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SSEARCHKEYWORD
Contact | UCG http://www.theunitedcapital.com/contact/
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Contact | UCG http://www.theunitedcapital.com/contact/
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CAPITALMARKETANDOTC
DERIVATIVES
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CAPITALMARKET
21st century capital markets are
mainly hosted on computer based
Electronic trading systems; most can
be accessed only by entities within the
financial sector or the treasury
departments of governments andcorporations, but some can be accessed
directly by the public.
Physically the systems are hosted all
over the world, though they tend to beconcentrated in financial centers like
London, New York, and Hong Kong.
Capital markets provide for the
buying and selling of long term
debt or equity backed securities.
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DERIVATIVESMARKET
Derivatives are financial contracts
whose value is linked to the price of an
underlying commodity, asset, rate,
index or the occurrence or magnitude
of an event
Derivatives markets have been in
existence for as long, and even longer
than that for securities, it has been the
growth in the past 25 years that has
made them one of the pillars offinancial systems
It is true not only of developed, but
also developing economies
The term derivative comes
from how the price of these
contracts is derived from the
price of financial contracts
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Derivatives are traded in two kinds of markets:
Exchanges and OTC markets
Exchange-traded derivative contracts (ETD) arethose derivatives instruments that are traded via
specialized derivatives exchanges or otherexchanges
Interest rate & index products
Over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives are contractsthat are traded (and privately negotiated)directly between two parties, without goingthrough an exchange or other intermediary
The london market international OTC for gold andsilver
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Unlike exchange-traded derivatives, OTC
derivatives are not traded on an exchange, but
are rather negotiated between two parties, one
typically an investment bank and the other a
corporate, which has an economic utility to beaddressed by the instrument
For example, a manufacturing company may
have receivables in US Dollars but incurs costs in
Ringgit. A declining US Dollar may prompt the company to
hedge its risks against further decline
THEOTC MARKETALLOWSFLEXIBILITY
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Market analysis
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How to begin?
Let's look at three ways on how you would
analyze and develop ideas to trade the market
Technical analysis
Fundamental analysis
Sentiment analysis
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Market
Bullish
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Bearish
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Technical analysis
Technical analysis is the framework in whichtraders study price movement.
Technical analysis
looks at the price
movement of a
security and uses this
data to predict its
future price
movements.
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Fundamental analysis
Fundamental analysis is a way of looking atthe market by analyzing economic, social, and
political forces that affects the supply and
demand of an asset
Fundamental analysis looks at
economics factors.
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Sentiment analysis
The markets do not simply reflect all the
information out there because traders will all just
act the same way, it determine the market on
current or future outlook
Sentiment analysis
looks at ones personal
judgement or
evaluation.
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Conclusion
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Which type of analysis is the best?
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Candlestick Pattern
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Candlestick movement
Open
Low
High
Close Open
Low
HighClose
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Candlesticks Movement
Bullish
candle
Bearish
candle
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN/
HIGH
OPEN/
LOW
CLOSE
CLOSE
CLOSE/
LOW
CLOSE/
HIGH
LOWLOW
HIGH HIGH
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Movement (cont)
Inverted HammerShooting Star
HammerHanging Man
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN/
LOW
OPEN/HIGH
CLOSE/HIGH
CLOSE
CLOSE
CLOSE/
LOW
LOWLOW
HIGH HIGH
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Doji Movement (cont)HIGH OPEN HIGH/
CLOSE HIGH
HIGH
OPEN LOW/
CLOSE LOW
LOWLOW
OPEN/
CLOSE
OPEN/
CLOSE
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What is Candlestick Trading?
Candlesticks can be used for any time frame,whether it be one day, one hour, 30-minutes -whatever you want! Candlesticks are used todescribe the price action during the given time
frame.
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If the close is above the open, then a hollowcandlestick (usually displayed as white) is drawn or ingreen
If the close is below the open, then a filled candlestick
(usually displayed as black) is drawn or in red The hollow or filled section of the candlestick is called
the "real body" or body.
The thin lines poking above and below the body displaythe high/low range and are called shadows.
The top of the upper shadow is the "high".
The bottom of the lower shadow is the "low".
Candlesticks are formed using the open, high,
low, and close of the chosen time period.
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Short bodies imply very little buyingor-selling activity.
Long bodies imply very much buyingor selling activity.
The Bulls mean buyers and Bears
mean sellers. Long white candlesticks show strong
buying pressure. The longer the whitecandlestick, the further the close isabove the open.
Long black (filled) candlesticks showstrong selling pressure. The longerthe black candlestick, the further theclose is below the open.
Body
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Mysterious Shadows
The upper and lower shadows on candlesticksprovide important clues about the tradingsession.
If a candlestick has a long upper shadow andshort lower shadow, this means that buyersbid prices higher
If a candlestick has a long lower shadow andshort upper shadow, this means that sellersforced price lower
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Basic Candlestick PatternsSingle,
double, triple and a group
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Spinning Tops
Candlesticks with a long upper shadow, long
lower shadow and small real bodies are called
spinning tops
The pattern indicates the indecisionbetween
the buyers and sellers
If a spinning top forms during an uptrend???
If a spinning top forms during a downtrend???
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Marubozu
Marubozu means there are no shadows from
the bodies.
Depending on whether the candlestick's body
is filled or hollow, the high and low are the
same as its open or close.
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White Marubozu
Contains a long white body with no shadows.
The open price equals the low priceand the
close price equals the high price.
This is a very bullish candle.
It usually becomes the first part of a bullish
continuation or a bullish reversal pattern.
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Black Marubozu
Contains a long black body with no shadows.
The open price equals the highprice and the
close price equals the low price.
This is a very bearish candle.
It usually implies bearish continuation or
bearish reversal.
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Doji
Doji candlestickshave the same open and close
priceor at least their bodies are extremely short.
A doji should have a very small body that appears
as a thin line.
There are four special types of Doji candlesticks
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If a Doji forms after a series of candlesticks
with long hollow bodies (like White
Marubozus), the Doji signals that the buyers
are becoming exhausted and weakening.
In order for price to continue rising, more
buyers are needed but there aren't anymore!
Sellers are licking their chops and are looking
to come in and drive the price back down.
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If a Doji forms after a series of candlestickswith long filled bodies(like Black Marubozus),the Doji signals that sellers are becoming
exhausted and weak. In order for price to continue falling, more
sellers are needed but sellers are all tappedout!
Buyers are foaming in the mouth for a chanceto get in cheap price.
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There are a lot of candlesticks pattern that you
need to study!!!
The hammeris a
bullish reversal patternthat forms during a
downtrend.
The hanging manis a
bearish reversal pattern
that can also mark a topor strong resistance
level.
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The inverted hammer
occurs when price has
been falling suggests the
possibility of a reversal.
The shooting staris abearish reversal pattern
that looks identical to the
inverted hammer but
occurs when price has
been rising
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Single
candlestick
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Double
candlestick
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Chart pattern
You have to know the basic chart patterns and
formations
When correctly identified, it usually leads to
an explosive breakout
Our goal is to spot big movements before they
happen so that we can ride them out and rake
in the cash
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Double tops
Double top is a reversal patternthat is formed after there is an
extended move up
The "tops" are peaks which are
formed when the price hits a
certain level that can't be
broken
After hitting this level, the price
will bounce off it slightly, but
then return back to test thelevel again.
If the price bounces off of that
level again, then you have a
DOUBLE top!
It is telling us that the buying
pressure is just about finished.
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Double bottoms
Double bottom is also a trendreversal formation, but this time we
are looking to go long instead of
short
The bottoms" are lower peaks
which are formed when the price
hits a certain level that can't be
broken
After the previous downtrend, the
price formed two valleys because itwasn't able to go below a certain
level
The second bottom wasn't able to
significantly break the first bottom,
This is a sign that the selling
pressure is about finished
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Head and Shoulders
It is formed by a peak (shoulder), followed by a higherpeak (head), and then another lower peak (shoulder).
A "neckline" is drawn by connecting the lowest pointsof the two troughs.
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Inverse Head and Shoulders
A valley is formed (shoulder), followed by an evenlower valley (head), and then another highervalley (shoulder)
A "neckline" is drawn by connecting the highest
points of the two troughs
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Support and Resistance
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Support and Resistance
Support and resistance represent keyjunctures where the forces ofsupply and demand meet
In the financial markets, prices are driven byexcessive supply (down)and demand (up)
Supplyis synonymous with bearish,bears and selling
Demandis synonymous with bullish,bulls and buying
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Support and Resistance
Support and resistance is one of the most
widely used concepts in trading.
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Support and resistance
Supportand Resistanceare like a
floor and ceiling while the price is
located between them.
The main objective is to help usknowing price trends, chart patterns
and determining whether the trend
is likely to continue or reverse.
Support and Resistance exist becausetraders have memories. They tend to
repeat actions took place in the
past.
R i t i i l l h ll ' ti
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Resistanceis a price level where seller's actionis strong enough to interfere or reverse anuptrend. (Sellers overcome buyers)
Resistance can be drawn by a horizontal (ornear horizontal) line connecting a few pricetops.
Resistance also helps traders to decide whento sell.
S t i i l l h b ' ti i
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Supportis a price level where buyer's action isstrong enough to interfere or reverse adowntrend. (Buyers overcome sellers)
Support can be drawn by a horizontal (or nearhorizontal) line connecting a few pricebottoms.
Support also helps traders to decide when tobuy.
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How to draw???
Its better to draw support and resistance linesby drawing horizontal lines through lower and
upper edges of congestion areas rather than
extreme points
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When the price passes through resistance, that
resistance could potentially become
The more often price tests a level of resistance or
support without breaking it, the stronger the area
of resistance or support is.
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Resistance line
Support line
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Resistance line
Profit USD10
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Support line Profit USD17
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Trend Lines
To draw trend lines properly, all you have to
do is locate two major tops or bottoms and
connect them.
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Channels
If we take the trend line theory one step
further and draw a parallel line at the same
angle of the uptrend or downtrend
We will have created a channel
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The Bounce
One method of trading support and resistance
levels is right after the bounce.
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The Break
There are two ways to play breaks: the
aggressive way or the conservative way.
The Aggressive Way
The Conservative Way
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Fibonacci
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Fibonacci
Fibonacci ratios will be used a lot in ourtrading
Fibonacci arise from the following number
series: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89,144
Fibonacci Retracement Levels0, 0.236, 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, 0.764, 1
Fibonacci Extension Levels0, 0.382, 0.618, 1.000, 1.382, 1.618
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
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Fibonacci Retracement Levels
0, 0.236, 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, 0.764, 1
: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144
The key Fibonacci ratio of 61.8% - also referred to as "the
golden ratio" or "the golden mean" - is found by dividing one
number in the series by the number that follows it.
For example: 8/13 = 0.6153, and 55/89 = 0.6179.
The 38.2% ratio is found by dividing one number in the series
by the number that is found two places to the right.
For example: 55/144 = 0.3819.
The 23.6% ratio is found by dividing one number in the series
by the number that is three places to the right.
For example: 8/34 = 0.2352.
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Fibonacci level calculate the different between
the high and low
Then divided the zone according to the
Fibonacci ratio
0, 0.236, 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, 0.764, 1
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Why are we using Fibonacci?
Fibonacci can be treated as the golden line,
everyone in the world are looking at this level
Fibonacci will tell you the comfortable profit
zone
It is a signal for you to enter trade
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Traders use the Fibonacci retracement levels
as potential support and resistance areas
So many traders watch these same levels and
place buy and sell orders on them to entertrades or place stops, the support and
resistance levels tend to become a self-
fulfilling prophecy
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d
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Uptrend
0
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100.0
76.4
68.2
50.0
31.8
23.6
D d
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Downtrend
100.0
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0.0
23.6
38.2
50.0
61.8
76.4
What Does Fibonacci
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ExtensionsMean?
Levels used in Fibonacci retracement to forecastareas of support or resistance.
Extensions consist of all levels drawn beyond thestandard 100% level and are used by manytraders to determine areas where they will wishto take profits.
The most popular extension levels are 161.8%,
261.8% and 423.6%.
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Combining Fibs with
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g
Support and Resistance
The best ways to use the Fibonacci tool is to spotpotential support and resistance levels and see if
they line up with Fibonacci retracement levels.
Combining Fibs with
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g
Trend Lines
Another good tool to combine with theFibonacci tool is trend line analysis.
Combining Fibs with
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g
Candlesticks
We can also combine Fibs with candlesticks pattern In combining the Fibonacci tool with candlestick
patterns, we are actually looking for exhaustivecandlesticks
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Indicator
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Parabolic SAR
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Parabolic SAR
Indicator that can help usdetermine where a trendmight be ending is theParabolic SAR (Stop AndReversal)
Parabolic SAR places dots, orpoints, on a chart that
indicate potential reversals inprice movement
How to Trade Using Parabolic SAR
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How to Trade Using Parabolic SAR
When the first dots are below the candles, it is
a buy signal
When the first dots are above the candles, it is
a sell signal
Enter trade
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Stochastic
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Stochastic
Stochastic is another indicator that helps us
determine where a trend might be ending
Stochastic is an oscillator that measures
overbought and oversold conditionsin themarket
How to Trade Using the Stochastic
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How to Trade Using the Stochastic
Stochastic tells us when the market isoverbought or oversold. The Stochastic isscaled from 0 to 100
When the Stochastic lines are above 80 (thered dotted line in the chart above), then itmeans the market is overbought
When the Stochastic lines are below 20 (the
blue dotted line), then it means that themarket is oversold
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Death cross
Golden cross
This is the signalfor you to quit or
enter trade
Overbought
Oversold
Moving average
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Moving average
Moving averages smooth the price data to form a trendfollowing indicator. They do not predict price direction,but rather define the current direction with a lag.
Closing price
The trend
More active, closer to
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candlestick
Moving average
5 periods
An example
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An example
Moving average (5) is the most active line, ifthis line cross up to moving average (20)
There is a signal of uptrend market
Moving average (5) is the most active line, ifthis line cross down to moving average (20)
There is a signal of downtrend market
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Moving average (5)
Moving average (20)
Moving average (5)
Moving average (20)
CROSS
CROSS
The bigger the angle,
the stronger the
moving beat
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Technical analysis
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Types of Charts
Line chart
Bar chart
Candlestick chart
Line chart
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Line chart
A simple line chart draws a line from one closing priceto the next closing price.
When strung together with a line, we can see thegeneral price movement of a currency pair over aperiod of time.
Bar chart
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Bar chart
A bar chart is a little more complex. It shows theopening and closing prices, as well as the highs and
lows prices
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Candlestick chart
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Candlestick chart
Candlestick chart show the same information as abar chart, but in a prettier, graphic format.
Candlestick bars still indicate the high-to-lowrange with a vertical line.
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Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment analysis
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Sentiment analysis
The sentiment analysis is the generalprevailing attitude of investors as to
anticipated price development in a market.
This attitude is the accumulation of a varietyof fundamental and technical factors,
including price history, economic reports,
seasonal factors, and national and worldevents.
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For example, if investors expect upward pricemovement in the stock market, the sentiment
is said to be bullish.
On the contrary, if the market sentimentis bearish, most investors expect downward
price movement.
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It is basically:
Your judgment
Your evaluation
Your concern
Your decision
You trade
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Risk Control
Risk Control
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How to control risk
Every trading there must be a target
Trading system
Risk Control
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Cut Loss System (Target 1535)
Buy new 1530
1535
1525Stop loss
Sell close, -5
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Holding System (Target 1535)
1530
1535
1525
Buy new
Sell close, +5
Stop loss
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Locking System (Target 1535)
1515
1520
1525
1530
1535
Buy new
Stop loss
Buy close
Sell new
Sell close
Profit = 10
Profit = 5
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06.1 Risk Management
Locking / Hedging
Locking is a technique used to minimise the loss via performing a new transaction in theopposite direction of the former transaction (using the same lot size) as it will aid in lockingthe trading position.
Unlocking is a technique to recover the loss and/or profit from the locked trading position.
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Rolling
Rolling is one of the techniques used to gain additional profit via performing a newtransaction by doubling up in the same direction from the former transaction, as it used togain the equal if not more profit in the same or faster time taken than the previoustransaction.
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When to trade?
When to trade?
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When to trade?
When start to trade, you need to knowthe below analysis
Technical analysis
Fundamental analysis Sentiment analysis
And follow the Golden rules
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And follow the Golden rules
Buy lowSell high
Conclusion
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Co c us o
There are many factors to influence you intrading
So, develop your own trading system, and
abide to this system whenever you entertrade.
Find indicators that help identify a new trend. Find
indicators that help CONFIRM the trend.
Define Your Risk Define Entries & Exits
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Type of Trading
Type of trading
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yp g
Type of
TradingCapital
Time
FrameSpeed
Charts to
analysis
Target
Profits
Prepare for
Losses
Technical
Analysis
Fundamental
Analysis
Scalping USD$20000 -
USD$30000
15 min -
1 Hour
Fastest M1, M5,
M15, M30
100-150
pips
200-300
pips XXXXX XX
DayTrading
USD$30000 -
USD$400001 Hour -4 Hours
Fast M15, M30,H1
150-500pips
300-1000pips XXXXX XX
Swing
Trading
USD$40000 -
USD$100000
1 Day -
2 Weeks
Slow H1, H4, D1,
W1
500-3000
pips
1500-9000
pipsXXXX XXXX
Position
Trading
USD$100000
Above
2 Weeks
Above
Slowest D1, W1, M1 3000 pips
Above
9000 pips
Above XXX XXXXX
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Day trade
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Overnight trading
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Position trading
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P d W P id
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Products We Provide
Commodities
Commodity futures markets have long been popular among producers of various rawmaterials that need to hedge price risk to protect business but due to hugeimprovements in accessibility many investor are now utilizing these markets to enhancecapital gains. This sector is largely affected by growth, especially from China andemerging economies, and on the whole commodities outperformed equities during 2009to 2011 period. Similar to equities they are considered risk assets performing well ingrowth environments but assets such as gold and silver can also receive safe haven
demand meaning they can do well during uncertainty and investor fear making thesector very interesting and potentially profitable. The study of price action is very usefulto determine future price movements along with global economic data and decisions bythe Federal Reserve in the US on monetary policy.
Currency Pairing
There was a time when dealing in currencies was just for large organisations looking tohedge against currency risk but now due to lower capital requirements the markets havebeen opened up to the average investor. Price action analysis works very well in thissector but be aware big moves can occur from news regarding interest rates,employment and GDP from the respective country. Any pair involving the USD is can bevery active given the attention surrounding quantitative easing at present.
Indices
A stock index is a weighted average of a group of company share prices. If you are aninvestor more inclined to digest macro-economic data rather than individual stock news
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