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Estimating GHG Emissions within FAOSTAT: A tool for Reporting and Capacity Building Funded by: NAMA Workshop, July 17 th 2012, FAO Rome
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Estimating GHG Emissions within FAOSTAT:
A tool for Reporting and Capacity Building
Funded by:
NAMA Workshop, July 17th 2012, FAO Rome
Monitoring and Assessment of GHG Emissions and Mitigation Potentials in
Agriculture
Project Goals: • Generate knowledge to help developing countries identify, assess and report their GHG emissions in agriculture, forestry and fisheries
• Help countries identify mitigation options consistent with their rural development goals, food security, agro-ecosystems resilience, including NAMAs
• Close collaboration with IPCC and UNFCCC in support of
reporting and negotiations
Main Project Activities:
• Development of FAOSTAT GHG emission database, to support countries UNFCCC reporting goals
• Build capacity of member states to report GHG data; web portal to access data and methodologies
• Contribution to IPCC AR5; Independent Technical Assessment
• Evidence base for UNFCCC international negotiations
MA
GHG
Funded by:
Key Science and Policy Issues:
FAOSTAT GHG: Building a Platform in support of National Accounting and Data sharing • Unlike for energy, no international agency regularly reports for
GHG agriculture
• Coverage of non-Annex I extremely poor in UNFCCC • Supporting developing country reporting within the UN system:
challenges and opportunities for FAO and FAOSTAT
METHODOLOGY AND WORKPLAN
Methods: GHG = ActivityData*EF
1. Use FAOSTAT country-level activity data for agriculture and
forestry sector, including LUC
2. Use IPCC guidelines Tier 1 EFs
a. Compile Global Dataset
b. Compare existing global coverage national-level databases for
all emission categories (enteric, soils, manure, rice, etc.):
UNFCCC
EPA
EDGAR
FAOSTAT MAGHG
RESULTS: FAOSTAT GHG DATABASE COVERS > 75%
GLOBAL EMISSIONS
FAO and FAOSTAT online internal
database
0
500000000
1E+09
1.5E+09
2E+09
2.5E+09
3E+09
3.5E+09
4E+09
4.5E+09
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
GH
G E
mis
sio
ns
(tC
O2
eq
)
FAOSTAT GHG Emissions AG TOTAL AG Enteric
OrgFert
SynFert
RICE
CropRes
RESULTS: DATASET COMPARISONS
M&A
GHG
RESULTS: DATASET COMPARISONS
M&A
GHG
World Top 10 non-Annex I Emitters; Enteric Fermentation FAOSTAT MAGHG
India Brazil China Pakistan Argentina Sudan Mexico
Ethiopia
(PDR 1990-1993) Colombia
1990 176,799 57,376 38,803 25,946
1991 182,091
1992 184,842 37,947
1993 185,514
1994 188,412 188,895 213,822 43,953 60,231 37,255 28,077 28,753
1995 192,675 34,272
1996 188,580 35,752
1997 191,793 56,552
1998 193,662 36,548
1999 195,237
2000 201,579 57,526 36,321 30,929
2001 209,286
2002 216,237 37,367
2003 227,472
2004 237,762 33,259
2005 241,227
2006 37,181
2007
2008
2009
2010 176,799 57,376 38,803 25,946
India Brazil China Pakistan Argentina Sudan Mexico
Ethiopia
(PDR 1990-1993) Colombia
1990 246,450 188,093 141,675 41,106 67,689 21,742 44,041 28,071 31,523
1991 249,275 194,457 143,960 41,928 66,986 22,782 43,359 28,229 31,552
1992 253,058 197,107 145,539 42,770 67,470 25,916 41,902 28,987 32,091
1993 254,170 197,699 149,119 43,637 66,362 28,651 42,500 23,944 32,791
1994 255,644 201,563 155,786 44,530 66,852 30,949 42,476 24,232 33,257
1995 256,993 205,399 168,819 45,448 66,046 31,949 41,866 24,160 33,270
1996 258,404 198,450 171,884 47,596 63,773 33,110 40,736 25,261 34,045
1997 258,921 202,406 155,716 48,710 62,792 34,494 42,423 26,306 33,560
1998 259,181 204,584 168,031 49,865 60,497 35,907 42,740 28,533 33,695
1999 259,415 206,482 172,516 51,196 61,782 37,527 41,774 28,148 32,103
2000 259,328 213,002 176,259 52,314 61,310 39,132 42,213 26,460 32,255
2001 260,434 220,798 172,511 53,612 61,500 40,653 42,397 28,431 32,484
2002 261,129 231,523 166,840 54,960 65,067 41,128 43,336 32,675 32,828
2003 262,269 243,718 165,427 56,414 69,603 43,059 43,453 31,742 32,933
2004 267,000 254,599 165,799 57,804 70,851 43,627 43,230 32,235 33,116
2005 272,048 258,066 165,890 59,324 71,220 44,698 42,887 33,854 34,087
2006 276,763 256,721 163,496 64,387 72,879 45,526 43,122 36,330 34,099
2007 282,726 249,409 156,475 66,385 73,368 45,807 43,443 40,194 34,404
2008 287,997 252,600 157,501 68,470 72,060 45,847 43,922 42,008 34,535
2009 292,914 256,324 157,724 70,624 68,426 46,168 44,649 42,871 35,562
2010 300,981 261,675 159,814 72,931 61,953 46,557 45,070 43,052 35,846
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000
FAOSTAT GHG vs Annex I Reporting:
Enteric Fermentation
UNFCCC
FA
OS
TA
T
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Gg
CO
2 e
q
Annex I CH4 emissions
FAOSTAT
UNFCCC
EDGAR
EPA
GLOBAL DATASETS (Annex I): Rice
ANALYSES WITH FAOSTAT GHG DATA
M&A
GHG
y = 4E+07x - 7E+10 R² = 0.9835
0
500000000
1E+09
1.5E+09
2E+09
2.5E+09
3E+09
3.5E+09
4E+09
4.5E+09
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
GH
G E
mis
sio
ns
(tC
O2
eq
) FAOSTAT GHG Emissions AG
TOTAL AG
Enteric
OrgFert
SynFert
RICE
CropRes
y = 4E+07x - 7E+10 R² = 0.9835
0
500000000
1E+09
1.5E+09
2E+09
2.5E+09
3E+09
3.5E+09
4E+09
4.5E+09
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
GH
G E
mis
sio
ns
(tC
O2
eq
) FAOSTAT GHG Emissions AG
TOTAL AG
Enteric
OrgFert
SynFert
RICE
CropRes
y = 2E+07x - 4E+10 R² = 0.9792
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
0
500,000,000
1,000,000,000
1,500,000,000
2,000,000,000
2,500,000,000
3,000,000,000
3,500,000,000
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
kg
GH
G E
mis
sio
ns/
kg m
eat
pro
du
ced
GH
G E
mis
sio
ns
(tC
O2
eq
) &
TO
TAL
PR
IMA
RY
Me
at P
Ro
du
ctio
n (
tDM
eq
& t
me
at)
CARBON Intensity of MEAT Production
TOTAL GHG_LIVESTOCK
Meat Production
Unit Livestock GHG Emissions/Meat
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
5.50
6.00
1,500,000,000.00
1,700,000,000.00
1,900,000,000.00
2,100,000,000.00
2,300,000,000.00
2,500,000,000.00
2,700,000,000.00
2,900,000,000.00
3,100,000,000.00
1,800 2,000 2,200 2,400 2,600 2,800 3,000
kg
GH
G E
mis
sio
ns/
kg F
PC
milk
pro
du
ced
LIve
sto
ck G
HG
Em
issi
on
s (t
CO
2e
q)
Milk Productivity (kg FPC milk/cow/year)
C-Intensity vs Productivity of MILK vs GHG Emissions
TOTAL GHG_LIVESTOCK
Unit Livestock GHG Emissions/Milk
Next Steps: Planned Activities 2012-2013 GHG Database Work
Peer-Review: External Expert Group, co-ownership Publications (5 papers in preparation) IPCC WGIII Adoption
Launch of the FAOSTAT GHG database: October 2012 APCAS; COP MOP Doha December 2012
Next Steps: Planned Activities 2012-2013 MAGHG Outreach
i) Regional Stakeholder Meetings for capacity building of relevant reporting agencies; first planned: APCAS Regional Workshop Vietnam, October 2012
ii) FAOSTAT Capacity Building; Pilot non-Annex I countries use FAOSTAT to comply with UNFCCC reporting, explore use for NAMAs
iii) IPCC WGIII Mitigation Chapter 11 AFOLU, higher order drafts and data analysis
iv) FAO Technical Assessment on mitigation potentials in line with rural development and food security objectives
Thank You!
0
5,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
0
1,000,000,000
2,000,000,000
3,000,000,000
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
GH
G E
mis
sio
ns
(tC
O2
eq
)
GH
G E
mis
sio
ns
(tC
) FAOSTAT GHG Emissions LULUCF
TOTAL LULUCF
0
1,000,000,000
2,000,000,000
3,000,000,000
4,000,000,000
5,000,000,000
6,000,000,000
7,000,000,000
8,000,000,000
9,000,000,000
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
GH
G E
mis
sio
ns
(tC
O2
eq
) GHG Emissions AG + LULUCF
TOTAL GHG+LULUCF
TOTAL GHG
TOTAL LULUCF
Enteric
OrgFert
SynFert
RICE
CropRes
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
0
1E+09
2E+09
3E+09
4E+09
5E+09
6E+09
7E+09
8E+09
9E+09
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Un
it G
HG
Em
issi
on
s/u
nit
fo
od
su
pp
lied
GH
G E
mis
sio
ns
(tC
O2
eq
) &
TO
TAL
PR
IMA
RY
FO
OD
SU
PP
LY (
tDM
eq
) Carbon Intensity of CROP Production, with and w/o LULUCF
TOTAL GHG+LULUCF
CROP Production
Unit GHG Emissions/TOTAL CROP
Unit AG+LULUCF GHG Emissions/TOTAL CROP
Conclusions: Achievements 2012:
• Development of FAOSTAT GHG emission database, to support countries UNFCCC reporting goals; portal to access GHG data and methodologies
• Build capacity of member states to report GHG data through improved statistical data reporting (ESS LUC Questionnaires; N-Fertilization Workshop)
• Contribution to IPCC AR5; Contributing Author/Lead Author for Chapter 11 WGIII, AFOLU; LA Meeting Wellington NZ Mar 2012; data backbone for Agriculture
MA
GHG
Funded by:
Conclusions: Achievements 2012:
• Development of FAOSTAT GHG emission database, to support countries UNFCCC reporting goals; portal to access GHG data and methodologies
• Build capacity of member states to report GHG data through improved statistical data reporting (ESS LUC Questionnaires; N-Fertilization Workshop)
• Contribution to IPCC AR5; Contributing Author/Lead Author for Chapter 11 WGIII, AFOLU; LA Meeting Wellington NZ Mar 2012; data backbone for Agriculture
MA
GHG
Funded by:
GLOBAL DATASETS: Enteric Fermentation
1.00
1.25
1.50
1.75
2.00
2.25
2.50
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Gt
CO
2 e
q
Global Enteric Fermentation Estimates
EPA FAOSTAT edgar
-
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Gg
CO
2 e
q
Global Emissions trends
FAOSTAT
EDGAR
EPA
GLOBAL DATSETS: Rice
y = 4E+07x - 7E+10 R² = 0.9835
y = -0.0074x + 15.416 R² = 0.9834
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
0
1,000,000,000
2,000,000,000
3,000,000,000
4,000,000,000
5,000,000,000
6,000,000,000
7,000,000,000
8,000,000,000
9,000,000,000
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Un
it G
HG
Em
issi
on
s/u
nit
fo
od
su
pp
lied
GH
G E
mis
sio
ns
(tC
O2
eq
) &
TO
TAL
PR
IMA
RY
FO
OD
SU
PP
LY (
tDM
eq
) CARBON Intensity of CROP Production
TOTAL GHG
CROP Production
Unit GHG Emissions/TOTAL CROP
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000
FAO
STA
T
UNFCCC
FAOSTAT GHG vs Annex I Reporting: Rice
y = 2E+07x - 4E+10 R² = 0.9792
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
0
500,000,000
1,000,000,000
1,500,000,000
2,000,000,000
2,500,000,000
3,000,000,000
3,500,000,000
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
kg
GH
G E
mis
sio
ns/
kg F
PC
milk
pro
du
ced
GH
G E
mis
sio
ns
(tC
O2
eq
) &
TO
TAL
PR
IMA
RY
MIL
K P
RO
DU
CTI
ON
(tD
Me
q&
t F
PC
milk
) CARBON Intensity of MILK Production
TOTAL GHG_LIVESTOCK
Milk Production
Unit Livestock GHG Emissions/Milk
