
brand-purchase probability before receiv-
ing the WOM recommendation (receiver’s
loyalty), brand-purchase probability after
receiving the WOM recommendation, and
sender’s strength of expression.
A single-item measure is sufficient if
the construct is such that in the mind of
“raters” (e.g., respondents in a survey),
the object or attribute of the construct is
“concrete,” meaning that it consists of one
object or attribute that is easily and uni-
formly imagined (Bergkvist and Rossiter
2007, 2009).
In the current study, the object (brand)
or the attribute (how convincing/cred-
ible were the explanations of the person
who sent the WOM) is concrete, so the
authors used single-item measures to cap-
ture information about brand-purchase
probability (a 10-point scale) and sender’s
strength of expression (7-point scale).
The shift in the receiver’s brand-
purchase probability was calculated as
the difference between the probability of
choosing the brand after and before the
recommendation.
The authors also use multi-item meas-
ures to capture information about five
constructs linked to interpersonal and
non-interpersonal factors of the WOM
communication:
TABLE 1Sample Characteristics
Product – Service
Mobile phone Laptop
Mobile-phone services
Travel agency services Total
SUBJECTS 258 253 268 256 1,035
Male (%) 46.8 53.8 44.6 46.2 47.7
Female (%) 53.2 46.2 55.4 53.8 52.3
Between 18 and 34 (%) 49.4 47.8 44.5 40.1 45.4
Between 35 and 54 (%) 38.3 43.5 42.2 38.6 40.5
Over 54 12.3 8.7 13.3 21.3 14.1
Positive WOM (%) 52.4 54.2 50.8 53.1 52.6
negative WOM (%) 47.6 45.8 49.2 46.9 47.4
March 2013 JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH 51
THE WORD OF MOUTH DYnAMIC
• how actively WOM is sought,
• tie strength,
• sender’s experience,
• receiver’s experience, and
• receiver’s perceived risk.
To evaluate each of these measures, the
authors used 7-point scales. The principal
theoretical argument for using a multi-
item measure of a construct is that a multi-
item measure captures more information
and is more likely to tap all facets of the
construct of interest (Bergkvist and Ros-
siter, 2007, 2009). Another argument for
multiple items is that it increases reliabil-
ity by allowing the calculation of the coef-
ficient alpha, which indicates the “internal
consistency” of all the items that represent
the presumed underlying construct.
This “reliability” argument, however,
needs to be qualified. The coefficient alpha
never should be used without first estab-
lishing the unidimensionality of the scales;
this can be investigated by factor analysis.
Thus, the authors ran five exploratory fac-
tor analyses for the constructs linked to
interpersonal and non-interpersonal fac-
tors of the WOM communication. These
tests confirmed the unidimensionality of
each of the five scales, which means the
coefficient alpha can be used.
The resulting coefficient alphas were
high, indicating “internal consistency”
and supporting the use of multi-item
measures to capture information about
the constructs linked to interpersonal and
non-interpersonal factors of the WOM
communication (See Appendix).
Another problem that the authors con-
sidered was common-method bias, which
occurs when the correlation between two
or more constructs is high. To analyze
common-method bias, the authors ran
an exploratory factor analysis with all
the attributes linked to interpersonal and
non-interpersonal factors of the WOM
communication.
The results obtained allowed the authors
to identify five factors corresponding to
interpersonal and non-interpersonal con-
structs of the WOM communication. The
factor loadings were high in each of the
five dimensions identified, and the factors
together explained 85 percent of the vari-
ance (KMO = 0.897).
As a result, the common-method bias
was not a problem for the current analysis,
so multi-item measures could be used in
subsequent analyses to obtain information
about the constructs linked to interper-
sonal and non-interpersonal factors of the
WOM communication.
Data Analysis: The Measurement ModelThe data analysis employed a two-step
procedure. The measurement model was
estimated for the entire sample (positive
and negative WOM receivers) prior to the
analysis of the structural model.2 All vari-
ables of interest were conceptualized as
reflective first-order constructs. A meas-
urement model including how actively
WOM is sought, tie strength, sender’s
experience, receiver’s experience and per-
ceived risk was subjected to confirmatory
factor analysis using structural equation
modeling (with EQS).
As a result, a 22-item, five-factor covari-
ance structure measurement model was
estimated to assess the fit, reliability, and
validity of the measurement scales of the
model constructs. In addition, the average
variance extracted (AVE), the composite
reliability coefficient (CR), and the stand-
ardized lambda parameters also were
2 The results of the structural model (causal analysis) can be seen in the Results section.
examined. Together, these tests provide
evidence of reliability and validity. See
Appendix for a summary of the scales’
psychometric properties, which were
obtained from the measurement model.3
RESuLTSDescriptive Analysis: Impact of WOM Communications on Purchase ProbabilityDescriptive analysis (using SPSS) was
employed to test the hypothesized rela-
tions H1 and H2 in the four product/ser-
vice categories. Table 2 (col. 1) shows the
categories. Columns 2 and 3 are the pur-
chase probabilities prior to positive and
negative WOM, respectively, and columns
4 and 5 are the mean shifts in the purchase
probability produced by positive and neg-
ative WOM, respectively.
According to these results, positive
WOM has a positive impact, and negative
WOM has a negative impact on the shift in
the receiver’s brand-purchase probability.
H1 is supported.
Furthermore, when the mean impacts of
positive and negative WOM are measured
as the shift in purchase probability, posi-
tive WOM produces a mean shift of 1.8542,
and negative WOM produces a mean shift
3 The measurement model fits the data well. Regarding reliability, each construct has a composite reliability and AVE greater than the recommended threshold values of 0.5 and 0.6, respectively. In addition, for all constructs, the Cronbach alpha coefficient exceeds 0.9. Convergent validity is supported as all lambda parameters are significant and greater than 0.5. Discriminant validity is supported, as the confidence intervals of the correlations between all the variables do not include 1.0 and the squared correlations do not exceed the AVE. Finally, the fit statistics indicate a good model fit (Root Mean Square Error of Approximation = 0.065; Bentler-Bonett Non-Normed Fit Index = 0.955; General Fit Index = 0.966; robust Comparative Fit Index = 0.961).
Another problem that the authors considered was
common-method bias, which occurs when the
correlation between two or more constructs is high.
52 JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH March 2013
THE WORD OF MOUTH DYnAMIC
of –1.6261, which means positive WOM is
14 percent more influential than negative
WOM. When absolute numbers are tested,
positive WOM has significantly more
impact than negative WOM in the means
data and across categories of products
(p < 0.001 one-tailed exact tests).
Thus, analyzing the shifts in purchase
probability, H2 is supported. Overall, posi-
tive WOM has more impact that negative
WOM.
The authors also used descriptive anal-
ysis (with SPSS) to test the hypothesized
relation H7 in the four product/service
categories. The results do show that the
greater the WOM receiver’s previous loy-
alty, the weaker the impact of both posi-
tive and negative WOM communications
on the shift in the brand-purchase proba-
bility. Table 3 and Figure 4 present the rela-
tion between previous brand loyalty and
shift in the brand purchase probability in
a more accessible form. For both positive
and negative WOM, a relatively straight
section on each plot is evident, which
then deflects toward the x-axis. These
deflections can be attributed to the effect
of brand commitment and show how this
factor constrains the impact.
Thus, this work provides support for
H7: the receiver’s loyalty reduces the
impact of positive and negative WOM on
the brand-purchase probability.
Causal Analysis: Structural Model EvaluationThe authors used structural-equation
modeling (with EQS) to test the remaining
hypotheses in the two subsamples: con-
sumers who had received positive WOM
or negative WOM (Table 4).
Most of the proposed relations are
supported in both subsamples: consum-
ers who had received positive (or nega-
tive) WOM. Thus, the more intense the
receiver’s active search for information
and sender’s strength of expression, the
greater the shift in the brand-purchase
probability (See Table 4).
Thus, H3 and H6 are supported.
The results also confirm the influence
of sender’s experience, receiver’s experi-
ence, and receiver’s perceived risk on how
actively WOM is sought, and H5, H8, and
H10 are supported.
The results also show that H9 is sup-
ported in both subsamples: the greater the
experience of the receiver of the positive
(or negative) WOM communication, the
lower the risk perceived in the purchase of
the product/service.
TABLE 3Mean Shift in Brand Purchase Probability as Function of Loyalty
Purchase probability prior to WOM (receiver’s loyalty)
Mean shift in purchase probability after positive WOM
Mean shift in purchase probability after negative WOM
X-axis Y-axis Y-axis
0 1.2206 0.0000
1 1.5778 −0.3846
2 1.9029 −0.9526
3 2.2857 −1.2806
4 2.4240 −1.6907
5 2.5563 −2.1852
6 1.9337 −2.5957
7 1.3508 −2.5222
8 0.7143 −1.6870
9 0.6471 −0.7143
10 0.0000 −0.4667
TOTALS 16.6132 −14.4796
The relation between previous brand loyalty and shift in the brand purchase
TABLE 2Impact of Positive and negative WOM on Shift in Receivers’ Purchase Probability
Product/Service Category
Purchase probability Shift in purchase probability
Prior to positive WOM
Prior to negative WOM
Shift after positive WOM
Shift after negative WOM
Mobile phone 4.4336 4.5245 1.7310 −1.4951
Laptop 4.4389 4.6631 1.9005 −1.6631
Mobile-phone services 3.6892 3.7330 1.7149 −1.5519
Travel agency 4.6347 4.9896 1.8767 −1.7187
TOTAL 4.2984 4.4721 1.8542 −1.6261
Descriptive analysis: impact of receivers’ loyalty on purchase probability
March 2013 JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH 53
THE WORD OF MOUTH DYnAMIC
The results, however, only partially
support the influence of the strength of
the tie between sender and receiver on
how actively WOM is sought. The param-
eters obtained are significant for the
subsample of consumers who received
positive WOM but non-significant for the
subsample of consumers who received
negative WOM.
H4 is supported for positive WOM but
not for negative WOM.
DISCuSSION AND CONCLuSIONSWOM long has been recognized as a pow-
erful force affecting consumers’ attitude
and choice. The results of the current study
enhance current understanding of how
WOM influences the receiver’s choice.
This article, unlike previous studies,
represents an attempt to explicitly test the
differential impact of positive and nega-
tive WOM on the mean shift in the brand-
purchase probability.
Furthermore, this work differs from
most earlier studies on WOM in that the
authors investigated various brands in a
range of categories of products (mobile
phones and laptops) and services (mobile-
phone companies and travel agen-
cies). From this perspective, this study
makes various contributions to the lit-
erature on WOM communications in
marketing.
Specifically:
0,0000
0,1250
0,2500
0,3750
0,5000
0,6250
0,7500
0,8750
1,0000
1,1250
1,2500
1,3750
1,5000
1,6250
1,7500
1,8750
2,0000
2,1250
2,2500
2,3750
2,5000
2,6250
2,7500
2,8750
3,0000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Positive WOM Negative WOM
Purchase probability prior to WOM (receiver’s loyalty)
Mea
n sh
ift in
pur
chas
e pr
obab
ility
aft
er p
ositi
ve a
nd n
egat
ive
WO
M
Figure 4 Mean Shift in Purchase Probability after Positive and negative WOM
54 JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH March 2013
THE WORD OF MOUTH DYnAMIC
• The empirical analysis shows that posi-
tive (negative) WOM has a positive
(negative) impact on the shift in the
receiver’s brand-purchase probabil-
ity. The results also show that positive
WOM has a stronger impact on brand-
purchase probability than negative
WOM.
An explanation for positive WOM’s
stronger effect in this study is that the
prior purchase probability tends to be
below 5 on a 10-point scale. In particu-
lar, the prior purchase probability is
4.2984 for the positive WOM subsample
and 4.4721 for the negative WOM sub-
sample. This situation leaves more room
for change in response to positive WOM
than in response to negative WOM.
Thus, the results suggest that nega-
tive WOM is less diagnostic than posi-
tive WOM. There is a “positivity effect”
(using Fiske’s gap explanation), with
positive WOM having more impact than
negative WOM.
• The results also show that the same
interpersonal factors govern the impact
of both positive and negative WOM
on the shift in the receiver’s brand-
purchase probability. The authors can
conclude that the sender’s strength of
expression has the greatest influence for
both positive and negative WOM, fol-
lowed by how actively WOM is sought.
The findings of this study suggest that
when the sender’s strength of expres-
sion is high and when WOM (positive or
negative) is actively sought, WOM will
have a significant influence (positive or
negative) on the shift in the receiver’s
brand-purchase probability.
Thus, marketing strategies designed
to promote interpersonal communica-
tion will reach more senders/receivers
and be more efficient if they are directed
at senders with strength of expression
and receivers who are motivated to seek
information through WOM.
Firms also should pay particular
attention to the potential influence of
negative WOM, as these communica-
tions reduce the purchase probability.
Consequently, companies should also
adopt decisions about marketing strat-
egies directed at senders and receivers
with the objective of minimizing the
sending of negative WOM and/or the
effects of exposure to negative commu-
nications of people motivated to seek
advice actively.
Nevertheless, the effect of both
interpersonal factors on the receiver’s
decision is stronger when the WOM
information is positive (positive WOM)
than when it is negative (negative
WOM).
TABLE 4Structural Models: Parameter Estimates
Hypothesised pathsPositive WOM subsample Supported
Negative WOM subsample Supported
H3: How actively WOM is sought → Shift in brand purchase probability 0.226** YES −0.065* YES
H4: Tie strength → How actively WOM is sought 0.096** YES 0.015 nO
H5: Sender’s experience → How actively WOM is sought 0.155** YES 0.135** YES
H6: Sender’s strength of expression → Shift in brand purchase probability 0.489** YES −0.440** YES
H7: Receiver’s loyalty → Shift in brand purchase probability −0.325** YES −0.426** YES
H8: Receiver’s experience → How actively WOM is sought −0.159** YES −0.126 YES
H9: Receiver’s experience → Receiver’s perceived risk −0.218** YES −0.219** YES
H10: Receiver’s perceived risk → How actively WOM is sought 0.646** YES 0.659** YES
Bentler-Bonett non-normed Fit Index (BBnnFI) 0.910 0.915
Comparative Fit Index (CFI) 0.919 0.923
General Fit Index (GFI) 0.924 0.928
Root Mean Square Error of Approximation (RMSEA) 0.075 0.080
Satorra-Bentler Scaled Chi Square S-Bc2
(probability value)1231.1561 (0.000)
1279.0923 (0.000)
Standardised parameters are shown (**p < 0.01)
March 2013 JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH 55
THE WORD OF MOUTH DYnAMIC
• The current findings support the
hypothesis that level of receiver’s loy-
alty (a non-interpersonal factor) reduces
the impact of both positive and nega-
tive WOM on the shift in the receiver’s
purchase probability. Thus, the effect of
WOM (positive or negative) is condi-
tioned by the receiver’s previous loyalty.
As the receiver’s level of loyalty
toward a brand increases, positive and
negative WOM about that brand will
have less impact on the shift in the
future purchase probability. Looking at
the plots in Figure 4, positive messages
(positive WOM) clearly have more
impact when the receiver’s pre-WOM
loyalty is from 0 to 6, whereas negative
messages (negative WOM) have more
influence in the range 4 to 7 (See Figure 4).
Thus, the potential impact of WOM
(positive or negative) can be estimated
for any segment of consumers if the
mean pro-WOM loyalty can be assessed
using purchase records or management
judgment, for example.
• Various factors directly influence how
actively WOM is sought and indirectly
affect the shift in the receiver’s purchase
probability.
The current findings indicate that,
when senders are perceived as knowl-
edgeable, the receivers are motivated
to actively seek information (positive or
negative WOM) from them. Thus, a sig-
nificant positive relation exists between
the two constructs.
Likewise, when the tie between send-
ers and receivers is strong, the receivers
are motivated to actively seek positive
WOM information (empirical evidence
for negative WOM was not found).
Conversely, the receiver’s experience
was also found to be a significant indi-
cator of how actively WOM is sought.
The more knowledgeable people are
or the more experience they possess,
the less intense will be the active search
for information (positive or negative
WOM).
Furthermore, the greater the receiv-
er’s experience, the less risk they will
perceive in the purchase; and the greater
the perceived risk, the more active the
search for WOM information (positive
or negative WOM).
• For both positive and negative WOM,
the receiver’s perceived risk has the
strongest positive effect, followed by the
receiver’s experience (negative effect),
sender’s experience (positive) and, to
a lesser extent, strength of tie between
sender and receiver (positive influence
only for positive WOM).
The practical implication of these empiri-
cal results is that companies should pay
particular attention to the consumers who
are most motivated to seek advice actively
(less experienced consumers who perceive
more risk in the purchase) to maximize
their exposure to positive communications
from senders perceived as knowledgeable
and with whom they have strong ties and
minimize their exposure to negative com-
munications from senders perceived as
experts.
Management ImplicationsWOM is one of today’s most powerful
marketing tools. It is reported to be one
of the fastest growing sectors in market-
ing and media services. Smart marketers
have an opportunity to become a part of
the consumer-driven WOM conversation
through well-planned, well-researched,
and well-executed WOM marketing pro-
grams—at which time, they will be well
positioned to influence consumers’ pur-
chase intentions.
For marketers, the findings of this study
suggest that companies should develop
marketing strategies to encourage positive
WOM messages and increase their effec-
tiveness. At the same time, companies
should clearly also make efforts to avoid
negative WOM.
Thus, academics and marketing direc-
tors should pay more attention to the
management of WOM, as WOM can
complement the firm’s policy of advertis-
ing communication and, hence, increase
its efficacy. Likewise, not only are both
types of communication complementary,
which improves the firm’s performance,
but traditional media and marketing com-
munications have a significant role to play
in influencing conversations. Firms can
use advertising to spread messages in the
media that stimulate consumers to speak
favorably about their brands and say good
things about their products.
This ideal situation, however, will hap-
pen only if the brand is credible, the firm’s
products/services are reliable, and its
marketing activities are believable. In such
cases, customers are very likely to initi-
ate more positive conversations about the
brand than negative ones.
Given the need to obtain a positive WOM
flow from senders to receivers, companies
should aim to keep the senders satisfied
by providing a good product or service,
effectively practicing sender-centered rela-
tionship marketing. In this context, WOM
programs should create experiences for
consumers and convey information that
encourages influential individuals or
groups to talk freely, authoritatively, and
credibly with others.
Enabling consumers to co-create brand
meaning and tell stories is essential to
WOM. Bain & Co. has reported there
is no better force to drive sales growth
than strong customer advocacy. Indeed,
its research shows that the most recom-
mended company in its category grows
2.5 times more than the category average.
Likewise, Booz & Co., a leading consul-
tancy has advised, “Make your consumer
56 JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH March 2013
THE WORD OF MOUTH DYnAMIC
an advocate: shift marketing objectives
from sending a message to facilitating con-
versations with and between consumers.”
Thus, companies should use marketing
activities to incentivize satisfied consum-
ers with a high degree of loyalty to act as
senders of positive WOM messages, par-
ticularly to those people (receivers) with
whom they maintain a strong tie. It is not
just a question of encouraging an “endog-
enous WOM,” which is characterized by a
conversation that occurs naturally among
consumers as a function of the senders’
positive experiences with the product or
service. Firms also should develop a proac-
tive management of customer-to-customer
communications. In other words, they cre-
ate an “exogenous WOM” as a result of
its actions (effecting meaningful positive
WOM).
For this purpose, companies should use
loyalty programs to incentivize satisfied
customers to become effective dissemi-
nators of information. In fact, companies
should put the satisfied customer at the
center of a communications campaign and
encourage them to offer potential con-
sumers detailed positive information—
convincingly argued—about the brand’s
good points.
The satisfied senders’ experience and
strength of expression can help them to be
perceived as “opinion leaders.” It is in this
context that a company needs to identify
the most dynamic consumers in the rec-
ommendation activity, as they can help it
attract new customers with a minimum
economic investment. Moreover, the eco-
nomic value that an active customer can
generate via WOM is a good means of
segmenting customers in function of their
capacity to influence the rest—the goal of
all marketers.
One other aspect of interest to practition-
ers in the strategic management of WOM:
in what environment is WOM communi-
cation more commonly generated? Since
2006, advertising-agency/WOM consult-
ants Keller Fay has compiled data since
2006 that consistently show that WOM
conversations happen most often in off-
line environments. Clearly, practitioners
cannot ignore the off-line conversations
that take place between people, but they
should also try to exploit to the maximum
the opportunities opened up by the Inter-
net (Fong and Burton, 2006) and encourage
people to support WOM so the company
can benefit from it as soon as possible.
Much of the importance of the Internet
for WOM communication is grounded in
the links between people in a social net-
work. A recommendation is more valu-
able in groups that have stronger links.
People with closer relationships—married
couples or friends, for example—tend
to interact more frequently than mere
acquaintances.
Knowing this, companies might target
“evangelical” customers—the most inter-
connected groups in the Internet—by
analyzing social networks, cliques, or the
groups that such contacts create and iden-
tify the most influential people in these
groups.
Companies also should remember that
the most socially connected individuals
are more liable to offer recommendations
and that physical proximity is not a sig-
nificant variable. It is critical, therefore,
that companies understand the social net-
works in which consumers operate (their
links and how they operate in them) to
extend positive WOM and minimize the
effects of any negative WOM.
In short, the diffusion of opinion lead-
ers’ messages in both traditional and mod-
ern communications media (e.g., social
networks such as Facebook, Twitter, and
LinkedIn) will help persuade positive
WOM receivers to increase their brand-
purchase probability.
In parallel, companies also should
stimulate the desire in the receiver to
obtain advice about the product or service.
Firms can use market research to identify
consumers (receivers) with a moderate
purchase probability or loyalty, and distin-
guish segments with high (or low) experi-
ence in the product or service category.
The aim is for the receivers to seek infor-
mation from satisfied customers so their
future purchase probability increases. An
advertising campaign could encourage
both segments of consumers to seek infor-
mation from other people: for example,
to seek information from satisfied, loyal
expert senders with whom they have a
strong tie or who are considered an object-
ive, third-party source. Receivers with
experience in the product/service cat-
egory and moderate brand loyalty could
begin to doubt and eventually conclude
that they do not possess as much experi-
ence as they initially had thought.
Another possibility to increase the
effectiveness of a positive WOM mes-
sage is to do market research to classify
potential consumers (receivers with a
moderate purchase probability and low
experience) into segments according to the
risk that they primarily associate with the
purchase decision. The resulting groups
could be addressed with differential com-
munications and interpersonal influence
strategies.
For example, potential customers high
in functional risk could be encouraged
to connect with satisfied, loyal expert
senders about the superiority of a firm’s
product/service. Customers with high
social/psychological risk perception
could be recommended to senders in their
peer group with whom they maintain a
strong tie and perceive as being similar to
themselves.
Limitations and Future Lines of ResearchThis study has a number of important
limitations, which can be seen as starting
points for future research.
March 2013 JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH 57
THE WORD OF MOUTH DYnAMIC
• The work uses retrospective data in that
the receivers must remember positive
(or negative) WOM messages that have
had an impact on their brand choice and
indicate the probability of choosing the
brand before and after the positive (or
negative) recommendation.
It would be advisable in future work
to subject the receivers to actual posi-
tive and negative WOM situations and
record their actual purchase decision.
• This study focuses on receivers who
actively seek information: in other
words, receivers who already are inter-
ested in the product or service category.
This analysis is important, but it does
not shed any light on why some WOM
communications have no influence at
all, whether positive or negative.
• The subsamples for the four categories
analyzed have low or moderate mean
pre-WOM purchase probabilities, which
explains why negative WOM is less
diagnostic than positive WOM. Future
research should investigate situations
where negative WOM has a stronger
impact.
• The consumers in the current study
were familiar with the brands consid-
ered for the categories analyzed, and
the innovations that the companies had
launched in the market represented
incremental levels of novelty linked to
product re-launches.
It would be interesting to investigate
the impact of positive and negative
WOM in the case of radical innovations
(adoption of new products in their intro-
duction stage).
• The current study analyzed only the
final outcome of the WOM (shift in the
purchase probability). Another obvious
possibility for further research would
be to explore the impact of positive and
negative WOM on the intermediate
stages in the receiver’s decision-making
process (motivation and desires, search
for information, and attributes consid-
ered in the purchase).
• The current work focused mainly on the
influence of WOM. The study could be
expanded to compare the effects of posi-
tive and negative WOM with those of
other types of information obtained by
the receivers through different commu-
nications media (e.g., advertising, direct
marketing, and the firm’s sales force).
• The current work did not allow the
authors to establish whether the receiv-
ers obtain the information from face-
to-face relationships or through social
networks. Given the importance of elec-
tronic WOM, it would be useful to study
the dynamics of online WOM and prod-
uct sales.
The aim would be to study e-WOM
via consumer opinion platforms and
investigate what motivates senders and
receivers to articulate themselves on the
Internet.
RodoLFo vázquez-CasieLLes is a Professor of Marketing at
the University of Oviedo (Spain). His current research
interests include consumer behavior and perceptions
of justice in the services markets. Other research
interests include interfirm relationships in distribution
channels, retail management, brand equity, and market
orientation. His recent articles have been published
in the European Journal of Marketing, Industrial
Marketing Management, International Journal of
Research in Marketing, International Journal of
Service Industry Management, Journal of Applied
Social Psychology, Journal of Business Research,
Journal of Business and Industrial Marketing,
Marketing Letters, Supply Chain Management, Service
Industries Journal, and Psychology and Marketing,
among other journals.
LetiCia suáRez-áLvaRez is an Assistant Professor of
Marketing at the University of Oviedo (Spain). Her current
research interests include relationship marketing,
tourism marketing, consumer behavior, and service
recovery strategies in the service sector. She has
presented papers at various academic meetings and
conferences. Her work has appeared in the Journal
of Applied Social Psychology, Journal of Marketing
Management, Journal of Travel Research, Management
Research, Service Industries Journal, and Psychology
and Marketing, among other journals.
ana BeLén deL Río-Lanza is an Associate Professor in
Marketing at the University of Oviedo (Spain). Her current
research interest focuses on brand equity, consumer
behavior, service failure, service recovery strategies, and
perceptions of justice in the services markets. She has
presented papers at various academic meetings and
conferences. Her recent articles have been published
in the British Food Journal, Journal of Business
Research, Journal of Product and Brand Management,
Journal of Applied Social Psychology, and Marketing
Letters, among other journals.
ACknOWLEDGMEnTS
The authors thank the Spanish Ministry of Sci-
ence and Innovation for the financial support
provided for this research under the 2008–2011
Call for R&D Projects (MICINNECO2008-03698/
ECON).
It would be advisable in future work to subject the
receivers to actual positive and negative WOM
situations and record their actual purchase decision.
58 JOURNAL OF ADVERTISING RESEARCH March 2013
THE WORD OF MOUTH DYnAMIC
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APPENDIXResults of Measurement Model: Psychometric Properties of the Scales
ConstructsStandardised loading (l)*
Indicate your level of agreement with the following statements (Likert: 1 = total disagreement, 7 = total agreement)
1. Receiver’s experience (AvE = 0.972; CR = 0.950; a = 0.955). Similar items can be found in: Bansal and voyer (2000)I know this product/service category very well
I am competent and capable in things concerning this product/service category
I am very familiar with the current features of this product/service category
I am very experienced in the purchase of this product/service category
I think I have enough information about this product/service category
0.880
0.910
0.923
0.847
0.889
2. How actively WOM is sought (AvE = 0.704; CR = 0.877; a = 0.906). Similar items can be found in: Bansal and voyer (2000)Before buying I seek advice from people unconnected to the firm
Probability of accepting advice from other people (1 = very low; 7 = very high)
Explicit requirement of opinion of other people to take decisions (1 = very low; 7 = very high)
0.850
0.821
0.846
3. Receiver’s perceived risk (AvE = 0.767; CR = 0.908; a = 0.901). Similar items can be found in: Bansal and voyer (2000) and Wangenheim
and Bayon (2004b, 2007)Thinking about buying this product worries me because of the possibility of taking a risk
I think it would be a mistake if I didn’t seek the opinions of other people unconnected to the firm to avoid risks
I feel that buying this product is risky and I can avoid these risks if I seek advice from other people unconnected to the firm
0.817
0.870
0.936
4. Tie strength (AvE = 0.846; CR = 0.975; a = 0.975). Similar items can be found in: Bansal and voyer (2000) and Wangenheim and Bayon
(2004b, 2007)I speak to this person frequently
I have a trusting relationship with this person
This person understands me, shares my concerns, supports me
I have a strong personal relation with this person
I have interests and pastimes in common with this person
This person has social values and lifestyle like mine
I think that this person generally behaves very similarly to my way of seeing life
0.874
0.926
0.943
0.952
0.902
0.914
0.924
5. Sender’s experience (AvE = 0.846; CR = 0.956; a = 0.950). Similar items can be found in: Bansal and voyer (2000) and Wangenheim and
Bayon (2004b, 2007)This person is very knowledgeable about this product/service category
This person is very competent in things concerning this product/service category
This person has previously bought this product/service category
This person is very experienced in this product/service category
0.924
0.930
0.914
0.910
Other scales developed for this study
6. Sender’s strength of expression. Similar items can be found in: East et al. (2007 and 2008)
How convincing/credible do you think were the explanations of the person who gave you this recommendation? (1 = not at all convincing/credible;
7 = very convincing/credible)
7. Probability of choosing brand.** Similar items can be found in: East et al. (2007 and 2008)
What was the probability that you would choose this brand before receiving the recommendation? (receiver’s loyalty) (0 = zero; 10 = very high)
What was the probability that you would choose this brand after receiving the recommendation? (0 = zero; 10 = very high)
* All standardised loadings are significant (p < 0.01); ** The shift in the WOM receiver’s brand-purchase probability is calculated as the difference between the probability of choosing the brand after and before the recommendation
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