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Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

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Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges. A Presentation at the Beijing University of Post and Telecommunications December, 2004 Rob Frieden, Pioneers Chair and Professor of Telecommunications Penn State University - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Voice Over the Internet Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business Technological, Business and Policy Challenges and Policy Challenges A A Presentation at the Beijing University of Post and Telecommunications December, 2004 Rob Frieden, Pioneers Chair and Professor of Telecommunications Penn State University [email protected] ; http://www.personal.psu.edu/faculty/r/m/rmf5/
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Page 1: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Cultural, Technological, Business and

Policy ChallengesPolicy Challenges

A A Presentation at the Beijing University of Post and Telecommunications

December, 2004

Rob Frieden, Pioneers Chair and Professor of Telecommunications Penn State University

[email protected]; http://www.personal.psu.edu/faculty/r/m/rmf5/

Page 2: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

Pre-Convergence World View Pre-Convergence World View source: Kevin Werbachsource: Kevin Werbach

Telephony

Data

Cable

Broadcast

Wireless

Page 3: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

Current World View Current World View source: Kevin Werbachsource: Kevin Werbach

Telephony

DataCable

Broadcast

Wireless

Page 4: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

Current RealityCurrent Reality source: Kevin Werbachsource: Kevin Werbach

DataVoice

Web

Email

Video

File Transfer

Content

Cable

Wire

less

Satellit

e

Fiber

Devices

Apps

Users

Page 5: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

The Main PointsThe Main Points

Converging technologies and markets prevent effective Converging technologies and markets prevent effective regulation and fair competition based on fixed definitions. regulation and fair competition based on fixed definitions.

National Regulatory Agencies (“NRAs”) cannot assign new National Regulatory Agencies (“NRAs”) cannot assign new and convergent technologies such as Internet access and and convergent technologies such as Internet access and Voice Over the Internet Protocol (“VoIP”) into a single Voice Over the Internet Protocol (“VoIP”) into a single regulatory classification.regulatory classification.

In a future Internet-based telecommunications environment, In a future Internet-based telecommunications environment, new, horizontal regulations based on current market new, horizontal regulations based on current market conditions should replace old, “top-down” “legacy” conditions should replace old, “top-down” “legacy” regulations.regulations.

Page 6: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

Currently, Many National Regulations Fall Into Vertical “Silos”

Title II Title III Title III Title VI

VOICE

WirelineTelephony

VOICE

WirelessTelephony

VIDEO

CableTelevision

AUDIO /VIDEO

BroadcastRadio / TV

Page 7: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

Silo-Based Regulation Can’t Work in an Internet-Centric Environment

A digital environment makes it possible to send, receive and process bits A digital environment makes it possible to send, receive and process bits that translate into many different types of services that previously that translate into many different types of services that previously consumers had to receive via different media. consumers had to receive via different media.

In an increasingly converging, Internet-centric environment, users may In an increasingly converging, Internet-centric environment, users may employ a single access platform to provide many different services. employ a single access platform to provide many different services.

Silo-based regulation shoehorns anything that fits within a service Silo-based regulation shoehorns anything that fits within a service definition into a specific “legacy” regulatory regime regardless of changed definition into a specific “legacy” regulatory regime regardless of changed competitive conditions.competitive conditions.

The existing definition driven regulatory system forces NRAs and The existing definition driven regulatory system forces NRAs and reviewing courts to classify services into mutually exclusive regulatory reviewing courts to classify services into mutually exclusive regulatory silos regardless of whether the service functionally provides a competitive silos regardless of whether the service functionally provides a competitive alternative to other services similarly defined, or to other services fitting alternative to other services similarly defined, or to other services fitting into a different definition.into a different definition.

Page 8: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

Horizontal Technical Layers

Content Rides on the Top Layer asContent Rides on the Top Layer as

Text, Speech, Music, Pictures, Video, etc.

Utility Protocol Layer

Transport Layer

Network Layer

Link Layer

HTTP, SMTP, FTP, DNS, etc.

TCP, UDP

IP, ICMP, IGMP

Interface to the Physical Layer

Physical LayerEthernet, Modem, DSL, Cable, T1, Fiber Optics, Satellite, Bluetooth , Wi-Fi, etc.

Application / Services Web Browsers, Email Client Software, MP3 Software, Word Processors, etc.

.

Logical / Code Layer

TCP / IP Protocol Suite

Page 9: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

The Layered Regulation Alternative

Calibrate regulation based on the current degree of competition using a Calibrate regulation based on the current degree of competition using a 7- layered technological model used for conceptualizing 7- layered technological model used for conceptualizing telecommunications and information networks into hierarchy of telecommunications and information networks into hierarchy of functions. functions.

At the bottom on this model lie the physical links, e.g., cables and At the bottom on this model lie the physical links, e.g., cables and wireless, and the transport technologies used to provide the transmission wireless, and the transport technologies used to provide the transmission of information, communications and entertainment (“ICE”) services. of information, communications and entertainment (“ICE”) services.

In the middle lie several layers that identify and manage the delivery of In the middle lie several layers that identify and manage the delivery of ICE traffic, e.g., the Internet Protocol, which provides an addressing ICE traffic, e.g., the Internet Protocol, which provides an addressing system for identifying traffic senders and recipients, and the system for identifying traffic senders and recipients, and the Transmission Control Protocol, which manages the complete link of Transmission Control Protocol, which manages the complete link of sender and recipient via different networks.sender and recipient via different networks.

At the top of the layered stack are software applications that provide the At the top of the layered stack are software applications that provide the intelligence needed to shape the link into one that provides electronic intelligence needed to shape the link into one that provides electronic mail, telephony, and a user-friendly multi-media interface for access to a mail, telephony, and a user-friendly multi-media interface for access to a variety of ICE content.variety of ICE content.

Page 10: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

Problems With the Layered Regulation ApproachProblems With the Layered Regulation Approach

Some beneficiaries of light or non-regulation, based on Some beneficiaries of light or non-regulation, based on applicable service definitions, face the likelihood of applicable service definitions, face the likelihood of regulation, even if they later can secure forbearance of their regulation, even if they later can secure forbearance of their new regulated status.new regulated status.

In an age of technological convergence, many stakeholders In an age of technological convergence, many stakeholders seek to serve as many markets as possible and provide seek to serve as many markets as possible and provide services that seamlessly integrate vertically through many services that seamlessly integrate vertically through many layers; andlayers; and

Vertically integrated operators have incentives to favor Vertically integrated operators have incentives to favor affiliated ventures and to disadvantage competitors.affiliated ventures and to disadvantage competitors.

Page 11: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

National Regulatory Authorities Could Calibrate Regulation as a Function of Competitiveness in Each

Layer

Content Transactions Layer: Competitive, therefore no regulation

Applications Layer:

Competitive, therefore no regulation

Logical Network Layer:Likely to be competitive

Physical Network Layer:

May not be competitive and may require regulation

Page 12: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

Partial Solution to Problems With Partial Solution to Problems With the Layered Regulation Approachthe Layered Regulation Approach

Require operators to conduct business in single, discrete layers Require operators to conduct business in single, discrete layers and to separate one layer’s activity from others that the same and to separate one layer’s activity from others that the same operator pursues.operator pursues.

In lieu of a separate subsidiary requirement, use accounting and In lieu of a separate subsidiary requirement, use accounting and auditing procedures to provide some degree of segmentation auditing procedures to provide some degree of segmentation between various layered services while also providing some after between various layered services while also providing some after the fact detection of discriminatory and anticompetitive conduct.the fact detection of discriminatory and anticompetitive conduct.

Reduce or eliminate regulatory requirements on a company-Reduce or eliminate regulatory requirements on a company-specific public interest assessment, or for an entire layer where specific public interest assessment, or for an entire layer where competition thrives. competition thrives.

Page 13: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

Case Study: Internet TelephonyCase Study: Internet Telephony

Many NRAs consider non-commercial, computer-to-computer Many NRAs consider non-commercial, computer-to-computer Internet telephony an information service.Internet telephony an information service.

These NRAs want to insulate the Internet, including Internet-These NRAs want to insulate the Internet, including Internet-mediated telephony, from “legacy” telecommunications service mediated telephony, from “legacy” telecommunications service regulation.regulation.

However VoIP impacts universal service funding, emergency However VoIP impacts universal service funding, emergency services, access by people with disabilities and homeland services, access by people with disabilities and homeland security.security.

The layered approach recognizes that VoIP is a software The layered approach recognizes that VoIP is a software application on top of a broadband link: don’t regulate the application on top of a broadband link: don’t regulate the software application, but don’t ignore the possible need to software application, but don’t ignore the possible need to regulate the providers of the broadband link as different layers regulate the providers of the broadband link as different layers may have vastly different marketplace conditions.may have vastly different marketplace conditions.

Page 14: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

The Layers Concept and VoIP source: Robert Cannon

TelecommunicationsVoice

Transport

Voice

Transport

TCPIP

Apps

Information Service

Transport

TCPIP

AppsVoice

Internet Voice over IP

Traditional Telecom

Page 15: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

Convergence Requires Inter-cultural CompetencyBellheads Netheads Contentheads

Slogan The System is the Solution

The Net Rules Content Rules

Mindset Traditional; conformist Iconoclastic; nonconformist

Creative

Political Philosophy Conservative Libertarian Liberal

Business Strength Effective mgm’t of large organizations;

Aggressive; entrepreneurial

Creative

Business Weakness Lack of innovation; nimbleness

Lack of follow through; appreciation for laws, limitations

Lack of business fundamentals

Favorite Locale Company HQ Silicon Valley Hollywood

Technology Adoption Mainstream Early Adopters Early Adopters

Gets Excited About Retained earnings and profit

Killer Apps and the Next Best Thing

Movie treatments; ratings; box office receipts

Attitude About Regulation

A necessary evil that can be exploited for private gain

Disdain Upset when it affects creative expression

Favorite Car Cadillac BMW Porsche

Page 16: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

Business Implications of VoIP Business Implications of VoIP

Moore’s Law Applies to Both Information and Moore’s Law Applies to Both Information and Telecommunications Technologies.Telecommunications Technologies.

Digitization and “Killer” Applications are Disruptive Digitization and “Killer” Applications are Disruptive Technologies that Ruin Business Plans.Technologies that Ruin Business Plans.

On the Other Hand Technological Innovations Have to On the Other Hand Technological Innovations Have to Enhance the Value Proposition as Faster, Better, Smarter, Enhance the Value Proposition as Faster, Better, Smarter, Cheaper and More Convenient. Cheaper and More Convenient.

Convergence Can Be Difficult to Implement and Exploit.Convergence Can Be Difficult to Implement and Exploit. Most Installed Technologies Still Have High Sunk Costs.Most Installed Technologies Still Have High Sunk Costs. Irrational Exuberance Can Create a Bubble and Irrational Exuberance Can Create a Bubble and

Bandwagon Mentality.Bandwagon Mentality.

Page 17: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

The Impact of Moore’s Law on Data Processing

aa

1G

100M

10M

1M

100K

10K

1K

1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002

1000

100

10

1

0,1

0,01

0,001

10000

100000

cost for1 MByte RAM($)

Transistorper chip

µELAB.

$ 3,15

$0,003

MERCED$ 41

RAM

$ 62,500

1k

256k

64k

16k4k

1M

256M

64M

16M4M

1,7G

8080 80858086

68000

6806080486

6804080386

6802080286

PENTIUM 2

Page 18: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

Moore’s Law Applied to Telecommunications

a

1

TAT-9

Transmission capacity increase

Cost per circuitin dollars

10.000

1000

100

10

1

2010200019901980197019601950

Years

Number ofvoice circuits

10.000.000

1.000.000

100.000

10.000

1000

100

10

Bit rate(Gbit/s)

1000

100

10

1

0.1

0.01

0.001

Telegraph

COPPER TAT-12

TAT-8

TAT-7TAT-6

TAT-4

TAT-5

TAT-3TAT-2

TAT-1 FIBER

TAT: TransAtlantic Telephone Cable

Page 19: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

NEAR TERM OUTCOMESNEAR TERM OUTCOMES Incumbents Leverage Investment in Exchange for Favorable Incumbents Leverage Investment in Exchange for Favorable

Deregulation and Relaxed Antitrust Enforcement.Deregulation and Relaxed Antitrust Enforcement. Legislatures and NRAs Appear Willing to Abandon Legislatures and NRAs Appear Willing to Abandon

Procompetitive Policies in Exchange for Network Investment Procompetitive Policies in Exchange for Network Investment Promises by Incumbents.Promises by Incumbents.

Telecommunications has Lost Its Public Utility, Low Risk Status Telecommunications has Lost Its Public Utility, Low Risk Status as Well as Its Growth Market Cache.as Well as Its Growth Market Cache.

Technological and Technological and marketplacemarketplace convergence has become a reality, convergence has become a reality, but some of the winners win by exploiting inconsistent but some of the winners win by exploiting inconsistent regulations, e.g., VOIP, Internet access via cable television vs. regulations, e.g., VOIP, Internet access via cable television vs. telephone networks.telephone networks.

Convergence ruins regulatory regimes based on mutually Convergence ruins regulatory regimes based on mutually exclusive categories, e.g., streaming video vs. broadcasting.exclusive categories, e.g., streaming video vs. broadcasting.

Incumbents must strive to Incumbents must strive to retainretain market share and relevance. market share and relevance.

Page 20: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

THE WAY FORWARDTHE WAY FORWARD

•• Regulators need to maintain a “level” competitive playing Regulators need to maintain a “level” competitive playing field.field.

•• While properly striving for regulatory symmetry between While properly striving for regulatory symmetry between competing technologies, regulators should not abandon competing technologies, regulators should not abandon procompetitive interconnection and facilities access policies.procompetitive interconnection and facilities access policies.

•• The EU horizontal regulatory model makes sense in a The EU horizontal regulatory model makes sense in a convergent environment: emphasize competition policy convergent environment: emphasize competition policy rather than regulate by category.rather than regulate by category.

•• Legislatures should concentrate on creating incentives to Legislatures should concentrate on creating incentives to invest in the sector through coherent ICT development invest in the sector through coherent ICT development strategy.strategy.

Page 21: Voice Over the Internet Protocol: Cultural, Technological, Business and Policy Challenges

ConclusionsConclusions

Promoting near term availability of nearly ubiquitous broadband Promoting near term availability of nearly ubiquitous broadband infrastructure does not require “heavy handed” “command and infrastructure does not require “heavy handed” “command and control” centralized management by the federal government.control” centralized management by the federal government.

It requires a cohesive “top-down” vision coupled with “bottom-It requires a cohesive “top-down” vision coupled with “bottom-up” community champion projects that aggregate supply of up” community champion projects that aggregate supply of services and demand for them.services and demand for them.

Incumbents should not be allowed to leverage future investment Incumbents should not be allowed to leverage future investment in exchange for even more regulatory forbearance.in exchange for even more regulatory forbearance.

Governments achieve ICT incubation success through diverse Governments achieve ICT incubation success through diverse funding strategies including direct underwriting, loans, favorable funding strategies including direct underwriting, loans, favorable tax treatment, financial support for research, development and tax treatment, financial support for research, development and technology demonstration projects (as was done with NSFnet).technology demonstration projects (as was done with NSFnet).

Government can train people to become suppliers and consumers Government can train people to become suppliers and consumers of network-mediated services.of network-mediated services.


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