Sahel and West Africa Club Secretariat (SWAC/OECD)
West African Futures: settlement, market and food security
by T. Allen, October 2011
www.oecd.org/swac/waf
Urban/Rural Distribution
and Economic Growth
1
How settlement patterns
impact food security issues?
Settlement and food security
2
How settlement patterns
impact food security issues?
Settlement and food security
3
This question:
• can only be tackled at the regional level;
• and requires to revisit current settlement
trends.
Urbanisation trends
4
Factors favouring economic development:
• Concentration of activities and people;
• Decline of transportation costs;
• Removal of barriers to movement of goods, people and
information.
World Development Report 2009
5
Factors favouring economic development:
• Concentration of activities and people;
• Decline of transportation costs;
• Removal of barriers to movement of goods, people and
information.
World Development Report 2009
6
Urban agglomeration and GDP
7
Urban agglomeration and GDP
8
Urban agglomeration and GDP
9
Urban agglomeration and GDP
10
Urban agglomeration and GDP
11
Urban agglomeration and GDP
12
3.500
Urban/Rural ratio:
Two advantages:
1) An uncapped indicator;
2) ...
The Urban/Rural ratio
13
GDP and urbanisation
14
GDP growth and urbanisation pace
15
GDP growth and urbanisation pace
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Urban/Rural ratio:
Two advantages: 1) A non-capped indicator;
2) A proxy for the ratio of non-producing food
consumers to producers.
The Urban/Rural ratio
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Evolution of the U/R ratio
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Evolution of the U/R ratio
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Evolution of the U/R ratio
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The Urban/Rural trend induces
new characteristics of food insecurity:
• The urbanisation process creates demand for
marketed agricultural products;
• Up-stream and down-stream economic activities linked
to agricultural production have sustained the
development of the urban centres.
Conclusion
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