What Really Wins Money · 2020. 2. 28. · possible horse racing selections than space allows here....

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We start this month with a great way to double your betting bank in just SEVEN days.

The best aspect about it? It’s practical and achievable.

And as you can see at www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk, my Laying systems tend to profit.

I’ve got another one for you this month. It’s made some very exciting profits and, like all of my strategies, you need no form research at all.

Happy Days! Or Should That Be Happy Lays? A quick reminder that tennis can make you money this month, especially when you can back the world No. 1 one at great value odds! I’ll show you how.

The Patriarch has dusted off a cracker of a one-a-day betting strategy. It’s the staking plan, though, which really excites me. Make sure you read it and use it!

You won’t find the Statman’s angles into races anywhere else. Here he takes a very left field look at summer jumps racing and has uncovered another set of profitable stats.

My Home-Grown Updates accompany the tips at www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk. Do check them out!

Read on...

BeTTing STraTegy

Double your Betting Bank in 7 Days

Here’s a neat little way that you can boost your coffers – and all it takes is one bet a day at decimal

odds of 1.15 or 2/13 fractional odds.

Now you can find one winner a day at those odds, can’t you?

Can’t you?

You will know how to pick a winner at these odds by the end of this article.

Why 1.15 odds?

After consultation with Rachel Riley, the rather attractive maths genius from Countdown, we concluded that if you picked seven consecutive winners at odds of 1.15, you would double your betting bank.

Here’s the maths:

For illustrative purposes only, let’s assume a starting betting bank of £100. Please note too that I have not included Betfair Commission deduction if placing your bets via www.betfair.com.

» Our first bet will be £100 on a 1.15 shot. This bet wins. We make a £15 profit.

» Our second bet will be £100 on a 1.15 shot. This bet wins. Total profit so far is £30.

» Our third bet will be £100 on a 1.15 shot. This bet wins. Total profit so far is £45.

» Our fourth bet will be £100 on a 1.15 shot. This bet » wins. Total profit so far is £60. » Our fifth bet wins. Total profit rises to £75. » Our sixth bet wins. Total profit now is £90. » Our final day’s bet wins. Total return is £105. » We have doubled our bank in seven bets.

What Really Wins MoneyAn Independent Review of Tipsters and Betting Systems

May 2016

Master One-a-Day Betting to See your Profits Soar

inSiDe THiS iSSUe:

BeTTIng STRATegy

Could This Be your Approach for

Achieving Laying Success ................................... 3

TennIS

Set Betting: exploit Don’t neglect! ................... 5

The PATRIARCh PReSenTS

The One-a-Day Profit Maker ............................. 6

The STATMAn PReSenTS

Summer Jumping – Profits to Be Made

From Both Trainers and Sires! ........................... 7

2

Picking Winners with the Mastermind MethodMy close showbiz pal Magnus Magnusson used to harp on about ‘specialised subjects’. This is precisely the focus you should have when it comes to finding your one-a-day bets.

What is my ‘specialised subject’? Mostly the life, times and bikinis of Kelly Brook!

From a sporting perspective though, my specialised subjects would have to be football, tennis and horse racing.

Let me take you through the kind of process you should follow in order to find your one-a-day ‘double your bank in a week’ bet.

The horse racing market

How do we find a 1.15 shot in the horse racing, with an outstanding chance of winning?

Think Place-Only market.

Think Enhanced Place-Only market.

What do I mean?

Here’s a race I shortlisted for my possible one-a-day bet. I say ‘possible’ because I create a daily shortlist to pick one bet from.

The concept of the price gapper is apparent here. So Mi Dar is the 8/11 favourite with second favourite Fireglow at odds of 4/1.

I shortlist races such as this one for further investigation. Make sure you watch the video available at the WINS website which goes further into finding possible horse racing selections than space allows here.

This is a seven-runner race. This means that if you wanted to back So Mi Dar in the Place-Only market, you would only typically get two places.

But www.betfair.com offer enhanced Place-Only markets on certain races. This is music to my ears!

Let’s look at So Mi Dar in this enhanced Place- Only market:

We do not typically see a Three-place market. If you back a horse in a Three-place market, you will profit if the horse finishes 1st, 2nd, or 3rd). Usually in a seven-runner race, this option is not available. This enhanced Place market is the perfect market for our one-a-day bets.

Finding a horse racing bet is as simple as this. On this particular day, I note in my shortlist:

‘Back So Mi Dar in the three Places market at odds of 1.15/1.16’

If there are any other horse racing shortlisters, I note these too.

I then move on to...

The football market at www.betfair.comYour job here is simple.

Make a note of any matches where the favourite is priced at less than 1.2 Match Odds. This is the kind of match you will find in the Betfair Football Coupon.

Shakhtar are 1.17 favourites to beat Oleksandria. They are potential shortlisters after I have done some very basic research. On this particular day, there were four potential matches where the favourites were at odds of 1.13, 1.15, 1.16 and 1.16.

I know Shakhtar Donetsk very well from their time

It is my intention to be as accurate in fact, detail and comment as possible. However, the publishers and their representatives cannot be held responsible for any error in detail, accuracy or judgement whatsoever. What Really Wins Money is sold on this understanding. ISSN: 1741 9018 All subscription correspondence to: What Really Wins Money, Subscription Office, Unit 3, Hainault Works, Hainault Road, Little Heath, Romford, RM6 5NF. Tel: 0208 597 0181 Fax: 0208 597 4040. Registered office: Canonbury Publishing Ltd. Curzon House, 24 High Street, Banstead, Surrey, SM7 2LJ. Registered in England No. 4765425 Vat Reg No. 811 5700 64 © Copyright What Really Wins Money 2016

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in the Europa League and their general dominance of domestic Ukrainian football. Shakhtar therefore join So Mi Dar in my shortlist for my one-a-day bet.

There are other options with football, such as the Over 1.5 Goals market (which requires two goals to be scored in the 90 minutes of a football match in order for us to profit). I will, for simplicity’s sake, stick with Match Odds for this article.

The tennis market

Tennis matches can supply us with our shortlisters too.

I use the Tennis coupon at www.betfair.com and make a note of all matches such as the one below.

I must add a caveat here. I do like to see top 10 players in the ATP or WTA rankings, playing players clearly outside of the top 10. Below is a prime example. Rafael Nadal is 5th in the world. Kohlschreiber is ranked 26th in the World. I don’t have to look too far for another shortlisted bet.

Rafael Nadal joins So Mi Dar and Shahktar as my shortlisted bets of the day.

The Shortlist of the ShortlistI have my shortlist now.

From the world of horse racing I have So Mi Dar to place in the Three-places market.

From the world of football, Shakhtar are my shortlisters to win in the Match Odds market.

From the world of tennis, Rafael Nadal is expected to beat Kohlschreiber.

From these three shortlists, create your own shortlist. Here, Shakhtar and Nadal would be definite graduates.

In the end I decided to back Rafael Nadal on this particular day. Why? Quite simply, Nadal was playing on a clay surface and clay is HIS surface.

I could have chosen any of the three shortlisters as they would have all profited.

Bottom LineThe theme of one-a-day betting seems to pop up throughout this newsletter – see the Patriarch’s article.

Doubling your betting bank in a week is a very realistic and achievable goal if you go about it the right way.

By choosing just one bet a day at odds of 2/13 fractional, or 1.15 decimal, you can pick seven consecutive winners and double your betting bank in just a week.

I will be integrating this one-a-day bet into www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk so make sure you are subscribed to the eletter. Old Muggins here will do all of the work for you, so please get in touch and share some of your success stories with me.

BeTTing STraTegy

Could This Be your approach for achieving Laying Success?

Horse racing laying is all about finding vulnerability. All of my horse racing laying strategies on the

WINS website follow the same thread. Let’s take a look at each one.

Laying the Biggest Priced Horse of the DayWhy would the horse with the biggest betting forecast price of the day be vulnerable? Because the biggest betting forecast price of the day suggests that this is not a strongly-fancied horse. It also signals that the horse is appearing in a very competitive race.

Laying the Favourite in the Biggest Field of the DayThe key word here is ‘competitive’ yet again. The more horses a favourite has to beat, the harder it will be for said favourite to win.

The 3-5-8 StrategyIn this particular strategy, it seems that the bigger the odds for the favourites, the worse they seem to perform. I focused on favourites at odds of 3.5 or higher and over nearly two years, favourites at these odds just tend to underperform.

Gathering all of these pieces to the horse racing laying puzzle, I decided to look at more horse races with perceived competitiveness, as well as a focus on bigger-priced favourites who it seems simply tend not to win regularly.

I created a new laying strategy out of the two factors above (competitiveness being a key to laying success and bigger odds favourites tending to lose more frequently) and this is what I came up with.

Welcome to the Multiple CD Winners Lay StrategyThe principle is a simple one.

It’s that ‘C word’ – competitiveness!

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What is more competitive than a race chock full of course winners, distance winners, course and distance winners and beaten favourites?

Your job is to find races where all of the runners carry a C, D, CD, or BF next to their names. I will accept races where all bar one of the horses carries a C, D, CD or BF.

» Head on over to www.racingpost.com. Click on cards, Today’s Cards and Show all races for this meeting on one page.

» Now make a note of races like the example below:

See the D underneath Edge of Heaven, the D underneath Lucy The Painter, the CD underneath Esteemable and the BF underneath Free Running?

What do these letters mean?

» C tells us that the horse is a course winner » D tells us that the horse is a distance winner » CD tells us that the horse is a course and

distance winner » BF tells us that the horse was a Beaten Favourite

in his last raceNow if that ain’t a competitive race, I don’t know what is!

I will also accept races such as the one below:

All bar one of the horses in this race has a letter underneath their name. This is still a competitive race.

What you want to know is the bottom line. What are the profits like if we lay the favourites in these competitive races?

I have recorded a total of 590 qualifying races since 21 December 2015. (this strategy does have a large

turnover of qualifying races each day).

To level stakes, laying all favourites in these races is making a loss.

Let’s change our focus here.

Hark back to the 3-5-8 strategy at the beginning of this article. Do you remember why this strategy is proving to be so profitable as a lay strategy?

I argued that 3-5-8 was so profitable because our focus is on favourites at bigger odds (for the 3-5-8, odds of 3.5 and higher consistently seem to lose their races).

I took this principle that favourites at bigger odds tend to lose more races and applied that to my 590 recorded races for the Multiple CD Winner lay strategy.

The results? Exciting, to say the least!

The selections have reduced considerably from 590 qualifying races to 99 qualifying races where our focus is on laying favourites at odds of 4.5 or higher.

4.5 decimal odds are the equivalent of 7/2 fractional odds.

By Laying favourites in these competitive Multiple CD Winner races, focusing on favourites at decimal odds of 4.5 or higher, we would have made a 29-point profit since 21 December 2015.

Bottom LineIf you ever want to be a layer of horses, then there are two tenets you need to follow:

» Look for vulnerability in a favourite » Look for races which are perceived to be

competitiveThese two tenets tend to pervade the successful horse racing lay strategies that are out there.

Can we add a third precept to this list? Focus on the bigger-priced favourites. They consistently tend to lose more often.

As part of the Racing Testing Lab http://bit.ly/1TIHiWj, I will be making a list of Multiple CD Winner races for you.

From my sample of 590 qualifying races, laying favourites at odds of 4.5 or higher is bringing in a superb profit.

You will hit the odd winner at these odds. You may even hit said winner on your first try with this strategy.

Please do not be disconcerted. Wear some ‘long-term focus’ goggles and remember that big odds favourites tend to consistently lose more often.



TenniS

Set Betting: exploit... Don’t neglect!

This is the perfect time of the year to remind you that the Clay Court Tennis season is in full swing.

As I write, the world’s best players have negotiated Madrid and are currently in Rome.

The Clay Court season culminates in the French Open at Roland Garros and then gives way to the ‘rather British, have some Pimms, got any strawberries?’ Grass Court season.

You can make a profit during this tennis campaign, and find value bets all over the place.

For instance, did you know that the world’s number one player Novak Djokovic can actually be backed at something approaching a working man’s price?

Twice in fact at the Rome Tournament, Djokovic has been backable at odds as high as 2.75 (nearly 2/1). It may not sound like big odds, but consider that Djokovic’s odds tend to be around the 1.05 or lower mark (or 1/20 in fractional terms).

Now do you see the value?

Here’s how you can back Novak Djokovic at value odds (and other of the world’s best tennis players).

I call this the ‘Horlicks’ method of tennis betting.

We wait for players of the calibre of Novak Djokovic to make a complete Horlicks of their matches.

In two of his recent matches at the Rome Masters, he struggled against players of far lesser status or ranking.

His first struggles began against 103rd ranked player Stephane Robert. Djokovic did win the first set 7-5. He found himself 3-4 down in the second set. It was at this point that Novak was available to back in the 2-0 Set Betting market at odds of 2.06 and higher.

Here’s a look at Novak’s odds during this match:

Please be aware that this is the 2-0 Set Betting market. It is the Set Betting market which may be the key to how you turn a practically unbackable player into a

backable player.

I would take odds of 2.5 or higher about the world’s number one tennis player to win two sets to nil against the 103rd ranked player in the world! Would you?

Djokovic negotiated the 2nd set and won 7-5.

Fast forward to his next opponent, the 37th ranked Thomaz Bellucci.

Our intrepid hero, and world’s number one, Djokovic lost the first set 6-0. Yes, he lost the first set 6-0 to the 37th ranked player in the world.

Returning to the Set Betting market, Novak began struggling in the 2nd set. His odds to win two sets to one reached as high as 2-1 until normal service was quickly resumed.

The final result for both matches is shown below:

As simple service break of the world’s number one can trigger a panic in the Set Betting market.

Exploit it!

I backed Novak 2-0 Set Betting at odds of 2.06 and soon guaranteed a return. His service game was broken. He broke back. Normal service resumes. Take the profit... and run!

Bottom LineThe Set Betting market can be often neglected. It is a market which can allow you to back the unbackable and get value odds.

The summer of tennis is upon us. Look for the threat of the world’s best maybe not winning in straight sets when they are expected to. That threat comes in the form of the humble break of serve.

Just because someone like Novak Djokovic has his service game broken in the 2nd set of a match, it does not automatically mean that he will go on to lose the set.

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Exploit market overreaction.

Remember, this is the world’s best.

Back at big odds (relatively speaking, of course) and sit back and let the world’s best do his job!

I have a whole file full of how this ‘Horlicks’ method of tennis betting makes consistent gains at great odds when backing the best players in the world at odds you would ordinarily never dream of seeing them at (especially when playing players ranked outside of the top 100).

I’ll be busy finding great examples over the summer to share with you (and who knows, maybe share with you on Twitter @whatreallywins). Watch out, Clay Court and Grass Court here we come.

Oh, and mine’s a Pimms. There’s a good chap!

THe PaTriarCH PreSenTS

The One-a-Day Profit Maker

As I hinted last month it is a trip down to the vaults again this time to find something worthy of

resuscitation. And I think I’ve found it. It’s a one-a-day system, much easier to work than last month’s, and quite expensive for something very straightforward. I feel that the extra cost might be for the staking plan that goes with it, which is rather an interesting one as we’ll see later. For all these systems from the past I’ll present their ideas exactly as given, but I’ll change things like Postmark to RP Ratings etc, and I’ll try to brush up on the use of English which was often not very good. The system is based on a single idea, which, it is claimed, is the result of much research. Even if true I would like to see that same research done on racing today to see if it still holds good. It covers all non-handicap racing – Flat, NH and All-Weather – and depends on one thing only, a forecast starting price of 10-11 for the favourite. It also used the forecast of the old Sporting Chronicle. It was suggested that the 10-11 forecast, or the one nearest to it, gave a sequence of winning favourites exactly suited to the staking plan that accompanies it. Of course we no longer have the Sporting Chronicle and will have to rely on our old ally, the Racing Post.

So we search all non-handicap races for a forecast price of 10-11. Suppose there are none. We do not go lower than that price, no 5-6, 4-5, 8-11, 4-6, etc, but upwards to evens, 21-20 (not very common), 11-10, 6-5, 5-4, 11-8, 6-4, and so on until we find one.

But what if we find more than one at the same forecast price? Then we have some elimination rules. The first one is to take the race with the biggest difference in price between the favourite and second in the betting [Clive’s note – Long-term readers of What Really Wins Money know this as the Price Gapper philosophy].Second eliminator is to take the race with fewest runners. If you still haven’t reduced to one then take the race with the most prize money. By now you should almost certainly have your one bet for the day. To sum it all up, we are looking at all non-handicap races for a favourite that is forecast at 10-11, but not lower. If there is none we go one step higher by price until we find one, but if there are two or more at the price we eliminate one by using our rules in order. We then back our one a day. You can either use level stakes or this staking plan that was designed to accompany the method.I’ll try to explain the staking plan and then show it in action, which will hopefully make it much clearer. Basically, it’s a loss retrieval plan but a very modest and safe one. We aim to win one point per bet, if we don’t win it, then it goes into a column in the chart we keep that is marked ‘Arrears’, along with our losing stake. We start betting with one point and the next day two and three the next until the Arrears column is cleared, when we start all over again.

» So, we bet one point the first day and it loses. The figure 2 goes into the Arrears column, one point lost and one point not won.

» The next day we stake two points and it loses. The Arrears column will show 5 for three lost on stakes and two points not won.

» Our third day bet also loses. We’re not doing very well, so Arrears will show what? Yes, 9, with three and one added on to the 5.

» Day four gives us our first winner at 6-4, a profit on the day of six points. We always subtract one point from a day’s profit and then subtract that figure from the Arrears. We subtract 5 from 9 making a new Arrears of 4.

» Day five has a stake of five and loses, so that means that six is added on to Arrears, making it 10.

» We could do with a winner and the seventh day with its seven stake gives us one at 2-1. The profit on the day is 14 points, but remember we subtract one from that and then subtract the resulting figure from the Arrears. That means we subtract 13 from 17 leaving the Arrears now at 4.

» The sixth day with its stake of six also loses so seven is added to Arrears making it now 17.

We now come to a very important safety point that prevents losses from escalating:



A stake must never be more than one point greater than the current arrears.That applies here. Our stake should be eight but that is four more than the Arrears figure so we have to make it just one more at five points.

» Anyway, it loses, making five plus one to add on to the Arrears of 4 making a new Arrears of 10.

» Bet number 9 goes up in stake from five to six and wins at Evens, making a profit of six points. We subtract one and then subtract five from 10 making Arrears now 5.

» Our next, tenth bet can’t go up from six to seven because that would make it two more than the Arrears 5, so it has to be six. We have another winner at Evens, with six points profit, subtract one and then subtract five from Arrears. That wipes out Arrears and our cycle is complete.

We’ve had 10 bets and made 10 points profit. Verify that by adding up the losses which come to 22 points and the profit which is 32 points.You’ll need a chart to keep track of your bets, I’ll show the one I used for the 10 bets I’ve just described.Bets Results Stake Loss Profit Arrears1 Lost 1 1 0 22 Lost 2 2 0 53 Lost 3 3 0 94 Won 6-4 4 0 6 45 Lost 5 5 0 106 Lost 6 6 0 177 Won 2-1 7 0 14 48 Lost 5 5 0 109 Won Evs 6 0 6 510 Won Evs 6 0 6 0

So, there’s a bit of work involved, but if you can average a point a bet profit then it must be worth it.

Clive’s ViewThanks to the Patriarch there for an excellent strategy and an even more exciting staking plan.

Did you know, at www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk in the Racing Testing Lab, one of my strategies is called the Price Gapper 5+ strategy?

I filtered the results for 2016 by the odds mentioned in the selection strategy, i.e. 10/11 to 6/4 (decimal format 1.9 – 2.5)

In 2016, to level stakes, a 10.2-point profit has been made. A 58% strike rate should ensure that the staking plan above will be effective for Price Gapper 5+ selections. What do you think?

I will be working through the 43 qualifying selections in 2016 and taking them through the Patriarch’s Staking Plan. I’ll report back via the website.

I think we may be onto something!

THe STaTMan PreSenTS

Summer Jumping – Profits to Be Made From Both Trainers and Sires!

In the world of betting you need to swim against the tide, ignore what the majority are up to and think

outside the box in our never-ending search for profit. While others are thinking about the Derby and the Oaks, the Coral Eclipse and Royal Ascot, I am hoping there are rich pickings to be made over the jumps at the lower class summer meetings, often ignored by Joe Public and thus an avenue that we can try to use to eke out a bit more money from other punters via the exchanges.Although the likes of trainer Colin Tizzard like to buy store horses – National Hunt bred sorts who need to be kept for a few years ahead of a career over obstacles – I have noticed over the years that more and more future jumps horses are switched from the flat as a sort of part two of their careers, invariably after a pretty unsuccessful flat racing career.Bred for shorter trips, is it any wonder that these flat-to-jumps converts struggle over two miles and more over hurdles? Or on the softer winter ground that is good in National Hunt terms, but more like soft or even heavy were the races run on the flat?Greedy owners often insist on running them regardless, in a vain attempt at justifying the price tags (and to get to swan around in the Owners and Trainers bar at the top-class meetings), with little or no chance of success. Trainers allow it to keep them sweet for the next big purchase into the yard, and another year of training fees. All this means (I hope) is that in the summer, when the going gets faster, the flat bred horses’ chances of success will increase considerably and that is the angle I am looking at this month.I’ll be looking at trainer stats to begin with and will also look by sire. Does pedigree and breeding have an influence here?

rules:1. National Hunt only, no bumpers (Hurdles and

Chases only).2. Last 10 years’ data (1 May 2007 to date).3. Summer months only – May, June, July and

August (for first pass).4. All British and Irish tracks.5. Only trainers with a minimum of 50 runners in

that time (to remove “one off” big prices skewing the figures).

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6. Top ten most profitable trainers only (for ease of use).

7. Trainers no longer in operation removed (for future use).

8. Going must be good or faster (we are looking for summer ground horses only).

9. Profit and loss recorded to Betfair SP assumes a 5% commission rate which has already been taken into account in the final figures.

Pass One – all months all tracks all distances all sires

Trainer Runners Winners Strike Rate

Profit/Loss to Betfair SP

Profit/Loss to Industry SP

Neil Mulholland

129 15 11.63% +£179.69 -£15.83

Eoin Doyle 74 10 13.51% +£107.42 +£33.50Peter Bowen 263 58 22.05% +£94.83 +£60.86Barry Murtagh

74 7 9.46% +£84.98 +£34.13

Graeme McPherson

52 6 11.54% +£70.89 +£48.00

Michael Scudamore

90 12 13.33% +£69.28 +£37.00

Evan Williams 353 56 15.86% +£65.24 +£5.61Mrs John Harrington

153 21 13.73% +£60.62 -£22.19

Fergal O’Brien

86 15 17.44% +£58.42 +£38.45

Tony Carroll 107 13 12.15% +£56.60 +£26.27Totals 1381 213 15.42% +£847.97 +£245.80

Not the best set of figures we have ever produced – BUT we have played safe by insisting on certain limitations (such as the going, and 50 plus qualifiers per trainer). And this only covers the summer months, so all is not lost – and is a return on investment of 61.4% really so bad?

Pass Two – certain trainers like to buy certain types and know which ground suits them best!

Rule change – minimum of 20 qualifiers as we are cutting down the options via the going.

Firm




Barry Murtagh

24 3 12.50% +£113.01 +£63.75

Graeme McPherson

24 5 20.83% +£89.17 +£68.50

James Frost 24 4 16.67% +£63.09 +£37.50Fergal O’Brien

37 10 27.03% +£51.69 +£44.08

Jeremy Scott 31 4 12.90% +£40.14 +£25.00Michael Scudamore

33 6 18.18% +£38.75 +£22.50

Paul Webber 43 7 16.28% +£24.00 +£10.00John Wade 32 5 15.63% +£21.03 +£9.50Lucinda Russell

34 6 17.65% +£19.16 +£11.50

Peter Bowen 103 20 19.42% +£19.14 +£2.97Totals 385 70 18.18% +£479.18 +£295.30

Low figures but then again a comparatively low number of bets, decent overall strike rate, and a very good return on investment of over 124.46% to Betfair SP – now that is impressive in my book!

Good to Firm




Eoin Doyle 27 6 22.22% +£92.42 +£37.50Charlie Mann 20 3 15.00% +£40.82 +£21.75Tim Vaughan 64 17 26.56% +£33.75 +£24.39D T Hughes 35 7 20.00% +£30.08 +£9.05Neil King 26 4 15.38% +£20.41 +£8.50Noel Meade 26 7 26.92% +£19.11 +£12.92Peter Bowen 63 14 22.22% +£15.74 +£14.50Gordon Elliott 53 8 15.09% +£15.66 -£7.38Gary Moore 49 8 16.33% +£6.49 -£0.47Paul W Flynn 24 2 8.33% +£4.33 -£6.00Totals 387 76 19.64% +£278.81 +£126.76

Not as impressive, which is exactly what I expected – as the going moves nearer to ‘normal’ for the jumpers, the advantage some yards appear to hold starts to disappear. That said, it is still a one-in-five strike rate, and a return on investment of 72.04% is not to be sniffed at!

Good




Mrs John Harrington

124 18 14.52% +£82.35 -£0.04

Barry Leavy 20 4 20.00% +£73.28 +£45.00Evan Williams 133 26 19.55% +£65.53 +£38.20Peter Bowen 97 24 24.74% +£59.95 +£43.38Oliver McKiernan

23 4 17.39% +£53.38 +£31.00

Michael Scudamore

38 6 15.79% +£49.53 +£33.50

Colin Bowe 26 3 11.54% +£46.12 +£17.00N W Alexander

33 3 9.09% +£40.58 +£8.25

Michael Mullineaux

20 2 10.00% +£36.36 +£18.00

T G McCourt 33 2 6.06% +£35.17 -£5.00Totals 547 92 16.82% +£542.25 +£229.29

That came as a bit of a surprise as the figures stopped going downhill with a 99.13% return on investment.

To end with. I wanted to have a look at sires over hurdles and over fences – again, sticking to summer ground:

Firm (by sire): minimum of 20 qualifiers:

Hurdles

Sire Runners Winners Strike Rate



Alderbrook 31 4 12.90% +£151.72 +£36.00Dr Fong 26 2 7.69% +£70.88 +£16.73Classic Cliche

21 1 4.76% +£69.35 +£30.00



Sadler’s Wells

39 4 10.26% +£50.84 +£35.88

Cloudings 20 3 15.00% +£45.85 +£24.75Dansili 23 3 13.04% +£39.26 +£33.37Galileo 21 2 9.52% +£27.93 +£18.50Montjeu 41 7 17.07% +£18.00 +£13.45King’s Theatre

54 7 12.96% +£15.73 +£9.17

Desert Prince 28 3 10.71% +£13.95 -£2.00Totals 304 36 11.84% +£503.51 +£215.85

Personally, I think that has the ‘wow’ factor – a return on investment of 165.62% over 10 years (or 16.56 per annum), from minimum bets (30 a year over a four-month period per year). Nice work if you can get it.Fences (Note: Only seven sires had more than the required 20 qualifiers and still showed a profit).




Midnight Legend

29 9 31.03% +£53.88 +£44.82

Presenting 76 5 6.58% +£14.05 -£3.50

Overbury 31 6 19.35% +£12.67 +£10.25

Karinga Bay 20 3 15.00% +£8.11 +£2.38

Anshan 64 14 21.88% +£6.54 +£1.51

Nomadic Way

21 3 14.29% +£5.64 +£1.25

Totals 241 40 9.07% +£100.89 £56.71

Disappointing! Only seven in profit, small returns, poor strike rate, and perhaps best left alone but that is your personal choice of course as always? A return on investment of less than 42% fails to inspire....Good to Firm (by sire): minimum of 20 qualifiers:Hurdles (Note: Only the three sires with more than 20 qualifiers who made a profit)




Beneficial 82 11 13.41% +£180.79 +£69.00

Sadler’s Wells 21 5 23.81% £73.03 +£37.92

Anshan 20 2 10.00% +£2.00 -£5.25

Totals 123 18 14.63% +£255.82 +£101.67

A shock result to me – just the three qualifying sires. But a decent strike rate and a superb return on investment of 207.98% or over 20% a year, and not many stats provide that sort of a return!

Fences (Note: Only the two sires with more than 20 qualifiers who made a profit).




Saddler’s Hall

35 7 20.00% +£29.90 +£24.24

Presenting 60 10 16.67% +£7.69 +£0.83

Totals 95 17 17.89% +£37.59 +£25.07

Even more shocking – just the two profitable sires and not such a great return either. Best ignored but worth looking into as I never assume anything.

Good (by sire): minimum of 20 qualifiers):

Hurdles




Needle Gun 25 2 8.00% +£72.78 +£31.00

Sir Harry Lewis

37 3 8.11% +£70.73 +£32.00

Snurge 23 1 4.35% +£62.60 +£3.00

Bob Back 70 9 12.86% +£55.70 +£9.75

Flemensfirth 163 14 8.59% +£52.70 -£38.39

Old Vic 121 5 4.13% +£52.47 -£11.50

Carroll House

27 3 11.11% +£34.76 +£23.25

Galileo 53 9 16.98% +£30.95 +£20.08

Lahib 22 5 22.73% +£29.23 +£19.50

Beneficial 210 22 10.48% +£29.21 -£17.02

Totals 751 73 9.72% +£491.13 +£71.67

Hurdles seem better than chasers but then again we are talking faster going and therefore flat bred sorts so it makes good sense. A return on investment of 65.39% isn’t too bad either!

Chases




Lord Americo 34 4 11.76% +£284.74 +£92.00

Classic Cliche

46 6 13.04% +£146.91 +£77.80

Milan 61 9 14.75% +£83.65 +£33.39

Accordion 49 6 12.24% +£70.75 +£37.67

Definite Article

58 9 15.52% +£66.93 +£12.17

Cloudings 36 5 13.89% +£18.85 +£9.50

Dr Massini 68 8 11.76% +£18.25 +£5.25

Luso 57 6 10.53% +£17.24 +£5.38

Exit To Nowhere

30 5 16.67% +£13.54 +£8.01

Beneficial 157 18 11.46% +£11.85 -£28.27

Totals 596 76 12.75% +£732.71 +£252.90

Surprisingly impressive for chasers on good ground with a superb 122.94% return on investment and form a relatively small number of bets when you consider the timescale covered.

ConclusionsNot one but two different avenues of attack for the summer jumpers have been uncovered.

Both show more than enough profit in my view, both cover a small period of time and, more importantly,

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both show plenty of profits even to bookmakers starting prices – though as always Betfair Starting Price increases the margins quite dramatically!

how to use the stats tables on the previous pages

Check the date – we are only looking at National Hunt meetings for May, June, July and August each year!

Use your preferred website, copy of the Racing Post, or go to www.racingpost.com. Cards, Today’s Cards, Show all races for this meeting on one page.

Make a note of any National Hunt meeting and then make a note of any race over hurdles or over fences – the word ‘hurdle’ or ‘chase’ will appear in the race title.

Look for the ground – if it is heavy, soft, or good to soft there are not bets at that meeting on that day

Make a note of the going – good, good to firm, or firm.

If you are using the trainer tables, look for any trainer listed as profitable over the code of the race concerned (hurdle or chase fences) on the appropriate going (the trainer name appears to the right of the horse’s weight and is clearly headed ‘Trainer’, the going is listed at the very top of each race and the overall race card).

If you are using the sire statistics as your starting point copy points 1-4 above.

Now click on the name of horse Number One in each race. Under his or her name you will see his or her age, birthday, sex, etc, and underneath that his or her breeding – example:

Cheltenian 10-y-o (24Mar06 b g) Astarabad (USA) – Salamaite (FR) – (Mansonnien (FR) (16.9f)

The sire is the one you are interested in – the sire is always the first named, so in this case it is Astarabad (I have highlighted his name for you).

Check the sires list for the going and code concerned as per point 5) above and see if he or she is a qualifier.

If you now click on the arrow next to the horse’s name you will get a list of all the runners in this race (saves going to and fro) though in alphabetical order – do the same check for every runner in the race.

You should now have a list of qualifiers – either by Trainer, by sire, or both, all of which are applicable to the ground (going) and race type (hurdle or chase) at the meeting concerned – back these to level stakes at Betfair Starting price, and if history repeats itself you won’t go far wrong!

reVieWS

Home-grown Systems Updates

This part of the newsletter is to be read in concert with the tips found at www.whatreallywinsmoney.

co.uk. I employ these strategies as part of my Betting Portfolio. This home-grown systems update therefore is a look at how these strategies have progressed between last month and this, and over 2016.

I will go through the tips and their performance as you find them at the website (from left to right).

Bankers or BlowoutsThis is the first section you will see at the new website. The bankers or blowouts section focuses specifically on football matches. Here you will find my banker bets of the day.

When I made a 62-point profit in the 2014/2015 season, I expected more of the same this 2015/2016 season. But I have to settle for a 1 point profit this year. Call it break even.

Given the season we have had, unique in all manner of ways, I am delighted to have salvaged a break even.

I mentioned two staking plans for these Bankers or Blowouts selections. The first staking plan is simple level stakes, e.g. £10 or a specific percentage of your betting bank.

The second staking plan is to be used only when the betting bank is in profit. We use our fixed stakes as a percentage of the betting bank (10% of the betting bank) but recalculate every 20 bets.

Bet 1 £100 betting bank; 10% level stakes; £10 level stakes for the first 20 bets.

Bet 20 £130 betting bank; 10% level stakes; £13 level stakes for the next 20 bets.

We come to the end of the season proper now and enter the off-season. There is still plenty of football to be played though, from the Irish leagues to the Scandinavian Leagues, as well as the Euros.

I will be beginning a new round of Bankers or Blowouts for a new season from now on.

+62 points. +1 point. Not a bad return for two seasons. I certainly have learnt plenty of lessons this season gone (stay away from Celtic being one of the lessons). Onwards and upwards to the 2016/2017 season.

The purpose of a betting portfolio is making a profit from a variety of strategies. Where Bankers or Blowouts broke even this season, 3-5-8 has skyrocketed.



The 3-5-8 System Why is this called the 3-5-8 system? Simple. We are focusing on the 3rd, 5th and 8th races of the day, as found at www.racingpost.com.

The staking plan we use here is a form of loss retrieval – not a staking plan loved by everybody. I include it as I think at least one high-risk strategy should be included in my betting portfolio.

I will recount an example of the Basic Lay Ladder, originally written about in May 2015’s newsletter.

Here is the screenshot taken from the Staking Machine. (www.thestakingmachine.com). For illustrative purposes I have used selections at odds of 2.00.

In this instance, 1=win and 2=loss in the WinLose column. Horse 1 is at evens or 2.00 decimal odds. We want to win £10. The horse wins. We lose our £10 stake.Horse 2 is also at evens or 2.00 decimal odds. We want to win £10 + £10 lost stake from Horse 1. The horse wins. We lose our £20 stake.Horse 3 is also at evens or 2.00 decimal odds. We want to win £10 lost stake from Horse 1 + £20 lost stake from Horse 2 as well as our target profit of £10. The stake for Horse 3 is £40. The horse loses its race. We win back £40 and are in profit.Please note that this loss retrieval staking plan only goes on for three bets maximum. If the favourite in those three races won its race, then we may have to take the losses. Bet 4 would become Bet 1 of a new three-bet cycle.The ‘new improved’ 3-5-8 strategy is the strategy I would recommend following. In this new strategy, we still lay the favourites in the 3rd, 5th and 8th races of the day, only this time we only lay favourites at odds of 3.5 and higher. 2015 was a resounding success. 2016 continues on a positive note. We have made an 80-point profit to date. So, looking to win £10 has produced a profit of £797.82.Any alternative, less-risky staking plans?Well, I am happy to report that 2015 saw a 19-point profit to level stakes, i.e. laying all selections, regardless of odds, to level stakes.So far, in 2016, laying every selection has produced a 69.8-point profit. This is a superb return. There must be something in the water when the favourites in the 3rd, 5th and 8th races of the day go out to run!

I have created a video for the 3-5-8 system which will be available to view at the website.

Two Horse race PlacersIt is now three years of consistent profit for this excellent strategy. At the website, I simply present the races in this way.Five runners 13:15 TowcesterThe five runners tell us that, in the Place market in which we operate, we will profit if our selection finishes 1st or 2nd. In an 8+ runner race, we will profit if selections finish 1st, 2nd or 3rd.Back the Live market favourite in the Place market at www.betfair.com, as long as the place-only odds fall between 1.1 and 1.5. Avoid all joint or co-favourites. What do I mean by Live market favourite? I simply want to distinguish between the Betting Forecast favourite. The favourite in the Betting Forecast may not be the same as the Live market favourite... also known as the favourite with the bookmakers!So far in 2016, we are running at a 5.6-point loss. I must recount that there were two losing selections at odds of 1.51 which the staking software naturally filters out. I was in a similar position in 2014. I hope the better ground during the summer months will play its part in steadying the ship. We have seven months remaining to make a profit.I also shared with you a higher-risk staking plan called the Pro Staking Plan from www.thestakingmachine.com. This is high risk but, as you can see, high reward. The £100 starting bank in 2015 stands at £2954.61 Full details of the staking plan can be found at http://bit.ly/1Sfj1ZV I do remain confident that a year-end profit will ensue.

Handicap Price gappersOur focus with this strategy is on all handicap races. Go to www.racingpost.com, click on Cards and Today’s Cards.For each race meeting, click on ‘Show all race cards for this meeting on one page’.Shortlist any race which looks like this one:

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The race is a Handicap race (notice the word HANDICAP in the race title).Focus now on the Betting Forecast. This strategy is called the Handicap Price Gapper because we want to see a noticeable gap between the favourite (Uptight) and the second favourite (Barbs Princess).11/10 uptight and then a leap to 9/2 Barbs Princess tells us that this is a qualifying race.Uptight duly becomes the selection.

The Staking PlanLaying the favourite to level stakes from 2 July 2014 to 31 December 2015 made a 36-point profit.

In 2016, laying to level stakes is showing a 12-point loss. The profit is diminished because there are far too many selections winning at odds of 2.00 or lower. If we take out any potential qualifiers at odds of 2.00 or lower, we have a current 6-point loss for the year.

This is the worst performer of my Betting Portfolio. Thankfully a number of other strategies are pulling their weight. On 23 April there was a 9.85 odds winner. This is the key culprit for me in that 12-point loss. I had no upper limit set. With lay systems, we really should have an odds limit above which we will not lay.

Take this 9.85 odds winner out of the equation and we would be showing at about a 3.5-point loss for the year which is perfectly acceptable.

alternative Staking ideasBy focusing on a specific price band last year, laying those qualifying horses at odds of greater than two or less than three decimal odds, produced a profit of 42 points to level stakes and, using a more specialist staking plan, 157 points profit last year.That more specialist staking plan is the 1-4 staking plan (http://bit.ly/1mSuJOF).How about 2016?Laying all selections to level stakes has produced that 12-point loss for the year (9.85 winner the main culprit).If you focus on the specific price band mentioned above (laying selections at odds of between 2 and 3), we see a 17 points profit to level stakes and a 40-point profit with the 1-4 staking plan. This is an excellent return isn’t it? All is not lost with the handicap price gappers as a Lay strategy.I am a little disappointed with level stakes Lay performance but the very specific price band of between 2 and 3 really is reaping rewards so far in 2016, as it did last year.

Lay the Big FaveThis strategy was discussed in more depth in the Lay-a-

Day article in September 2015’s newsletter. If you have the newsletter to hand, please read the article. It is also known as the BBFF strategy.

I provide sections daily for you. In 2015, this strategy made 42 points profit from start date 18 March 2015 to 31 December 2015.

We are getting nowhere fast at the moment, but I like Lay the Big Fave because the long winning sequence is just around the corner.

For all the carnage of a losing lay (winning the race by a neck) at odds of 9.67, another at 10.5 odds on 2 May, a 7.63 odds loser for us on 30 April, and 7.52 odds loser for us on 22 April, 2016 is still showing a 1.7-point profit.

This is what keeps me in the game. Last year’s 42-point profit is always what keeps me interested.

This is not going to suit all. We are not laying favourites all of the time and so odds will fluctuate.

Incidentally, that 42 points profit in 2015? That was produced, would you believe it, despite picking winners (and we as layers don’t want winners) at odds of 10.5, 19 (ouch again!), three consecutive winners at 6.37, 5.26 and 6.19, 2 consecutive winners at 10.75 and 10.38, a winner at 12 and many more besides.

The lesson? Keep swinging the bat! There will be more biggish priced winners but by year end the sheer weight of losers should engender us layers with a profit.

Maidens, Claimers and Selling Stakes races at all-Weather VenuesThis system is known as Maidens and Claimers and the M-C-S lay system from November 2015’s edition of What Really Wins Money.

This betting strategy is easy. At all-weather (AW) venues, take a note of all maiden, claiming stakes and selling stakes races. I do include Chelmsford now despite it being a brand new all-weather venue (and thus missing historical data).

Put them in time order, and lay the favourites. But only Lay the favourites if their odds are 1.5 or shorter. The staking plan is a fixed liability staking plan. For me, I risk £10 per race.

This works well. When a short priced favourite loses, the shorter the odds, the bigger the profit us layers make.

In 2014, this focus on laying these favourites at 1.5 and lower, using fixed liability staking, made a 24-point profit and a 31-point profit in 2015. So far in 2016 we are a marginal 0.56 points in profit.

I am confident that 2016 will spit out some more 1.5 shots and lower on the all-weather which will lose their



races. This strategy requires patience. Two years of verifiable results though cannot be sniffed at.

As part of a betting portfolio, any strategy at break even (lay the Big fave and M-D-C) deserves to be kept in, particularly as they have a history for producing year-end profit.

The Testing LabThink of the Testing Lab as my experimental zone for betting ideas with distinct potential. Here’s a run-through of some of the ideas you’ll find in the Testing Lab:

> each-Way SelectionsI wrote an article last month on how to consistently pick placed and winning horses for each-way betting. As I write, I have just hit another big-priced winner at odds of 23 decimal (about 22/1).

Each-way betting is as much about getting horses to place, as it is about horses winning. Since the last newsletter, we have had some oh-so-close 2nd placers at odds of 32.4, 15.7, as well as a superb winning run at the end of April, with winners at decimal odds of 24.56, 5.07, 15, 9.88, 7.95, and 7.4.

A rare few days for the each ways. If you want a tilt at a big-priced winner, then each-way betting is the strategy for you.

> Big Price gap 5+Double your betting bank with Racing Post tips.

Since 7 January, my betting bank is some 23 points in profit backing horses some would simply turn their noses at!

“I ain’t backin’ odds on shots mate. That’s a mug’s game!”

Not necessarily! The Racing Post Betting Forecast finds my selections for me.

Follow these rules for what I call my Price gapper 5+ strategy (you can find the selections daily in my Testing Lab at www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk).

Go to www.racingpost.com and look for races like this. Below I have honed in on the Betting Forecast which you will see at the base of every race at the website.

Regular readers will recognise the concept of the Price Gapper. Simply put, there is a noticeable gap between the favourite and the 2nd favourite. Can you see that here with Giovanni Di Bicci and Celta Ava?

The ideal for Price Gapper 5+ is to look for price gaps, particularly where the 2nd favourite is at odds of 5/1 or greater. Here, Celtic Ava is at odds of 6/1.

Ideally, there should be a 5-point gap between favourite and second favourite.

What do I mean? Let’s say the favourite is priced at evens. The second favourite is priced at 6/1.

Five points is as follows:

Evens, 2/1; 3/1; 4/1; 5/1; 6/1 – counting from evens to 6/1 we have five points.

And that’s it.

Yes, I know the odds are generally poor (although to be fair, there have been nearly 80 horses priced at evens or higher). But you must compromise if you are unwilling to do hours and hours of form research!

Follow the selections at the WINS site in the Testing Lab. There have been 236 selections to date, a 63.1% strike rate and a nice points profit.

I hope this kind of performance from such a simple selection strategy can continue on into the future. Make sure you follow the daily selections at the Testing Lab to find out.

And afore ye go, do read the Patriarch’s One-a-Day article. Within the article I put forward a suggestion that Price Gapper 5+ selections at his specified odds may be perfect for the unique Patriarch Staking Plan. Check it out!

> Lay the Favourite in the Biggest Field of the Day

As the title suggests, we simply lay the favourite in the race(s) with the biggest number of runners. The races must have at least 16 runners.

Since 26 March last year, this idea has made a 47-point profit. This excites me. In 2016, we are running at a 42-point profit. This is such a simple strategy and is profiting. It is also a good strategy for the layer. The reason? You are always laying the favourite!

Breaking news! I nearly fell off my chair. We have just come off a run of 22 consecutive profitable lays.

This strategy must soon graduate to the main Betting Portfolio list. I think it has proven itself thus far as an extremely stable and profitable lay strategy.

This is one of the standout Testing Lab strategies from a profit-making perspective. Another standout is this...

> all-Weather Worse raceWe focus on all-weather race meetings. Below you’ll see two all-weather meetings, Lingfield (AW) and Wolverhampton (AW).

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Guess what the AW stands for? Your next job is to click on the FAVOURITES link, and take note of the race types with the smallest % of favourites winning.

In the case of Lingfield below, which race type has the smallest % of winning favourites?

If you answered 2yo HANDICAP with 29% then you’d be right. Your next step is to note the race times for any qualifying races. A 2yo (year old) HANDICAP is also known as a nursery handicap. On this particular day, there are no nursery handicaps and therefore no qualifying bets.When you do find a bet, you become a backer rather than a layer. Yes, I know. You’d have thought that laying favourites in the worse-performing races for favourites on the all-weather would profit well.The staking plan here http://bit.ly/1NpBWCb seems to fit in really well with this strategy, so much so that I am using this staking plan in 2016.Rolling Doubles is a high-risk strategy in and of itself. In 2015, the Rolling Doubles staking plan continued the profits by turning a £100 betting bank into £591.21.In 2016, Rolling doubles has turned a £100 betting bank into £271. We see a loss between March and today’s date.I do expect a series of winning favourites to come very soon. I don’t know why this strategy works, but it does and we will always meet with winners eventually as we are focusing on favourites. With the average odds of the winner at 3.61, we expect a reasonable return when we hit the winners.This staking plan produced a profit in 2014, and 2015 as you read above.

Higher risk Staking Plans?129 points profit in 2014 and 59 points profit in 2015 augurs well for this loss retrieval plan which is called The Bookies Bank, a full explanation of which can be found at http://bit.ly/1QbwAd7.So far in 2016, The Bookies Bank is break even. There have been a few hard-luck stories with this strategy recently. I don’t tend to count joint favourites or co-favourites in any of my backing and laying

strategies. We have missed a winner on three occasions by sticking with this rule.

There have been a couple of neck 2nds, which really makes me want to hit my car with a tree branch a la Basil Fawlty!

new ideasThere are some interesting betting ideas on the backburner. Here’s a quick run-through of some of my current ideas:

Co-Favourite racesI am currently recording results from races in which there are joint-favourites or co-favourites. Again, logic ensues here. One of these favourites will lose. I need to collect more data but initial signals are that I have found a good laying system to add to my portfolio.

Handicap ChasesI have collected two plus years of results specifically from handicap chases (yes I know, I really must get another hobby), and early signs are that we can make a profit by backing these favourites to level stakes.

I do have a few more results to input into my all-knowing staking software. I did collect these results thinking a) big obstacles and b) handicaps = good Laying strategy. I am wrong to date!

First 8 races of the DayGiven the success, to date, of the 3-5-8 system, I have begun recording the performances of the 1st, 2nd and 3rd favourites in the first eight races of each day.

Is there a pattern? Is loss retrieval suited to any of these three favourites? We shall see.

I do hope you are profiting from the tips at the WINS website. The fact is, they make money!

Multiple WinnersI introduced you to this strategy last month in this section and have now written a full article on the strategy, because it is showing a good profit.

Flat racing Maidens, Claimers and SellersHow do favourites in these unappealing betting mediums perform on the turf flat? I don’t have nearly enough selections to give an answer but am hopeful that we will find a laying strategy here.

There are many more betting ideas brewing in the background. If you have any you want me to follow, get in touch.



Top Speed, Or and rPDuring this Flat season, I am recording all horses running on the turf flat, who are top rated Top Speed, Top Official Rating and to Racing Post Rating.

Racingpost.com keep ‘bigging up’ their ratings as effective ways to pick a winner, but so far that is something I would have to disagree with.

More conclusions to follow. We get a clearer picture when we get more results under our belts.

reVieWS

Systems and Tipsters Update

Welcome to the Systems and Tipsters Update, a round-up of the rogues and the heroes in this

betting world of ours.

each-Way earnersThis service is now under the www.tipsterstreet.com banner (formerly Tipsters Warehouse).At £19.95 per month, this service is reasonably priced. Recent form is very encouraging indeed, so I’ll continue to follow this reasonably-priced tipster service. This service has made a 30-point loss since 9 April 2016. I began recording results from 1 July 2015 and the service has made an 86.84 points profit in that period, to date. Each-way earners has made an 11.8 point loss since 1 April. The vibes overall are good about Each-Way Earners as far as long-term profit is concerned. I will certainly monitor this service for another month.

theracingprofessionals.co.ukThe website seems to be down currently. I have tracked down performance at www.racing-index.com. You can check out the results at this link below. http://bit.ly/1rW0REb.2016 has been terrible to date, with an 80.45 points loss to SP. As I have mentioned in previous updates, this is (or was?) one of those services which relied on big priced winners to neutralise the long losing runs.The fact that this was a win-only service was a concern for me given the huge odds of the selections.I do not know what has happened to the service. It looks like they may have scarpered, or are hiding behind the sofa until that big winner turns up.This poor 2016 performnce follows on from a dire 110-point loss in 2015.If you cannot find a big-priced winner, then this is what

happens. A lesson to you all in making sure you know the characteristics of any tipping service. If they pick big-priced selections, expect long losing runs.This is (or was) a Flat racing service so I was looking at monitoring this during the summer. Is the website temporarily down or gone forever?

Tom nelson racingThis win and each-way horse racing tipster for www.bettinggods.com uses between 1-6 points based on his confidence in selections. Another fairly young service so don’t go joining long term please, at £29.95 per month the cost is reasonable. But as to performance?Tom Nelson Racing’s profit graph has tended to rise gradually over time. I have written previously about how the Tom Nelson Racing service exceeded 500 points profit. The betting bank remains over 500 points at 515.99 points as I write. I started monitoring on 1 November 2015 and since then, only an 8.18 points profit has accrued. Poor stuff long term.If continuing through that psychologically important barrier, this would serve as a good signal for the future. I will continue to monitor but it does seem that this is another stagnant tipster over the long term.

Big race Bookie BusterThis is a relatively new service from www.bettinggods.com. It costs £29.95 per month. What interests me here is the niche for this tipster. The emphasis is on quality and high-profile race meetings.This tipster has only been running since November 2014, so please do not enter into long-term agreements. If you do join, make it a month-by-month basis.I began monitoring this service on 1 November 2015 and to date the service has made 143 points profit. A solid month of April with a profit of 32.5 points. May is only 11 days in as I write and the profit is already 22.65 points.It seems the Big Race Bookie Booster may profit during this Flat season, and for that reason I will continue to monitor.If you can, look at long-term performance, and in this case, Big Race Bookie Buster has made a poor 6-point profit since 3 August 2015. That’s the bitter truth! Late subscribers though will be delighted. The marketers of course will steer clear of that latter reality!

backlucrative.comThis service is currently full. I will monitor again once there are places available.

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banker-bets.comWell, 2015 showed a 2.18 points profit for the year. A lot of huff and puff and placing bets for little or no reward (once you have taken into account the subscription fees) of £27 per month2016 has seen a 2.96-point profit for January. February saw a 2.79-point loss, and March saw a 4.19-point profit. April is much improved with a 5.59-point profit for the month. I still cannot leave these banker bets alone as I am a fan of this type of betting. Will May continue April’s excellent work? Margins are so small though that eight losing bets will wipe out the profit for the whole year.

winningtrends.co.ukA flat racing service which produced a profit of 74.9 points in 2014. In 2015, the service was poor with losing months compounding upon each other. I will return to it for the Flat season to see if this was an aberration. No 2016 results of yet. Has this service stopped?

Super TipsSuper Tips is a new horse racing tipping service from www.betfan.com This service may need to change its name to ‘not Super Tips’.Please note that this service has only been running since March 2015 so is just a year old. This is a service with a twist. Its focus is on singles and multiple bets, in particularly each-way doubles and trebles. And it is these trebles and doubles which keep salvaging Super Tip profits. For example, May 2015 saw a 261-point return on an each-way treble. A 167-point winning treble in January 2016 has started the year off well but the month ended with a 90-point loss. It is the non-delivery of those big winning each-way doubles and trebles which is killing this tipster over time. Since October 2015 this service has been in free-fall. A 905-point loss to date for 2016 is appalling and they have the gall to charge £59 per month.In light of this, I would be wary of other tipsters whose profit is determined by one or two big winners. One such service is Winners 15 from WIN, the Winners Information Network. The service can be found at http://bit.ly/1pbeJsg and its staple is Lucky 15 bets. For full details about Lucky 15 betting, please read http://bit.ly/1SNJATo.This Winners 15 service has not made a profit in real terms since August 2015. This is appalling long-term performance. It really is up to the ‘gambler’ in you if you join services like these. This is good old-fashioned gambling, and not for the faint of heart.

Profit at the racesThe site www.profitattheraces.co.uk has disappeared along with the www.racingprofessionals.co.uk.Basically you’re not profiting at the races, and these are not the racing professionals.A warning to you regarding web-based Internet tipping services. They can disappear as quickly as they arrive. This is why I always suggest that you never enter into a long-term relationship with any web-based tipster.Another warning to you: Super Tips, Racing ( – clears throat – ) Professionals and Profitattheraces all had one thing in common?

Do you remember?The search for big odds winners to negate the very long frequent losing runs.These tipsters are gamblers in the truest sense of the word. They need that big big win to get rid of all of those losses. Of course, when the win does not arrive, then the less scrupulous of these tipsters could quite possibly simply pull the plug! You have been warned!

footballforecasts.ukThis is a football service from Mark Foley which focuses on the English Premiership. The 2014/2015 season saw an 84-point profit. The service utilises a number of different betting markets from first goalscorer, to exact number of corners, half-time score and full-time score, even team to miss a penalty.For me, some of these are highly speculative punts without any real statistical basis. These are the kinds of bets you’ll have made in 2016 and consequent losses of 27.50 points have ensued. Of course the results are not down to the expertise of Mr. Foley. Oh no, sir! The poor results for this season are down to ‘so many near misses combined with numerous poor refereeing decisions that have cost us dear to date’.If Sir Alex Ferguson was a tipster, he’d be blaming the refs too!!The service costs £14.99 for the first month, then £29.99 for each month thereafter and there is little to persuade me to join this service. I will monitor to the end of the season and see what the 2015/2016 profit figure was. Not looking too good in 2016, is Mr Foley’s service. It’s those damn refs, I tells yer! The £100 betting bank at the start of this 2015/2016 season is now -3.64 points loss as of the end of March. Goodness me! A red card for Mr. Foley and his service I think.

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What Really Wins Money · 2020. 2. 28. · possible horse racing selections than space allows here....

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