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van Doorn - ATM Seminar...Title _van Doorn Created Date 7/16/2007 12:00:00 AM

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European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigation Outlook from a European Perspective Jan van Doorn Director EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre
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Page 1: van Doorn - ATM Seminar...Title _van Doorn Created Date 7/16/2007 12:00:00 AM

European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigation

Outlook from a

European Perspective

Jan van DoornDirector EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre

Page 2: van Doorn - ATM Seminar...Title _van Doorn Created Date 7/16/2007 12:00:00 AM

7th USA / Europe ATM R&D Seminar

Objectives

� Create and reinforce working and personal relations hips between leading experts and researchers

� This time more pro-active call for papers in suppor t to ACARE, SESAR and NextGen ,

� Particular Focus on the definition of the new gener ation ATM systems:

- Network and Traffic Flow Optimisation- Air Ground Integration- 4D Trajectory Management and Separation (new) - Enhanced Surveillance and Navigation (new)- Dynamic Airspace Management- Integrated Airport Management- Finance, Deployment and Implementation Issues (ne w)- Active ATM Performance Management- Safety and Security (new)- Environmental Considerations in System design- Innovative ATM Concepts

Page 3: van Doorn - ATM Seminar...Title _van Doorn Created Date 7/16/2007 12:00:00 AM

R&D Coverage, Quality and Selection

0 5 10 15 20 25

Safety and Security

Environment

Human factors

Performance (Measurement and Management)

Weather issues

Complexity, workload, sector capacity

Network and flow opimisation (incl deconflicting)

Enhanced surveillance and navigation

Autonomous airborne separation

System Wide Information Management

Air-Ground data link

Advanced airport tools

Automated control functions

4-D Trajectory management

Airspace configured according to operations

conference papers

In general, the quality and acceptance rate of papers fairly balanced throughout the subjects.

Unfortunate:

Low response on emerging issues: 4D, ASAS, Automated control functions

all (4) security papers rejected.

Great response in:

Safety, performance, flow and airspace managemt

Page 4: van Doorn - ATM Seminar...Title _van Doorn Created Date 7/16/2007 12:00:00 AM

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

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conf

eren

ce p

aper

s

Improving Existing System

73% of the received papers

refer to improvements of the existing system

27% of the received papers

address aspects for the definition anddesign of the New Generation System 27%

73%

Focus on

New Generation

System

Improving

Existing

System

New Generation System vs

Page 5: van Doorn - ATM Seminar...Title _van Doorn Created Date 7/16/2007 12:00:00 AM

Focus onNew Generation System:

Total System: 42%Aircraft: 32%ATC Ground: 24%Airport: 11%

Total System: consensus on the integration of all services into a common network as the key objective for the new generation system

Total System: consensus on the integration of all services into a common network as the key objective for the new generation system

010

203040

506070

8090

ATCGround

Aircraft Airport TotalSystem

conf

eren

ce p

aper

s

New Generation System

Improving existing System

Improving Existing System

New Generation System vs

Page 6: van Doorn - ATM Seminar...Title _van Doorn Created Date 7/16/2007 12:00:00 AM

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

conf

eren

ce p

aper

s

Is this the effect of market driven research:

- Focus on conservative / evolutionary R&D

- Resistance to address “hot topics”with conflicting views on future system

Is this the effect of market driven research:

- Focus on conservative / evolutionary R&D

- Resistance to address “hot topics”with conflicting views on future system 27%

73%

Improving

Existing

System

Long-term oriented research:

- Meant to be courageously looking outwards,

- Should not be funded / driven by the market

- Should be government funded with quite somefreedom to seek its direction

Long-term oriented research:

- Meant to be courageously looking outwards,

- Should not be funded / driven by the market

- Should be government funded with quite somefreedom to seek its direction

Outlook Europe:SESAR agreed ConOps / Implementation Packagesto become a booster for R&D with focus on New Generation System

Outlook Europe:SESAR agreed ConOps / Implementation Packagesto become a booster for R&D with focus on New Generation System

Focus on

New Generation

System

Improving Existing System

New Generation System vs

Page 7: van Doorn - ATM Seminar...Title _van Doorn Created Date 7/16/2007 12:00:00 AM

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Con

fere

nce

pape

rs56% of the papers focus ongeneral background understanding,incl. methodologies and models(Safety meth., Human Factors, flow models…)

Do we always have to start from scratch?

Need to improve reusability of R&D results:ATM R&D knowledge base,

global acceptance of R&D methodologiesHarmonised models and simulators

Do we always have to start from scratch?

Need to improve reusability of R&D results:ATM R&D knowledge base,

global acceptance of R&D methodologiesHarmonised models and simulators

44% of the papers focus onconcrete system functionality(CDA, Multi-Sector, sequencing & merging... )

44%

56%

Functionality

Background

Background Understanding

Concrete Functionality vs

Page 8: van Doorn - ATM Seminar...Title _van Doorn Created Date 7/16/2007 12:00:00 AM

Focus onBackground understanding:

Total System: 88%

Airport: 64%

ATC Ground: 44%Aircraft: 32%

0

10

20

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90

ATC Ground Aircraft Airport Total System

System Functionality

Models, methodologies

Airport: Need for integrated airport strategies and harmonised ops conceptsTotal System: late consideration of total system view, high complexity dimension

Need to be emphasised in R&D programmes

Airport: Need for integrated airport strategies and harmonised ops conceptsTotal System: late consideration of total system view, high complexity dimension

Need to be emphasised in R&D programmes

Background Understanding

Concrete Functionality vs

Page 9: van Doorn - ATM Seminar...Title _van Doorn Created Date 7/16/2007 12:00:00 AM

Scope of R&D in SESAR

2010 2015 2020

Deployment2020+ concept R&D

Short term Implementation programmes

Innovative R&D

SESAR JUJU: 8 years from MP

endorsement

2010 2015 2020

The whole of ATM R&D

Coordination needed with aeronautics research

2020 Concept Deployment2020 Concept R& D

Page 10: van Doorn - ATM Seminar...Title _van Doorn Created Date 7/16/2007 12:00:00 AM

Differences and Similarities betweenEurope & N. America

� ATM SERVICE� Nb & governance of Service

Providers� Source of Finance

� WEATHER� Severity (?)

� SAME PRESSURES� Safety, Growth, Costs

� SAME COMMERCIAL CUSTOMERS

� SAME OBLIGATIONS� ICAO

� SAME CONSTRAINTS� Environment, financial

� SAME OPPORTUNITIES� High Competence

� Advanced Technology

Page 11: van Doorn - ATM Seminar...Title _van Doorn Created Date 7/16/2007 12:00:00 AM

SESAR/NextGenleading edge of wider harmonisation needs

2 REGIONS WITH SIMILAR ISSUES

CAN WORK TOGETHER AND CONVINCE OTHERS OF THE BENEFIT

What we need for SESAR / NextGen

� Systematic, structured comparison of respective ConOps’ to identify

key interoperability requirements

� Analyse differences with respect to reasons, benefits, mitigation etc.

� To understand respective R&D plans and implementation roadmaps for coordination of standards work, regulation activity etc.

� Sharing resources: experiments, data, components, models, etc;

coordination of projects; balanced exchange of knowledge.

� Validation results ‘certifiable’ by transatlantic counterparts .

Page 12: van Doorn - ATM Seminar...Title _van Doorn Created Date 7/16/2007 12:00:00 AM

Future of USA / Europe ATM R&D Seminar

� SESAR and NextGen will introduce a system wide streamlined top-down R&D work planning and monitoring

� Systematic structured exchange / comparison / harmonisation will take place

� ATM Seminar objectives partly redundant

� Risk: The Seminar becomes obsolete could be replaced by SESAR resp. NextGen integrated R&D coordination fora

� Need to review seminar scope and objectives

Page 13: van Doorn - ATM Seminar...Title _van Doorn Created Date 7/16/2007 12:00:00 AM

Future of USA / Europe ATM R&D Seminar

A possible target scenario for the future:

� Build on the momentum of the present Seminar and organisational structure

� Widen scope to “Global ATM R&D Symposium”

� Three pillars approach:- Maintain Quality- Global Compatibility- Long Term

� Frequency & fit with other ATM events tbd


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