Trade Gravity

7/23/2019 Trade Gravity

1/27

Gravity Model of Trade (India-Germany)

Year Indian export Indian imports Trade Volume

1960 185 834 1,019

1965 244 1,049 1,293

1970 261 571 832

1975 483 863 1,346

1980 1,135 1,372 2,507

1985 1,472 3,377 4,849

1990 2,510 2,732 5,242

1995 3,602 4,574 8,176

2000* 2,464 2,064 4,548

2005* 3,396 4,202 7,598

2010* 6,193 9,254 15,447

2011* 7,505 10,871 18,376

Population Real GDP (in Billio

Year Indian German Year Indian

1960 449595500 72814900 1969 196.71

1961 458626700 73377632 1970 206.85

1962 467962100 74025784 1971 210.25

1963 477616000 74714353 1972 209.09

196 487607400 75318337 1973 215.98

1965 497952300 75963695 197 218.541966 508656300 76600311 1975 238.53

1967 519722200 76951336 1976 242.50

1968 531161000 77294314 1977 260.09

1969 542983900 77909682 1978 274.95

1970 555199700 78169289 1979 260.55

1971 567805100 78312842 1980 278.10

1972 580798800 78688452 1981 294.80

1973 594193000 78936666 1982 305.05

197 608002600 78967433 1983 327.28

1975 622232400 78673554 198 339.791976 636883700 78336950 1985 357.64

1977 651935200 78159814 1986 374.72

1978 667339000 78091820 1987 389.58

1979 683032500 78126350 1988 427.09

1980 698965600 78288576 1989 452.49

1981 715105200 78407907 1990 477.53

1982 731443800 78333366 1991 482.58

1983 747986300 78128282 1992 509.03

!e"elopment o# Indo$German Trade %in &illion !& '%*in million (uro'


2/27

198 764749400 77858685 1993 533.22

1985 781736500 77684873 199 568.72

1986 798941800 77720436 1995 611.80

1987 816328800 77839920 1996 657.99

1988 833833500 78144619 1997 684.64

1989 851374700 78751283 1998 726.98

1990 868890700 79433029 1999 791.291991 886348700 80013896 2000 821.68

1992 903749600 80624598 2001 861.32

1993 921107500 81156363 2002 894.08

199 938452500 81438348 2003 964.36

1995 955804400 81678051 200 1040.77

1996 973147600 81914831 2005 1137.40

1997 990460200 82034771 2006 1242.77

1998 1007747000 82047195 2007 1364.57

1999 1025015000 82100243 2008 1417.67

2000 1042262000 82211508 2009 1537.882001 1059501000 82349925 2010 1695.67

2002 1076706000 82488495 2011 1808.24

2003 1093787000 82534176 2012 1893.88

200 1110626000 82516260 2013 1988.89

2005 1127144000 82469422 201 2096.81

2006 1143289000 82376451

2007 1159095000 82266372

2008 1174662000 82110097 !istan)e

2009 1190138000 81902307 rom To

2010 1205625000 81776930 Mumbai Hamburg2011 1221156000 81797673 Delhi Berlin

2012 1236687000 80425823 Mumbai Munich

2013 1252140000 80651873 Delhi Munich

+al)ulations

+ase 1 ,i-e re#ers to G!P

Here, due to data availability issues, G has been calculated for every 5 years from 1970-2010 an

Year Trade Volume Indian G!P German G!P

Tradeig ! " #i$e

i" #i$e

g% Di&'ance

ig

Here Size of ndia or Germany can refer to their G!" or "o#ulation and distance can be "ort to #

to $a#ital etc%

(e. ! )Tradeig

" Di&'anceig*

% )#i$e

i" #i$e

g*

G %&u$.' G !$/


3/27

1960 1019 n%a n%a n%a n%a

1965 1293 n%a n%a n%a n%a

1970 832 206.85 1481.61 17.75989 15.70482

1975 1346 238.53 1670.14 22.10312 19.54548

1980 2507 278.10 1970.79 29.92438 26.46172

1985 4849 357.64 2108.99 42.0572 37.1906

1990 5242 477.53 2480.82 28.94741 25.59781995 8176 611.80 2741.01 31.89551 28.20475

2000* 4548 821.68 3005.76 12.04688 10.65289

2005* 7598 1137.40 3096.49 14.11328 12.48018

2010* 15447 1695.67 3307.05 18.02075 15.9355

2011* 18376 1808.24 3417.28 19.45475 17.20357

2012 n%a 1893.88 3440.82 n%a n%a

2013 n%a 1988.89 3455.68 n%a n%a

201 n%a 2096.81 3510.97 n%a n%a

+ase 2 ,i-e re#ers to Population

Here, due to data availability issues, G has been calculated for every 5 years from 1970-2010 an

&lso, as #o#ulation values are hu'e, G has been multi#liued by 1 crore

Year Trade VolumeIndian Population

1960 1019 449595500 72814900 0.204 0.180

1965 1293 497952300 75963695 0.224 0.198

1970 832 555199700

78169289 0.125 0.1111975 1346 622232400 78673554 0.180 0.159

1980 2507 698965600 78288576 0.300 0.265

1985 4849 781736500 77684873 0.522 0.462

1990 5242 868890700 79433029 0.497 0.439

1995 8176 955804400 81678051 0.685 0.606

2000* 4548 1042262000 82211508 0.347 0.307

2005* 7598 1127144000 82469422 0.535 0.473

2010* 15447 1205625000 81776930 1.025 0.906

2011* 18376 1221156000 81797673 1.204 1.064

GermanPopulation G %&u$.' G !$/


4/27

n USD)

German

1387.85

1481.61

1528.03

1593.74

1669.88

1684.741670.14

1752.80

1811.47

1865.96

1943.41

1970.79

1981.22

1973.40

2004.43

2061.012108.99

2157.23

2187.48

2268.57

2356.97

2480.82

2607.55

2657.41


5/27

2630.78

2695.80

2741.01

2762.69

2810.68

2863.01

2916.583005.76

3051.28

3051.59

3040.13

3075.43

3096.49

3211.06

3316.03

3351.95

3179.473307.05

3417.28

3440.82

3455.68

3510.97

&

65425785

6336

7802

d 2011

rt, $a#ital

G &u$&e G !$&e


6/27

n%a n%a

n%a n%a

17.20065 21.18047265

21.407118 26.36021703

28.9821 35.68787024

40.732866 50.15748471

28.035893 34.5227326530.891153 38.03863206

11.667534 14.36712469

13.668874 16.83152684

17.453297 21.49157568

18.842145 23.20176966

n%a n%a

n%a n%a

n%a n%a

d 2011

0.197 0.243

0.217 0.267

0.121 0.1500.174 0.215

0.290 0.357

0.506 0.623

0.481 0.593

0.664 0.817

0.336 0.414

0.518 0.638

0.993 1.222

1.166 1.435

G &u$&e G !$&e

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000" 2005" 201

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0.000

0.200

0.400

0.600

0.800

1.000

1.200

1.400

1.600


7/27

1969 1970 1971 1972


8/27


9/27

0" 2011"

! )Mu+H*

! D+B

! Mu+Me

! D+Me

! )Mu+H*

! D+B

! Mu+Me

! D+Me


10/27

1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980


11/27


12/27


13/27

1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988


14/27


15/27


16/27

1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996


17/27


18/27


19/27

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004


20/27


21/27


22/27

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012


23/27


24/27


25/27

2013 2014


26/27


27/27

Date post:	11-Feb-2018
Category:	Documents
Upload:	kanishq-baweja
View:	219 times
Download:	0 times

Trade Gravity

Documents