CBI NI Annual Energy Forum

Date, Wednesday 28th January 2009

Olive HillDirector of Technology & Process Development

Evidence of a changing climate?

Mounting Evidence

Energy ????…. (NREL)

Where is it going? (NREL)

State Policy FrameworkRenewable Portfolio Standards (NREL)

• “ $16 trillion (or $550 billion per year) will need to be spent on the energy supply infrastructure globally between now and 2030”

International Energy Agency

• “35 GW of new renewable energy capacity involving an investment of some £100 billion is needed by 2020”

UK Renewables

• “On site renewables worth up to £36 billion a year by 2016” Renewable Advisory Board (UK)

Headlines

Invest NI InterestGovernment Policy-Climate Change Targets-Renewables

Energy Efficiency- Competiveness

Growing Market – Opportunities- Competiveness

R&D Capabilities- Innovation

Short-term0-5 Years

Medium-term5-15 Years

Long-term15-25 Years

Diversity Inc onshore windElectricity, InfrastructureTransport Bio fuels Demand side management

Offshore WindDynamic Large scale power e.g. Clean coal Energy “nodes”

Wave/TidalHydrogen storageDynamic high efficiency 4th generation Nuclear

Decentralise Community wind, biomass district heating, Anaerobic digestion for farm wastes

AD energy from MSW, Biomass gasificationCommunity CHP

Marine BiomassFuel cells, Virtual power stations

Decrease Air-source retrofit Heat PumpsSolar thermalAdvanced Glazing

Enhanced Micro-chpLow cost Vacuum Insulated Panels

Nano-based insulationsPV ConcentratorsOrganic PV

Technology Options Are Evolving (NREL)Concept

StudyPrototype

TestingKW

ScaleMW

ScaleGW

Scale

Utility Wind(Land based)

Offshore Wind(Bottom Mounted)

Offshore Wind(Floating Turbines)

Marine Energy *(Wave, Tidal, current)

Distributed Wind(communities-residencies)

Organisations leading the R&DIndustry leaders with government supportGovernment-Industry Partnership

Government Laboratory Contactors

Academia & Small Startups

Organisations leading the R&D

Grain / AgriculturePetroleum

CoalForestry Academia & Startups

Chemical

Ethanol

Biodiesel

Green diesel

Syngas Liquids

Bio-oil Derivative

H2 From Biomass

Diesel from Algae

Hydrocarbons from Carbohydrates

HighLow

Lab / AcademiaIndustry

Organisations leading the R&D

First Generation PV: Crystalline Silicon

Trough - Solar Only

Trough – Indirect 2-Tank Molten Salt Storage

Second Generation PV: Thin films

Trough – Advanced Direct Storage

Concentrating PV Power Tower – Direct 2 Tank Molten Salt Storage

Dish Stirling

Third Generation PV: Organic / Plastic, nanostructures

HighLow

Organisations leading the R&DHVAC IndustryIndustry

Industry, Academia, DOEDOE, Academia, Industry

Geothermal Heat Pumps

Direct Thermal Applications

Conventional Hydrothermal Generation

Enhanced Geothermal Systems

Existing Research and Development Commitments• Advanced Fuel Cells • Advanced Motor Fuels • Bioenergy• Buildings and Community

Systems (ECBCS) • Clean Coal Sciences • Demand-Side Management • Emissions Reduction in

Combustion • Energy Storage • Energy Technology Systems

Analysis Programme (ETSAP) • Enhanced Oil Recovery

UK UK and Ireland

• Fluidized Bed Conversion • Heat Pumping Technologies • High-Temperature

Superconductivity (HTS) on the Electric Power Sector

• Hydrogen• Hydropower • Ocean Energy Systems• Photovoltaic Power Systems • Renewable Energy Technology

Deployment • Solar Heating and Cooling • Wind Energy Systems

Technology Innovation Challenges Remain The Next Generation

• Wind– Improve energy capture by 30%– Decrease costs by 25%

• Biofuels– New feedstocks– Integrated biorefineries

• Solar– Improved performance through, new materials, lower cost manufacturing processes, concentration– Nanostructures

• Zero energy buildings– Building systems integration– Computerized building energy optimization tools

• Advanced vehicles– Plug-in hybrids/electrics– Alternative fuels

• Integrated Building Technologies

• Offshore energy (including wind, tidal, wave)WindGB - 7,000 offshore turbines / £64 billionROI - £4 billion / 5 years

MarineUK - £36m Marine turbine research

£50 m Wave power research

• Bio EnergyADBio fuels

• Energy StorageCurrent annual £21 billion globally, 55%, £33 billion by 2012

Four areas of development opportunity

Making Transformational Change Requires an integrated approach (NREL)