TOTAL SPENDING IN FY 2012 = $3.54 TRILLION
OTHER MANDATORY $547
NON-DEFENSE (DISCRETIONARY)
$615
DEFENSE
(DISCRETIONARY) $670
SOCIAL SECURITY $768
MEDICARE $466
MEDICAID $251
INTEREST $223
DISCRETIONARY SPENDING
AUTOPILOT SPENDING
CRUSHING BURDEN OF DEBT (U.S. DEBT HELD BY THE PUBLIC AS A SHARE OF THE ECONOMY)
%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
600%
700%
800%
900%
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 SOURCE: OMB/CBO
WORLD WAR II
CURRENT PATH
2012
WHO OWNS OUR DEBT? (DEBT HELD BY THE PUBLIC 1970 -2011)
Year Revenue Year Revenue
1994 18.0 2002 17.6
1995 18.4 2003 16.2
1996 18.8 2004 16.1
1997 19.2 2005 17.3
1998 19.9 2006 18.2
1999 19.8 2007 18.5
2000 20.6 2008 17.6
2001 19.5 2009 15.1
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
1947 1957 1967 1977 1987 1997 2007 2017 2027 2037 2047 2057 2067 2077
SPENDING TAX REVENUE
SOURCE: OMB/CBO
WE ARE IN A SPENDING-DRIVEN DEBT CRISIS (AS A SHARE OF THE ECONOMY)
THE PAC-MAN EFFECT AUTOPILOT SPENDING DRIVES OUR DEBT
1970
AUTO- PILOT
SPENDING 42%
ALL OTHER
SPENDING 58%
2010
AUTOPILOT SPENDING
62%
ALL OTHER
SPENDING 38%
2040
AUTOPILOT SPENDING
76%
ALL OTHER
SPENDING 24%
WHAT DRIVES OUR DEBT? (GOVERNMENT SPENDING AS A SHARE OF THE ECONOMY)
SOCIAL SECURITY
MEDICAID & OTHER HEALTH
MEDICARE
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
REVENUE
SOURCE: CBO
Medicare As We Know It – Oncoming Demographic Wave
Senator Lieberman on Medicare
“The truth is that we cannot save Medicare as we know it. We can save Medicare only if we change it.”
(6/6/2011)
President Obama on Medicare
“If you look at the numbers, Medicare in particular will run out of money, and we will not be able to sustain that program no matter how much taxes go up. I mean, it's not an option for us to just sit by and do nothing.”
(7/11/2011)
TAXPAYERS SUPPORTING EACH SOCIAL SECURITY RECIPIENT
1950
1960
2000
2009
2040
16.5
8.6
3.4
3.0
2.1
Source: Social Security Administration, The 2010 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees; Centers for Disease Control, U.S. Life Tables
RECIPIENT WORKERS
LIFE EXPECTANCY
1950 68
1960 70
2000 76
2009 78