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1 WORKFORCE CHARACTERISTICS AND WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT IN OHIO’S INSURANCE INDUSTRY Bill LaFayette, Ph.D. Owner, Regionomics® 2013 1293 S. Fourth St., Columbus, OH 43206 www.regionomicsllc.com
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Page 1: University of Cincinnati | University Of Cincinnati ......WORKFORCE(CHARACTERISTICS(AND(WORKFORCE(DEVELOPMENT(INOHIO’SINSURANCEINDUSTRY(! Bill!LaFayette,!Ph.D.! Owner,!Regionomics®!!

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WORKFORCE  CHARACTERISTICS  AND  WORKFORCE  DEVELOPMENT  IN  OHIO’S  INSURANCE  INDUSTRY  

               

Bill  LaFayette,  Ph.D.  Owner,  Regionomics®    

2013                                  

 1293  S.  Fourth  St.,  Columbus,  OH  43206  

www.regionomicsllc.com

Page 2: University of Cincinnati | University Of Cincinnati ......WORKFORCE(CHARACTERISTICS(AND(WORKFORCE(DEVELOPMENT(INOHIO’SINSURANCEINDUSTRY(! Bill!LaFayette,!Ph.D.! Owner,!Regionomics®!!

WORKFORCE  CHARACTERISTICS  AND  WORKFORCE  DEVELOPMENT  IN  OHIO’S  INSURANCE  INDUSTRY  

 Bill  LaFayette,  Ph.D.  Owner,  Regionomics®    

2013    

 Summary  

 Ohio’s  insurance  industry  will  require  approximately  26,000  new  workers  to  fill  positions  coming  open  between  now  and  2020  –  whether  newly  created  through  growth  or  vacant  as  a  result  of  employee  turnover.    If  these  positions  are  not  filled,  the  growth  of  Ohio  insurance  companies  will  be  suboptimal.      Private-­‐sector  insurance  carriers  and  related  activities  in  2010  contributed  $17.4  billion  to  Ohio  GDP  –  a  contribution  one-­‐third  greater  than  would  be  expected  in  an  economy  Ohio’s  size.    The  37  percent  growth  between  2002  and  2010  exceeded  the  32  percent  national  average.    There  were  nearly  95,000  insurance  industry  jobs  in  Ohio  in  2011  –  an  employment  concentration  39  percent  greater  than  average.      Even  after  the  employment  losses  during  the  recession,  industry  employment  in  Ohio  is  1.8  percent  higher  than  its  level  a  decade  ago,  while  U.S.  employment  is  3.5  percent  lower.    Thus,  the  industry  helped  to  offset  to  a  degree  the  much  weaker-­‐than-­‐average  growth  of  Ohio  employment  overall.    Not  all  components  of  the  insurance  industry  have  an  above-­‐average  concentration  in  Ohio.    Property  and  casualty  insurers  have  almost  twice  the  employment  that  would  be  expected,  while  life  and  health  carriers’  employment  is  slightly  below  average.    Concentrated  pockets  of  insurance  employment  exist  throughout  the  state,  including  in  a  number  of  smaller  metropolitan  areas  and  rural  counties.    Employers  in  these  counties  may  have  significant  problems  finding  qualified  workers  because  of  the  smaller  total  workforce  and  the  smaller  share  of  college  graduates  that  is  common  outside  of  Ohio’s  major  metropolitan  areas.    State  and  federal  labor  market  data  are  used  to  generate  distributions  of  employment  by  occupation,  and  specific  employment  needs  in  each  occupation.    Projected  net  growth  represents  only  a  portion  of  the  total  need  for  new  employees.    A  substantial  need  is  also  created  through  turnover  in  existing  positions.    Backfilling  existing  positions  generates  79  percent  of  the  Ohio  insurance  industry’s  total  need  for  workers  through  2020.    The  implementation  of  the  Affordable  Care  Act  is  likely  to  lead  to  higher  employment  and  a  demand  for  insurance  workforce  greater  than  the  26,000  implied  by  the  analysis.    The  elimination  of  the  ability  to  exclude  prospects  based  on  pre-­‐existing  conditions  is  likely  to  increase  the  risk  of  health  insurance  pools,  despite  the  entry  of  healthy  people  who  formerly  self-­‐insured.    Managing  these  risks  is  likely  to  increase  demand  for  actuaries.    The  customer  base  is  also  likely  to  become  far  more  granular,  increasing  the  need  for  customer  service  representatives  and  financial  and  marketing  functions.        

Page 3: University of Cincinnati | University Of Cincinnati ......WORKFORCE(CHARACTERISTICS(AND(WORKFORCE(DEVELOPMENT(INOHIO’SINSURANCEINDUSTRY(! Bill!LaFayette,!Ph.D.! Owner,!Regionomics®!!

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WORKFORCE  CHARACTERISTICS  AND  WORKFORCE  DEVELOPMENT  IN  OHIO’S  INSURANCE  INDUSTRY  

 Bill  LaFayette,  Ph.D.  Owner,  Regionomics®    

2013    

 Introduction  

 This  report  is  an  update  and  expansion  of  a  workforce  analysis  completed  in  May  2011  for  a  task  force  of  insurance  industry  executives  representing  companies  throughout  Ohio.    There  is  a  keen  understanding  among  these  leaders  that  without  a  trained,  capable  workforce,  the  industry’s  growth  and  competitiveness  will  be  severely  hampered.    The  purpose  of  this  report  is  to  provide  an  overview  of  the  geographic  dispersion  of  Ohio’s  insurance  employment  and  its  growth  over  the  last  decade,  and  identify  the  occupations  most  critical  for  the  industry’s  continued  growth  and  the  number  of  workers  needed  to  fill  those  positions  in  coming  years.    The  principal  finding  is  that  Ohio’s  insurance  industry  will  require  approximately  26,000  new  workers  to  fill  positions  coming  open  between  now  and  2020  –  whether  newly  created  through  growth  or  vacant  as  a  result  of  employee  turnover.    The  key  point  is  that  if  these  positions  are  not  filled,  the  growth  of  Ohio  insurance  companies  will  be  suboptimal.    In  the  extreme  case,  Ohio  might  lose  these  companies  to  other  states  that  are  able  to  offer  a  convincing  argument  that  they  are  better  equipped  to  provide  a  steady  flow  of  talent.      

Ohio’s  Insurance  industry    The  size  and  importance  of  Ohio’s  insurance  industry  can  be  documented  in  several  ways.    One  is  the  industry’s  contribution  to  the  state’s  output,  or  Gross  Domestic  Product  (GDP).    Private-­‐sector  insurance  carriers  and  related  activities  in  2010  contributed  $17.4  billion  to  Ohio  GDP  –  a  contribution  one-­‐third  greater  than  would  be  expected  in  an  economy  Ohio’s  size.    Insurance-­‐related  GDP  grew  37  percent  after  inflation  between  2002  and  2010,  versus  U.S.  growth  of  32.1  percent.    Insurance  employment  is  also  a  larger-­‐than-­‐average  share  of  total  Ohio  employment  and  has  grown  much  faster  than  average  over  the  past  decade.    There  were  nearly  95,000  insurance  industry  jobs  in  Ohio  in  2011  –  an  employment  concentration  39  percent  greater  than  average.    As  Figure  1  shows,  insurance  employment  grew  far  faster  than  average  during  the  expansion  of  the  last  decade  and  declined  at  a  slower-­‐than-­‐average  rate  during  the  recession.    Employment  grew  6.3  percent  in  Ohio  between  2003  and  2007,  compared  to  U.S.  growth  of  2.2  percent.    Employment  declined  4.2  percent  between  2007  and  2011  in  Ohio,  while  falling  5.6  percent  nationwide.    Thus,  the  industry  softened  two  unfavorable  employment  trends  during  the  past  decade.    Total  Ohio  employment  grew  less  than  0.5  percent  between  2003  and  2007,  far  below  the  10  percent  U.S.  rate.    Ohio  was  one  of  only  four  states  with  fewer  jobs  at  the  end  of  the  expansion  in  2007  than  at  the  end  of  the  previous  expansion  in  2001.    Total  Ohio  employment  peaked  in  2006,  one  year  sooner  than  the  U.S.,  and  fell  7.6  percent  from  that  peak,  a  decline  more  than  one-­‐third  greater  than  the  U.S.  average.    

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Figure  1  Ohio  and  U.S  Insurance  Carriers  and  Related  Activities  Employment  Growth,  2003-­‐2011  

 Source:  U.S.  Bureau  of  Labor  Statistics,  Quarterly  Census  of  Employment  and  Wages.  

 As  shown  in  Figure  2  on  the  next  page,  this  better-­‐than-­‐average  employment  growth  has  continued  more  recently  as  well.    This  chart  tracks  cumulative  employment  growth  on  a  monthly  basis  beginning  in  January  2010,  near  the  trough  of  Ohio  and  U.S.  employment.    These  totals  are  less  reliable  than  those  in  Figure  1  –  particularly  those  for  June  2012  and  later  –  but  as  the  chart  shows,  net  growth  in  Ohio  employment  since  January  2010  has  been  3.3  percent,  more  than  triple  the  1.0  percent  national  average.    It  is  worth  noting  that  U.S.  insurance  employment  did  not  begin  growing  until  May  2011,  nearly  a  year  an  a  half  later  than  most  industries.    Insurance  employment  in  Ohio  is  at  record  highs;  U.S.  employment  is  still  6.5  percent  below  its  2007  peak.        

94.0  

96.0  

98.0  

100.0  

102.0  

104.0  

106.0  

108.0  

2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011  

Inde

x:  2002  =  100.0  

Ohio   U.S.  

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Figure  2  Ohio  and  U.S  Insurance  Carriers  and  Related  Activities  Employment  Growth,  Jan.  2010  –  Mar.  2013  

Seasonally  Adjusted  

 Source:  U.S.  Bureau  of  Labor  Statistics,  Current  Employment  Statistics.    Seasonal  adjustment  of  Ohio  employment  by  Regionomics.    

The  fact  that  Ohio’s  insurance  employment  is  greater  than  average  and  is  growing  faster  than  average  –  as  well  as  the  fact  that  Ohio  insurance  companies  serve  significant  numbers  of  customers  outside  of  Ohio  –  implies  that  it  is  an  economic  driver  of  the  state’s  economy.    Economic  drivers  lead  to  the  state’s  economy  performing  better  than  it  otherwise  would.    Further,  because  drivers  serve  customers  outside  of  Ohio,  they  bring  dollars  into  the  state’s  economy  –  the  only  way  that  household  incomes  can  increase  and  Ohioans’  living  standards  can  improve.    For  these  reasons,  economic  drivers  deserve  special  attention  by  economic  and  workforce  development.    Another  implication  of  the  fact  that  the  industry  is  larger  and  faster-­‐growing  than  average  is  that  the  companies  in  the  industry  are  more  competitive  than  their  counterparts  elsewhere  because  of  some  set  of  economic  and/or  environmental  characteristics  in  Ohio  that  favor  these  companies.    Determining  the  array  of  characteristics  making  Ohio  insurance  companies  unusually  successful  is  beyond  the  scope  of  this  study,  but  doing  so  is  an  important  task.    Part  of  nurturing  the  growth  of  the  drivers  is  caring  for  the  underlying  factors  that  make  them  successful  in  the  first  place.    Workforce  quality  is  certainly  one  of  those  factors.    Table  1  on  the  next  page  analyzes  the  composition,  growth,  and  relative  strength  of  Ohio’s  insurance  industry.    This  is  a  nested  classification,  with  successively  more  specific  components  a  subset  of  the  broader  component  above;  this  is  indicated  in  the  table  by  indenting  the  industries  that  are  subsets  of  the  broader  category.    Insurance  Carriers  and  Related  Activities  is  the  broad  category,  which  consists  of  two  primary  components:  Insurance  Carriers,  and  Insurance  Agencies  and  Brokerages  and  Other  

97.0  

98.0  

99.0  

100.0  

101.0  

102.0  

103.0  

104.0  

105.0  

106.0  1/10  

3/10  

5/10  

7/10  

9/10  

11/10  

1/11  

3/11  

5/11  

7/11  

9/11  

11/11  

1/12  

3/12  

5/12  

7/12  

9/12  

11/12  

1/13  

3/13  

Ohio   U.S.  

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Activities.    Insurance  Carriers  in  turn  includes  Direct  Life  and  Health  Insurance  Carriers;  and  Direct  Insurers,  except  Life  and  Health.    The  table  compares  Ohio  to  U.S.  employment  growth  through  the  expansion  and  the  contraction,  unpacking  the  better-­‐than-­‐average  employment  growth  in  Ohio.    Comparing  2002-­‐2007  Ohio  and  U.S.  growth,  it  is  clear  that  the  key  reason  for  the  above-­‐average  growth  of  insurance  employment  during  the  expansion  was  property  and  casualty  insurers,  which  are  a  large  share  of  total  employment  (more  than  one-­‐third  of  the  total)  and  growth  of  more  than  10  percent,  versus  a  small  loss  at  the  national  level.    While  health  insurers’  growth  also  exceeded  the  average,  life  insurance  companies  shed  positions  at  a  faster  rate  than  their  counterparts  elsewhere.    The  contributions  to  the  smaller-­‐than-­‐average  recession  declines  were  much  more  balanced:  most  segments  did  better  than  average,  with  health  insurers  turning  in  an  especially  impressive  performance.    The  final  column  of  Table  1  presents  each  component’s  Location  Quotient  (LQ).    This  is  a  measure  of  relative  employment  concentration,  and  is  calculated  by  dividing  the  share  of  total  payroll  employment  accounted  for  by  the  industry  in  Ohio  by  its  employment  share  nationally.    LQs  greater  than  one  indicate  industries  with  greater-­‐than-­‐average  concentrations  of  employment  in  Ohio.    (The  overall  LQ  of  1.143  can  be  interpreted  as  a  concentration  of  employment  14.3  percent  higher  than  what  would  be  expected  in  an  economy  Ohio’s  size.)    Certain  components  are  far  more  concentrated  than  are  others;  property  and  casualty  insurers  have  almost  twice  the  employment  that  would  be  expected,  while  life  and  health  carriers’  employment  is  slightly  below  average.    Agencies  and  brokerages  are  also  below  average,  but  that  is  to  be  expected:  these  establishments  serve  primarily  a  local  market,  so  an  LQ  far  greater  than  

 Table  1  

Employment,  Growth,  and  Concentration  of  Ohio’s  Insurance  Industry     Ohio  emp.   Change,  2002-­‐07   Change,  2007-­‐11   LQ**  

Industry*   2011   Ohio   U.S.   Ohio   U.S.   2011  Insurance  carriers  and  related  activities   94,736   6.3%   2.2%   -­‐4.2%   -­‐5.6%   1.143  Insurance  carriers   61,814   2.6%   -­‐2.7%   -­‐3.6%   -­‐7.6%   1.281  Direct  life  and  health  insurance  carriers   23,372   -­‐5.4%   -­‐3.4%   3.7%   -­‐6.2%   0.940  Direct  life  insurance  carriers   10,136   -­‐16.4%   -­‐11.0%   -­‐5.6%   -­‐7.5%   0.896  Direct  health  &  medical  ins.  carriers   13,237   7.4%   4.0%   12.1%   -­‐5.2%   0.976  

Direct  insurers,  except  life  and  health   38,116   7.7%   -­‐1.4%   -­‐7.6%   -­‐9.4%   1.707  Direct  property  and  casualty  insurers   36,152   10.6%   -­‐1.7%   -­‐4.6%   -­‐5.3%   1.935  Direct  title  insurance  carriers   1,490   -­‐22.3%   -­‐3.5%   -­‐48.9%   -­‐35.1%   0.472  Other  direct  insurance  carriers   474   38.8%   30.6%   4.4%   2.5%   0.974  

Reinsurance  carriers   325   1.3%   -­‐13.1%   3.2%   -­‐3.5%   0.310  Insurance  agencies  and  brokerages  and  other  activities   32,922   13.7%   10.1%   -­‐5.4%   -­‐2.8%   0.950  Insurance  agencies  and  brokerages   23,899   9.0%   9.1%   -­‐6.6%   -­‐5.3%   0.928  Other  insurance  related  activities   9,023   29.1%   12.9%   -­‐2.1%   4.7%   1.014  Claims  adjusting   1,488   9.6%   9.4%   27.7%   -­‐1.8%   0.742  Third  party  admin.  of  insurance  funds   6,522   27.9%   10.8%   -­‐2.3%   7.6%   1.337  All  other  insurance  related  activities   1,013   60.3%   22.4%   -­‐26.2%   4.2%   0.503  

*Indented  industries  are  subsets  of  the  industry  above.  **LQ  =  Location  quotient,  the  percentage  of  total  Ohio  employment  in  the  industry  divided  by  the  percentage  of  U.S.  employment  in  the  industry.    LQ  greater  than  1.0  implies  a  higher-­‐than-­‐average  concentration  of  employment  in  the  industry.  Source:  Calculated  from  U.S.  Bureau  of  Labor  Statistics,  Quarterly  Census  of  Employment  and  Wages.  

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1.0  would  be  a  danger  sign  indicating  overconcentration.    However,  one  of  the  subcategories  of  Other  Insurance-­‐Related  Activities  that  does  have  a  high  concentration  is  third  party  administration.    Because  this  industry  is  a  conduit  between  insurance  companies  and  employers,  access  to  the  expertise  of  former  insurance  carrier  employees  that  is  available  to  these  companies  is  likely  a  significant  advantage  that  Ohio-­‐based  third-­‐party  administrators  enjoy.      

Insurance  Employment  at  the  County  Level    

An  important  point  for  insurance  industry  workforce  planning  is  that  concentrated  pockets  of  insurance  employment  exist  throughout  the  state,  including  in  a  number  of  smaller  Metropolitan  Statistical  Areas  (MSAs)  and  rural  counties.    This  is  shown  in  Figure  3,  which  color-­‐codes  Ohio  counties  in  terms  of  their  overall  insurance  location  quotient.    Insurance  employment  is  not  reported  for  the  19  counties  in  white.    Confidentiality  restrictions  require  employment  to  be  suppressed  in  cases  where  employment  for  any  single  business  could  be  deduced  either  because  of  a  very  small  number  employers  or  a  single  dominant  employer.    Information  from  a  different  source      

Figure  3  County-­‐Level  Location  Quotients  for  Insurance  Carriers  and  Related  Activities,  2011  

        LQ  1.2/higher     LQ  0.7-­‐1.2     LQ  0.36-­‐0.69     LQ  0.26-­‐0.35     LQ  0.34/lower     No  data    

Source:  Calculated  from  U.S.  Bureau  of  Labor  Statistics,  Quarterly  Census  of  Employment  and  Wages.    

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(the  Census  Bureau’s  County  Business  Patterns)  suggests  that  none  of  these  counties  has  an  insurance  employment  concentration  greater  than  0.4.    Table  2  presents  employment  and  employment  growth  in  the  13  counties  with  LQ  greater  than  the  state  average  –  the  counties  colored  dark  blue  in  Figure  3.    From  a  workforce  planning  standpoint,  LQ  is  a  more  significant  indicator  of  a  county  requiring  workforce  development  focus  than  is  its  sheer  number  of  jobs.    A  table  of  counties  with  the  greatest  employment  size  would  be  dominated  by  the  large  urban  counties.    These  counties  have  large  numbers  of  insurance  workers,  but  they  also  have  large  numbers  of  available  workers  and  are  part  of  MSAs  from  which  even  more  workers  can  be  drawn.    This  is  true  of  the  suburban  counties  in  Table  2  as  well.    On  the  other  hand,  small  MSA  and  rural  counties  (for  instance,  Clark,  Crawford,  Monroe,  and  Van  Wert  in  Table  2)  have  smaller  total  employment  but  may  have  even  greater  problems  finding  qualified  workers  because  of  the  smaller  total  workforce  and  the  smaller  share  of  college  graduates  that  is  common  in  the  workforce  of  the  counties  outside  of  Ohio’s  major  metropolitan  areas.      

Table  2  Level  and  Growth  of  Insurance  Employment  in  High-­‐Concentration  Ohio  Counties  

    Employmt.   Percentage  change   LQ*  County   County  seat   2011   2003-­‐2007   2007-­‐2011   2011  Butler     Hamilton   5,575   30.4%   -­‐2.1%   2.551  Clark     Springfield   2,018   612.7%   12.8%   2.662  Clermont     Batavia   1,515   16.7%   -­‐7.6%   1.839  Crawford     Bucyrus   267   1.8%   -­‐4.3%   1.282  Cuyahoga     Cleveland   18,164   5.9%   -­‐12.5%   1.676  Delaware     Delaware   2,890   141.1%   21.0%   2.425  Franklin     Columbus   21,374   -­‐0.3%   -­‐8.0%   2.064  Hamilton   Cincinnati   10,307   -­‐8.8%   -­‐11.1%   1.352  Licking   Newark   1,669   13.2%   11.6%   2.047  Monroe   Woodsfield   129   N/A   N/A   2.246  Summit   Akron   4,799   8.0%   1.8%   1.200  Van  Wert   Van  Wert   430   12.0%   -­‐5.7%   2.740  Warren   Lebanon   2,589   34.0%   35.2%   2.205  Ohio       6.3%   -­‐4.2%   1.143  United  States       2.2%   -­‐5.6%    Source:  Calculated  from  U.S.  Bureau  of  Labor  Statistics,  Quarterly  Census  of  Employment  and  Wages.      

Statewide  Occupational  Employment  Distribution  and  Projection    A  Bureau  of  Labor  Statistics  database,  the  Industry-­‐Occupation  Employment  Matrix,  provides  national-­‐level  estimates  of  the  number  of  workers  employed  in  specific  occupations  within  a  wide  array  of  industries  as  of  2010  and  2020.    The  insurance  industries  available  include  Direct  Insurers,  except  Life  and  Health;  Insurance  Agencies  and  Brokerages;  and  Other  Insurance-­‐Related  Activities.    (See  Table  1;  regrettably,  Direct  Life  and  Health  Insurance  Carriers  are  not  available  in  the  database.)    If  we  assume  that  the  distribution  of  occupations  in  Ohio  companies  is  typical  of  the  national  distribution,  estimates  of  occupational  employment  in  Ohio  insurance  companies  in  2011  can  be  easily  generated  by  multiplying  the  national  percentage  of  employment  in  each  occupation  by  the  corresponding  2011  employment  total  from  Table  1.  

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 Further,  combining  the  2020  Employment  Matrix  projections  with  2010-­‐2020  net  industry  growth  projections  for  Ohio  from  the  Ohio  Labor  Market  Information  Bureau  generates  occupation-­‐level  employment  projections  for  the  state  that  incorporate  both  industry  growth  and  anticipated  shifts  in  demand  for  specific  occupations  by  the  insurance  industry.    Table  3  shows  the  Ohio  net  growth  projections  as  well  as  the  2010-­‐2020  U.S.  growth  projections  from  the  Bureau  of  Labor  Statistics  for  the  overall  economy  and  for  the  insurance  industry.    Projected  Ohio  growth  for  insurance  carriers  in  the  coming  decade  is  much  stronger  than  the  national  average.    Agency,  brokerage,  and  other  activity  growth  is  less,  however  –  likely  because  Ohio’s  slow  population  growth  will  generate  less  growth  in  the  demand  for  insurance  agency  services.    

Table  3  2010-­‐2020  Net  Growth  Projections  for  Insurance-­‐Related  Industries  

  Ohio  employment  (000)   Ohio  change   U.S.  change     2010   2020   Change   2000-­‐10   2010-­‐20   2000-­‐10   2010-­‐20  Total,  all  industries   5,368.9   5,867.0   498.1   -­‐10.0%   9.3%   -­‐2.2%   14.3%  Insurance  carriers  and  related  activities   95.6   103.0   7.4   -­‐0.6%   7.8%   0.8%   8.7%  

Insurance  carriers   62.3   65.5   3.2   -­‐6.6%   5.2%   -­‐4.6%   3.4%  Agencies,  brokerages,  and  other  insurance-­‐related  activities   33.3   37.4   4.2   11.1%   12.6%   10.5%   17.0%  

Source:    2010-­‐2020  Employment  Projections,  Ohio  Labor  Market  Information  Bureau  and  U.S.  Bureau  of  Labor  Statistics.    The  net  employment  changes  derived  from  these  calculations  represent  only  a  portion  of  the  total  need  for  new  employees,  however;  a  substantial  need  is  also  created  through  turnover  in  existing  positions.    The  Ohio  Occupational  Employment  Projections  include  estimates  of  the  annual  need  created  by  turnover  within  each  specific  occupation  (across  all  industries).    Multiplying  the  annual  need  by  ten  gives  the  ten-­‐year  all-­‐industry  turnover  for  the  occupation.    This  is  divided  by  the  2010  all-­‐industry  employment  to  get  the  ten-­‐year  turnover  rate;  the  ten-­‐year  rate  is  multiplied  by  0.9  to  get  the  nine-­‐year  rate.    The  nine-­‐year  rate  times  the  estimate  of  2011  employment  in  the  occupation  within  the  specific  insurance  industry  gives  the  2011-­‐2020  replacement  need  for  the  occupation  within  the  industry.    The  replacement  need  plus  the  growth  need  equals  the  total  need.    In  most  cases,  the  replacement  need  is  far  larger  than  the  growth  need;  in  total,  replacement  needs  account  for  79  percent  of  the  total  workforce  need.    The  Appendix  contains  tables  providing  growth  and  replacement  needs  for  workers  in  total  and  for  the  most  prevalent  occupations  within  the  available  insurance  industries.    Table  A-­‐1  features  Direct  Insurers,  except  Life  and  Health.    Insurance  Agencies  and  Brokerages  are  in  Table  A-­‐2,  and  Other  Insurance-­‐Related  Activities  are  in  Table  A-­‐3.    Table  A-­‐4  combines  the  information  in  Tables  A-­‐1  through  A-­‐3  to  provide  occupational  needs  for  these  industries  in  total.    For  the  industry  overall,  four  occupations  –  sales  agents,  claims  adjusters,  claims  and  policy  processing  clerks,  and  customer  service  representatives  –  together  account  for  a  need  of  nearly  10,900,  more  than  half  of  the  19,600  total.    Again,  however,  occupational  needs  for  life  and  health  insurers  are  not  part  of  this  overall  need  because  this  industry  is  not  included  in  the  Employment  Matrices.    In  many  respects  the  staffing  pattern  for  life  and  health  insurers  likely  resembles  that  of  the  other  types  of  direct  carriers  in  Table  A-­‐1,  except  for  a  greater  relative  need  for  actuaries  and  for  medical  professionals  such  as  registered  nurses.  

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Because  life  and  health  insurers  are  not  represented  in  this  analysis,  the  19,600-­‐employee  need  reported  in  Table  A-­‐4  understates  the  total  industry-­‐wide  need.    A  rough  approximation  of  the  total  need  can  be  obtained  by  noting  that  the  total  need  for  all  three  available  industries  as  a  percentage  of  2011  employment  is  quite  similar  –  between  27.2  percent  and  27.9  percent  –  so  the  total  need  for  new  workers  in  life  and  health  insurance  companies  probably  lies  in  this  range  as  well.    Life  and  health  insurers  employed  23,696  in  2010  and  23,372  in  2011;  the  latter  total  is  reported  in  Table  1.    From  Table  3,  insurance  carriers’  employment  is  expected  to  increase  5.2  percent  between  2010  and  2020;  this  implies  life  and  health  insurance  employment  of  24,921  in  2020.    Net  nine-­‐year  growth  is  thus  1,549.    The  most  appropriate  total  need  percentage  is  probably  the  27.2  percent  for  direct  non-­‐life  and  health  carriers  rather  than  the  27.6  percent  for  the  combined  three  industries.    This  implies  a  total  growth  and  replacement  need  of  6,358;  subtracting  the  growth  need  from  the  total  need  gives  a  replacement  need  of  4,809.    Adding  life  and  health  carriers’  needs  to  the  total  for  the  other  industries  implies  that  Ohio’s  insurance  industry  will  need  a  total  of  26,000  new  workers  between  2011  and  2020.    These  calculations  and  the  resulting  needs  are  summarized  in  Table  4.1    

Table  4  Occupational  Growth  and  Replacement  Needs,  All  Insurance  Industries  Including  

Direct  Life  and  Health  Carriers     2011   2020   Growth   Turnover   Total  need   Pct.  of  2011  

Industries  other  than  life  &  health*   71,038   75,217   4,179   15,417   19,596   27.6%  Life  and  health   23,372   24,921   1,549   4,809   6,358   27.2%  Total  industry   94,410   100,138   5,728   20,227   25,954   27.5%  *From  Table  A-­‐4.      

The  Affordable  Care  Act  and  the  Health  Insurance  Industry    An  implicit  assumption  in  the  ten-­‐year  projections  analyzed  above  is  that  although  they  reflect  anticipated  changes  in  technology,  the  industry’s  status  quo  will  continue  fundamentally  unchanged.    That  assumption  fails  in  one  important  case:  the  passage  of  the  Affordable  Care  Act  (ACA)  and  its  affirmation  in  the  Supreme  Court  in  June  2012  will  have  potentially  substantial  impacts  on  the  health  insurance  industry.    While  no  detailed  analysis  seems  to  exist  regarding  the  impact  of  the  ACA  on  insurance  industry  employment,  considering  the  implications  of  the  law  implies  the  general  conclusion  that  employment  is  likely  to  increase,  both  for  carriers  and  agencies.    Beginning  next  year,  everyone  (with  a  few  exceptions)  will  be  required  to  buy  health  insurance.    Those  who  fail  to  do  so  –  other  than  those  who  do  not  earn  enough  to  owe  income  tax  –  will  be  charged  a  fine  equal  in  2014  to  one  percent  of  income  or  up  to  $285  per  family,  whichever  is  higher.    By  2016,  the  fine  rises  to  2.5  percent  of  income  or  up  to  $2,085  per  family,  whichever  is  higher.    Insurance  costs  will  be  subsidized  for  anyone  earning  less  than  400  percent  of  the  federal  poverty  threshold,  or  $45,960  for  an  individual  and  $94,200  for  a  family  of  four  in  2013.    Insurers  cannot  deny  people  insurance  on  the  basis  of  pre-­‐existing  conditions.    However,  the  public  option  –  which  would  have  drawn  customers  away  from  private  insurance  companies  –  was  not  part  of  the  final  law.    

1  Observant  readers  will  note  a  slight  difference  between  total  2011  Ohio  insurance  employment  in  Table  4  and  the  total  reported  for  all  industries  in  Table  1.    The  Table  4  total  does  not  include  the  325  employees  of  reinsurance  carriers;  reinsurance  is  not  part  of  any  other  industry  and  is  not  covered  in  the  analysis.  

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These  provisions  will  induce  numerous  healthy  people  who  currently  self-­‐insure  to  buy  insurance,  as  well  as  those  previously  uninsurable.    Nationally,  46.4  million  people  lacked  health  insurance  at  some  point  during  2011,  as  did  1.35  million  Ohioans,  according  to  estimates  in  the  American  Community  Survey.    Madhavan  argues  that  this  creates  both  challenges  and  opportunities  for  insurance  carriers.    The  challenge  is  managing  the  risk  of  those  with  pre-­‐existing  conditions.    Madhavan  recommends  that  these  be  grouped  in  two  categories  –  those  whose  conditions  are  manageable  with  medications  and  lifestyle  changes,  and  those  with  conditions  that  are  severe  and  leading  to  high  medical  loss  ratios.    This  requires  insurance  carriers  to  implement  more  sophisticated  risk  analysis  and  management  practices.    The  opportunity  is  that  the  potential  customer  base  is  much  larger  and  more  retail-­‐oriented.    Madhavan  recommends  that  insurance  carriers  become  more  deliberate  about  targeting  the  right  product  to  potential  customers  in  order  to  increase  sales.    Nussbaum  argues  that  the  industry  in  general  will  need  to  shift  its  marketing  strategy  to  a  far  more  retail-­‐oriented  approach  rather  than  focusing  on  a  human  resources  director  who  may  be  choosing  coverage  for  a  staff  of  several  hundred.    He  cites  a  United  Healthcare  customer  service  center  in  a  mall  as  an  example  of  this  approach.    These  points  imply  that  staffing  patterns  in  health  insurance  may  shift.    There  is  likely  to  be  greater  demand  for  actuaries  to  quantify  the  changing  risk  of  the  expanded  customer  base.    The  need  for  customer  service  representatives  and  back-­‐office  financial  functions  is  likely  to  increase  to  handle  the  larger,  more  granular  customer  base.    Marketing  functions  are  likely  to  be  in  greater  demand  as  well  to  help  capitalize  upon  the  opportunities  that  the  ACA  will  provide.    The  demand  for  services  of  insurance  agencies  –  and  hence  their  employment  –  is  likely  to  increase  as  well.    In  general,  the  passage  of  the  ACA  suggests  that  insurance  employment  and  the  demand  for  insurance  workforce  is  likely  to  be  greater  than  the  26,000  implied  by  the  analysis  above.        

Works  Cited    Madhavan,  Anand.  "Prospecting  For  Members."  Best's  Review  113.8  (2012):  44-­‐46.  Business  Source  

Premier.  Web.  16  May  2013.    Nussbaum,  Alex.  "Buy  Your  Insurance  Next  To  The  Cinnabon."  Bloomberg  Businessweek  4313  (2013):  

20-­‐21.  Business  Source  Premier.  Web.  16  May  2013.      

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APPENDIX    

Table  A-­‐1  Occupational  Growth  and  Replacement  Needs,  Direct  Insurers,  except  Life  and  Health  

Occupation   2011   2020   Growth   Turnover   Total  need   Pct.  of  2011  Total,  All  Occupations 38,116   40,279   2,163   8,205   10,369   27.2%  Claims  Adjusters,  Examiners,  and  Investigators 6,251   6,606   355   1,444   1,799   28.6%  Insurance  Claims  and  Policy  Processing  Clerks 3,964   3,786   -­‐178   1,074   896   22.5%  Insurance  Underwriters 3,164   3,665   502   930   1,432   45.0%  Customer  Service  Representatives 3,126   3,303   177   803   980   31.2%  Insurance  Sales  Agents 2,401   2,820   418   497   916   37.9%  Title  Examiners,  Abstractors,  and  Searchers 1,067   1,047   -­‐20   145   125   11.6%  First-­‐Line  Supervisors  of  Office  and  Administrative  Support  Workers 991   1,047   56   240   296   29.7%  Office  Clerks,  General 991   1,047   56   159   215   21.6%  Business  Operations  Specialists,  All  Other 877   926   50   152   202   22.9%  Management  Analysts 800   846   45   118   163   20.3%  General  and  Operations  Managers 648   604   -­‐44   109   65   10.0%  Computer  Systems  Analysts 648   685   37   110   147   22.5%  Executive  Secretaries  and  Executive  Administrative  Assistants 648   685   37   79   115   17.7%  Financial  Managers 610   644   35   101   136   22.1%  Accountants  and  Auditors 610   644   35   119   153   25.0%  Secretaries  and  Administrative  Assistants,  Except  Legal,  Medical,  and  Executive 610   564   -­‐46   74   28   4.6%  Bookkeeping,  Accounting,  and  Auditing  Clerks 534   564   30   53   83   15.6%  Software  Developers,  Applications 496   524   28   47   75   15.0%  Lawyers 496   524   28   85   113   22.8%  Insurance  Appraisers,  Auto  Damage 419   403   -­‐16   98   81   19.3%  Computer  Support  Specialists 419   443   24   100   123   29.3%  Managers,  All  Other 343   363   19   69   88   25.7%  Financial  Analysts 305   322   17   58   76   24.7%  Sales  Managers 267   282   15   70   85   31.8%  Computer  and  Information  Systems  Managers 267   282   15   37   52   19.4%  Training  and  Development  Specialists 267   322   55   41   96   35.8%  Computer  Programmers 267   282   15   56   71   26.6%  Loan  Interviewers  and  Clerks 267   282   15   45   60   22.3%  Market  Research  Analysts  and  Marketing  Specialists 229   282   53   55   108   47.1%  

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 Table  A-­‐1  

Occupational  Growth  and  Replacement  Needs,  Direct  Insurers,  except  Life  and  Health  (Continued)  Occupation   2011   2020   Growth   Turnover   Total  need   Pct.  of  2011  

Loan  Officers 229   242   13   53   66   28.8%  Information  Security  Analysts,  Web  Developers,  and  Computer  Network  Architects 229   242   13   31   44   19.0%  Sales  Representatives,  Services,  All  Other 229   242   13   61   74   32.1%  Network  and  Computer  Systems  Administrators 191   242   51   29   80   41.9%  Actuaries 191   242   51   104   155   80.9%  Paralegals  and  Legal  Assistants 191   242   51   24   76   39.4%  First-­‐Line  Supervisors  of  Non-­‐Retail  Sales  Workers 191   201   11   43   54   28.3%  Billing  and  Posting  Clerks 191   201   11   30   41   21.3%  Receptionists  and  Information  Clerks 191   201   11   52   63   32.9%  Marketing  Managers 152   161   9   40   49   31.9%  Administrative  Services  Managers 152   161   9   34   43   27.8%  Compliance  Officers 152   201   49   17   66   42.8%  Human  Resources,  Training,  and  Labor  Relations  Specialists,  All  Other 152   161   9   23   32   20.8%  Computer  Occupations,  All  Other 152   161   9   26   35   22.6%  Telemarketers 152   161   9   29   38   24.8%  File  Clerks 152   161   9   36   45   29.3%  Mail  Clerks  and  Mail  Machine  Operators,  Except  Postal  Service 152   161   9   27   35   23.1%  Chief  Executives 114   81   -­‐34   27   -­‐7   -­‐6.0%  Financial  Specialists,  All  Other 114   121   6   22   28   24.8%        

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Table  A-­‐2  Occupational  Growth  and  Replacement  Needs,  Insurance  Agencies  and  Brokerages  

Occupation   2011   2020   Growth   Turnover   Total  need   Pct.  of  2011  Total,  All  Occupations 23,899   25,312   1,413   5,101   6,513   27.3%  Insurance  Sales  Agents   8,269   9,467   1,198   1,717   2,914   35.0%  Customer  Service  Representatives   3,226   3,240   14   831   844   26.0%  Insurance  Claims  and  Policy  Processing  Clerks   2,748   3,113   365   746   1,111   40.1%  Office  Clerks,  General   1,482   1,493   12   238   249   16.7%  Secretaries  and  Administrative  Assistants,  Except  Legal,  Medical,  and  Executive   1,147   1,063   -­‐84   139   55   4.8%  Claims  Adjusters,  Examiners,  and  Investigators   645   658   13   149   162   25.0%  Bookkeeping,  Accounting,  and  Auditing  Clerks   550   557   7   55   62   11.2%  Insurance  Underwriters   526   532   6   155   161   30.3%  First-­‐Line  Supervisors  of  Office  and  Administrative  Support  Workers   454   456   2   110   112   24.4%  Receptionists  and  Information  Clerks   454   456   2   124   126   27.6%  Executive  Secretaries  and  Executive  Administrative  Assistants   454   405   -­‐49   55   6   1.3%  General  and  Operations  Managers   430   405   -­‐25   73   47   10.9%  Accountants  and  Auditors   215   228   13   42   55   25.2%  First-­‐Line  Supervisors  of  Non-­‐Retail  Sales  Workers   215   228   13   49   62   28.5%  Sales  Managers   167   152   -­‐15   44   29   17.0%  Financial  Managers   143   152   8   24   32   22.3%  Securities,  Commodities,  and  Financial  Services  Sales  Agents   143   127   -­‐17   36   19   13.2%  Telemarketers   119   127   7   23   30   25.1%  Market  Research  Analysts  and  Marketing  Specialists   96   127   31   23   54   56.1%  Personal  Financial  Advisors   96   101   6   10   16   16.2%  Computer  Support  Specialists   96   76   -­‐20   23   3   3.2%  Sales  Representatives,  Services,  All  Other   96   76   -­‐20   25   6   6.0%  File  Clerks   96   76   -­‐20   23   3   3.2%  Chief  Executives   72   51   -­‐21   17   -­‐4   -­‐5.8%  Management  Analysts   72   51   -­‐21   11   -­‐10   -­‐14.5%  Business  Operations  Specialists,  All  Other   72   76   4   12   17   23.1%  Computer  Systems  Analysts   72   51   -­‐21   12   -­‐9   -­‐12.3%  Network  and  Computer  Systems  Administrators   72   76   4   11   15   21.1%  Billing  and  Posting  Clerks   72   76   4   11   16   21.6%  Data  Entry  Keyers   72   51   -­‐21   11   -­‐10   -­‐13.4%  Marketing  Managers   48   51   3   13   15   32.1%  

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Table  A-­‐2  Occupational  Growth  and  Replacement  Needs,  Insurance  Agencies  and  Brokerages  (Continued)

Occupation   2011   2020   Growth   Turnover   Total  need   Pct.  of  2011  Administrative  Services  Managers   48   51   3   11   14   28.1%  Computer  and  Information  Systems  Managers   48   51   3   7   9   19.6%  Insurance  Appraisers,  Auto  Damage   48   25   -­‐22   11   -­‐11   -­‐23.5%  Compliance  Officers   48   51   3   5   8   16.8%  Human  Resources,  Training,  and  Labor  Relations  Specialists,  All  Other   48   51   3   7   10   21.0%  Compensation,  Benefits,  and  Job  Analysis  Specialists   48   51   3   7   10   21.1%  Training  and  Development  Specialists   48   51   3   7   10   21.0%  Financial  Analysts   48   51   3   9   12   24.9%  Financial  Specialists,  All  Other   48   51   3   9   12   25.0%  Computer  Programmers   48   51   3   10   13   26.8%  Public  Relations  Specialists   48   51   3   12   14   29.9%  Janitors  and  Cleaners,  Except  Maids  and  Housekeeping  Cleaners   48   51   3   8   11   22.8%  Retail  Salespersons   48   51   3   13   16   32.3%  Switchboard  Operators,  Including  Answering  Service   48   25   -­‐22   8   -­‐14   -­‐29.3%  Mail  Clerks  and  Mail  Machine  Operators,  Except  Postal  Service   48   51   3   8   11   23.3%        

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Table  A-­‐3  Occupational  Growth  and  Replacement  Needs,  Other  Insurance-­‐Related  Activities  

Occupation   2011   2020   Growth   Turnover   Total  need   Pct.  of  2011  Total,  All  Occupations 9,023   9,626   603   1,914   2,517   27.9%  Claims  Adjusters,  Examiners,  and  Investigators   1,823   1,964   141   425   566   30.6%  Customer  Service  Representatives   929   1,011   81   241   322   34.2%  Insurance  Claims  and  Policy  Processing  Clerks   731   799   68   200   268   36.1%  Office  Clerks,  General   406   443   37   66   102   24.8%  First-­‐Line  Supervisors  of  Office  and  Administrative  Support  Workers   325   356   31   79   111   33.6%  Insurance  Sales  Agents   316   347   31   66   97   30.2%  General  and  Operations  Managers   244   231   -­‐13   41   29   11.6%  Bookkeeping,  Accounting,  and  Auditing  Clerks   244   270   26   24   50   20.4%  Secretaries  and  Administrative  Assistants,  Except  Legal,  Medical,  and  Executive   235   231   -­‐4   29   25   10.6%  Executive  Secretaries  and  Executive  Administrative  Assistants   199   212   13   24   38   18.7%  Accountants  and  Auditors   189   202   13   37   50   25.9%  Insurance  Underwriters   189   202   13   56   69   35.8%  Registered  Nurses   144   164   19   24   43   29.5%  Billing  and  Posting  Clerks   135   144   9   22   31   22.3%  Business  Operations  Specialists,  All  Other   126   135   8   22   31   23.8%  Financial  Managers   108   116   7   18   25   23.1%  Management  Analysts   108   116   7   16   23   21.2%  Compensation,  Benefits,  and  Job  Analysis  Specialists   99   96   -­‐3   15   12   12.2%  Computer  Systems  Analysts   99   106   7   17   24   23.5%  Software  Developers,  Applications   99   106   7   9   16   15.9%  Computer  Support  Specialists   99   106   7   24   30   30.2%  Data  Entry  Keyers   99   87   -­‐13   16   3   3.2%  Sales  Representatives,  Services,  All  Other   81   87   5   22   27   33.0%  Insurance  Appraisers,  Auto  Damage   72   67   -­‐5   17   12   16.7%  Computer  Programmers   72   67   -­‐5   15   11   14.4%  Actuaries   72   77   5   40   45   60.8%  Receptionists  and  Information  Clerks   72   77   5   20   25   33.8%  Computer  and  Information  Systems  Managers   63   67   4   9   13   20.4%  Network  and  Computer  Systems  Administrators   63   77   14   10   24   36.8%  Mail  Clerks  and  Mail  Machine  Operators,  Except  Postal  Service   63   67   4   11   15   24.0%  Administrative  Services  Managers   54   58   4   12   16   28.8%  

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Table  A-­‐3  Occupational  Growth  and  Replacement  Needs,  Other  Insurance-­‐Related  Activities  (Continued)  

Occupation   2011   2020   Growth   Turnover   Total  need   Pct.  of  2011  Financial  Analysts   54   58   4   10   14   25.7%  File  Clerks   54   39   -­‐16   13   -­‐3   -­‐4.8%  Chief  Executives   45   39   -­‐7   11   4   8.9%  Sales  Managers   45   48   3   12   15   32.8%  Compliance  Officers   45   48   3   5   8   17.5%  Training  and  Development  Specialists   45   48   3   7   10   21.7%  Bill  and  Account  Collectors   45   48   3   8   11   24.1%  Human  Resources,  Training,  and  Labor  Relations  Specialists,  All  Other   36   39   2   6   8   21.8%  Market  Research  Analysts  and  Marketing  Specialists   36   48   12   9   21   56.8%  Personal  Financial  Advisors   36   39   2   4   6   16.9%  Financial  Specialists,  All  Other   36   39   2   7   9   25.7%  Information  Security  Analysts,  Web  Developers,  and  Computer  Network  Architects   36   39   2   5   7   19.9%  Lawyers   36   39   2   6   9   23.7%  Securities,  Commodities,  and  Financial  Services  Sales  Agents   36   39   2   9   12   31.5%  Correspondence  Clerks   36   29   -­‐7   10   3   7.0%        

Page 18: University of Cincinnati | University Of Cincinnati ......WORKFORCE(CHARACTERISTICS(AND(WORKFORCE(DEVELOPMENT(INOHIO’SINSURANCEINDUSTRY(! Bill!LaFayette,!Ph.D.! Owner,!Regionomics®!!

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Table  A-­‐3  Occupational  Growth  and  Replacement  Needs,  Combined  Insurance  Industries,  except  Life  and  Health  

Occupation   2011   2020   Growth   Turnover   Total  need   Pct.  of  2011  Total,  All  Occupations   71,038   75,217   4,179   15,417   19,596   27.6%  Insurance  Sales  Agents 10,986   12,633   1,647   2,280   3,927   35.5%  Claims  Adjusters,  Examiners,  and  Investigators   8,719   9,228   509   2,019   2,528   28.8%  Insurance  Claims  and  Policy  Processing  Clerks   7,443   7,699   255   2,019   2,275   30.4%  Customer  Service  Representatives   7,281   7,554   272   1,874   2,147   29.3%  Insurance  Underwriters   3,879   4,399   520   1,141   1,661   42.6%  Secretaries  and  Administrative  Assistants,  Except  Legal,  Medical,  and  Executive   1,992   1,858   -­‐134   242   109   5.4%  First-­‐Line  Supervisors  of  Office  and  Administrative  Support  Workers   1,770   1,859   89   429   518   29.1%  Bookkeeping,  Accounting,  and  Auditing  Clerks   1,327   1,390   63   132   196   14.6%  General  and  Operations  Managers   1,322   1,240   -­‐82   223   141   10.6%  Executive  Secretaries  and  Executive  Administrative  Assistants   1,301   1,302   1   158   159   12.2%  Title  Examiners,  Abstractors,  and  Searchers   1,091   1,073   -­‐19   148   129   11.8%  Business  Operations  Specialists,  All  Other   1,075   1,137   62   186   249   23.0%  Accountants  and  Auditors   1,014   1,074   60   198   258   25.2%  Management  Analysts   980   1,012   32   145   176   17.9%  Financial  Managers   862   912   50   143   193   22.3%  Computer  Systems  Analysts   819   841   22   139   161   19.6%  Receptionists  and  Information  Clerks   717   734   17   197   214   29.6%  Software  Developers,  Applications   619   655   36   58   94   15.2%  Computer  Support  Specialists   614   625   11   146   157   25.4%  Lawyers   555   587   32   96   128   22.8%  Insurance  Appraisers,  Auto  Damage   539   495   -­‐44   126   82   15.2%  Sales  Managers   479   482   3   126   129   26.7%  First-­‐Line  Supervisors  of  Non-­‐Retail  Sales  Workers   433   468   35   99   134   30.7%  Financial  Analysts   407   431   24   78   102   24.9%  Sales  Representatives,  Services,  All  Other   405   404   -­‐1   108   107   26.1%  Billing  and  Posting  Clerks   398   422   24   63   87   21.7%  Managers,  All  Other   394   417   23   79   102   25.7%  Computer  Programmers   387   400   13   81   95   24.3%  Computer  and  Information  Systems  Managers   378   400   22   52   75   19.6%  Market  Research  Analysts  and  Marketing  Specialists   360   457   96   87   183   50.5%  Training  and  Development  Specialists   360   421   61   55   116   32.1%  

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Table  A-­‐3  Occupational  Growth  and  Replacement  Needs,  Combined  Insurance  Industries,  except  Life  and  Health  (Continued)

Occupation   2011   2020   Growth   Turnover   Total  need   Pct.  of  2011  Network  and  Computer  Systems  Administrators   325   395   69   50   119   36.3%  File  Clerks   302   276   -­‐27   72   45   14.9%  Loan  Interviewers  and  Clerks   291   307   17   49   65   22.3%  Telemarketers   290   307   17   56   73   25.0%  Information  Security  Analysts,  Web  Developers,  and  Computer  Network  Architects   289   305   17   39   55   19.1%  Actuaries   287   344   57   157   214   74.1%  Data  Entry  Keyers   285   258   -­‐27   45   18   6.3%  Mail  Clerks  and  Mail  Machine  Operators,  Except  Postal  Service   263   279   16   46   62   23.4%  Administrative  Services  Managers   254   269   15   57   72   28.1%  Loan  Officers   253   267   14   59   73   28.8%  Compliance  Officers   245   300   55   27   82   33.1%  Human  Resources,  Training,  and  Labor  Relations  Specialists,  All  Other   236   250   14   36   50   21.0%  Chief  Executives   231   170   -­‐61   54   -­‐7   -­‐3.0%  Marketing  Managers   227   241   13   60   73   32.0%  Compensation,  Benefits,  and  Job  Analysis  Specialists   223   227   4   34   38   17.1%  Registered  Nurses   221   244   24   36   60   26.9%  Securities,  Commodities,  and  Financial  Services  Sales  Agents   218   205   -­‐12   55   42   19.3%  Paralegals  and  Legal  Assistants   211   286   78   27   105   49.4%  Financial  Specialists,  All  Other   198   210   12   38   50   25.0%    


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