To Deter and Assure

Air Force Global Strike Command

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Air Force Global Strike Command

Lt Gen James M. Kowalski

Commander 7 May 2013

This Briefing Is UNCLASSIFIED

Obtained by Hans M. KristensenFederation of American ScientistsAvailable at http://blogs.fas.org/security

To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

China’s GDP #2 -- Surpasses Japan

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National Security Focus

Fall of Berlin Wall

9/11

NK Nuc Test

ICBMs / Bombers Warheads Cold War Ends

ICBMs

Bombers

Total Deployed Warheads

420

60

~1700

450

96

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018

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UNCLASSIFIED

~1700 1550

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Total Deployed Warheads

3

National Security Focus

China’s GDP #2 -- Surpasses Japan

IR 1st Sat

Launch

.

India Nuclear Test (x2) x22)x22)

.

Pakistan Nuclear Test (x2)

t

.

NK 1st Nuclear

Test st

.

NK 2nd Nuclear

Test

.

NK 3rd Nuclear

TestIR 2nd Sat

Launch

IR 3rd Sat

Launch

NK 1st Sat

Launch

ISS

La

IRS

Lau

ISuLau

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UNCLASSIFIED

“Make no mistake: as long as these weapons exist, the United States will maintain a safe, secure and effective arsenal to deter any adversary, and guarantee that defense to our allies.”

President Barack Obama

Prague, 5 April 2009

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Nuclear Mission

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ese

ama2009

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UNCLASSIFIED

Weapons Modernization MISSILE CRUISE MISSILE SUBMARINE WARHEAD

US

UK

5

Fielded in last 5 years Will field in next 5 years

FR

M51 SLBM

ASMP-A ALCM

Triomphant SSBN

RU

SS-27

ICBM Bulava

SLBM Kalibr

SLCM KH-102

ALCM Borei

SSBN Yasen

SSGN

CH CJ-20 ALCM

DF-31A ICBM

DF-41 ICBM

Jin SSBN

JL-2 SSBN

PK HATF-6 MRBM

HATF-9 ICBM

HATF-7 GLCM

HATF-8 ALCM

IN AGNI V ICBM

Arihant SSBN

Sagurika SLBM

NK KN-09 CDCM

MusudanIRBM

TD-2 SLV/ICBM

KN08 ICBM

US Air Force Global Strike CommandCommand Briefing (May 7, 2013)Obtained by Hans M. KristensenFederation of American ScientistsAvailable at http://blogs.fas.org/security

Note: The Chart Includes Only Systems That Are Considered Nuclear-Capable (Note added by FAS)

To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

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Nuclear Mission USSTRATCOM Perspective

“Deterrence planning and forces must fit today's unique global security environment…where several nuclear-armed states are

modernizing both their arsenals and their delivery systems” - General Kehler, USSTRATCOM, 30 May 2012

DF-31 ICBM JIN-class Submarine H-6 Bomber

Tu-95 Bear Bomber Admiral Dolgorukiy SS-27 ICBM

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UNCLASSIFIED

Nuclear deterrence provides strategic stability with Russia and China

Framework for mil-to-mil and diplomatic engagement Improves transparency and mutual confidence

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Strategic Stability

Arms Control Agreements

To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

U.S. nuclear forces are part of a regional deterrence architecture Continued provision of extended deterrence to assure allies and partners of our commitment A nuclear dimension is required as long as nuclear threats to allies and partners remain Demonstrate to adversaries that pursuit of nuclear weapons is counter to their goal of achieving military/political advantage Nuclear umbrella provided by the Triad, tactical nuclear weapons and the ability to forward deploy nuclear weapons

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Regional Deterrence

U.S. Nuclear and Conventional Forces Underpin Regional Security

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UNCLASSIFIED

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30 Allies Protected Under U.S. Nuclear Umbrella

Nuclear assurance supports goal of non-proliferation Credible nuclear deterrent and reinforced regional security architectures essential to assuring non-nuclear allies Assurance supports non-proliferation goals as allies and partners not compelled to seek nuclear weapons Resolve demonstrated through forward deployment of U.S. forces and provision of extended deterrence

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Assure Allies

To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

AFGSC Mission Statement

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Develop and provide combat-ready forces for nuclear deterrence and global strike operations…

-- Safe -- Secure -- Effective

to support the President of the United States and Combatant Commanders.

To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

American Airmen with special trust and responsibility for the most powerful weapons in our Nation’s arsenal

… an elite, highly-disciplined team … a model command.

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Our Vision

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UNCLASSIFIED

AFGSC Organizations

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Barksdale AFB, LA HQ AFGSC HQ 8th AF 608 AOC

2 BW (B-52) 307 BW (AFR)

Whiteman AFB, MO 509 BW (B-2)

131 BW (ANG)

Minot AFB, ND 5 BW (B-52)

91 MW (ICBM) 219 SFS (ANG)

Malmstrom AFB, MT 341 MW (ICBM)

FE Warren AFB, WY HQ 20th AF

90 MW (ICBM) Missile Engineering Org

Offutt AFB, NE 625 STOS

Vandenberg AFB, CA 576 FLTS

JB Langley-Eustis ABS, VA AFGSC Det 1

Otis ANG Base, MA

102 AOG (ANG)

O

Mi t

Whitema

Active Duty 20,249 Civilian 2,569 ANG/AFRC 2,353 TOTAL 25,171 Data provided by AFGSC/A1 and is current as of 24 Apr 13

Hill AFB, UT OL - J

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UNCLASSIFIED

AFGSC Partners

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Barksdale AFB, LA HQ AFGSC HQ 8th AF 608 AOC

2 BW (B-52) 307 BW (AFR)

Whiteman AFB, MO 509 BW (B-2)

131 BW (ANG)

Minot AFB, ND 5 BW (B-52)

91 MW (ICBM) 219 SFS (ANG)

Malmstrom AFB, MT 341 MW (ICBM)

FE Warren AFB, WY HQ 20th AF

90 MW (ICBM) Missile Engineering Org

Vandenberg AFB, CA 576 FLTS

Otis ANG Base, MA 102 AOG (ANG)

O

Offutt AFB, NE 625 STOS

USSTRATCOM

Albuquerque, NM AF Nuclear Weapon Center

Sandia National Labs Los Alamos National Labs

Fort Belvoir, VA Defense Threat

Reduction Agency

Hill AFB, UT Ogden Air

Logistics Complex OL - J

Washington, DC Dept of Energy/NNSA

Dept of Navy

Livermore, CA Lawrence Livermore

National Labs JB Langley-Eustis ABS, VA

AFGSC Det 1

Mi t

Whitema

Tinker AFB, OK OKC Air Logistics

Complex

Palmdale, CA B-2 Depot

Wright-Patterson, OH B-2 & B-52 SPO

Cherry Point, NC Naval Air Depot

To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED Today’s Fight

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Data provided by AFGSC/A3. Current as of 6 May 13

USSTRATCOM ICBM Daily Operations 1126

Regional Command USNORTHCOM 13 USSOUTHCOM 6 USAFRICOM 8 USEUCOM 15 USCENTCOM 653 USPACOM 291 Total Deployed 986

To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

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Command Relationships

USSTRATCOM

AFGSC

20 AF/TF214 8 AF/TF204/JFACC

ICBM Wings B-2 Wings B-52 Wings

Alert ICBM Forces

Alert B-2 Forces Alert B-52 Forces

SECAF CSAF

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UNCLASSIFIED

Eighth Air Force

Carries widest variety of weapons

Recently fielded Miniature Air Launch Decoy (MALD)

B-52H Stratofortress

B-2 Spirit

12,787 Airmen and Civilians

Long range nuclear and conventional strike

3,200 sorties per year

Airframe viable beyond 2040

76 aircraft in USAF inventory

Only long range penetrating bomber

Recently fielded Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP)

Combat capable until approximately 2058

20 aircraft in USAF inventory

2d Bomb Wing Barksdale AFB

5th Bomb Wing Minot AFB

509th Bomb Wing Whiteman AFB

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To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

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Long Range Strike

B-52s combat mission radius with single refueling

~8,000 NM MM-III ICBM 6,900 NM

B-52s combat mission radius unrefueled

~4,000 NM

To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

Long Range Strike Recent Operations

B-1s, B-2s, and B-52s are proven workhorses

Contributed in every major operation since end of the Cold War

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To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

B-2 Strike 4 x B-2 (3 x Strike, 1 x Airspare) 32.5 hour mission round trip 45 aircraft shelters destroyed Over 20 aircraft destroyed on ground

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Operation ODYSSEY DAWN

B-1 Strike First-ever CONUS based B-1 strike 21 hour mission-landed at fwd location Reloaded for return mission strike Destroyed key military facilities

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Long-range bomber crews flew .3% of the combat sorties and struck 17% of the targets

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UNCLASSIFIED

Twentieth Air Force

9,265 Airmen and Civilians

ICBM mission

Missile complexes combined equal the size of

South Carolina

450 remotely monitored ICBMs

Responsive, secure command, control, and communication

Historic 99+% alert rate

Lowest cost leg of the triad

Nuclear security mission

24/7/365 alert with tactical response force onboard

25 aircraft in AFGSC inventory

UH-1N Huey

Minuteman III

90th Missile Wing F. E. Warren AFB

91st Missile Wing Minot AFB

341st Missile Wing Malmstrom AFB

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To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

B-2 Extremely High Frequency SATCOM LO Signature & Supportability Mods

Defensive Management System (DMS) Common VLF Receiver (CVR)

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Sustainment B-52

MM-III ICBM

Upgraded internal carriage Combat Network Comm (CONECT)

Advanced Extremely High Frequency Next generation weapons

Security enhancement

NPR & New START

ICBM fuze refurbishment

Support equipment

NC3 POTUS communication to nuclear forces

AFGSC is AF’s NC3 Architect NC3 Team integrates ops & sustainment

Systems face obsolescence

To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

Pursuing a Modern Force: No Safe Haven

To Deter and AssureNCLASSIFIED

The Future is Now 22

Follow-on to MMIII – 2030 Completed CBA and ICD

FY12 $3.1M for pre-AoA activities FY13 $11.7M and $9.4M in FY14

Ground Based Strategic Deterrent

Long Range Strategic Bomber Nuc-capable, long range penetrator Effects against multiple objectives

Necessary to defeat A2/AD FY13 - $300M | FY13 to FY17 - $6.3B

Long Range Stand-Off Missile ALCM follow-on

Analysis of Alternatives (AoA) - FY12 4Q AFROC/JROC - FY13 | Milestone A - FY14

Contract award - FY15

To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

DoD Strategic Forces Funding

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To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

0.000%

0.200%

0.400%

0.600%

0.800%

1.000%

1.200%

1.400%

DOE WEAPONSACTIVITIES

MM III REPLACE

TRIDENT DS

NEW CRUISE MISSILE

SSBN

O&M

INVESTMENT

NEW BOMBER

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DoD and DOE Strategic Force Dollars as % of GDP

AFGSC product, derived from OSD-CAPE and DOE funding data

Development of: •B-1 •B-2 •MX (Peacekeeper) •Trident II / SSBN •ALCM

To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

0.000%

0.200%

0.400%

0.600%

0.800%

1.000%

1.200%

1.400%

DOE WEAPONSACTIVITIES

MM III REPLACE

TRIDENT DS

NEW CRUISE MISSILE

SSBN

O&M

INVESTMENT

NEW BOMBER

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DoD and DOE Strategic Force Dollars as % of GDP with OCO

AFGSC product, derived from OSD-CAPE and DOE funding data

Development of: •B-1 •B-2 •MX (Peacekeeper) •Trident II / SSBN •ALCM

Cost of Iraq/Afghan Wars FY01-FY11

To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

Army 25%

Navy 30%

Defense Other 18%

AFGSC

Operating Budget

<1%

Air Force 27%

FY12 DoD Budget

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In FY12 the U.S. Post Office Lost $15.9 Billion

$4.7 B

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To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

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Challenges

Restore and sustain a culture that embraces the special trust and responsibility of nuclear weapons…

While maintaining our hard-earned conventional excellence

Sustain and enhance the current force while modernizing for the future

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To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

Questions?

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To Deter and Assure UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

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