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The Dead Sea: mass and energy balances

Nadav LenskyGeological Survey of Israel

Suggested solutions:1. Leave as is2. Release freshwater3. Introduce seawater

Dead Sea level1800-2002

Current rate -1 m/yrCurrent level -417 m bsl

The consequences (environmental etc.) of these alternatives are not clear

The DS level drop –severe

environmental and ecomnomical

consequences

Expected results of mixing seawater with the Dead Sea brine:

Change of the Dead Sea composition with time

Gypsum precipitation

Dilute upper water layer

Microbial blooming in the upper layer

Reduction conditions in the lower layer

Examination of the consequences of the different alternatives usingcomputer simulations

Balances 0-D this lectureDynamic 1-D P.O.M

limnological 2-D W2 qualmodeling 3-D P.O.M

Mass and Energy Balances

Salt precipitation Evaporation

Total mass balance

Water inflows

Measured data:(T, P & RH) - air, SW radiation

(T, P & salinity) - water, water level

Energy balanceSalt mass balanceHeat of evaporation

Measured data:(T, P & RH) - air, SW radiation

(T, P & salinity) - water, water level

Dead Sea Level )1990-2001(

-416

-414

-412

-410

-408

-40690 92 94 96 98 99 01

Level bsl(m)

Year )1/1(

Hydrological service

Level drop ~ 1 m/yrArea ~ 650 km2

Deficit ~ 650 mcm/yr

Hydro-meteorological buoy in the Dead Sea(Gertman I. from IOLR)

(T, P & RH) - air (T, P) - water SW radiation

30 m

20 m

1 m

2224262830323436

0 100 200 300

T (C °)

J Day)after 1/1/1998(

Water temperature at different depths

Overturn Winter cooling

Warm upper water layer

Hydrographycal profiles (T , salinity, ρρρρ)Every 2 months

Bottom at ~300m

T(C)0

100

200

300

22 27 32

Winter Summer

Hydrographycal profiles (T , salinity, ρρρρ)Every 2 months

From IOLR website

Measured annual changes:Surface level drop ~ 1 m / yr

Temperature increase ~ 0.2-0.3 °C / yrSalinity increase ~ 0.3 g/kg / yr

Mass and Energy Balances

Salt precipitation Evaporation

Total mass balance

Water inflows

Measured data:(T, P & RH) - air, SW radiation

(T, P & salinity) - water, water level

Energy balanceSalt mass balanceHeat of evaporation

Total mass balance

Salt precipitation

evaporationpumped

End brinesSubsurface inflows

DS worksSurface inflows

tws Vmm ρ=+

At a given time:Mass of water + mass of salts = total mass of brine

After some time ∆t...

Total mass balance

( )( )slt

rpseiws

VVVmmmmmmm

∆−∆−∆+=

=∆+∆−∆−∆−∆++

ρρ

Total mass balance change during ∆t in:Mass - ∆m

Volume – ∆V Density - ∆ρ

∆∆∆∆mi

∆∆∆∆me

∆∆∆∆ms

∆∆∆∆mr

∆∆∆∆mp

( )( )slt

rpseiws

VVVmmmmmmm

∆−∆−∆+=

=∆+∆−∆−∆−∆++

ρρ

Salt precipitation

evaporation

Total mass balance

pumped

End brines inflows

Salt mass balance Vt

ρS

volumedensitysalinity

( )( )ρρ

ρρρρρ

ns

prrrttls S

VSVSSVVVSSV

∆−∆+∆−∆−∆∆+=∆

2 unknowns remain:

Freshwater inflows ∆∆∆∆Vi

Evaporation ∆∆∆∆Ve

salt precipitation

~0.1 m/yr

After ∆∆∆∆t - a year∆Vs, ρs

∆Vl

Vt-∆Vl-∆Vsρ+∆ρSn=S+∆S

After a yearpresent

Mass and Energy Balances

Salt precipitation Evaporation

Total mass balance

Water inflows

Measured data:(T, P & RH) - air, SW radiation

(T, P & salinity) - water, water level

Energy balanceSalt mass balanceHeat of evaporation

?

Net LWEvaporative

heat fluxConductive

heat flux

Net solar

QSN -QLW -Qe -QCQn=Net heat flux

Energy balance

?

e

ee L

Qthρ

∆=∆

From heat to rate of evaporation

AVh e

e∆

=∆

Le - latent heat

( ) ( )asasb

nLWSNe eeTTc

QQQQ−−+

−−=

1

Heat of evaporation (Bowen 1926)

Evaporation rate vs. QLW

Stanhill (1994): 1.05 m/yrSalameh & El-Naser (2000): 2 m/yr

( ) ( )asasb

nLWSN

e

e

eeTTcQQQ

Lt

h

−−+−−∆

=∆

Mass and Energy Balances

Salt precipitation Evaporation

Total mass balance

Water inflows

Measured data:(T, P & RH) - air, SW radiation

(T, P & salinity) - water, water level

Energy balanceSalt mass balanceHeat of evaporation

?

( ) ( ) XeeTTc

tThCQQLAtV

asasb

tpLWSN

ei +

−−+

∆∆−−∆=∆

ρ

( ) rw

rt

wpl

ws

w

s VVVVVX ∆−∆

+∆−∆−∆−

=ρρ

ρρ

ρρ

ρρρ

Energy and mass balances

Min. observed

Rate of evaporation and inflows vs. QLW

Min. observed

Summary

Salt precipitation Evaporation

Total mass balance

Water inflows

Measured data:

Energy balanceSalt mass balance

Heat of evaporation

Total:265-330 mcm/yr

1.15 m/yr0.1 m/yr

Unobserved:0-60 mcm/yr

Total observed inflows >265 mcm/yr

Thank you…