Mobility 2045 Update
Surface Transportation Technical CommitteeFebruary 23, 2018
Agenda Review
3
Agenda
1. Roadway Recommendations2. Public Transportation Recommendations3. Draft Financial Plan4. Selected Recommended Policies5. Public Meeting Comments6. Schedule and Next Steps
Roadway Recommendations
5
Roadway Recommendations MapMajor Roadway Recommendations
6
Asset Optimization MapAsset Optimization Recommendations
7
Arterial Recommendations Map
8
Arterial Capacity Improvements
8
Priced Facilities MapPriced Facility Recommendations
9
Controlled Access MapFreeway Recommendations
10
Roadway Recommendations MapMajor Roadway Recommendations
Project Recommendation
Tables Are Available
11
Illustrative Roadway Corridorsfor Future ConsiderationRoadway Corridors for Future Evaluation
12
Additional Plan ComponentsSustainable DevelopmentBicycle and Pedestrian FacilitiesPeople MoversFreightAviationTransportation Demand ManagementTransportation System ManagementTransportation System Safety and Security
13
Additional Plan ComponentsEnvironmental ConsiderationsNatural Environment – Extreme Weather ResiliencyEnvironmental Justice
High-Speed RailSocial ConsiderationsFinancial PlanTechnologyPoliciesProgramsPublic Transportation
Public Transportation Recommendations
15
Mobility 2045 Transit Programs
• High-speed rail, intercity bus, intercity train, next generation magnetic levitation
State and National Transit Connections Program
• High-intensity bus, guaranteed transit, stacked commuter rail, regional rail, light rail
Regional Connections: Next Generation Transit Program
• People mover and goods movement, circulator, streetcar, local bus
Last-Mile Transit Connections Program
• Specialized services for community access including autonomous vehicles
Community Access Transit Program
• Improvements to safety and security, capacity, operations, technology, and accessibility
Transit Enhancements and Mobility Improvements Program
16
DRAFT
Transit Corridor Recommendations
Draft Financial Plan
18
Mobility 2040 vs Mobility 2045Mobility 2040 Mobility 2045
Planning Horizon 2016 – 2040 (25 Years) 2018 – 2045 (28 Years)Legislative Action Revenue
Propositions 1 & 7revenues estimated
Propositions 1 & 7 now integrated into UTP and TIP
Innovative Revenue
Toll and tolled managed lane facilities scaled back
Continue to use toll managed tools in select corridors based on new regional toll policy boundary
Enhancement Revenue
Needs outpace ability to pay for improvements; included state, federal, and local revenue enhancements
Needs outpace ability to pay for improvements; continuing assumptions of federal, state, and local revenue enhancements
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Financial AssumptionsTraditional Funds are InsufficientMultiple Scenarios and Options to Generate
Additional FundsContinue Toll Roads and Toll Managed Lanes as a
Long Term Strategy Not Approving a Specific ScenarioFuture Available Funding Sources Unknown
New Federal Infrastructure InitiativeApproving Equivalent Magnitude Funding
Amount
20
Financial AssumptionsFunding Strategy
Mobility 2040 (Final)
Mobility 2045 (DRAFT)
State Fuel Tax(per gallon)
Existing State Motor Fuel Tax+$0.05 in 2020+$0.07 in 2030
Existing State Motor Fuel Tax+$0.05 in 2025+$0.07 in 2035
State Fuel Tax Indexing No No
Federal Fuel Tax(per gallon)
Existing Federal Motor Fuel Tax+$0.05 in 2020+$0.05 in 2030
Existing Federal Motor Fuel Tax+$0.05 in 2025+$0.05 in 2035
Average Vehicle Registration Fee
Existing Fee+$10 in 2020+$10 in 2030
Existing Fee+$10 in 2025+$10 in 2035
Tollroads, Managed Lanes, CDA, and PPP
Currently Funded Facilities Currently funded projects + select, strategic facilities based on new toll area policy
Other Assumptions Utilize New Revenues from 84thLegislature (~$34.5B to region over time)
New revenues from 84th legislature, now allocated in UTP/TIP, will continue through horizon year
Total Revenue ($B) $118.9 $135.5
21
Funding Estimates (in $billion)
Traditional Federal and State 42.9$ Tolled/Managed (Local) 9.3$
Subtotal* 52.2$
Traditional (Federal and Local) 37.7$ Innovative ( State and Local) 19.8$
Subtotal* 57.5$
State 3.3$ Federal 3.9$ Local 2.4$
Subtotal* 9.6$
Local Spending and Local Match 16.2$
135.5$ Grand Total*
Roadway Funds
Transit Funds
Revenue Enhancements
Local Funds
* Actual dollars in billions. Values may not sum due to independent rounding.
Sheet1
Roadway Funds
Traditional Federal and State$ 42.9
Tolled/Managed (Local)$ 9.3
Subtotal*$ 52.2
Transit Funds
Traditional (Federal and Local)$ 37.7
Innovative ( State and Local)$ 19.8
Subtotal*$ 57.5
Revenue Enhancements
State$ 3.3
Federal$ 3.9
Local$ 2.4
Subtotal*$ 9.6
Local Funds
Local Spending and Local Match$ 16.2
Grand Total*$ 135.5
22
$37.4
$7.2
$3.6
$27.2
$43.4Freeways/Tollways and Arterials
Additional Roadway Capacity
HOV/Managed LanesIncrease Auto Occupancy
Rail and BusInduce Switch to Transit
Growth, Development, and Land Use StrategiesMore Efficient Land Use & Transportation Balance
Management and OperationsImprove Efficiency & Remove Trips from SystemTraffic Signals and Bicycle & Pedestrian Improvements
Infrastructure MaintenanceMaintain & Operate Existing FacilitiesBridge Replacements
Total Expenditures* $118.9
$ 38.7
$ 9.6
$ 3.2
$ 33.4
$ 50.6
$ 135.5
2040 2045
* Actual dollars, in billions. Values may not sum due to independent rounding.
Max
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Stra
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Inve
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DRAFTPrioritization and Expenditures
23
Regional FundingRoadway
Expenditures
$ 51 BRegional
Roadway Needs
$ 389 BShortfall$ 338 B
Selected Recommended Policies
25
Selected Proposed Policy Additions
FreightEncourage Regional Railroads to Participate in
Regional Planning
Active Transportation Mode ShareSupport Active Transportation Measurable Share
of all Transportation Modes
26
Selected Proposed Policy Additions
TechnologyEncourage Data SharingEncourage Automated VehiclesSupport Infrastructure MaintenanceEncourage Ridesharing
Asset OptimizationResiliency
Develop Strategies to Address Vulnerabilities
Roadway MaintenanceSupport Asset Management Policies
27
Selected Proposed Policy Additions
GeneralSupport Ability to Modify Mobility Plan for
Emergency Operational ImprovementsTechnology LanesManaged LanesAccess RampsAuxiliary Lanes
Managed Toll Lane SystemSupport Implementation within a Tolled
Managed Lane Policy Area
28
Toll/Managed Lane Policy Boundary
Toll Managed Lane System Policy Boundary
Within Boundary13% Land Area67% of Congestion
Public Meeting Comments
30
Public Comment TopicsOctober 2017
Eminent DomainLake Corridor Project in Collin County
January 2018FundingHyperloop and Bullet TrainBackup Plan for Toll Road FundingArterial Needs AssessmentDraft Plan Available When?Use UPRR From Fort Worth to Dallas for Commuter RailAlternate Roads, Do Not Expand Other Modes
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Public Comment Topics
February 2018Policy Foundation for Mobility 2045Transportation Assistance for South Dallas CountyTransit Funding
Schedule and Next Steps
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Mobility 2045 ScheduleAugust 2017
Sep. 2017
Oct. 2017
Nov.2017
Dec. 2017
Jan.2018
Feb. 2018
March 2018
April 2018
May 2018
June 2018
July 2018
August2018
Sep. 2018
Oct.2018
Nov. 2018
Notes:• Public meetings held during highlighted months.• Regional Transportation Council action on Mobility 2045 Plan scheduled for June 14, 2018.
Air Quality Conformity
STTCAction
Official Comment
Period
Draft Recommendations
for Review
Plan Development
RTCAction
34
Next Steps
Official Public Comment PeriodApril through May
Revise RecommendationsDraft Final Document – April 1 STTC Updates in March and AprilReview and Action
STTC – May 25RTC – June 14
35
Questions?
Kevin FeldtProgram [email protected]
(817) 704-2529
Dan LamersSenior Program Manager
[email protected](817) 695-9263
www.nctcog.org/mobility2045
Sarah ChadderdonProgram Manager
[email protected](817) 695-9180
Mobility 2045 UpdateAgenda ReviewAgendaRoadway RecommendationsRoadway Recommendations MapAsset Optimization MapArterial Recommendations MapPriced Facilities MapControlled Access MapRoadway Recommendations MapSlide Number 11Additional Plan ComponentsAdditional Plan ComponentsPublic Transportation RecommendationsMobility 2045 Transit ProgramsSlide Number 16Draft Financial PlanMobility 2040 vs Mobility 2045Financial AssumptionsFinancial AssumptionsFunding Estimates (in $billion)Slide Number 22Slide Number 23Selected Recommended PoliciesSelected Proposed Policy AdditionsSelected Proposed Policy AdditionsSelected Proposed Policy AdditionsSlide Number 28Public Meeting CommentsPublic Comment TopicsPublic Comment TopicsSchedule and �Next StepsMobility 2045 ScheduleNext StepsQuestions?