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Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies Using Government Contracting Data Mihály Fazekas Government Transparency Institute and University of Cambridge, mf436@ cam.ac.uk 2016.02.14. 1 Workshop: Indicatori rischio corruzione nel ciclo del contratto pubblico: problemi di identificazione e potenzialità di analisi e valutazione della spesa 4/2/2015; ANAC, Rome, Italy This project is co-funded by the Seventh Framework Programme for Research and Technological Development of the European Union
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Page 1: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

Uncovering High-Level Corruption:

Cross-National Corruption Proxies Using

Government Contracting Data

Mihály Fazekas

Government Transparency Institute and University of Cambridge, [email protected]

2016.02.14. 1

Workshop: Indicatori rischio corruzione nel ciclo del contratto pubblico: problemi

di identificazione e potenzialità di analisi e valutazione della spesa

4/2/2015; ANAC, Rome, Italy

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

Page 2: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

Overview

1. Big Data in public procurement

2. Corruption indicators across Europe

3. Anticorruption & open data

2016.02.14. 2

Page 3: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

Promise of Big Data

• Indicators which are

– ‘Objective’/hard

– Actionable: specific, real-time, etc

– Micro-level & aggregatable

• Phenomena covered:

– Efficiency

– Transparency

– Corruption, collusion

2016.02.14. 3

Page 4: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

Data sources

• Tender-level administrative datasets

– Europe: http://digiwhist.eu/publications/towards-a-

comprehensive-mapping-of-information-on-public-procurement-

tendering-and-its-actors-across-europe/

– Globally: http://ocds.open-contracting.org/opendatacomparison/

• This analysis

– EU’s Tenders Electronic Daily

– 2009-2014

2016.02.14. 4

Page 5: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

Data scope

• National thresholds vary greatly

• Barely any information on contractcompletion

2016.02.14. 5

Page 6: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

Data quality: Average admin error

2016.02.14. 6

13 mandatory

items:

• Organisation

name,

address

• Contract

values

• Subcontract

• Dates

Page 7: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

Measuring corruption

• In transactions: red flags

• In relationships: political connections

• In performance: favouritism

• In organisations: opacity

2016.02.14. 7

Page 8: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

What kind of corruption?

In public procurement, the aim of [institutionalised] corruption is to steer the contract to the favored bidder without detection. This is done in a number of ways, including:

– Avoiding competition through, e.g., unjustified sole sourcing or direct contracting awards.

– Favoring a certain bidder by tailoring specifications, sharing inside information, etc.

See: World Bank Integrity Presidency (2009) Fraud and Corruption. AwarenessHandbook, World Bank, Washington DC. pp. 7.

2016.02.14. 8

Page 9: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

‚Red flags’ for measuring corruption risks in PP

2016.02.14. 9

1. Single bid submitted

2. Procedure type

3. Call for tenders not published in official journal

4. Weight of non-price assessment criteria

5. Length advertisement period

6. Length of decision period

A lot more available, but data source dependent

Page 10: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

Number of bidders predicts prices

• Price savings by the number of bidders

• 543,705 contracts, EU27, 2009-2014

2016.02.14. 10

Page 11: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

2016.02.14. 11

Single bidding correlates with perceptions

ATBE

BG

CY

CZ

DE

DK

EE

ES

FI

FR

GR

HU

IE

IT

LT

LU

LV

NL

PL

PT

RO

SE

SI

SK

UK

y = -0.0047x + 0.4822R² = 0.4621

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

0.5

35 45 55 65 75 85 95

Shar

e o

f si

ngl

e b

idd

er t

end

ers

(20

09

-20

13

)

TI - Corruption Perception Index (2013)

Page 12: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

Regional differences - EU

2016.02.14. 12

Single bidding is

also confirmed by

perceptions on the

regional level

Page 13: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

Limitations

• Data scope

• Data quality

• Sophisticates can avoid detection

• Reflexivity

• Law enforcement capacity

2016.02.14. 13

Page 14: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

Anticorruption tools

Combining Big Data analytics with collective

action (DIGIWHIST)

Data publication&citizen monitoring portal

• Countless global examples: Bangladesh,

Brazil, Croatia, Czech Republic,

Equador, Hungary, Slovakia, UK...

2016.02.14. 14

Page 15: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

2016.02.14. 15

www.tendertracking.eu

Page 16: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

2016.02.14. 16

Page 17: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

2016.02.14. 17

Page 18: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

2016.02.14. 18

Page 19: Uncovering High-Level Corruption - govtransparency · Research and Technological Development of the European Union Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies

This project is co-funded by the

Seventh Framework Programme for

Research and Technological

Development of the European Union

Further readings: digiwhist.eu & govtransparency.eu

Fazekas, M. and Tóth, I. J. (2016). From corruption to state capture: A new analytical framework with empirical applications from Hungary. Political Research Quarterly, forthcoming.

Fazekas, M., Tóth, I. J., & King, L. P. (2016). Anatomy of grand corruption: A composite corruption risk index based on objective data. European Journal of Criminal Policy and Research, forthcoming

Charron, N., Dahlström, C., Fazekas, M., & Lapuente, V. (2015). Carriers, connections, and corruption risks in Europe. 2015:6, Quality of Government Institute, Gothenburg.

Fazekas, M., & Kocsis, G. (2015). Uncovering High-Level Corruption: Cross-National Corruption Proxies Using Government Contracting Data. GTI-WP/2015:02, Government Transparency Institute, Budapest.

Fazekas, M., Lukács, P. A., & Tóth, I. J. (2015). The Political Economy of Grand Corruption in Public Procurement in the Construction Sector of Hungary. In A. Mungiu-Pippidi (Ed.), Government Favouritism inEurope The Anticorruption Report 3 (pp. 53–68). Berlin: Barbara Budrich Publishers.

Czibik, Ágnes; Fazekas, Mihály; Tóth, Bence; and Tóth, István János (2014), Toolkit for detecting collusivebidding in public procurement. With examples from Hungary. GTI-WP/2014:02, Government TransparencyInstitute, Budapest.

Fazekas, M., Chvalkovská, J., Skuhrovec, J., Tóth, I. J., & King, L. P. (2014). Are EU funds a corruptionrisk? The impact of EU funds on grand corruption in Central and Eastern Europe. In A. Mungiu-Pippidi(Ed.), The Anticorruption Frontline. The ANTICORRP Project, vol. 2. (pp. 68–89). Berlin: Barbara BudrichPublishers.

Fazekas, M., Tóth, I. J. (2014), Three indicators of institutionalised grand corruption using administrative data. Budapest: U4-Policy Brief, Bergen, Norway

Fazekas, M., Tóth, I. J., & King, L. P. (2013). Corruption manual for beginners: Inventory of elementary “corruption techniques” in public procurement using the case of Hungary. GTI-WP/2013:01, GovernmentTransparency Institute, Budapest.

2016.02.14. 19


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