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Understanding the aging trend Preparing for the region’s future:

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Understanding the aging trend Preparing for the region’s Preparing for the region’s future: future:
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Understanding the aging trendPreparing for the region’s Preparing for the region’s future: future:

What’s age got to do with it?

• WHAT’S ARC GOT TO DO WITH IT?

• WHO’S AGING?

• TRENDS

• WHAT CAN YOU DO?

What’s ARC got to do with it?

• WHAT’S AAA?

• ROLE

• NATIONWIDE

Projected Growth in 65+ Population, 2000 to 2030

Eighth Fastest Growing State

Nevada264.1

%

Alaska256.3

%

Arizona255.1

%

Florida176.7

%

New Mexico161.6

%

Texas150.2

%

Idaho147.4

%

Georgia143.0

%

Utah142.1

%

Wyoming140.2

%

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

60+ Population Growth*

By 2030, 1 in 5 residents will be over the age of 60.

Georgia's Aging Populationprojections of 65+ population 2000 to 2030

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

pe

rce

nt

Rate of Growth 2000-2030

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300%

55+

60+

65+

75+

85+

Based on 1990 and 2000 Census data.

Rate of Region's Growth vs. Growth in Elderly Population 1990-2000

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%

Cherokee

Clayton

Cobb

Dekalb

Douglas

Fayette

Fulton

Gwinnett

Henry

Rockdale

Atlanta Region rate of population growth

rate of growth in 65+ population

Percent 65+< 5%5 - 10%10.1 - 20%20.1 - 30.9%

Major FreewaysMARTA Rail

Based on 2000 Census data.

Concentrations of 65+

Population

Moved Into Pre-19700 - 3536 - 7374 - 150151 - 275276 - 592

34% of 65+ havelived in home 30+ yrs.

Based on 2000 Census data.

Aging in Place

Income Distribution of 65+ Populationin Atlanta Region, 2000

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

Less than$10,000

$15,000to

$19,999

$25,000to

$29,999

$35,000to

$39,999

$45,000to

$49,999

$60,000to

$74,999

$100,000to

$124,999

$150,000to

$199,999

Based on 2000 Census data.

Poverty Rates Amongst Older Adults, 2000

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

Cherokee Clayton Cobb Dekalb Douglas Fayette Fulton Gwinnett Henry Rockdale

% of 65+ below poverty

% of 75+ below poverty

9.64% of older adults live below poverty.

Housing Affordability, 2000

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

paying over 35% of incomefor housing

renters paying over 35% ofincome for housing

owners paying over 35% ofincome for housing

total population

65+ population

24% of older adults live in high cost housing.

Disability Status, 65+ population in Atlanta Region

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

sensory physical mental self-carelimitations

homebound

Based on 2000 Census data.

23% of older adults have a disability which prevents them from leaving their homes.

1. Changing Age Distribution

2. Diverse Population

3. Market Response

4, Regional Impact & Growth

TRENDSTRENDS

TRENDS TRENDS DIVERSITYDIVERSITY

•50% of baby boomers have less than $160,000 in total assets.

DIVERSE POPULATION

Growing ethnic diversity with different economic, health, social needs

Healthier older adults, trying to remain healthy and active

Future Growth and Trends

I. Rapid, unprecedented growth:

1970-2000: older adult population doubled over 30 years

2000-2015: older adult population will double over 15 years

Approx 150,000 new seniors every five years

60+ Growth in Atlanta Region

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

TRENDSTRENDS

•32% of 65+ population, are non-drivers

•2 million new people by 2025

•35% of older adults have lived in home 30+ yrs

HOUSING & TRANSPORTATION

4. Market response to baby boomers

TRENDSTRENDS

CHALLENGESCHALLENGES

•Housing•Transportation•Caregiving•Coordination of Services•Social Isolation•Lack of Services

4. Regional Growth & Impact

TRENDSTRENDS

Source: Federal Interagency Forum on Aging. Older Americans 2004: Key Indicators of Well-Being.

Source: Federal Interagency Forum on Aging. Older Americans 2004: Key Indicators of Well-Being.

Source: Federal Interagency Forum on Aging. Older Americans 2004: Key Indicators of Well-Being.

Source: Federal Interagency Forum on Aging. Older Americans 2004: Key Indicators of Well-Being.

GOOD PEDESTRIAN

INFRASTRUCTURE

ALTERNATIVES TO DRIVING

How does community planning support aging society?

• Housing alternatives.– Community-based– Affordable

• Opportunities to mix and mingle.• Opportunities for physical activity.• Clean air.• Transportation alternatives.• Easy access to amenities (community

centers, parks, medical faculties, church, etc.).

Are we designing and building communities that

are elder friendly?

Neighborhood Based Service Delivery (NORC)

• New framework – changing perspective

• Focus on overarching goals

• Create new partnerships

WHAT CAN YOU DO?

• No longer just a social service problem

• 1 in 5 persons - 65+ population becomes part of the big picture or larger community vision.

Changing Perspective

• Solutions previously seen as addressing older adult issues now broadened such as:

Housing

Transportation

Overarching Goals

• Business community

• Governmental and inter-agency collaboration

• Cross Training

Create New Partnerships

Analyzing the physical fabric of the community

A quality of life issue for all residents

A necessity of life issue for older adults

An Aging Society –

Elder-Friendly

Neighborhoods

Maureen KellyAtlanta Regional Commission

[email protected]


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