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““What began as aWhat began as a
tremor in the sub-prime mortgage markettremor in the sub-prime mortgage market
that affected a relative few, that affected a relative few,
has sadly gained momentum, creating ahas sadly gained momentum, creating a
broader credit crisis that continues to threaten the broader credit crisis that continues to threaten the
middle class and overall economic growth.”middle class and overall economic growth.”
-- Senator Jack Reed (D-RI) Senator Jack Reed (D-RI)
ContentsContents
Housing Markets in USAHousing Markets in USA
Leveraged Security MarketsLeveraged Security Markets
Parties in the CrisisParties in the Crisis
Impact of the Crisis on USAImpact of the Crisis on USA
Housing Markets in USAHousing Markets in USA
Contributed about 14% to nations total production
Home equity constituted largest share of households net
worth
Flow of more than $1 trillion from sale of existing and new
homes
1.5 million new housing units started
each year
Provided employment to 1.49 million people
Income generation in ancillary industries
Leveraged Security Leveraged Security MarketsMarkets
Innovatively designed
mechanism called
SECURITIZATION
THE MODEL OF MORTGAGE LENDING
Bank grants mortgage Bank grants mortgage
Home buyer pays the bank Bank sells mortgage bonds Home buyer pays the bank
Bank pays bondholders
Home Buyer Home Buyer
Mortgage Bond Market
Bank Bank
Home Valuation
Income Check 22 44
11 3311 22
1111
Keys: Safeguard: Flow Of Money Home Checks Independent Checks
22 22
33
44
RepaymentsMortgage
LoanRepayments
Mortgage Bond
Bond Payments
Mortgage Broker
Home Appraisers
Rating Agencies
Mortgage loans
THE MODEL OF MORTGAGE LENDING
Homebuyer defaults Homebuyer defaults
Bank repossess the loans Bond payments cease Bond markets dry up
Bondholders repossess
Home Buyer Home Buyer
Mortgage Bond Market
Bank Bank
Home Valuation
Income Check 33 22
44 1122 11
1111
Keys: Safeguard: Flow Of Money Flawed ×Flow stops Home Checks Independentchecks
22 22
33
44
× Repayments stops
× Mortgages
Dry up
× Mortgage Bond
Defaults
× Repayments stops
× Bond Payments
Stop
Mortgage Broker
Home Appraisers
Rating Agencies
× Mortgage Loan
Parties in the CrisisParties in the Crisis
Borrowers
Financial Institutions
Securitization
Mortgage Brokers & Underwriters
Credit Rating Agencies
Central Banks
Increase In UnemploymentIncrease In Unemployment
InflationInflation
Inflation stands at 4% today Fed rate cut leading to declining dollar thereby increasing inflation
USD Vs Euro25% decrease over past two years
USD Vs JPY16% decrease over past two years
Widening Fiscal DeficitWidening Fiscal Deficit
Fiscal Deficit worth $248.2 billion in 2007 against $244.2billion in 2006Projected to be $239.4 Billon in 2008
US GrowthUS Growth
US growth forecasted at 1.5% for the year 2009 by IMF
Weakening housing, manufacturing, employment
and consumer spending to dampen the growth