HOW SESAR CONTRIBUTES TO SES PERFORMANCE
WORKSHOP
Moderated by Patrick Mana, SJU Programme Manager
13 February 2013, Madrid
THE WORLD ATM CONGRESS 2013
HOW SESAR CONTRIBUTES TO SES PERFORMANCE WORKSHOP
WORKSHOP
2
10:00 Welcome & introductionPatrick Mana, SESAR Joint Undertaking
10:05 SESAR Performance frameworkPeter Simonsson, NATSPatricia Lopez de Frutos, AENA
10:20 Extended AMAN Horizon: Fuel-Efficiency & PredictabilityValentina Pesacane, ENAV
10:35 Conflicting ATC Clearances : SafetyHeribert Lafferton, DFS ; Christelle Pianetti (DSNA)Bruno Rabiller, EUROCONTROL
AGENDA
Agenda
3
10:50 Advanced Flexible Use of Airspace: Airspace Capacity & Fuel-Efficiency Edgar Reuber, EUROCONTROL
11:05 Time-Based Separation: Airport CapacityCharles Morris, NATSPeter Choroba, EUROCONTROL
11:20 Remote Tower: Human PerformancePierre Ankartun, NORACONCatherine Chalon, EUROCONTROL
11:35 - end -
Peter Simonsson (NATS)Patricia Lopez De Frutos (AENA)
SESAR PERFORMANCE FRAMEWORK
The SES Performance Context (What we are aiming for)
Enabling EU skiesto handle 3 times
more traffic
Improving safety by a factor of 10
Reducing the environmental
impact per flight by 10%
Cutting ATM cost per flight
by 50%
SESAR Solutions are expected to contribute significantly to the achievement of these goals
SESAR Performance Management
Traffic synchronisation
covers all aspects related to improving arrival/departure management and sequence building in en route and TMA environments. It aims to achieve an optimum traffic sequence
Validation of operational improvements
SESAR Validation targets
SES High-Level Goals
Validation resultsPerf. expectation
Deployment scenarios
Gap analysis
Step 1
SESAR Validation Targets
Step 1 + 2
Progressive targeting across Concept phases
Example – Fuel Efficiency
Concept Targeted: Priority Business Needs
Step 1 Validation Target Allocation
SESAR Performance Assessment
Traffic synchronisation
covers all aspects related to improving arrival/departure management and sequence building in en route and TMA environments. It aims to achieve an optimum traffic sequence
Validation of operational improvements
SESARValidation targets
SES High-Level Goals
Validation resultsPerf. Assessment
Deployment scenarios
Gap analysis
Progressive Performance Assessment refinement & recommendations
Performance Assessment
per StepRelease #1
Performance Assessment
per StepRelease #2
Performance Assessment
per StepRelease #3
VALIDATION TARGET PER STEP
SJU ProgrammeTime Line
Validation ResultsEstimations
PPPP PP PP PP
PP PP PP PPPP
PP
Performance Assessment
per StepRelease #3
Recommendations Recommendations
Recommendations
Performance Assessment Approach
Face to Face Technical discussions collecting benefits from the projects themselvesThe Outcome are judgments based on:
•initial estimations•past validation results•Validation exercises
and …•benefit mechanisms•assumptions (e.g.
applicability to types of airports & airspace, equipage rates, hours per day in operation, etc)
Stepwise Benefits at ECAC level Step 1 Step 2 Step 3
Specific indicators we are looking for Step 1
Concept Assessed: Priority Business Needs
Preliminary Performance Assessment for Step 1
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Fuel Efficiency
Airport Capacity
Airspace Capacity(TMA)
Airspace Capacity(En-route)
Predictability
Cost-effectiveness
Traffic Sychronisation Moving from Airspace to 4D Trajectory Management
Conflict Management and Automation Network Collaborative Planning and Demand Capacity Balancing
Airport intgration and Throughput
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Fuel Efficiency
Airport Capacity
Airspace Capacity(TMA)
Airspace Capacity(En-route)
Predictability
Cost-effectiveness
Traffic Sychronisation Moving from Airspace to 4D Trajectory Management
Conflict Management and Automation Network Collaborative Planning and Demand Capacity Balancing
Airport intgration and Throughput
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Fuel Efficiency
Airport Capacity
Airspace Capacity(TMA)
Airspace Capacity(En-route)
Predictability
Cost-effectiveness
Traffic Sychronisation Moving from Airspace to 4D Trajectory Management
Conflict Management and Automation Network Collaborative Planning and Demand Capacity Balancing
Airport intgration and Throughput
SES Performance: Efficiency & Predictability
Valentina Pesacane (ENAV)
05.06.04 TACTICAL TMA ANDEN-ROUTE QUEUE MANAGEMENT
05.06.04 Overview
• Tactical management of queues during descent flight phase
• Arrival Management Horizon extended to the En-route operations
• Techniques to tactically manage queues to deliver pre-sequenced traffic to TMAs
• TMA overloading• Sequence building at low altitudes• Inefficient flight profiles
ExistingArrival Management
Horizon
Extended Arrival Management Horizon
into Cruiseflight phase
Adjacent airports comewithin the Arrival
Management Horizon
Adjacent airports comewithin the Arrival
Management Horizon
ACC/ANSP Boundary
New AMAN Influence
CDO
Current AMAN
PRE-SEQUENCING To absorb delay at high altitudes supported by En-route ATCOs in managing queues and achieve early sequence stability
SEQUENCING To deliver pre-sequenced and smoothed traffic to the TMA
SPACINGTo optimize the sequence approaching to the runway
05.06.04 Benefits
Expected performance benefitsImproving the overall efficiency and predictability of
flight trajectoriesReducing the environmental impact
• Medium to High traffic density/complexity
• Different operational environments
• 2 AMAN Horizon extensions
• Different avionic capabilities
• Several KPAs investigated
05.06.04 and Releases
Experimental conditions•AMAN OFF or AMAN ON•Real traffic flight dataMethod/techniques (Simulated environment)•Over the shoulder observation•User feedback collection•Recording system data logs16.6.x Guidelines driven for KPAs assessment•Human Performance•Safety•Environment
Validation approach
Efficiency KPA
The concept allows AUs to optimize the descend profiles supporting the continuous descending operations
+40% of CDA with a consequent stability of the uninterrupted descending AMAN sequence
Efficiency KPA
The concept allows AUs to optimize the descend profiles with a gain of fuel burnt during descent operations
16% of fuel saved with an AMAN ON (descending phase)
AMAN OFFDistance flown (NM) Fuel Burnt (Kg) CO2 (Kg)
6505 30866 97229
Flight Efficiency - Environment KPA
The early management of the arrival flow optimizes the distance flown and saves the fuel burnt and gas emissions.
-7.7% of Distance Flown (Nm) with AMAN ON during TMA ops
-2.7% of Fuel Burnt and CO2 emissions (Kg) with AMAN ON during TMA ops
ops
AMAN ONDistance flown (NM) Fuel Burnt (Kg) CO2 (Kg)
6037 30060 94686
AMAN OFF vs AMAN ONDistance flown (%) Fuel Burnt (%) CO2 (%)
-7.7 -2.7 -2.7
Flight Efficiency - Environment KPA
This concept allows to reduce the holdings and path stretching.
Example: Flight from Paris to Rome (A320)
Flight Track: AMAN OFF
Flight Efficiency - Environment KPA
This concept allows to reduce the holdings and path stretching.
Example: Flight from Paris to Rome (A320)
Flight Track: AMAN ON
Flight Efficiency - Environment KPA
This concept allows to reduce the holdings and path stretching.
Example: Flight from Paris to Rome (A320).In TMA, AMAN ON:•- 131 Kg of Fuel burn•- 412 Kg of CO2 emission•- 23 Nm of distance flown
Comparison between AMAN OFF (orange track) and AMAN ON (blue track) in TMA
Predictability KPA
The concept allows an higher accuracy of the anticipated landing times.
CTAs are proposed to aircraft when the En-Route ATCO has sufficient confidence in the stability of the traffic.
CTA flights doubled with AMAN ON
Predictability KPA
The concept allows to achieve an early sequence stability.
The pilot has an earlier and better understanding of ATC intentions through the CTA procedure.
+10% of CTA proposals accepted with AMAN ON
KPA Achievements
Efficiency Descent profile optimized with delay absorbed at higher altitudes, reduction of descent fuel burnt
Environment Reduction of distance flown and CO2 emissions
Predictability Better optimization of the descent phase and also higher accuracy of the anticipated landing times
05.06.04 Results in brief
Thank youThank youValentina Pesacane
For any detail, please visit ENAV Stand (927)
Drive the change!
P06.07.01 EXE 438 at Hamburg Airport
H. Lafferton (DFS)B. Rabiller (EUROCONTROL)
CONFLICTING ATC CLEARANCES
From B4.1 Safety Validation Target to Safety and Performance requirements
Conflicting ATC Clearances Safety Criteria (SAC): The number of Runway Conflict shall be reduced by 5% when ATC is supported by the conflicting ATC
clearance Tool.
Safety Validation Objectives for VAL EXE
Safety & Performance Requirements, Recommendations
and Issues
B4.1 Safety validation Targetfor Airport Safety Net OFA
Safety Assessment process conducted in accordance with SESAR Safety
Reference Material (SRM)
VALIDATION EXERCISE DRIVEN BY SAFETY VALIDATION OBJECTIVES
VAL PLANFor EXE 438
Are all conflicting situations detected?
Is false alert rate acceptable?
Is Conf ATC compatible with other systems?
VALOBJ
VALOBJ
VALOBJ
Is detection considered as a nuisance alert?
Are detected situations timely solved?
VALOBJ
VALOBJ
VALRESULT?
VALRESULT?
VALRESULT?
VALRESULT?
VALRESULT?
CONDUCTVAL EXE 438
Safety Criteria (SAC): as a proxy…
The SESAR Context and Safety
Operational Thread System Thread
Transversal Thread
P 6.7.1(WA 3)P 6.7.1(WA 3)
P 12.03.02P 12.03.02
P 16.06.01 SESAR Safety
Reference Material
P 16.06.01 SESAR Safety
Reference Material
SESA
R SR
MSE
SAR
SRM
OSED, VAL PLN, SPR
Surface Safety Nets serverSurface Safety Nets Alerting HMI Safety
RequirementsSafety Requirements
V2 VAL REP
P 16.06.01Support
(EUROCONTROL)
P 16.06.01Support
(EUROCONTROL)
Safety Assessment
Safety
Support
Safety
Support
P 16.06.05 Human Performance
P 16.06.05 Human Performance
Safety Requirements for design;Safety Recommendations for design;Safety Issues for design
Safety Requirements for design;Safety Recommendations for design;Safety Issues for design
P 12.05.02P 12.05.02
HF S
uppo
rt
HF S
uppo
rt
New prototype “Surface Safety Nets Server” under test
• On existing DFS product lines PHOENIX (SDP) and SHOWTIME (TFDPS)
Reducing nuisance alerts: Routing function as input for the safety net
Example: Line-up / Land conflict
Reducing nuisance alerts:Routing function as input for the safety net
Example: Line-up / Land conflict solved
Predictive Indication
Predictive Indication
In this case, the next clearance would be a Line-up clearance
The predictive indication shows if the next clearance would generate a conflicting ATC clearance
The Tower in a Conference Room
VALRESULT?
VALRESULT?
VALRESULT?
VALRESULT?
Validation exercise 438 Results
Are all conflicting situations detected?
Is false alert rate acceptable?
VALOBJ
VALOBJ
Is detection considered as a nuisance alert?
Are detected situations timely solved?
VALOBJ
VALOBJ
OK!
OK!
OK!
OK!
VAL EXE 438 Results
?
?
?
?Yes Positive feedback by ATCOs and observers
Almost no nuisance alerts
Yes. Positive feedback by ATCOs and observers
No false alerts (e.g. no « TOF vs. TOF » instead of « LND vs. TOF »
Is Conf ATC compatible with other systems?
VALOBJ
VALRESULT?OK!
?RIMS not tested. Conformance Monitor-ing tested but fine tuning necessary
Airspace Capacity & Fuel-Efficiency
Edgar Reuber (EUROCONTROL)
Advanced Flexible Use of Airspace
Airspace Capacity & Fuel-Efficiency
• AFUA concept• Validation concept
– Variable Profile Area (VPA) design principle– Validation Exercise VP 015, FTS
• Airspace capacity• Fuel Efficiency
– Extra NM flown– Fuel burned– Emissions saved
Airspace Capacity & Fuel-Efficiency
AFUA concept• Define the types of AFUA flexible airspace
structures and the reservation processes;• Harmonise the design of these flexible
airspace structures;• Define the procedures to use these flexible
airspace structures;• Facilitate military – military and civil –
military co-operation.
Airspace Capacity & Fuel-Efficiency
Validation concept step 1, here VP 015 only
• Validate the concept of Variable Profile Area (VPA):– create new design principle– integration in the network– network efficiency
Airspace Capacity & Fuel-Efficiency
VPA design principle
ARES
X1
X2
X3
X4
X5
X6
X7
X8
X9
X10
X11
X12
Airspace Capacity & Fuel-Efficiency
VP 015• Fast Time Simulation (V2)• 2 fold:
– Spanish Airspace– Belgian Airspace
• Reference Scenario plus Solution Scenarios• Ref: Full activation of ARES• Sol: Potential Modules activated in
combination
Airspace Capacity & Fuel-Efficiency
VP 015 (2)• Comparison of all solutions to reference• Results calculated to:
– Extra distance flown (NM and time)– Extra fuel burned– Extra emissions emitted– Workload / Capacity
• Spanish Example shown next– Workload / Capacity
• Not focus of this VP• Results are indicating only little positive influence
Airspace Capacity & Fuel-Efficiency
Diverted flights per scenarioS5 = Reference Scenario
C S1 S2 S3 S4 S5
Non diverted 106 40 60 25 0
Diverted 0 66 46 81 106
Airspace Capacity & Fuel-Efficiency
Extra NM from circumnavigating activated ARES per deviated flight
S5 = Reference Scenario
Airspace Capacity & Fuel-Efficiency
Fuel burn per deviated flight
S5 = Reference Scenario
Airspace Capacity & Fuel-Efficiency
CO2 Emission Users outside the ARES per deviated flight
S5 = Reference Scenario
Airspace Capacity & Fuel-Efficiency
Validation Results• Positive effect on Workload/Capacity
– To be further validated in new VP
• Very positive effect on– Reduction of extra NM flown by 75 %– Reduction of extra fuel burned by 75%– Reduction on emissions by 75%
=>OVERALL BENEFITS usingVPA
Airspace Capacity & Fuel-Efficiency
Peter CHOROBA, P06.08.01, EUROCONTROLCharles MORRIS, P06.08.01, NATS
Time Based Separations (TBS)
Outline
• TBS Concept• Example benefit mechanism• Release 2 exercises• Results per KPA
– Fuel efficiency (environment)– Airport capacity (runway throughput)– Time efficiency & Predictability
• Conclusions
Normal Landing Rate – Light Headwind
Overcoming the impact of wind onFinal Approach
Normal Landing Rate – Light Headwind
Reduced Landing Rate – Strong Headwind
Strong headwind reduces groundspeed
Normal Landing Rate – Light Headwind
Reduced Landing Rate – Strong Headwind
Time Based Spacing in Strong Headwind
Time Based Separation Potential to recover runway service rate
TBS concept
TBS separation indication
WT TBS principlesICAO WT DBS minima
Take advantage of the wake decay and transport in moderate to strong headwind
Maintain TBS constant in all wind, which corresponds to DBS minima
Maintain runway throughput in headwind (HW)
No traffic spacing below current MRS
Separation Separation Separation Separation
TBS benefit mechanism – example
Feature Impact Area Indicators Positive or negative impacts KPA/TA
6.8.1: Flexible and Dynamic Use of Wake Vortex Separation - Time Based Separation
OI Steps:
(1/n)
Time Based Separation for Arrivals
Number of movements
CAP
Average Delay per flight
Airspace User
Fuel Burn in TMA
PRD
Time in Airborne Holding
1bRunway Throughput in headwind
EFF
Arrival Time Variability (planned vs actual) On Time
Operations
ENV
EFF
CO2 emissions
2a
2b
2d
2c
Number of Cancellations
EFF
1c
Delivery Impact
1a
TBS - Release 2 exercises
VP302 Tower simulation • July 2012• 7 days RTS at 360 degree Heathrow tower simulator• Match runs TBS vs DBS• 31 simulation runs• 12 ATCOs
VP303 Approach simulation • February/March 2012• 13 day RTS at NATS CTC simulator• Match runs TBS vs DBS• 51 simulation runs• 11 ATCOs
Airport capacity (RWY throughput)
• Tactical capacity benefits only
• preventing the loss of 1-5 movements per hour in challenging wind conditions – depending on the traffic density and wind speed
• No impact on declared capacity
Fuel efficiency
• 108.55kg average fuel saving per flight at LHR with TBS
• 2.26% fuel saving per flight at LHR (+corresponding CO2 benefit – ENV)
• Frankfurt, Madrid, Rome, Amsterdam… – dense enough traffic &
delays caused by strong headwinds, ref. EUROBEN study
Time efficiency & Predictability
• The mean reduction of holding time was 0.9min with a maximum reduction of 9.4 min
• TBS shows potential predictability benefit in reduction of standard deviation for airborne holding time (variability) from 208 to 168 seconds
Conclusions
• Achievement of SESAR validation targets allocated to TBS OFA– TBS is 3rd largest contributor to Fuel Eff and PRD KPAs
• Maintained landing rate in challenging wind conditions (airport capacity)
• Significant holding delay reduction (time & fuel efficiency, predictability)
RWY resilience improvement
Scale of benefits depends mainly on the traffic density and wind conditions
Pierre Andersson Ankartun (Noracon, LFV)Pierre Andersson Ankartun (Noracon, LFV) Catherine Chalon Morgan (Eurocontrol)Catherine Chalon Morgan (Eurocontrol)SJU P06.09.03 Project ManagerSJU P06.09.03 Project Manager SJU P06.09.03 Human Performance Assesment LeadSJU P06.09.03 Human Performance Assesment Lead
P06.09.03 REMOTE & VIRTUAL TWRHUMAN PERFORMANCE RESULTS FROM TWO EXERCISESHUMAN PERFORMANCE RESULTS FROM TWO EXERCISES
P06.09.03 REMOTE TWR CONCEPT
RVT Concept
Enabling cost effective ATS at one or more airports from a facility that is not in the local Tower.
Targets the typical ‘small’ airport
The Remote CWP also enables the introduction of new tools to support the Air Traffic Controller
EXE #056 EXE #057
TWR TWR
Passive SM Passive SM
Sweden Sweden
Establishing a common SESAR baseline using an initial prototype
Complementing scenarios and objectives
Enhanced platform
Technical enablers
P06.09.03 Single TWRExercises to Date
Completed
Completed
• Cost effectiveness– assessed separately
through cost benefit analysis
– based on the assumption that Remote Provision of ATS is feasible; is safe; and provides sufficient capacity.
Is cost efficiency validated now?
Validation exercises
look at those performance areas rather than cost effectiveness directly. If performance is adequate using the assumptions, then cost efficiency follows as a result.
Note: Exercises performed to date cover Single Remote TWR.
HP objectives & process
The role of the human actors in the system is consistent with human capabilities and characteristics
The contribution of the human in the system supports the expected system performance & behaviour
HP Assessment Process overview
Step 1: Understand the ATM concept
What will change…
Who is impacted…
How…
Step 2: Understand the HP implications
Step 3: Improve & validate the concept
Step 4: Collate findings
What will change…
Who is impacted…
How…
HP Issues (priority & mitigation)
HP Benefits
HP Impacts
HP / validation objectives
(Scenarios, success criteria, tools/methods)
Aim is to ensure Human Performance is not negatively impacted. HP fundamental principles:
Passive shadow mode trials
•Acceptability of the concept
•Utility & usability of enhanced features
•Impact on situation awareness & trust
•Procedure development
Acceptability•Visual reproduction
– Picture quality with improved resolution & increased frame rate (30FPS) overall acceptable but could still be improved
– Depth & distance difficult to judge – reduced visual separation not feasible
– Concerns about ability to judge met conditions – additional met. information required
Utility & usability of enhanced visual features•Pan Tilt and Zoom camera
- Good concept but difficult to use & picture quality poor
•Infra red - Considered beneficial in dark & Low vis- Procedures for IR use need to be developed
•Additional Camera Viewpoints (ACV)- Useful & useable - more needed
•Radar & video tracking labels - Feedback overwhelmingly positive- Recommended additional information to be
presented in label e.g. a/c type & speed
Trial 2 (EXE-06.09.03-VP057) HP results
Trial 2: Assessment of prototype / advanced features
Situation Awareness (Basic V Advanced)•Overall situation awareness (SA) found to be significantly greater for Advanced system compared to Basic.•Significant improvement found for ratings on SASHA dimensions ‘surprised by an event’ and ‘search for information’•Improvement in situation awareness reported to be mainly due to radar and video tracking labels
Trust•Overall levels of trust greater for Advanced compared to Basic system•In basic although ATCOs generally understand the system they felt it was less robust and reliable than the Advanced system•ATCOs reported to be much more confident and comfortable using the system in the advanced set up compared to the Basic
Procedure development•ATCO feedback on procedures developed for normal, abnormal & degraded modes mainly positive •Recommendations for improvements obtained & procedures updated accordingly
Trial 2 (EXE-06.09.03-VP057) HP results
Trial 2: - Basic Vs Advanced (Radar, Additional Camera Views, Radar & Video Tracking Labels)Procedure development using scenario based ‘walkthroughs’
EXE #058
AFIS Heliport
Advanced SM
Norway
Operator-in-the-loop
Weather
Confidence and assurance
Further enhanced platform
More to Come on Single TWR/AFIS
On-going!
Note also 06.09.03 OSED synchronized efforts launched by P06.08.04
THANK YOU !
HOW SESAR CONTRIBUTES TO SES PERFORMANCE WORKSHOP
13 February 2013, Madrid