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    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

    Understanding Economics6thedition

    by Mark Lovewell

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    UnderstandingEconomics

    Chapter 11

    Fiscal Policy

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited. ll rights reser!ed.

    "theditionby Mar# Lo!ewell

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    Learning $b%ecti!es&ter this chapter yo' will be able to(

    1. identi&y e)pansionary and contractionary*scal policies+ which are 'sed by go!ernments

    see#ing economic stability2. o'tline the m'ltiplier e,ect o& *scal policy+ as

    determined by the marginal propensities tocons'mer and withdraw

    . disting'ish b'dget s'rpl'ses and de*cits andtheir impact on p'blic debt and p'blic debtcharges

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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    tabili/ation olicies a tabili/ation policy is go!ernment policy

    designed to lessen the e,ects o& the b'sinesscycle.3t can be either e)pansionary or contractionary.

    4)pansionary policy attempts to red'ce'nemployment and stim'late o'tp't.

    Contractionary policy attempts to stabili/eprices and red'ce o'tp't.

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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    tabili/ation olicy and the 5'sinessCycle6ig're 11.1+ age 00

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

    C$78RC83$7 4973$7

    ea#

    8ro'gh

    Long-R'n 8rend

    o& otential$'tp't

    :itho't stabili/ationpolicy

    :ith stabili/ationpolicy

    Rea

    lG;

    8ime

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    tabili/ation olicies b tabili/ation policy can ta#e the &orm o& either

    *scal policy or monetary policy.6iscal policy 'ses ta)es and go!ernment

    p'rchases. 4)pansionary *scal policy in!ol!es more go!ernment

    p'rchases and

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    4)pansionary 6iscalolicy6ig're 11.2+ page 01

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

    AS

    AD0 AD1

    b

    a

    otential $'tp't

    3nitial

    RecessionaryGap

    Real G; 2002 = billions

    >00?>00

    1?0

    1"0

    rice

    Le!e

    lG;de

    @a

    tor+

    2002A1

    00

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    Contractionary 6iscal olicy6ig're 11.+ age 02

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

    >10>000

    1B0

    1?0

    Real G; 2002 = billions

    rice

    Le!e

    lG;de

    @a

    tor+

    2002A

    1

    00

    AS

    AD0

    AD1otential $'tp't

    3nitial

    3n@ationary Gap

    d

    c

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    ;iscretionary olicies ers's

    'tomatic tabili/ers;iscretionary policy is intentional go!ernment

    inter!ention in the economy. 'tomatic stabili/ers are b'ilt-in meas'res

    s'ch as ta)es and trans&er payments to lessenthe e,ects o& the b'siness cycle. contracting economy decreases net ta)

    re!en'es which increases spending and incomes.n e)panding economy increases net ta)

    re!en'es which decreases spending and incomes.

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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    8he M'ltiplier 4,ect a8he m'ltiplier e,ect is the magni*ed impact

    o& a spending change on ;.n initial spending change prod'ces income

    and part o& this new income becomes newspending.

    8his process is repeated with each spendingro'nd smaller than the last.

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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    8he 4,ect o& a Rise in Go!ernment'rchases6ig're 11.D+ age 0"

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

    2000

    1000

    01st

    ro'nd

    2nd

    ro'nd

    rd

    ro'nd

    Later

    spendingro'nds

    Cycles o& pending

    3ncrease

    inRe

    al$'

    tp'

    t2000

    1000

    01st

    ro'nd

    2nd

    ro'nd

    rd

    ro'nd

    Later

    spendingro'nds

    E00

    3ncrease

    in:ithdrawa

    ls

    =1000

    =E00

    =2E0

    =2E0

    =2E0

    =2E0

    =E00

    =0

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    8he pending M'ltiplier8he spending m'ltiplier(is the !al'e by which an initial spending change

    is m'ltiplied to gi!e the total shi&t in the ;c'r!e

    eF'als 1

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    8he M'ltiplier 4,ect and rice Changes

    6ig're 11.E+ age 0B

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

    Real G; 2002 = billions>0E?>00

    1"0

    1E0

    rice

    Le!e

    lG;de

    @a

    tor+

    2002A

    100

    >10

    AS

    AD0 AD1

    a b

    c

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    Changes in Go!ernment 'rchases

    ers's 8a) Changes change in go!ernment p'rchases ca'ses an

    initial spending change o& the same amo'ntand in the same direction.

    ta) change has a smaller initial impact onspending and in the opposite direction.8he initial spending change is &o'nd by

    m'ltiplying the ta) change by the marginal

    propensity to cons'me and then re!ersing thesign o& this change.

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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    8he 5ene*ts and ;rawbac#s o& 6iscal

    olicy 6iscal policy has two main bene*ts(3t can be &oc'sed on partic'lar regions.

    3t has a relati!ely direct impact on spending.

    6iscal policy has three main drawbac#s(3t is s'b%ect to delays recognition lag+ decision

    lag+ impact lag.

    3t is closely related to p'blic debt+ which is thetotal amo'nt owed by the &ederal go!ernmentas a res'lt o& past borrowing.

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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    8he 3mpact o& 6iscal

    olicy a go!ernment is r'nning a(balanced b'dget when its e)pendit'res and

    re!en'es are eF'al

    b'dget s'rpl's when its re!en'es e)ceed itse)pendit'res

    b'dget de*cit when its e)pendit'res e)ceed itsre!en'es

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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    8he 3mpact o& 6iscal

    olicy b:hen a go!ernment has a(b'dget de*cit its debt increases by the same

    amo'nt

    b'dget s'rpl's its debt decreases by the sameamo'nt

    3n the past the &ederal go!ernment tended tor'n b'dget de*cits.

    5eca'se o& past borrowing the &ederalgo!ernment pays large p'blic debt charges.

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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    8he ;ebate $!er 'blic ;ebt a8hose who s'pport 'sing p'blic debt say(p'blic debt pro!ides bene*ts by red'cing the

    costs o& 'nemployment

    abo't >0 percent o& go!ernment debt is held byCanadians+ or owed to o'rsel!es

    when debt is 'sed to create prod'cti!e assets+it is not necessarily a problem

    there ha!e been times in the past when p'blicdebt as a percent o& G; was higher than now

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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    8he ;ebate $!er 'blic ;ebt b8hose against 'sing p'blic debt say(p'blic debt charges rose 'ntil recently

    pro!incial and territorial debts need to be ta#eninto acco'nt as well

    there are limits to how m'ch ta)es can beraised to pay p'blic debt charges

    there are potential &'t're b'rdens associatedwith the crowding-o't e,ect and the amo'nt o&Canadas go!ernment debt held by &oreigners

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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    'blic ;ebt and G;6ig're + page 2E

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

    1"2#-1"2$1"%#-1"%$

    1"-1"&$

    1"'#-1"'$

    1"##-1"#$

    1"$#-1"$$

    1"(#-1"($

    1""#-1""$200#-200$

    2010-2011

    2.%%.1

    12.$

    11.&

    1$.$

    &1.'

    2'$.$

    '#2."$.%

    ''#.&

    #$

    10$

    %'

    2$

    21

    '0

    #$%2

    %&

    2.'%.0

    %."

    1.'

    1.(

    2.&

    '.#

    '.#2.%

    1."

    Year Public Debt(billions of

    current-year $)

    Public Debt(% of

    nominal GDP)

    Public DebtCharges (% ofnominal GDP)

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    8he 3mpact o& Go!ernment $LCa

    :hen go!ernment is incorporated in theaggregate e)pendit'res model+ we ass'methat 8 is a l'mp-s'm amo'nt o& =200 billion at

    e!ery G; le!el. Li#ewise G is =200 billion.:hile G is added directly to the 4 line+ the

    e,ect o& ta)es is indirect. :ith an MC o& .?E+a =200 billion rise is ta)es will ca'se C to &all

    by =1E0 billion at e!ery G; le!el.

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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    8he 3mpact o& Go!ernment $LCb

    ince 4 rises by =200 billion d'e to G and&alls by =1E0 billion d'e to 8+ the o!erall risein the 4 line is =E0 billion.

    s a res'lt+ eF'ilibri'm G; e)pands by =200billion.

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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    8he 3mpact o& Go!ernment $LCc6ig're contin'ed in part e

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

    0200D00"00>00

    100012001D00

    E0200E0E00"E0>00BE0

    1100

    2E2E2E2E2E2E2E2E

    2E2E2E2E2E2E2E2E

    00DE0"00?E0B00

    10E012001E0

    200 D00 "00 >00 1000 1200 1D00

    0

    200

    D00

    "00

    >00

    1000

    1200

    1D00

    G; = billions

    4)pen

    dit'res

    =billions

    AE0= C0+ I + (X !

    AE1= C0+ I + " +(X !

    AE#= C1+ I + " +(X !

    a

    c

    Change in

    C A -=1E0b.

    G A=200b.

    DE

    S$ending%&'t$'t A$$roac

    G; C 3 9-M 4= billions

    G

    200200200200200200200200

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    8he 3mpact o& Go!ernment $LCd

    :hen go!ernment is incorporated in thein%ections-withdrawals approach+ in%ectionsrise by =200 billion.

    8here are two e,ects on withdrawals(8otal withdrawals rise by =200 billion d'e to the

    addition o& 8.8otal withdrawals &all beca'se o& a drop in

    sa!ing. :ith an M o& .2E+ a =200 billion rise inta)es ca'ses to &all by =E0 billion.$!erall+ total withdrawals rise by =1E0 billion+

    while eF'ilibri'm o'tp't e)pands.

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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    8he 3mpact o& Go!ernment $LCe6ig're + contin'ed &rom part c

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

    S0+ ) +

    S1+ ) +

    S0+

    I + X

    I + " + X

    Change in A -=E0b.

    8 A=200b b

    d

    200 D00 "00 >00 1000 1200 1D00

    G; = billions

    0

    200

    D00

    "00

    -200

    3n%ec

    tions+

    :ithdraw

    als=billions

    0

    200D00"00>00

    100012001D00

    -2E0

    -200-1E0-100-E0

    0E0

    100

    200

    200200200200200200200

    200

    200200200200200200200

    ?E

    ?E?E?E?E?E?E?E

    E0

    E0E0E0E0E0E0E0

    00

    E0D00DE0E00EE0"00"E0

    2E

    2E2E2E2E2E2E2E

    In*ections%itdra,als A$$roac

    G; 8 G 9= billions

    M I8IM 3 3IGI9

    "00

    "00"00"00"00"00"00"00

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    8he 3mpact o& Go!ernment $LC

    8he 5alanced 5'dget M'ltiplier8he impact o& incorporating go!ernment on

    eF'ilibri'm G; can be shown 'sing thebalanced b'dget m'ltiplier.8he change in o'tp't d'e to a change in both G

    and 8 by the same dollar amo'nt ie. =200billion is shown by the &ollowing &orm'la(

    change in o'tp't A 1 ) change in G or 8

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    8he 3mpact o& Go!ernment $LCggregate ;emand and ggregate

    'pply a8he aggregate e)pendit'res model can be

    interpreted 'sing aggregate demand andaggregate s'pply i& we remember that in this

    model the price le!el is ass'med to beconstant+ so that is hori/ontal.

    Copyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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    UnderstandingEconomics

    Chapter 11

    )e EndCopyright 2012 by McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited. ll rights reser!ed.

    "theditionby Mar# Lo!ewell


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