EXIT POLL OF AMERICAN VOTERS

IN ISRAELIN ISRAEL

2008 Presidential Election

30 October 2008

Jerusalem

Key Findings• Overwhelming landslide support for McCain: 3 to 1

• Significant cross-over of registered DEMOCRATS

• Majority of voters have UNFAVORABLE impression of Obama

• McCain viewed as far more capable to handle challenges

– Even among OBAMA voters

• Large number of 1st time voters: 31%• Large number of 1 time voters: 31%

• High turnout of young voters: 18-34

• Correlation between religious observance and voting pattern

• Foreign policy main reason for choosing candidate

• Voters very concerned personally with Iran

• Voters strongly agree that a nuclear Iran threatens the U.S.

Methodology

• 817 respondents - “absentee ballot voters”

• 22 question survey

• + / - 3.5% margin of error

• “Exit Poll” was conducted

– Tel Aviv (Dancing Camel) on Sunday

– Jerusalem (YU Seminary) on Monday

– Jerusalem (OU Center) on Tuesday

– Online among 1700 VFI assisted voters

• About 45,000 Americans requested absentee ballots

– 7k – 10k processed through VFI

Who Did You Vote For?

OBAMA

24%

MCCAIN

76%

Are you….

23

49

REPUBLICAN

IND/NO PARTY

28

23

DEMOCRAT

REPUBLICAN

Vote by Party Affiliation

TOTALIND/NOT

REG

McCAIN 76% 46% 98% 79%McCAIN 76% 46% 98% 79%

OBAMA 24% 54% 2% 21%

Vote by US State

TOTALNY

(26%)

n=216

NJ(13%)

106

CA(10%)

81

FL(7%)

55

PA(5%)

39

MD(5%)

38

IL(4%)

33

MA(4%)

31

MI(3%)

28

OH(3%)

25

McCain 76% 83% 88% 79% 84% 80% 76% 73% 55% 64% 64%

Obama 24% 17% 12% 21% 16% 20% 24% 27% 45% 36% 36%

Battleground States

OBAMA

22%

MCCAINMCCAIN

78%

CO, FL, IA, MI, MN, MO, NV, NH, NJ, NC, NM, OH, OR, PA, VA, WI

39% of exit poll respondents are from Battleground States

Regardless of who you voted for, do you have a

FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE impression of….

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NET

McCAIN 80% 19% +61

BIDEN 42% 42% 0BIDEN 42% 42% 0

PALIN 54% 40% +14

OBAMA 32% 67% -35

John McCain

TOTALS

Extremely FAVORABLE 31%

Somewhat FAVORABLE 49% 80%

Somewhat UNFAVORABLE 13%

Extremely UNFAVORABLE 6% 19%

Don’t Know 1%

Barack Obama

TOTALS

Extremely FAVORABLE 15%

Somewhat FAVORABLE 17% 32%

Somewhat UNFAVORABLE 17%

Extremely UNFAVORABLE 50% 67%

Don’t Know 1%

Joe Biden

TOTALS

Extremely FAVORABLE 11%

Somewhat FAVORABLE 31% 42%

Somewhat UNFAVORABLE 20%

Extremely UNFAVORABLE 22% 42%

Don’t Know 16%

Sarah Palin

TOTALS

Extremely FAVORABLE 23%

Somewhat FAVORABLE 31% 54%

Somewhat UNFAVORABLE 16%

Extremely UNFAVORABLE 24% 40%

Don’t Know 6%

“What was the MOST important issue that

influenced your vote?”

57

14

FOREIGN POLICY INCLUDING ISRAEL

ECONOMY

16

6

7

OTHER

WAR IN IRAQ/TERRORISM

IRAN

“Regardless of who you voted for, who do you think is most

capable of handling the challenges facing the United States in..”

ECONOMY

OBAMA

33%33%

McCAIN

67%

“Regardless of who you voted for, who do you think is most

capable of handling the challenges facing the United States in..”

FOREIGN POLICY INCLUDING ISRAEL

OBAMA

19%

McCAIN

81%

“Regardless of who you voted for, who do you think is most

capable of handling the challenges facing the United States in..”

WAR IN IRAQ / TERRORISM

OBAMA

21%

McCAIN

79%

“Regardless of who you voted for, who do you think is most

capable of handling the challenges facing the United States in..”

IRAN

OBAMA

19%

McCAIN

81%

“Regardless of who you voted for, who do you think is most

capable of handling the challenges facing the United States in..”

OBAMA MCCAIN OBAMA MCCAIN

Economy 95% 5% 13% 87%

War in

OBAMA VOTERS MCCAIN VOTERS

War in

Iraq/Terror82% 18% 2% 98%

For. Pol. incl

Israel78% 22% 1% 99%

Iran 76% 24% 2% 98%

“On a scale of 1-10, how concerned are

personally by the threat of a nuclear Iran?”

(1=Not concerned, 5=Somewhat, 10=Extremely)

1 to 4 = 7%

5 to 7= 28%5 to 7= 28%

8 to 10 = 65% 36% chose 10, Extremely Concerned

“There are some that say that if Iran attains nuclear weapons it

will directly, or indirectly, through terrorists getting those

weapons, threaten the safety and security of the United States.

Do you AGREE or DISAGREE with that statement?”

29

STRONGLY SOMEWHAT

93%

647%

AGREE DISAGREE

“How long have you lived in Israel?”

11

25

8 - 14 Years

More than 15 Years

33

19

11

Less than a year

1 -3 Years

4 - 7 Years

Are you…

30

10

4

Student

Permanent Resident

Temp. Work Permit

52

4

30

Israeli Citizen

Tourist

Student

Which best describes you?

I have voted in a US election before 69%

This is the first time I have voted in a US election 31%

Age

65 +

10%

55 - 64

13%18 - 24

37%

45 - 54

13%

35 - 44

11%25 - 34

16%

Vote by Age

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Ax

is T

itle

18 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65 +

OBAMA 25 38 25 23 14 7

McCAIN 75 62 75 77 86 93

0

10

20

30

Gender

MALE

48%FEMALE

52%52%

Vote by Gender

TOTAL MALE FEMALE

McCAIN 76% 80% 73%McCAIN 76% 80% 73%

OBAMA 24% 20% 27%

Vote by Residence

TOTAL

JERUSALEM

(67%)

n=543

TEL AVIV

(9%)

74

McCAIN 76% 76% 51%McCAIN 76% 76% 51%

OBAMA 24% 24% 49%

How do you define yourself religiously?

SECULAR

8%TRADITIONAL

18%

ULTRA-

ORTHODOX

10%

NOT JEWISH

4%

ORTHODOX

60%

Vote by Religious Observance

40

60

80

100

120

Ax

is T

itle

SECULAR TRADITIONAL ORTHODOXULTRA-

ORTHDX

OBAMA 59 45 14 3

McCAIN 41 55 86 97

0

20

40

For Further Info

Dena Lerner

Vote From Israel

Mitchell Barak

KEEVOON

Tel: +972-52-608-9794

denalerner@gmail.com

www.votefromisrael.org

Tel: +972-52-404-6600

mitchell@keevoon.com

www.keevoon.com