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Update on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 New Delhi, India
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Page 1: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Update on BiocapacityAccounting

Presented by David Lin20th Meeting London Group on Environmental AccountingOctober 17, 2014New Delhi, India

Page 2: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

• Introduction• Biocapacity Accounting

methodology• Results• Extended Applications• Current Status• Relevance

Title Outline IntroductionBiocapacityAccounting

Applications' Status Relevance End

Presentation Outline

Page 3: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Our mission is to end ecological overshoot by making ecological limits central to decision making. By institutionalizing resource accounting in national governments, Global Footprint Network influences major investments and policy shifts to support global sustainability

Title Outline IntroductionBiocapacity Accounting

Status Relevance End

Global Footprint NetworkApplications

Page 4: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

“Renewable resources should not be used faster than the rate

at which they regenerate.” -Daly

How much of the Biosphere’s regenerative capacity is

demanded by human activities?

• How much biological capacity is available?

• How much do biological capacity we use?

Title Outline Introduction Biocapacity Accounting

Status Relevance End

What is the driving research question?

Biocapacity

Ecological Footprint

Applications

Page 5: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

• Demands of a population on renewable resources and

absorption of CO2

• Mutually exclusive demands for land are measured in terms of

the bioproductive area needed to generate renewable

resources and absorb (global hectares - gha).

What is measured?Title Outline Introduction

Biocapacity Accounting

Status Relevance EndApplications

Page 6: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Title Outline IntroductionBiocapacity Accounting

Status Relevance End

The Ecological FootprintApplications

Page 7: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

DatasetsTitle Outline Introduction

Biocapacity Accounting

Results Status Relevance End

DATASET SOURCE DESCRIPTION

Production of primary agricultural products FAO ProdSTATPhysical quantities (tonnes) of primary products

produced in each of the considered countries

Production of crop-based feeds used to feed

animals

Feed from general marketed crops data is directly drawn from the

SUA/FBS from FAOSTAT

Data on crops grown specifically for fodder is drawn directly from

the FAO ProdSTAT

Physical quantities (tonnes) of feeds, by type of crops,

available to feed livestock

Import and Export of primary and derived

agricultural and livestock productsFAO TradeSTAT

Physical quantities (tonnes) of products imported and

exported by each of the considered countries

Import and Export of non-agricultural commodities ComtradePhysical quantities (kg) of products imported and

exported by each of the considered countries

Livestock crop consumption

Calculated by Global Footprint Network based upon the following

datasets:

• FAO Production for primary Livestock

• Haberl et al., 2007.

Data on crop-based feed for livestock (tonnes of dry

matter per year), split into different crop categories

Production of primary forestry products as well as

import and export of primary and derived forestry

products

FAO ForeSTAT

Physical quantities (tonnes and m3) of products (timber

and wood fuel) produced, imported and exported by

each country

Production of primary fishery products as well as

import and export of primary and derived fishery

products

FAO FishSTAT

Physical quantities (tonnes) of marine and inland fish

species landed as well as import and export of fish

commodities

Carbon dioxide emissions by sector International Energy Agency (IEA)Total amounts of CO

2emitted by each sector of a

country’s economy

Built-up/infrastructure areas

A combination of data sources is used, in the following order of

preference:

1. CORINE Land Cover

2. FAO ResourceSTAT

3. Global Agro-Ecological Zones (GAEZ) Model

4. Global Land Cover (GLC) 2000

5. Global Land Use Database, SAGE, University of Wisconsin

Built-up areas by infrastructure type and country.

Except for data drawn from CORINE for European

countries, all other data sources only provide total area

values

Page 8: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Land

Use

NFA SEEA Physical Flow(s)

Forest

Land

FAO Forestat Annual harvest of fuel wood and

timber products

Natural Timber Resources

1. Natural inputs of wood products

2. Output of wood products from cultivated sources

Fishing

Grounds

FAO Fishstat Annual catch of all commercially

fished marine and inland fish

Natural Aquatic Resources

1. Annual catch of fish* from natural fisheries

2. Annual catch of fish* from cultivated or actively

managed fisheries

Grazing

Land

FAO Prodstat Total number and weight of animal

products

Output of animal products

Crop

Land

FAO Cropstat Total weight of all crop products Output of crop products

Carbon IEA Carbon emissions produced by ISIC

industry sectors

Air Emissions by ISIC industry sectors

Built-up Geospatial Data Area demand

Within SEEATitle Outline Introduction

Biocapacity Accounting

Results Status Relevance End

Page 9: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Title Outline IntroductionBiocapacity Accounting

Status Relevance End

Consumption Approach

EQFYFY

PEF

N

⋅⋅=

Production is converted to area required for production. then normalised to world average yield (YF) and world average land type (EQF)

Applications

Page 10: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Title Outline IntroductionBiocapacity Accounting

Results Status Relevance End

The Ecological Footprint

Page 11: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Title Outline IntroductionBiocapacity Accounting

Results Status Relevance End

The Ecological Footprint

Page 12: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Title Outline IntroductionBiocapacity Accounting

Results Status Relevance End

The National Footprint Accounts (NFA)

• Produced annually, using updated datasets and following approved

changes methodology.

• Ecological Footprint and Biocapacity values for 250 + countries (and

the World), from 1961-2008.

Page 13: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Title Outline IntroductionBiocapacity Accounting

Results Status Relevance End

Results

Can be presented at multiple levels of aggregation:1. Aggregate national EF and BC values2. EF and BC values by land type3. EF values by variable4. EF values for all individual products5. Values are provided both per capita and total6. Results in both wha(yf) and gha(eqf)

Page 14: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

MRIO: Linking Economic SectorsTitle Outline Introduction

Biocapacity Accounting

Status Relevance EndApplications

Page 15: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Consumption Land Use Matrix (CLUM)Title Outline Introduction Status Relevance End

Gha person-1 Crop Land

Grazing land

Forest Land

Fishing Grounds

Built-up Land

Carbon Total

Ho

use

ho

ld

Food

Housing

Transportation

Goods

Services

Government

GFCTotal

Six Footprint land uses: (columns)Three final demand categories: Household, government, and gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) row headings.Household final demand components: food, housing, maintenance and operations, personal transportation, goods, and services (rows)

Biocapacity Accounting Applications

Page 16: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Challenges, Improvements, and developmentTitle Outline Introduction

Biocapacity Accounting

Results Status Relevance End

• Data limitations• Understanding differences: MRIO and NFA• How close are we in practice to measuring what we

want?

• Improved methodology for Carbon Sequestration• Minor revision and improvements to cropland and fish

trade methodology.

• Incorporating Bilateral trade• Incorporating more detailed spatially explicit data

(EQF)

Page 17: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Our work with countriesTitle Outline Introduction

Biocapacity Accounting

Results Status Relevance End

Philippines

Philippines Philippines

Page 18: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

PartnershipsTitle Outline Introduction

Biocapacity Accounting

Results Status Relevance End

Page 19: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Effectiveness

• Intuitive• Simple• Dataset

• Current availability• Historic time series

SuccessesTitle Outline Introduction

Biocapacity Accounting

Results Status Relevance End

Page 20: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

RelevanceTitle Outline Introduction

Biocapacity Accounting

Results Status Relevance End

Early warning:

initial information are given

to generate political will

(self-interest) and guide

policy action

Headline and Issue framing:

causes of the problems and

potential solution are

identified

Policy development:

actions and policy proposals

are formulated

Implementation:

political tools are used to

ensure formulated policies

are implemented

Monitoring:

tools are used to

quantitatively monitor the

effectiveness of policies

POLICY CYCLE

Ecological Footprint

EF

EF

OTHER INDICATORS

OTHER INDICATORS

OTHER INDICATORS

Early warning:

Ecological Footprint can help identify

which issues need to be addressed

most urgently

Headline and Issue framing:

Improve understanding of the

problems, enable comparisons across

countries/best practices and raise

stakeholders awareness

Policy development:

Hard to derive specific policies as the

EF doesn’t directly deal with policy-

responsive issues.

Implementation:

No role for the Ecological Footprint

Monitoring:

Footprint time trends and projections

used to monitor the short and long

term effectiveness of single or

combined multiple policies

WHAT EF OFFERS

Early warning:

With the identification of footprint

‘hot-spots‘, policy-makers can

prioritize actions

Headline and Issue framing:

Initial guidance to political actions.

Footprint used to show relationships

among the many world issues.

Policy development:

Reference framework for linking

sectoral policies to a broader

sustainability strategy

Implementation:

No indication extracted at this stage

Monitoring:

Help track the consequences of issue-

specific policies at wider level (e.g.,

overshoot-ending, societal well-being

and economic stability).

OUTCOMES

Ecological Footprint

(Knill and Tosun, 2008)

Page 21: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Looking forwardTitle Outline Introduction

Biocapacity Accounting

Results Status Relevance End

• Where can we help advance SEEA goals and visa versa

• National Accounts Review Committee

• SEEA alignment?

Page 22: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Thank You.

Title Outline IntroductionBiocapacity Accounting

Results Status Lessons Learned End

David LinResearch Scientist Global Footprint [email protected]

Page 23: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Title Outline IntroductionBiocapacity Accounting

Results Status Lessons Learned End

The Ecological Footprint

Page 24: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Title Outline IntroductionBiocapacity Accounting

Results Status Lessons Learned End

The Ecological Footprint

Page 25: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Ecological Creditors and Ecological Debtors

Page 26: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...
Page 27: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

27

Model and Results for Footprint Analysis

Page 28: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

28

Early warning:

initial information are given

to generate political will

(self-interest) and guide

policy action

Headline and Issue framing:

causes of the problems and

potential solution are

identified

Policy development:

actions and policy proposals

are formulated

Implementation:

political tools are used to

ensure formulated policies

are implemented

Monitoring:

tools are used to

quantitatively monitor the

effectiveness of policies

POLICY CYCLE

Ecological Footprint

EF

EF

OTHER INDICATORS

OTHER INDICATORS

OTHER INDICATORS

Early warning:

Ecological Footprint can help identify

which issues need to be addressed

most urgently

Headline and Issue framing:

Improve understanding of the

problems, enable comparisons across

countries/best practices and raise

stakeholders awareness

Policy development:

Hard to derive specific policies as the

EF doesn’t directly deal with policy-

responsive issues.

Implementation:

No role for the Ecological Footprint

Monitoring:

Footprint time trends and projections

used to monitor the short and long

term effectiveness of single or

combined multiple policies

WHAT EF OFFERS

Early warning:

With the identification of footprint

‘hot-spots‘, policy-makers can

prioritize actions

Headline and Issue framing:

Initial guidance to political actions.

Footprint used to show relationships

among the many world issues.

Policy development:

Reference framework for linking

sectoral policies to a broader

sustainability strategy

Implementation:

No indication extracted at this stage

Monitoring:

Help track the consequences of issue-

specific policies at wider level (e.g.,

overshoot-ending, societal well-being

and economic stability).

OUTCOMES

Ecological Footprint(Knill and Tosun, 2008)

Page 29: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Ecological Footprint of selected nations, with population (2003)

Page 30: Update on Biocapacity Accounting - United NationsUpdate on Biocapacity Accounting Presented by David Lin 20 th Meeting London Group on Environmental Accounting October 17, 2014 ...

Land Use

Land Suitability

For this country:

Average land suitability = 0.5

Average suitability of cropland= 0.85

For the world (sum of all countries):Average land suitability

= 0.33Average suitability of cropland

= 0.79Equivalence factor of cropland

= 0.79/0.33 = 2.39

Title Outline IntroductionBiocapacity Accounting

Results Status Lessons Learned End

Presentation Outline


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