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WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 2
On behalf of the Workforce Fairness Institute, Public Opinion Strategies is pleased to present the key findings of a Nevada statewide telephone survey among voters and union households. The study was completed December 12-15, 2009 among 500 registered voters (margin of error of +4.38%) and among 350 union households (margin of error of +5.24%) .
Nevada
Nevada
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 4
While union leaders tout the importance of passing the Employee Free Choice Act, few union households are familiar with the proposal.
When they hear what the proposed legislation will do, solid majorities of union households and voters statewide oppose it.
And, voters and union households say they are more likely to support a candidate who will vote to oppose changing the way unions are formed and the bargaining process.
This data shows that Senator Harry Reid was already in political hot water even before news broke of his improper comments.
Nevada
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 6
“How much, if anything, have you seen, read, or heard about the Employee Free Choice Act, also known as “card check” – a proposal in Congress to change labor laws in this country?”
Total A Lot/Some Total Not Much/Nothing
Interestingly, awareness of EFCA is no higher among union households than it is with voters.
27% 26%
72% 73%
All Voters Union Households
54% Nothing
At All
52% Nothing
At All
“Change the way unions are formed. Instead of holding a federally supervised secret ballot election to decide whether to unionize, union
organizers would be allowed to ask employees to sign a card saying they support forming a union. Once a majority of employees sign these cards,
the union would officially represent that company's entire workforce.”
“As you may know, the United States Congress is debating legislation to change several key labor laws in this country. Because this legislation is long, we have divided it into two
parts. After I read each part, please tell me if you FAVOR or OPPOSE this particular aspect of the legislation.”
“Change the bargaining process. This legislation would give the newly formed union and the employer 90 days to reach a contract agreement or
else the matter will be handed over to federal arbitrators. It would be those arbitrators who would determine the wages, benefits and other terms of the
contract that employees would be required to work under for two years.”
We tested the two key components of EFCA:
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey January 2010 Slide 7
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 8
38%
29%
57%64%
Change The Way Unions Are Formed Change The Bargaining Process
-19% -35%
Among All Voters
Total Favor Total Oppose
44% Strongly Oppose
46% Strongly Oppose
Solid majorities of voters oppose the two main tenants of the EFCA legislation in Congress.
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 9
Change The Way Unions Are Formed Change The Bargaining Process
Total Favor Total Oppose
10%20%
13%22%
90%
78%83%
74%
A Lot(12%)
A Lot/Some(27%)
A Lot(12%)
A Lot/Some(27%)
Interestingly, the voters most familiar with EFCA are also the voters most opposed to EFCA.
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 10
Change The Way Unions Are Formed Change The Bargaining Process
25% 28%
53%
24%28%
35%
73%66%
39%
73%66%
56%
Republicans(35%)
Independents(20%)
Democrats(44%)
Republicans(35%)
Independents(20%)
Democrats(44%)
Total Favor Total Oppose
Democrats oppose changing the bargaining process, fairly lukewarm on the formation aspect.
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 11
45%
30%
51%
66%
Change The Way Unions Are Formed Change The Bargaining Process
-6% -36%
Among Union Households
Total Favor Total Oppose
23% Strongly Favor
39% Strongly Oppose
9% Strongly Favor
42% Strongly Oppose
Union households oppose both aspects of EFCA, especially the bargaining process changes.
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 12
“Thinking ahead to the next election, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who... FAVORS changing the way unions are formed and the bargaining process … or …
OPPOSES changing the way unions are formed and the bargaining process?”
Favors Opposes
Voters and union households say they are more likely to support a candidate who opposes EFCA.
32% 33%
47% 47%
All Voters Union Households
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 13
“Some people say that business owners often drag out the union election process, making union campaigns long and
costly, discouraging union efforts.”
“In addition to the two parts of this proposal we have already discussed, the legislation would also require union elections to take place within 10 days after the
union presents business owners with signed cards from 30 per cent of the employees AND it would require business owners to allow union organizers to talk to employees
about unionization at the workplace during company time.”
“Other people say that according to the federal agency in charge of overseeing labor relations, 90 percent of union elections take place
within 60 days and that the process in place now is working.”
We also tested:
…While…
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 14
All Voters Union Households Current UnionHouseholds
Former UnionHouseholds
Owners Drag Out Process Is Working
32% 33%37%
27%
51% 53% 52% 54%
Over half of current union voters surveyed say the process in place today is working.
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 15
“If the Employee Free Choice Act becomes law, federal government arbitrators would have the final say in determining contract terms. Are you comfortable or uncomfortable giving government arbitrators the right to set the wages and benefits that workers would be forced to accept?”
Comfortable Uncomfortable
Nevadans are uncomfortable with government arbitrators making final contract decisions.
19% 21%
77% 77%
All Voters Union Households
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 16
“And, when it comes to who has the final say on an employee contract agreement, which one would you prefer: That government arbitrators have the ability to determine the terms of a
contract and require employees to accept it …or… That employees have the right to accept a final contract offer or renegotiate for a fairer deal?”
Government Arbitrators Employees
Nearly all agree that employees should have a say as to what their final contract will be.
7% 6%
89% 90%
All Voters Union Households
Nevada
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 18
Approve Disapprove
Among All Voters
45%
24%
48%
24%
50%
72%
47%
72%
President ObamaJob Approval
CongressionalJob Approval
President ObamaJob Approval
CongressionalJob Approval
Among Union Households
-5% -48% +1% -48%
Comparison Of Job Approval Ratings
Voters and union households are mixed on the President’s job, decidedly negative about Congress’.
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 19
Harry Reid’s Image Rating
Favorable Unfavorable
-12%
More than four out of ten Nevada voters have a strongly unfavorable image of Senator Reid.
42% 44%
54% 53%
All Voters Union Households
43% Strongly
Unfavorable
-9%
43% Strongly
Unfavorable
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 20
Harry Reid’s Image Rating Trend
Favorable Unfavorable
And, this survey falls in line with what other media outlets have been showing in their polls.
38%42%
33%
50%54% 52%
May 2009 December 2009WFI Survey
January 2010
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 21
“And, do you think Harry Reid has performed his job as U.S. Senator well enough to deserve re-election, or do you think it's time to give a new person a chance to do a better job?”
35% 38%
62%57%
All Voters Union Households
Total Re-Elect Total New Person
-27% -19%
52% Definitely
New Person
48% Definitely
New Person
Senator Reid’s generic re-elect score underscores just how poorly positioned he is 10 months out.
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 22
Among Union HouseholdsThe economy and jobs
Health care
Taxes and spending
The situation in Iraq and Afghanistan
Illegal immigration
Education
Terrorism and national security
Social Security and Medicare
Moral values
Energy-related issues
Labor laws
57%
31%
23%
22%
17%
13%
12%
9%
5%
5%
3%
First Choice - 36%
15%
12%
8%
7%
6%
Only three percent of union households say the nation’s labor laws are something the President
and Congress need to address.“Which of the following would you say are the two most important issues or problems facing the
nation today that you would like to see President Obama and Congress address?”
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 23
“On the issue of health care...From what you have heard about the health care reform plan being considered by Congress, do you think this plan is a good idea or a bad idea?
If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so.”
27%30%
50% 48%
All Voters Union Households
Good Idea Bad Idea
-23% -18%
Few voters (or union households) think the health care reform plan is a good idea.
WFI Nevada Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide 24
“And, thinking some more about health care reform plan now being considered by Congress...Would you advise your member of Congress to vote for or against the currently
proposed health care bill?”
For It Against It
Over half of union households would advise their Member of Congress to vote against this bill.
33% 35%
56% 54%
All Voters Union Households