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CORPORATE PROFILE & STRATEGY
GLOBAL MARKET ANALYSIS
CORPORATE AGENDA
COMPANY PROFILE
ORGANIZATION CHART
PRODUCT & SERVICES
VISION & MISSION
Our Vision & Mission
To be one of the leading company in providing a quality OFFSHORE DRILLING and MARINE SERVICES to support exploration and production of Oil and Gas by 2017
•Drilling Business•(Turnkey Project Service provider)
•Marine Business
OFFSHORE PLATFORM
Organization Chart
DRILLING & MARINE INDUSTRY
The processes of Exploration & Production
Products & Services
DRILLING & MARINE INDUSTRY
FABRICATION OF OFFSHORE STRUCTURES INDUSTRY
The processes of Exploration & Production
Related industries
GLOBAL MARKET ANALYSIS
CORPORATE AGENDA
COMPANY PROFILE
MARKET SEGMENT
PRODUCT & SERVICES
PRODUCTION vs CRUDE OIL PRICES
Historically, global capital investment in E&P has grown tremendously..
Global E&P expendituresUS$ billion
Source: OPEC, ODS-Petrodata
• The factors driving an increase in E&P activity to unprecedented levels are:
• Sustained high oil price environment; and
• Limited additional production capacity in excess of current demand
• Years of underinvestment by the upstream oil industry in the late 1990s and early 2000s led to stunted growth in oil production while oil demand continued to rise
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2005
26.13
16.86
20.2919.30
30.3726.00
31.09
41.44
56.51
66.04
2004 2006 2007
Expenditure Oil price (US$ per barrel)
20.56
14.36
69.00
59.3 63.975.8 84.5
66.8
94.8
126.9 132.3142.6 148.9
207.0
270.8
299.4
Production vs Crude Oil prices
However, crude oil prices have dropped by more than 50% since peaking in July 2008, …but what is the long-term view on oil price?
Crude oil pricesUS$ per barrel
2/10/2006 16/10/2008
US$
per
barr
el
Source: Bloomberg, Douglas-Westwood, Wood Mackenzie
•Oil
48.94 per barrel
•Gas
6.14 per MMBtu
Prices as of 5 January 2009US$
• Crude oil prices has been on an upward trend over the past 2 years due to:
• Geopolitical factors;• Speculation; and• Supply shortages amidst growing global demand
• However, oil prices have dropped by more than 50% since peaking in July 2008 on expectations of declining demand due to fears that the global economy will slip into recession
3/7/2008
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
1994
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2010
2012
2014
US
Lig
ht
Sw
eet
Cru
de -
Q2 2
007 (
US
D/b
bl)
Historical Prices Futures Prices
The long-term oil price outlook is still forecast to remain strong, with prices forecast to trade between USD $ 60 to US$80 per barrel, even with the spectre of a financial crisis looming.
Source: ODS-Petrodata, NYMEX Source: Infield
Source: WoodMac
1 2
3
•The chart shows the spot price of WTI crude against the number of fixed platform installations since the 1980’s.
•There appears to be little correlation between crude prices with the number of fixed platform installations, which is believed to be due to several factors:
– The first is that National Oil Companies (NOC) execute a large amount of their developments through fixed platforms and will continue to do so irrespective of oil price changes as their production motives are focused towards indigenous energy security i.e as contribution to their nations’ development and requirement
– Furthermore, oil demand is expected to remain strong for at least the next 20 years especially for the transport sector where non-hydrocarbon alternatives, such as hydrogen fuel cells are still years away from being a commercially realistic alternative.
•Source: Infield Systems Limited
Historically, there is no clear correlation between investment levels and oil price
Does the number of new platform installed directly related to oil price?
However, the global financial turmoil occurring at present is expected to create a more challenging environment for financing oil and gas projects
• The offshore oil and gas industry is capital intensive, and requires a substantial amount of project financing
• The majority of oil and gas projects are financed in US dollars, such as the construction of:
• Offshore drilling rigs;• Offshore production platforms; and• Offshore support vessels
• The US dollar liquidity shortage caused by the current global financial crisis will postpone or even cancel some rig construction and field development projects
• However, postponements or cancellations will therefore only tighten the demand-supply situation further and preserve a strong market outlook for the offshore oil and gas industry
• The shortage of supply of drilling assets and vessels will help to sustain dayrates
• Due to the global dollar liquidity shortage reaching a substantial scale, central banks such as the Federal Reserve have added billions of US dollars in liquidity into the banking system
• It would take a considerable amount of time and market confidence for US dollar liquidity to reach previous levels – until then, the environment for financing oil and gas projects will remain challenging
•Source: Bloomberg
US$ shortage and the US$
Global offshore capital expenditure by oil majors is forecast to increase over the medium term
• An increase in E&P activity to unprecedented levels is being driven by:
• A sustained high oil price environment, and
• Limited additional production capacity in excess of current demand
• Limited additional producing capacity would be increased in the future by raising capital expenditure of oil majors in fixed and floating production systems
• Approximately 15% of the E&P spending increase is expected to come from the Asia Pacific region, comprised of the Far East, Southeast Asia, Australia, New Zealand and the Indian Ocean
DRILLING & MARINE INDUSTRY
FABRICATION OF OFFSHORE STRUCTURES INDUSTRY
The processes of Exploration & Production
Market Segment
Related industriesreflecting the demand for drilling industries
DRILLING & MARINE INDUSTRY
The processes of Exploration & Production
Market Segment
Related industries
FABRICATION OF OFFSHORE STRUCTURES INDUSTRY
deepwatershallow water
Fabrication of offshore structure - Market segmentation
•Source: Infield Systems Limited
Asia432
Australasia25
North America484
South America138
Africa228
Middle East208
Europe116
Global demand for fixed platform units by region, 2008-2012Units
Global demand for fixed platforms is forecasted to grow in the medium term
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2008 2009 2010 2011 20122008 2009 2010 2011 2012
101 94109
88 92
2328 26
1623
5039 36
4736
5 4 5 5 63226 26
34
20
7996 88 95
74
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
46 47 46 44 45
Global fixed platform demand is worth USD 46 billion, reflecting the demand for drilling industries
In Asia , the market is in Malaysia, Indonesia & Thailand
Table 3 Asia Pacific Fixed Platform Units (Nos) by Country 2009-2012
Region 2009 2010 2011 2012 2009-2012
China 13 16 15 8 52India 14 12 14 8 48Indonesia 24 16 19 15 74Malaysia 10 13 11 13 47Russia 0 0 1 1 2Thailand 19 18 19 16 72Vietnam 8 6 8 9 31Others 10 7 9 1 27Total 98 88 96 71 353
Source: Infield, Global Perspective Report, Fixed Platforms Market Update, pg 51
Table 4 Asia Pacific Fixed Platform CAPEX (USD million) by Country 2009-2012
Source: Infield, Global Perspective Report, Fixed Platforms Market Update, pg 53
Region 2009 2010 2011 2012 2009-2012
China 868 790 473 281 2412India 1076 883 706 322 2987Indonesia 617 507 679 456 2259Malaysia 732 629 523 574 2458Russia 289 399 327 264 1279Thailand 728 563 519 360 2170Vietnam 506 302 225 279 1312Others 315 408 230 156 1109Total 5131 4481 3682 2692 15986
Table 2Global Fixed Platform CAPEX (USD millions) by Region 2009-2012
Region 2009 2010 2011 2012 2009-2012
Africa 1999 1887 1580 1685 7,151Asia Pacific 5212 4481 3682 2719 16,094Australasia 497 427 559 706 2,189Europe 1833 1439 944 704 4,920Latin America 1523 1319 1093 1076 5,011Middle East 1862 1888 2548 1730 8,028North America 880 942 701 620 3,143Total 13806 12383 11107 9240 46,536
Source: Infield, Global Perspective Report, Fixed Platforms Market Update, pg 26
Table 1 Global Fixed Platform Units (Nos.) by Region 2009-2012
Region 2009 2010 2011 2012 2009-2012
Africa 47 46 44 45 182Asia Pacific 96 88 95 74 353Australasia 4 5 5 6 20Europe 28 26 16 23 93Latin America 26 26 34 20 106Middle East 39 36 47 36 158North America 94 109 88 92 383Total 334 336 329 296 1295
Source: Infield, Global Perspective Report, Fixed Platforms Market Update, pg 25
deepwatershallow water
Malaysian Fabrication of offshore structure - Market segmentation
Deepwater solutions involves the fabrication of floating production systems
• There a 4 types of floating production systems (“FPS”):
– Tension Leg Platform (“TLP”);– Semi-submersible (“Semi-sub”);– SPAR; and– Floating Production, Storage and
Offloading (“FPSO”)• TLPs are compliant structural
systems, vertically moored and using buoyant components to maintain tension in the mooring system and can be deployed in water depths of up to around 1,500m
• Semi-subs are floating systems with support structures for the topsides consisting of pontoons and columns and is either permanently moored to the seabed or dynamically positioned; can be deployed in water depths of 3,000m+
• SPARs have circular cross-section structures that support the topsides and can be deployed in water depths of up to 2,500m
• FPSOs are tanker-type vessels that additionally have processing, storage and offloading capabilities via shuttle tankers and can be deployed in water depths of 3,000m+
TLP Semi-submersible
SPAR FPSO
deepwatershallow water
Fabrication of offshore structure- Market outlook
FABRICATION OF OFFSHORE STRUCTURES INDUSTRY
The processes of Exploration & Production
DRILLING & MARINE INDUSTRY
Source: Clarkson Research
Source: Clarkson Research
Source: Clarkson Research
■ Almost 70% of the global OMV fleet is more than 20 years old, hence, reaching maturity
■ 85% of the UB/ DSV fleet is more than 20 years old
■ The age dynamics of the vessel industry is indicating that there will be little capacity addition relative to the growing demand in view of the increase in oil & gas activities
■ The historical underinvestment has resulted not only in shortage of vessels but yard and related equipment capacity
■ This led to increasing risk of vessel availability and higher charter rates going forward
Global OMV FleetNumber of vessels by type
AHTS PSV UB / DSV Crew Others
1,971
1,489
273 195
855
Age Profile of UW / DSV FleetPercent
Less than10 years
10%5%
85%
More than20 years
10 years –20 years
Age Profile of Global OMV FleetPercent
Less than10 years
25%
7%
68%
More than20 years
10 years –20 years
UB / DSV account for 6% of OMV
fleet Primarily AHTS and PSV
68%
Market Outlook - Offshore Marine Vessel Industry
The OMV industry outlook is positive as there has been a tremendous pick-up in demand in the last 2-3 years due to:
– Increase in oil & gas related activities
– Tightness in the supply of vessels in the OMV market
The charter rates for Anchor Handling Towing Supply (AHTS) vessels has significantly tripled over the last 3 years
The UB / DSV segment have also seen rates doubling
While there has been significant investment to build more OMVs to accommodate the increasing demand, growth in supply has not been able to match the growth in demand due to:
– Average global OMV fleet is old and a number of vessels are due for decommissioning
– The underinvestment in the OMV sector over the last two decades have resulted in similar underinvestment in yard capacity, thereby leading to limited yard capacity to accommodate demand
Market Outlook - Offshore Marine Vessel Industry
Daily Charter Rate for AHTS
0100002000030000400005000060000700008000090000
Date
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-Q1
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-Q4
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Po
un
d/d
ay
AHTS Rates (7-10,000 BHP) AHTS Rates (10,000+ BHP)
Low charter rates results in
underinvestment for many years
Source: Clarkson Research
Description
• There is a shortage of offshore rigs operating within the global E&P industry which is driving the day rates upwards.
• Absence of Malaysian-owned rigs to service Petronas contracts has caused local players such as UMW, Tanjung, Sapura, Kencana and SAAG to expand their fleet aggressively to benefit from the upsurge in demand for Malaysian-flagged fleet
Acute shortageAcute shortage
• The high utilization rate of Rigs world wide and the continuous demand for additional new rigs make accessibility to new Rigs difficult and commands a high price.
• The combination of high demand for and acute shortage of Rigs has led to high EBIT margins being generated by the Rigs players
Factor
Market Outlook - Rigs
Capex of Top 4 Oil Majors vs. Oil Price
Source: Bloomberg, Exxon Mobil, R D Shell, Chevron, Total SA
Worldwide Rig Count vs. Oil Price
Source: Baker Hughes
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
US
$m
0.0
15.0
30.0
45.0
60.0
75.0
US
$b
bl/
day
Capex Oil price (WTI) RHS
1200
1700
2200
2700
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
0.0
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$b
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Rig count Oil price (WTI) RHS
Capital expenditure for the top 4 oil majors have increased by almost 70% from US$38.3 billion in 2003 to US$64.3 billion in 2006. As oil prices remain high (given little oil spare capacity) the capital expenditure will continue to remain at high levels for the oil majors to benefit from the higher oil price environment
This has led to a peak in worldwide rig count which in turn will lead to high demand for all infrastructure requirement in the oil & gas value chain which include offshore structures as well as OMV
We view that oil price will remain high in the next 3-4 years in view of small spare capacity and the little progress to increase this capacity ahead
This will result in multi year high spending in capital expenditure from the oil majors to benefit from high oil price environment. The result would be high demand for O&G infrastructure requirement and with inability for the supply to catch-up, charter rates will not only remain high but will potentially increase in view of the acute shortage
Market Outlook - Rigs
Market Outlook - Rigs
New fields
• 30 new fields have been identified and being reviewed by PETRONAS and PSCs. These include shallow, marginal and deepwater. To proceed further, drilling Rigs would be required in substantial numbers and quickly.
Rig market• Existing rigs and rigs under current production are insufficient to meet the demand not only
in Malaysia but world wide. This fact is pushing up the charter day rates rapidly. PETRONAS obviously need to sign up long term contracts on an urgent basis to curtail E&P expenditure. Further, there is the impending treat of the high percentage of rig retirements in Malaysia. Rigs are mostly 25 years old.
• This situation is real and need the immediate attention of PETRONAS to “lock-in” rates to
contracts quickly.
Market Outlook - Rigs
Outlook• The outlook is very clear; Demand for rigs surpasses Supply. Currently rig count in Malaysia is 20 and
these numbers are expected to fall to 10 by end of 2008.
• Another factor that influences rig market is that rigs are mobile and move to fields that offer higher day rates and hence adversely affecting the availability of rigs in Malaysia. An example is that Atwood, Mermaid, Pride and Diamond have moved 5 of their rigs to Australia, Thailand, West Africa and India.
• One can conclude that the rig market is vibrant. Rig owners and operators are placed in low-risk high-profit structure with possible long term contracts and attractive day rates.
Market Outlook - Rigs
Rig Operators
• Currently heavy dependence is placed upon 3 major Rig players in the market. This situation is an encouragement for other international companies to be “invited” into the market. The 3 majors are: UMW, Tanjung Offshore(TOFF) and SapuraCrest.
• UMW is tied-up with Standard Drilling ASA. They are scheduled to deliver 2 new Jack-up Rigs in 2008-2009. TOFF is an Agent for an International rig operator and is expected to provide 3 rigs to any licensed operator in Malaysia. Sapura by far the largest, operates 5 jack-ups.
• Two new players are SAAG and Kencana. The latter is tied-up with Mermaid and building a Tender due in November 2009. And SAAG has 2 Jack-ups under construction.
Market Outlook - Rigs
GLOBAL MARKET ANALYSIS
CORPORATE AGENDA
INTRODUCTION
The execution of the 4 core strategies is therefore key to the future growth of the Business Unit
•Transform into integrated player
To be a regional player in providing a quality offshore drilling & marine
services to support exploration and production of Oil and Gas by
2017
•Aspiration
•Business Focus
•Average PBIT per annum (RM million)
• Drilling projectin SEA
• expanding drilling business
• Improve project costing
• Manpower capability building
• Alliance with int’al drilling equipment owner
• Strengthen drilling capabilities
• Target project in Middle East / Europe
•Integrated drilling
services• Co-owned marine fleet• Owned drilling
equipment• Integrate drilling and
Marine services• Owned O & G block
thru JV
1 2 3•Position For technology provider
• R & D in drilling Technology
• Branding and market positioning
4
•Transform into REGIONAL player •Transform into GLOBAL player
• up to • to • to • to
•Strategic Intend
•Pace •CY 2010/2011 • FY 2011/ 2014OW •FY 2014//2016 •FY 2016/2017
•Product Offerings
• rental of Jack up rigs
•Manpower supply & PMT
•Marine Services
• Marine charter
• Drilling and integrated Marine Sevices
• Sales of Crude Oil & gas
• Integrated drilling and Marine services
• Maintenance of the downholes.
•PMT
•Drilling consultant
• Fully integrated drilling services
•Deepwater drilling equipment & technology provider
2010/2017 Corporate Agenda
THANK YOU