Yellow dots are nodes in the network
http://noosphere.princeton.eduRoger Nelson [email protected]
Gathering Global AwarenessAre we seeing a Consciousness Field?
The EGG Project(aka the Global Consciousness
Project)
International collaboration75 Scientists, Artists, Friends, …Network of host sites world wide
The tools: REG technology, Field applicationMake an EEG for the earth, an ElectroGaiaGramIdentify engaging moments of global events
The question: Can we capture a Glimmering of Global Consciousness?
When you put a thing in order, and give it a name, and you are all in accord, it becomes.
- - From the Navajo, Masked Gods, Waters, 1950
The technology is only now availableElectronics, Computers, Networking
REG/RNG devices run continuously
Synchronized computers and software
Internet transfer of data to central server
Automatic archiving, public access
Formal analyses and explorations
Background, methods, poetic history
A Random Event Generator (REG or RNG)
Mindsong REG
Orion RNG
How it works: Here’s 1000 Trials Each trial is the sum of 200 bits
Like flipping 200 coins and counting heads
The binomial distribution of 1000 200-bit trials, compared with
Theoretical normal distribution
100 is expected
What happens in such data over time?Plot cumulative deviation from expectation
A General Case GCP Standard Analysis
Should be a Random Walk (a “Drunkard’s Walk”)
Laboratory Experiments, PEAR:Intention to change the REG behavior
High and Low both depart from expectation
HI
LO
BL
Field REG Experiments: No Intentions We simply collect data in the situationWe find departures from expectation
Queens Chamber
GrandGallery
KingsChamber
Departures from expectation correlate with Coherent or Resonant group consciousness
Deeply engaging ideas and emotions
The next step: A prototype collaborationColleagues in Europe and the US
Collected 12 independent data streams
How About a Global Network?Might we see Effects of Engaging Events?
Natural disastersTerrible accidents
The beginning of warThe Pope’s pilgrimage
Grand celebrations Political excitement
Astrological hot spotsWorld-wide meditations
A network of “eggs” around the world: A computer, special software, an REG/RNG
Internet transfer of data to Princeton Here we see the combined dataFor a whole day, from 48 eggs
We can see better what’s happening by Plotting the cumulative deviations ( df)
Correlation Tilts … Variance Spreads
Combine all eggs and plot cumulative deviation May show a trend if there is a common Influence or correlation among the eggs
( df)
When we make a composite across eggs, the cumulative deviation may show a trend
Maybe a trend in the cumulative Deviation is Meaningful?
So far, sporting events seem Not to produce big deviations
The Pope’s 6-day pilgrimage to the middle eastAn occasion of hope for resolution of differences
Political events, even big ones, are not necessarily of interest to the EGG
Clinton Impeachment Acquittal
We’ll try anything once. Significant correlations with astrologically determined “hot” times
Tearing the Social Fabric
Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats
Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing
Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure
September 11 Enters History of the Earth
Major disasters that engage us powerfullyOften correlate with big deviations
Context explorations: Six hours of dataAround the beginning of bombing in Kosovo
Cumulative deviation of Zs2 or 2
The Buddhas of Bamiyan
Before March 12 2001
After
The destruction of a world treasureApproximate time, noon in Afghanistan
noon
The World Trade Center
Fall, 2001
Carol M. Highsmith Al Dove
The World Trade Center
September 11 2001
Tamara Beckwith
The destruction of the World Trade TowersSept 11 2001
A 50-hour trend followed the attacks
Sept 11 prediction: Inter-egg Variance will fluctuate
Red is real data, Green is Pseudorandom
Autocorrelation on Sept 11Structure where there should be none
Calculations: Peter Bancel
What is there to say?
Repairing, Restoring The Social Fabric
HealingMeditationsPrayer VigilsCeremonies
Holidays
Chicago, Moment of Silence September 14 2001
Three Minutes of Silence September 14 2001
Focused Siddhi Meditations September 23 to 27, 2001
Peak Day, Maximum Numbers
Synchronized Johrei Ceremonies Around the World, April 1 2001
Four Million People Pilgrimage For Ritual and Prayer
A Substantial Agreement on Getting Our Ecological Act Together
Natural DisastersAnd Accidents
Earthquakes, FloodsPlanes, Trains, Ships
The Great Earthquake in Turkey August 17 1999
Variance Analysis, Bierman
Standard Analysis
US vs Europe, Bierman
Volcano in Nairobi January 17 2002
Typhoon in Orissa, India October 29 1999
The Concorde Crash July 25 2000
The Kursk Submarine Disaster August 12 2000
Train Crash in India August 2 2001
All Eggs, 4 hrs
Nearby Eggs, 1.5 hrs
The Lighter Side
Celebrations: What better example than
New Years?
Global Attention: Sharing New Year’s Eve
All over the world, people celebrate the change to a New Year. Since 1998, we have recorded data from a network of physical random event generators (called “eggs”). Here we look at what happens at midnight around the world.
The scientific prediction is that there will be a pattern of increased correlation among the eggs. We test for trends away from the expected “random walk”. We have learned to expect reductions in the variation across the eggs.
The figures on this page almost speak for themselves. They are pictures of our engagement with each other.
Variance Drop, Midnight, 1999-2000
In the first year, 1998-1999, we looked for a change in the average deviation, and compared Maxi- and Mini-celebration time zones.
Then, for the infamous Y2K transition, we looked at a measure of the variability among the eggs and predicted it would decrease as we all focused on midnight.
We predicted the same pattern for the following year.
And again for last year. The pattern is replicated for the third time.
More at http://noosphere.princeton.edu
An obvious prediction: New Years celebrations Concatenation across all (24) time zonesCumulative excess deviation of means
Weak Replication
Model Prediction
Taking the Electrogaiagram metaphor to heartMaxi-celebrating time zones, Signal averaging
Figure by Richard Broughton
Evoked Response in the Electrogaiagram:Signal averaging: Mini-Celebrating time zones
Figure by Richard Broughton
Y2K New Year 1999-2000: Coherent engagement? Radin makes an independent prediction
Reduction of Variance across eggs
Odds, GMT
New Years 2000-2001: Variance Reduction Signal Average over 37 time zones Normalized, Squared, Smoothed
New Years 2001-2002: Variance Reduction Signal Average over 37 time zones Normalized as Z-scores, Smoothed
5-Min Smoothing Window
New Years 2002-2003: Variance ReductionShows ambiguous response,
But Meanshift is significant again
Questions outnumber answersGreat numbers contribute
Deep engagement is powerfulbut
Does distance from the focus matter?How about relevance to local people?Is human consciousness necessary?
Are “experimenter effects” the source? What kinds of events are “strongest”?Is the effect repeatable and reliable?
Columbia Explodes: Seven astronauts lost But the eggs apparently do not respond
Why do we sometimes see no effect?
Perhaps we do, But not in the form we expect
The Columbia Explosion:Viewing through a different instrument
Note, however, about 1/3 of permutationsHave such an extreme deviation sometime in 24 hours
Categories: What seems to touch The Global Consciousness?
Calculations, Dean Radin
Does the distance of the eggsFrom the event make a difference?
September 11 2001Effect Size as a function of Distance
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
NorthAmerica
SouthAmerica
Europe Australia Asia
Increasing Distance
Z-s
core
Calculations, Dean Radin
Does the distance of the eggsFrom the event make a difference?
Effect vs Dist, Stouffer Z, Full Day, Sept 11
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
USEastern
US Middle
USWestern
England,Scandin
WesternEurope
Israel,India,Brazil
Africa,Austral,
New ZealIncreasing Distance from NYC
Effe
ct S
ize
(r)
Current Result: Formal Database132 global events over 4.5 years
Odds: about 100,000 to 1
What do we have in hand?Where do we want to go with it?
Four years of data
55 eggs around the world
More than 130 formal studies
About 65% positive outcome
About 18% individually significant
Many analyses remain to be done
Bigger Picture: What is our aspiration?
Sharpen and focus our questions
Aim for theoretical understanding
Capture insight about creative mindConsider evidence that we are one
Contribute to better future for culture
We think the world apart. What would it be like to think the world together?
-- Parker Palmer, educator
http://noosphere.princeton.edu
Homepage
StatusDay Sum ResultsExtract
Magic Buttons
Primary Links Menu at Bottom
http://noosphere.princeton.edu
Berger: Web Design
Barry Fenn 1950 – 2000
A memorial assessmentof GCP data
Perhaps the eggs
Respond to their hosts
A respectful, exploratory look at the death of egg host Barry Fenn
All 28 eggs
Same time period, Barry’s egg only.After he passes, a 20 hour falling trend
Symmetry in the data, maybe even meaning: Barry’s egg and that of his friend, Sze Tan
A total solar eclipse was of Special interest to people in the path
For most of the formal predictionsWe specify a “Standard Analysis”
Normalized signed deviation of mean, zi = (mi-)/ Composite across eggs: Stouffer Zs = (zi)/N1/2
Composite Z is squared for 2 distributed statistic
Large cumulative sum of Zs2 – 1 or 2 – df
Reflects inter-egg correlation, or Consistent large deviations, or both
Global Emotion: Transfixed by Tragedy
On September 11 2001, early in the morning, a network of physical random event generators (called “eggs”) took on a striking trend. By 8:45 the non-random behavior was unmistakable. It peaked at about 10:30 with odds against chance of a thousand to one. See the red trace below.
Other measures also deviated from expectation on that day, creating an unmistakable pattern where there should be none. The eggs became linked across distance and time in some subtle way that we do not yet know how to explain.
This is not a physical or electromagnetic effect. It’s not due to extraordinary mobile phone use, or saturation TV.It appears to be related to our profound engagement.
On 9/11 deviations began that persisted for 2 days
On 9/11 the data showed extraordinary moments
On 9/11 the data contained unique sequential structure
The jagged red line shows three days of a measure (squared cumulative deviation of variance) that represents the composite randomness of 37 eggs.
On September 11, the data show clear structure where there should be none.
am
am
am
More at http://noosphere.princeton.edu
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..…….…………………. Normal range of variation
Squared Cumulative Variance, Sept 10 - 12The departure begins nearly 4 hours before the first attack
Bottom Line Comparison:Formal outcome sequence versus Random draws from distribution