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Manufacturing sector in Namibia Presenter: Mrs. Victoria Nambinga National Planning Commission- Namibia TIPS FORUM 2017 INDUSTRIALISATION AND SUSTAINABLE GROWTH
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Page 1: TIPS FORUM 2017forum.tips.org.za/images/forum papers/2017/58c2c3... · 2017-08-15 · ,QWUR·DQGREMHFWLYHV Three main industries: Primary, tertiary and secondary industry. Vision

Manufacturing sector in Namibia

Presenter: Mrs. Victoria Nambinga

National Planning Commission- Namibia

TIPS FORUM 2017

INDUSTRIALISATION AND SUSTAINABLE GROWTH

Page 2: TIPS FORUM 2017forum.tips.org.za/images/forum papers/2017/58c2c3... · 2017-08-15 · ,QWUR·DQGREMHFWLYHV Three main industries: Primary, tertiary and secondary industry. Vision

Outline

1. Introduction

2. Study Objectives

3. Background trend to Namibia

manufacturing sector

4. Conceptual framework

5. Critical factors hampering the

manufacturing sector in Namibia

6. The concept of value chain

analysis

7. Findings and recommendations

Page 3: TIPS FORUM 2017forum.tips.org.za/images/forum papers/2017/58c2c3... · 2017-08-15 · ,QWUR·DQGREMHFWLYHV Three main industries: Primary, tertiary and secondary industry. Vision

Intro’ and objectives

Three main industries:

Primary, tertiary and secondary industry.

Vision 2030

GDP 6%, manufacturing 7% p.a

manufacturing sector growth (averaging 3.4 % (1990 – 2015))

objectives:

Identify the factors that are hampering the manufacturing sector growth in Namibia.

Identify various value chains in the manufacturing sector.

which of the sectors in the manufacturing industry employ more people.

Page 4: TIPS FORUM 2017forum.tips.org.za/images/forum papers/2017/58c2c3... · 2017-08-15 · ,QWUR·DQGREMHFWLYHV Three main industries: Primary, tertiary and secondary industry. Vision

Background

-17.0

-12.0

-7.0

-2.0

3.0

8.0

13.0

18.0

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Manufacturing Linear (Manufacturing)

18%

-6.6%

-16.2%

Figure 1: Growth in the Manufacturing sector (%) (1990 to 2015)

Page 5: TIPS FORUM 2017forum.tips.org.za/images/forum papers/2017/58c2c3... · 2017-08-15 · ,QWUR·DQGREMHFWLYHV Three main industries: Primary, tertiary and secondary industry. Vision

Background

Figure 2: Manufacturing - % contribution to GDP (1990-2015)

57.0

59.0

61.0

63.0

65.0

67.0

69.0

71.0

73.0

-1.0

1.0

3.0

5.0

7.0

9.0

11.0

13.0

15.0

17.0

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Meat processing(LHS) Other food prod & bev(LHS) Diamond processing(LHS) Other manufacruring(LHS)

Manufacturing(LHS) Man' & service sector(RHS) Linear (Manufacturing(LHS))

Page 6: TIPS FORUM 2017forum.tips.org.za/images/forum papers/2017/58c2c3... · 2017-08-15 · ,QWUR·DQGREMHFWLYHV Three main industries: Primary, tertiary and secondary industry. Vision

Background

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Ta

use

nd

e

Manufacturing Meat processing Other food & Beverages Other manufacturing

Figure 3: Employment in the Manufacturing sector (2007 to 2014)

Page 7: TIPS FORUM 2017forum.tips.org.za/images/forum papers/2017/58c2c3... · 2017-08-15 · ,QWUR·DQGREMHFWLYHV Three main industries: Primary, tertiary and secondary industry. Vision

Background

Figure 4: Exports of manufactured products (1990 to 2015)

-15

-5

5

15

25

35

45

55

65

75

-2,000

3,000

8,000

13,000

18,000

23,000

28,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Mill

ion

s

Achsentitel

Manufactured products(LHS) Man products(% shares-RHS) Export Growth(RHS)

Page 8: TIPS FORUM 2017forum.tips.org.za/images/forum papers/2017/58c2c3... · 2017-08-15 · ,QWUR·DQGREMHFWLYHV Three main industries: Primary, tertiary and secondary industry. Vision

Background

Figure 5: Gross Fixed Capital Formation in the manufacturing sector (1990 to 2015)

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

%

N$

Mill

ion

GFCF-Man(LHS) Man GFCF( % growth-RHS) Man/T_GFCF(RHS)

Page 9: TIPS FORUM 2017forum.tips.org.za/images/forum papers/2017/58c2c3... · 2017-08-15 · ,QWUR·DQGREMHFWLYHV Three main industries: Primary, tertiary and secondary industry. Vision

Literature review

Kaplan (2007) ,Kadhikwa & Ndilikokule (2007) and NMA) (2007

Industrial development in Namibia

SADC industrial strategy and roadmap -2015

1992 White Paper on industrial development

Foreign Investment Act of 1993

Vision 2030 of 2004

Industrial Policy 2012

Manufacturing incentives

Registered Manufacturers Scheme

Exporters Incentive regime

Export Processing Zones (EPZ) regime

Page 10: TIPS FORUM 2017forum.tips.org.za/images/forum papers/2017/58c2c3... · 2017-08-15 · ,QWUR·DQGREMHFWLYHV Three main industries: Primary, tertiary and secondary industry. Vision

Literature review Critical factors hampering the manufacturing sector in Namibia

Access to finance

Access to land

Investment incentives

Manufacturing status

Cost of Utilities

Investment & Competition

Corruption

Skills shortage

Procurement of locally produced products

unfair trade practices

Page 11: TIPS FORUM 2017forum.tips.org.za/images/forum papers/2017/58c2c3... · 2017-08-15 · ,QWUR·DQGREMHFWLYHV Three main industries: Primary, tertiary and secondary industry. Vision

Value chain

Value chain exist in the following sectors:

Mining sector- Diamond cutting & processing

Agriculture -Process hides and skins

Fishing- Canned fish and Seals products

Page 12: TIPS FORUM 2017forum.tips.org.za/images/forum papers/2017/58c2c3... · 2017-08-15 · ,QWUR·DQGREMHFWLYHV Three main industries: Primary, tertiary and secondary industry. Vision

Findings and recommendations

Downward performance

Below vision 2030 target and NDP4 targets

Decline in exports of manufacturing products

Factors affecting the manufacturing sector in Namibia

Value chain do exist in Namibia

The following is recommended:

MITSMED and MoF – align the definition for manufacturer

Effective VAT refund system

Fast track the Implementation of the procurement bill, draft investment incentive regime and

retail charter

Improve skills

Need for diversification in the sector

Page 13: TIPS FORUM 2017forum.tips.org.za/images/forum papers/2017/58c2c3... · 2017-08-15 · ,QWUR·DQGREMHFWLYHV Three main industries: Primary, tertiary and secondary industry. Vision

Thank you!


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