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Time and offset domain internal multiple prediction with nonstationary parameters K. A. Innanen, Dept. of Geoscience, CREWES Project, University of Calgary SUMMARY Practical internal multiple prediction and removal is a high priority area of seismic processing technology, that has special significance for unconventional plays, where data are complex and sophisticated quan- titative interpretation methods are apt to be applied. When the medium is unknown and/or complex, and move-out based discrimination is not possible, inverse scattering based prediction is the method of choice, but challenges remain for its application in certain environments. For instance, when generators are distributed up-shallow and within and below zones of interest, optimum prediction parameters are difficult to determine — in fact in some cases no stationary value of the search parameter ε can optimally predict all multiples without introducing damaging artifacts. A re-formulation and implementation in the time- domain permits time-nonstationarity to be enforced in ε , after which a range of possible data-driven and geology-driven criteria for selecting a ε (t ) schedule can be analyzed. 1D and 1.5D versions of the time- nonstationary algorithm are easily derived and can be shown to add a new element of precision to prediction. Merging of these ideas with multidimensional plane-wave domain versions of the algorithm will provide 2D/3D extensions. INTRODUCTION The influence of internal multiples on primary reflections remains one of the most serious impediments to practical quantitative interpreta- tion. This is especially true in unconventional onshore resource plays, in which subtle linkages between seismic amplitudes and rock physics and/or engineering relevant properties are sought (Iverson, 2014). Cur- rently those linkages are being established with careful modelling of amplitude-variation-with-angle and are based on a primaries-only type of analysis. The continued development of multiple prediction and removal methods, especially those applicable in unconventional, on- shore environments, is consequently a critical area of research. Sev- eral classes of wave equation-based removal of internal multiples ex- ist (Weglein and Dragoset, 2005; Jakubowicz, 1998; Berkhout, 1999), however the inverse scattering series (ISS) internal multiple suppres- sion algorithm (Ara ´ ujo, 1994; Weglein et al., 1997, 2003; Otnes et al., 2004; Ram´ ırez and Weglein, 2005) is optimal for predicting internal multiples in the absence of subsurface velocity or structural informa- tion, and when other primary/multiple discriminators (e.g., moveout) are unavailable. Two areas of research in ISS prediction are partic- ularly active, the first being to move from an attenuation algorithm, in which the predicted amplitude is approximate, to an elimination algorithm, in which the predicted amplitude is exact (e.g., Zou and Weglein, 2015). The second concerns refining the prediction calcula- tions to optimize them for certain high priority acquisition styles and environments. Land application, in particular, remains challenging, for reasons out- lined by Luo et al. (2011). Noisy traces with proximal and/or in- terfering primaries and multiples are common; on occasion the pre- subtraction prediction sections themselves are informative, but too noisy for subtraction to be advisable (Reshef et al., 2003; Hernandez and In- nanen, 2014). However, the possible impact of even a small up-tick in the precision of multiple removal on land has been an incentive for in- vestigation of new workflows (Fu et al., 2010; Wu et al., 2011; Sonika et al., 2012; Ras et al., 2012; de Melo et al., 2014, 2015). A promising line of research is to seek optimum domains in which the basic numerics of prediction are carried out. The automated search for, and combination of, sub-events in a data record is fixed to occur in the pseudo-depth or vertical travel time domains (Weglein et al., 2003), but the output domains, i.e., the experimental variables on the left-hand side of the formula, can be varied quite widely. The standard form of the algorithm has the prediction emerging in the wavenum- ber/frequency domain, but formulations in the τ - p domain (Coates and Weglein, 1996) may have advantages in terms of reduction of artifacts (Sun and Innanen, 2015). This has motivated a new numerical anal- ysis of 2D coupled plane-wave domain internal multiple prediction (Sun and Innanen, 2016). The output domain is critical also because it restricts and defines the variability we may assign to the search lim- iting parameter ε (whose importance was first discussed by Coates and Weglein, 1996). For instance, high angle noise in 1.5D multiple prediction has been shown to be suppressed by setting the parameter ε k g , rather than giving it a fixed value (Innanen and Pan, 2015). This was possible with the standard form of the prediction algorithm because k g is one of the output variables of the formula. In contrast, a time-varying parameter ε = ε (t ), is not practically available in the standard (k g , ω) prediction algorithm. To address this, in this paper we derive forms for 1.5D internal multi- ple prediction in several output domains, including the time, using the standard (k g , ω) domain as a starting point, and provide some numer- ical examples of some of them in action. Because the domain deter- mines the type of allowable ε nonstationarity, we may then proceed to investigate the consequences of allowing ε = ε (t ), and various basic criteria for selecting optimum ε (t ) schedules. TIME DOMAIN FORMULAS In standard notation the 1.5D version of the inverse scattering series internal multiple attenuation algorithm (Weglein et al., 1997, 2003) is b 3 (k g , ω)= Z -dz 0 e ikz z 0 b 1 (k g , z 0 ) Z z 0 -ε -dz 00 e -ikz z 00 b 1 (k g , z 00 ) × Z z 00 +ε dz 000 e ikz z 000 b 1 (k g , z 000 ), (1) where the b 1 are weighted versions of the input data expressed in the pseudo-depth domain. The weights maximize the match between pre- dicted and actual multiples. In this paper we will neglect these weights and focus on the arrival time of predictions; input to the prediction pro- cedure will be minimally pre-processed data (specifically, data from waves which are downgoing at the source, upgoing at the receivers, and free of surface multiples). We consider predictions in a variety of combinations of physical and Fourier domains. The 1D and 1.5D multiple predictions in the offset and/or time domains are denoted m(t ) and m(x g , t ) respectively, and after transformation the 1.5D predictions are furthermore referred to as M(k g , t ) and ˆ M(k g , ω) respectively. If the Fourier transform of unweighted data s(x g , t ) with respect to x g , namely S(k g , t ) are used as input to the prediction rather than the weighted data b 1 , the standard form in equation (1) becomes ˆ M(k g , ω)= Z -dt 0 e iωt 0 S(k g , t 0 ) Z t 0 -ε -dt 00 e -iωt 00 S(k g , t 00 ) × Z t 00 +ε dt 000 e iωt 000 S(k g , t 000 ). (2) Here we have substituted ωt for k z z, which is legitimate only if the ordering of sub-events in (total) traveltime t is the same as ordering in vertical travel time (Nita and Weglein, 2009). 1D and 1.5D cases accommodate this, but to extend the results of this paper to 2D and 3D, the coupled τ - p domain, in which the time coordinate has the correct (vertical) interpretation, should be used. This extension is examined by Sun and Innanen (2016).
Transcript
Page 1: Time and offset domain internal multiple prediction with ... · SUMMARY Practical internal multiple prediction and removal is a high priority ... (Sun and Innanen, 2016). The output

Time and offset domain internal multiple prediction with nonstationary parametersK. A. Innanen, Dept. of Geoscience, CREWES Project, University of Calgary

SUMMARY

Practical internal multiple prediction and removal is a high priorityarea of seismic processing technology, that has special significance forunconventional plays, where data are complex and sophisticated quan-titative interpretation methods are apt to be applied. When the mediumis unknown and/or complex, and move-out based discrimination is notpossible, inverse scattering based prediction is the method of choice,but challenges remain for its application in certain environments. Forinstance, when generators are distributed up-shallow and within andbelow zones of interest, optimum prediction parameters are difficult todetermine — in fact in some cases no stationary value of the searchparameter ε can optimally predict all multiples without introducingdamaging artifacts. A re-formulation and implementation in the time-domain permits time-nonstationarity to be enforced in ε , after which arange of possible data-driven and geology-driven criteria for selectinga ε(t) schedule can be analyzed. 1D and 1.5D versions of the time-nonstationary algorithm are easily derived and can be shown to add anew element of precision to prediction. Merging of these ideas withmultidimensional plane-wave domain versions of the algorithm willprovide 2D/3D extensions.

INTRODUCTION

The influence of internal multiples on primary reflections remains oneof the most serious impediments to practical quantitative interpreta-tion. This is especially true in unconventional onshore resource plays,in which subtle linkages between seismic amplitudes and rock physicsand/or engineering relevant properties are sought (Iverson, 2014). Cur-rently those linkages are being established with careful modelling ofamplitude-variation-with-angle and are based on a primaries-only typeof analysis. The continued development of multiple prediction andremoval methods, especially those applicable in unconventional, on-shore environments, is consequently a critical area of research. Sev-eral classes of wave equation-based removal of internal multiples ex-ist (Weglein and Dragoset, 2005; Jakubowicz, 1998; Berkhout, 1999),however the inverse scattering series (ISS) internal multiple suppres-sion algorithm (Araujo, 1994; Weglein et al., 1997, 2003; Otnes et al.,2004; Ramırez and Weglein, 2005) is optimal for predicting internalmultiples in the absence of subsurface velocity or structural informa-tion, and when other primary/multiple discriminators (e.g., moveout)are unavailable. Two areas of research in ISS prediction are partic-ularly active, the first being to move from an attenuation algorithm,in which the predicted amplitude is approximate, to an eliminationalgorithm, in which the predicted amplitude is exact (e.g., Zou andWeglein, 2015). The second concerns refining the prediction calcula-tions to optimize them for certain high priority acquisition styles andenvironments.

Land application, in particular, remains challenging, for reasons out-lined by Luo et al. (2011). Noisy traces with proximal and/or in-terfering primaries and multiples are common; on occasion the pre-subtraction prediction sections themselves are informative, but too noisyfor subtraction to be advisable (Reshef et al., 2003; Hernandez and In-nanen, 2014). However, the possible impact of even a small up-tick inthe precision of multiple removal on land has been an incentive for in-vestigation of new workflows (Fu et al., 2010; Wu et al., 2011; Sonikaet al., 2012; Ras et al., 2012; de Melo et al., 2014, 2015).

A promising line of research is to seek optimum domains in which thebasic numerics of prediction are carried out. The automated searchfor, and combination of, sub-events in a data record is fixed to occurin the pseudo-depth or vertical travel time domains (Weglein et al.,2003), but the output domains, i.e., the experimental variables on the

left-hand side of the formula, can be varied quite widely. The standardform of the algorithm has the prediction emerging in the wavenum-ber/frequency domain, but formulations in the τ-p domain (Coates andWeglein, 1996) may have advantages in terms of reduction of artifacts(Sun and Innanen, 2015). This has motivated a new numerical anal-ysis of 2D coupled plane-wave domain internal multiple prediction(Sun and Innanen, 2016). The output domain is critical also becauseit restricts and defines the variability we may assign to the search lim-iting parameter ε (whose importance was first discussed by Coatesand Weglein, 1996). For instance, high angle noise in 1.5D multipleprediction has been shown to be suppressed by setting the parameterε ∝ kg, rather than giving it a fixed value (Innanen and Pan, 2015).This was possible with the standard form of the prediction algorithmbecause kg is one of the output variables of the formula. In contrast,a time-varying parameter ε = ε(t), is not practically available in thestandard (kg,ω) prediction algorithm.

To address this, in this paper we derive forms for 1.5D internal multi-ple prediction in several output domains, including the time, using thestandard (kg,ω) domain as a starting point, and provide some numer-ical examples of some of them in action. Because the domain deter-mines the type of allowable ε nonstationarity, we may then proceed toinvestigate the consequences of allowing ε = ε(t), and various basiccriteria for selecting optimum ε(t) schedules.

TIME DOMAIN FORMULAS

In standard notation the 1.5D version of the inverse scattering seriesinternal multiple attenuation algorithm (Weglein et al., 1997, 2003) is

b3(kg,ω) =∫

−∞

dz′eikzz′b1(kg,z′)∫ z′−ε

−∞

dz′′e−ikzz′′b1(kg,z′′)

×∫

z′′+ε

dz′′′eikzz′′′b1(kg,z′′′),(1)

where the b1 are weighted versions of the input data expressed in thepseudo-depth domain. The weights maximize the match between pre-dicted and actual multiples. In this paper we will neglect these weightsand focus on the arrival time of predictions; input to the prediction pro-cedure will be minimally pre-processed data (specifically, data fromwaves which are downgoing at the source, upgoing at the receivers,and free of surface multiples). We consider predictions in a varietyof combinations of physical and Fourier domains. The 1D and 1.5Dmultiple predictions in the offset and/or time domains are denoted m(t)and m(xg, t) respectively, and after transformation the 1.5D predictionsare furthermore referred to as M(kg, t) and M(kg,ω) respectively.

If the Fourier transform of unweighted data s(xg, t) with respect toxg, namely S(kg, t) are used as input to the prediction rather than theweighted data b1, the standard form in equation (1) becomes

M(kg,ω) =∫

−∞

dt ′eiωt′S(kg, t ′)∫ t′−ε

−∞

dt ′′e−iωt′′S(kg, t ′′)

×∫

t′′+ε

dt ′′′eiωt′′′S(kg, t ′′′).(2)

Here we have substituted ωt for kzz, which is legitimate only if theordering of sub-events in (total) traveltime t is the same as orderingin vertical travel time (Nita and Weglein, 2009). 1D and 1.5D casesaccommodate this, but to extend the results of this paper to 2D and 3D,the coupled τ− p domain, in which the time coordinate has the correct(vertical) interpretation, should be used. This extension is examinedby Sun and Innanen (2016).

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Time and offset domain internal multiple prediction

The 1D form of equations (1)-(2) is obtained by setting kg = 0. Lettingthe plane wave trace at normal incidence be s(t), it can be shown thattime-domain form of the prediction is

m(t) =∫

−∞

dt ′s(t ′− t)∫

β (t)

α(t,t′)dt ′′s(t ′− t ′′)s(t ′′), (3)

where

α(t, t ′) = t ′− (t− ε)

β (t) = t− ε.(4)

The 1.5D prediction in equation (2) consists of repetitions of the 1Dcalculation, once for each contributing kg value. The wavenumber-time domain version of the algorithm is, likewise,

M(kg, t) =∫

−∞

dt ′S(kg, t ′− t)∫

β (t)

α(t,t′)dt ′′S(kg, t ′− t ′′)S(kg, t ′′). (5)

Finally, because the integrand in equation (5) contains S in a productwith itself three times, the offset domain form can be interpreted asinvolving two spatial convolutions:

m(xg, t) =∫

−∞

dx′∫

−∞

dt ′s(xg− x′, t ′− t)

×∫

−∞

dx′′∫

β (t)

α(t,t′)dt ′′s(x′− x′′, t ′− t ′′)s(x′′, t ′′).

(6)

The basic output of the (kg, t) version of the algorithm is illustratedin Figure 1. In Figure 1a a data set s(xg, t) consisting of an upgoingfield with two primaries and a series of internal multiples is illustrated;the transform |S(kg, t)| is illustrated in Figure 1b. The output of equa-tion (5), inverse Fourier transformed over kg, is illustrated in Figure1c. This example does not challenge the method particularly, but itis instructive to note that the spreading out of the two primary eventsalong the t axis in the (kg, t) domain means their effective proximity atkg 6= 0 is not the same as it is at kg = 0.

Figure 1: Prediction in the (kg, t) domain. (a) Input data s(xg, t); (b)transformed data |S(kg, t)|; (c) prediction.

THE PARAMETER ε AND NONSTATIONARITY

The only ad hoc quantity in the prediction formulas of the previoussection is the parameter ε in the integral limits α and β , which limitsthe proximity of sub-events combined to estimate multiples. This pa-rameter must be selected by the user of the algorithm with some care.Values of the parameter ε that are too large will lead to missed predic-tions, and values of ε that are too small will lead to the construction

of artifacts which are correlated with primaries, and are for this rea-son very undesirable. An optimum value of ε trades off between thesetwo negative extremes. We will refer to a prediction that involves arelatively low value of ε , running the risk of generating artifacts, as“aggressive”; a prediction involving a relatively high value of ε , run-ning the risk of missing a multiple, will be referred to as “cautious”.

The two primary events in Figure 1b spread out in t as kg increase.That is, their “size” along the vertical time or pseudo-depth coordi-nate axes, and their relative separation, are both nonstationary featuresof the input. Because the parameter ε is selected based on the prox-imity and extent in time/depth of the sub-events, it follows that theoptimum value of ε too should be expected to be nonstationary withrespect to kg (Innanen and Pan, 2015). In fact, sensible arguments canbe made in favour of ε being made a function of a range of outputvariables. Nonstationarity in ε with respect to output time, or out-put vertical time, appears to hold particular possible importance forthe precision of multiple predictions. Qualitatively, as we scan downthrough a trace containing primaries and multiples, we often recog-nize that at this time point on the trace a more aggressive prediction isoptimal, whereas at that that time on the same trace a more cautiousprediction is warranted.

The geological details of multiple generators and other bedding pro-vide one justification for time-nonstationarity in optimum ε . In Figure2 some primary and multiple ray paths from such a situation are il-lustrated. The primaries (ray paths in dashed lines) are combined topredict the multiples (solid lines), and ε is selected such that only re-solved events are so combined. When the primaries being combinedare nearby in vertical time, as they are for the short path multiples, aselective ε , varying rapidly from low to high, may be warranted; whenthe primaries are distant, a large ε with a low probability of generatingartifacts is likely sufficient.

source/ receiver plane

thin bed

multiple raypath

multiple raypath - proximal subevents

multiple raypath - remote subevents

subevent raypath subevent raypath

Figure 2: A near-surface generator imposes a pattern on the output ofthe multiple prediction operator. Multiples at earlier times in the out-put prediction are predicted by combining sub-events that are proximalto one another in time (on the left, the sub-event ray paths, drawn withblack and grey dashed lines, have similar lengths). Multiples at latertimes are predicted with sub-events that are distant from one another.

Assuming a real need for time-nonstationarity in ε is identified, theformulas in equations (3), (5) and (6), because they involve the con-struction of the output one t value at a time, admit ε values that mayvary on any desired schedule ε(t).

PARAMETER SELECTION CRITERIA

With a search parameter schedule ε(t), ε(kg, t) or ε(xg, t) decided on(depending on which of formulas (3), (5) or (6) respectively are beingused), the prediction proceeds straightforwardly. It remains to discuss

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Time and offset domain internal multiple prediction

criteria by which such schedules can be arrived at. We will avoid be-ing prescriptive here, as the main value of these algorithms is that theyafford the user the freedom to choose an ε(t) tuned to their particularproblem. However, we discuss two plausible sources of external ora prior information by which a user might find guidance. In this pa-per we will focus on zero and near-offset traces and purely temporalvariations, i.e., the 1D ε(t) case.

Data driven

The danger of a too-aggressive prediction (i.e., a relatively small ε)is that artifacts correlated with primaries will be inadvertently con-structed. If a multiple is predicted with an arrival time very close tothat of a primary, and a small ε value has been used, we are in theposition of having to decide if it is bona fide or an artifact. Especiallyon land, this ambiguity can be difficult to resolve.

00.1

0.20.3

0.40.5

0.60.7

0.80.9

1-0.1

-0.05 0

0.05

0.1Prediction, fixed ϵInput trace

Time t (s)

00.1

0.20.3

0.40.5

0.60.7

0.80.9

1

×10

-3

-5 0 5 10 15 20Prediction, fixed ϵExact M

ultiples

Figure 3: Right panel: input trace vs prediction, fixed ε value. Leftpanel: predicted vs exact multiples.

A simple scheme which permits relatively aggressive prediction to oc-cur as needed but which protects important primaries, involves lettingε(t) be proportional to the energy in the trace. Then, the predictionwill become relatively cautious at and about primaries, assuming themto be of larger amplitude than non-primaries. In Figure 3 a 1D syn-thetic example is examined, in which a shallow layer overlies a singlereflector at depth. In the right panel the input trace is plotted in black,and a prediction calculated with a fixed ε 6= ε(t) is plotted in blue.There are three clusters of events: the shallow cluster (between 0.1-0.2s) contains the primaries from the top and bottom of the shallowlayer and the train of short-path multiples generated within the layer.The intermediate cluster (near 0.5s) is led by the primary from thedeeper reflector, followed by a train of peg-leg multiples. The deepcluster (near 0.8s) are long-path multiples caused by reverberationsbetween the layer and the deep reflector. In the left panel the predictedmultiples are compared to the exact multiples.

The parameter has been chosen to highlight how variable a suitableε can be. The prediction of the long-path multiples (near 0.8s) doesnot have any significant problems; the peg-leg prediction (near 0.5s)exhibits some slight artificial energy at times just before the onset of

the multiple arrival; the short-path multiple prediction (between 0.1-0.2s) exhibits strong artifacts correlated with the layer primaries.

Upon encountering this result, the fixed ε value would normally at thispoint be adjusted upward, and a better fixed value would be sought totruncate the artifact construction without missing multiples. However,instead, we will address this issue with a data-driven ε(t). The traceenvelope, i.e., the magnitude of the complex seismic trace, is computedfrom the input trace, and smoothed, producing the weighting sE (t),and ε(t) is set to be

ε(t) = ε0 +λ sE (t), (7)

with ε0 being a constant corresponding with a maximally aggressiveprediction, slightly larger than the dominant period of the wavelet, andwith λ chosen such that ε(t) reaches a maximum value of about 3×ε0.In Figure 4 the result is plotted. In the right panel a scaled plot of ε(t)is superimposed, illustrating the relative aggressiveness versus cautionwe have enacted based on relative amplitudes in the data. In the leftpanel, a much cleaner and artifact free prediction is observed.

00.1

0.20.3

0.40.5

0.60.7

0.80.9

1-0.1

-0.05 0

0.05

0.1

0.15Prediction, fixed ϵInput traceScaled ϵ(t)

Time t (s)

00.1

0.20.3

0.40.5

0.60.7

0.80.9

1

×10

-3

-5 0 5 10 15 20Prediction, data driven ϵ(t)Exact M

ultiples

Figure 4: Right panel: input trace vs prediction, variable ε(t). Leftpanel: predicted vs exact multiples.

Geology/well-log driven

The previous example is illustrative of what can be done with a non-stationary ε , but it is not a compelling case for the necessity of one. Aphysical modelling lab data set designed to test internal multiple pre-diction (Hernandez and Innanen, 2014) turns out to be more suitable.A 1D prediction (i.e., equation 3) is tested on nearly zero offset tracesacquired over the model illustrated in Figure 5a. Because the mediumis well-characterized, we have access to prior information akin to ablocked well-log (Figure 5b). From the log a distribution of times ofexpected primaries and expected multiples can be created, which is asecond possible source of information for setting up a ε(t) schedule.

The input trace is illustrated in black in the right panel of Figure 7.The two panels in Figure 6 illustrate predictions carried out with twodifferent fixed values of ε , the left panel being relatively small (i.e., ag-gressive) and the right panel being relatively large (i.e., cautious). Two

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Time and offset domain internal multiple prediction

Plexiglas VP = 2745m/s, ⇢ = 1190kg/m3

Al VP = 6000m/s, ⇢ = 2700kg/m3

PVC VP = 2350m/s, ⇢ = 1300kg/m3

Plexiglas VP = 2745m/s, ⇢ = 1190kg/m3

Water VP = 1485m/s, ⇢ = 1000kg/m3

Water VP = 1485m/s, ⇢ = 1000kg/m3

145m

770m

250m

512m

670m

60m

2260m

(a) (b)

VP

z

Figure 5: Zero offset traces acquired over the centre of the model in (a)are subjected to internal multiple prediction. Access to log information(b) can guide ε(t) scheduling.

expected arrival times are indicated with circles in each trace, one, cor-responding to the arrival time of a primary reflection, at roughly 1.2sand the other, corresponding to an internal multiple, at roughly 1.8s.The multiple has been predicted correctly in the left panel, suggestingthat, at 1.8s, the aggressive ε value is suitable; however, artifacts canbe seen to encroach on the primary, and so this same ε value is toosmall to be suitable at 1.2s. We naturally respond to this by shiftingthe fixed ε value up, just enough to remove the artifact at 1.2s, as il-lustrated in the right panel. However, we find having done this that wehave lost the prediction at 1.8s. This is an example of multiple predic-tion where a single stationary ε value optimized for all output times isdifficult, or even impossible, to find.

Time t (s)

11.2

1.41.6

1.82

2.2-0.02 0

0.02

0.04Prediction large fixed ϵM

issed predictionN

o primary interference

Time t (s)

11.2

1.41.6

1.82

2.2-0.02 0

0.02

0.04Prediction sm

all fixed ϵC

orrect predictionPrim

ary interference

Figure 6: Predictions for physical modelling lab data, fixed ε values:left panel, small ε , right panel, large ε .

If well-log information (e.g., Figure 5b) is available, windows of ar-rival times at which significant multiples are expected can be esti-mated, and used to guide a coarse scheduling of ε(t). In the rightpanel of Figure 7, the input trace is plotted in black, and the relativevalues of a coarse-grained ε(t) is plotted above. The values of ε(t)vary between (i) a nominal value of roughly twice the period of the

wavelet, (ii) low values on the order of the wavelet width and (iii) highvalues of roughly 3× the period of the wavelet. Low values are en-forced in regions where the well-log information suggests multiplesmay be present. In the left panel of Figure 7, the prediction is plot-ted in detail, with the same two arrival times of 1.2s (primary) and1.8s (multiple) indicated; the scheduling has found a balance betweensufficient aggression to predict the multiple and sufficient caution tosuppress artifacts.

11.2

1.41.6

1.82

2.2

-1

-0.5 0

0.5 1

PredictionInput traceN

ormalized ϵ

Time t (s)

11.2

1.41.6

1.82

2.2

-0.02 0

0.02

0.04Prediction variable ϵC

orrect predictionN

o primary interference

Figure 7: Predictions for physical modelling data, ε(t) determine fromwell log data. Left panel, prediction with arrival times of one primaryand one multiple indicated. Right panel, input trace versus prediction.

CONCLUSIONSInternal multiple prediction encounters challenges in practice when thesub-events used in the prediction, and the multiples to be predicted, in-terfere with each other and overlap. In particular, optimal parametersfor the inverse scattering series internal multiple prediction algorithmare very difficult to determine in such situations, and indeed there isreason to suspect in many circumstances that no stationary value of ε

can draw a balance between correctly predicting short path and peg-leg multiples and suppressing prediction artifacts. Nonstationarity inε can be applied, but only in the output domain of the algorithm; topermit time-nonstationarity, which seems to have the greatest promisefor increasing the precision with which multiples are predicted, the al-gorithm must be re-formulated and implemented in this domain. Oncethis has been carried out, a wide range of data- and geology-driven (orany user specified) criteria for selecting schedules for ε(kg, t), ε(xg, t)and/or ε(t) can be analyzed. The key next steps are to (1) merge thiswith a coupled multidimensional τ− p implementation so that fully 2Dand/or 3D output can be constructed with ε a function of output ver-tical time; (2) merge this with an implementation of a full multicom-ponent prediction framework. These efforts are currently in progress.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe thank the sponsors of CREWES for continued support. This workwas funded by CREWES industrial sponsors and NSERC (NaturalScience and Engineering Research Council of Canada) through thegrant CRDPJ 461179-13.


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